2021 NRL Round 12 Preview

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We’ve officially reached the halfway point of the NRL season as we prepare for another thrilling Indigenous Round starting on Thursday.

The Broncos, fresh from a stirring upset over the Roosters last week, kick us off at home against the Storm, followed by an intriguing clash on Friday between the Cowboys and Warriors from Townsville.

The game of the round kicks off on Saturday when the Rabbitohs and Eels meet in a battle between third and fourth, while there’s also some strong value on offer for Sharks v Titans on Sunday.

Tipping has become even more difficult thanks to some recent rule changes, but we’re confident we’ve found some winners in our 2021 NRL Round 12 Preview.

Brisbane Broncos Vs Melbourne Storm

Thursday May 27, 7:50pm, Suncorp Stadium

The Broncos pulled off one of the upsets of the season last week with a controversial win over the Roosters, but this shapes as a much tougher test against a Storm side that has held their number for the better part of the last five seasons.

Melbourne is shooting for its 10th straight win over the Broncos on Thursday night at Suncorp, with the most recent meeting between these two sides resulting in a 40-6 bloodbath last month.

That kicked off the Storm’s current eight-game winning streak, and it’s very difficult to imagine that run coming to an end, even with Ryan Papenhuyzen sidelined for a few more weeks.

Fortunately, the Storm could potentially welcome Kenny Bromwich and Cameron Munster back into the squad this week – two huge inclusions for a team that already leads the league in points and tries.

The Broncos could be boosted by Katoni Staggs’ inclusion but considering the Storm haven’t lost a game at Suncorp in over three years, it’s hard to get on board with a Brisbane upset.

The last three games between these two sides have also gone Over the Total, so a high-scoring contest could be in order.

Tip: Back the Storm to Win & Over 49.5 Total Points @ $2.10

North Queensland Cowboys Vs New Zealand Warriors

Friday May 28, 6:00pm, Queensland Country Bank Stadium

These two sides have everything to play for on Friday night in what should be a telling game between ninth and tenth.

The Cowboys were sensational from start to finish last week in their 16-point win over the Knights, while the Warriors saw off a late comeback from the Tigers to win by four in Gosford.

North Queensland has been a real handful at home this year and it is a little surprising to find them as the underdogs.

The Cowboys have posted a strong 4-2 mark in Townsville, which reads much better than New Zealand’s 2-3 record away from home.

These two sides have split their previous 38 meetings with 19 wins apiece, adding further intrigue to a game that could determine the makeup of the top eight.

As far as betting goes this is probably one of the toughest games to pick of the round, but it’s very difficult to back the Warriors to win two games in a row based on their recent history.

There really shouldn’t be anything more than a converted try between the two, but the current price on offer for North Queensland looks generous.

Tip: Back the Cowboys to Win @ $1.94

Wests Tigers Vs St George-Illawarra Dragons

Friday May 28, 7:55pm, Bankwest Stadium

The Tigers and the Dragons were both victims of narrow losses last week as they look to bounce back on Friday night at Bankwest.

Having defeated Dragons when they met earlier in the month with a gutsy eight-point win in Wollongong, a performance Michael Maguire will be hoping his side can replicate.

Wests dominated possession that day after forcing the Dragons into 45 missed tackles and based on everything we’ve seen from St George recently it’s no real surprise to find the Tigers as the short-priced favourites ahead of the rematch.

There’s also good news on the injury front with Wests expecting James Roberts and Russell Packer to play.

The Dragons, meanwhile, have further concerns after Cody Ramsey failed to pass his HIA last week in the loss to the Sharks.

Obviously, it’s difficult to feel overly confident in the Tigers, but the fact they’ve won three straight over the Dragons dating back to last season is reason enough to believe they can pick up their fourth win of the season.

Tip: Back the Tigers 1-12 @ $3.15

Penrith Panthers Vs Canterbury Bankstown Bulldogs

Saturday May 29, 3:00pm, Panthers Stadium

The line between first and last has been set at a whopping -31.5 points in favour of the Panthers on Saturday.

Penrith mauled the Bunnies last week to remain undefeated on the season, and it appears they’ll have no trouble making it 12 in a row against a Bulldogs side that ranks dead last in scoring.

Speaking of points, the Panthers have outscored the Bulldogs 70-0 in their last two meetings combined, and we could certainly see another blowout with Dylan Edwards potentially returning from a hamstring issue.

A line this long makes this a difficult game to bet on, but if you fancy a flutter, the Panthers to cover looks the only sensible (and valuable) play.

Tip: Back the Panthers to Cover the Line (-31.5 Points) @ $1.90

South Sydney Rabbitohs Vs Parramatta Eels

Saturday May 29, 5:30pm, Stadium Australia

A Saturday matinee between the Rabbits and Eels is the headline act this week as both sides hope to atone for last week’s disappointment.

Souths came up well short against premiership favourites Penrith, while the Eels felt the full force of Manly’s wrath in their own blowout defeat.

Both teams have typically been a strong bounce-back bet over the last calendar year, but this does look a more winnable game for South Sydney with a few stars potentially returning to the side.

Josh Mansour and Cameron Murray are both a good chance to play, while it’s worth noting the Bunnies have won four of their last five games against Parramatta, the most recent coming in last year’s Semi-Final.

The Eels showed some familiar problems last week in their loss to Manly as they again failed to string together two halves.

With the Rabbitohs needing a win to close the gap on the ladder, Parramatta’s inconsistencies could prove costly again.

Tip: Back the Rabbitohs to Win 1-12 @ $3.20

Sydney Roosters Vs Canberra Raiders

Saturday May 29, 7:35pm, Central Coast Stadium

These two sides have played out some absolute classics in recent years and it would not be surprising if we’re treated to another on Saturday.

Fresh from a controversial loss to the Broncos last week, a win could prove crucial for the Roosters with the Eels and the Rabbitohs squaring off only a few hours earlier.

Likewise, the Raiders could also move a step closer to rejoining the eight after suffering another thrashing at the hands of the Storm last week at home.

No more than eight points has separated these two sides in their last nine meetings, but there is a decent chance this one gets a little out of hand based on Canberra’s long list of injuries.

While Jarrod Croker has reportedly recovered well from his shoulder injury, the captain still remains on the sidelines for the next few weeks alongside Elliott Whitehead, Jack Wighton, and Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad.

Also working in the Roosters’ favour here is their outstanding record on the back of a loss.

Sydney has played to a 6-3 record at the line in this situation, and with the Raiders still struggling to play defence in the second half, they might just add to that record this week.

Tip: Back the Roosters to Cover the Line (-12 Points) @ $1.90

Cronulla Sharks Vs Gold Coast Titans

Sunday May 30, 2:00pm, Coffs International Stadium

The Sharks have held the wood over the Titans over the last few years as they hope to win back-to-back games on Sunday for the first time since March.

Cronulla secured an overtime win last week over the rival Dragons thanks to the boot of Chad Townsend, but this does shape as a tougher task against a Titans team that is desperate to hold onto a spot in the eight.

Justin Holbrook’s side picked up a much-needed 10-point win over the Bulldogs last week at home, but again, it’s tough to read too much into a win over the cellar dwellers.

These two teams really don’t fill me with any confidence, particularly on the defensive end.

The Sharks currently rank second in the league in missed tackles, while the Titans have looked very vulnerable up the middle in recent weeks.

The trends also support the idea of a high-scoring game.

The last three meetings between these sides have all gone Over the Total, so if you’re struggling to separate them, keep it simple.

Tip: Over 50.5 Total Points @ $1.90

Newcastle Knights Vs Manly Sea Eagles

Sunday May 30, 4:05pm, McDonald Jones Stadium

A game against the red-hot Sea Eagles couldn’t have come at a worse time for the Knights.

Newcastle has suffered back-to-back blowout defeats over the last fortnight to the Tigers and Cowboys, but there could be some reprieve on the horizon with Bradman Best and Kalyn Ponga both a chance at returning this week.

Even so, the Sea Eagles have shown no signs of slowing down after flexing their muscle last week in a convincing 28-6 win over the Eels.

Manly has been an outstanding bet as the away favourite over the last year 12 months playing to a 3-0 record at the line, and the way they are playing defensively right now suggests they should have no trouble holding the Knights to a low total.

Playing on the road in Newcastle is always tricky, but with a chance to bridge the gap between themselves and the top four, the Sea Eagles look a safe bet to keep rolling against a Knights team still battling through injury.

Tip: Back the Sea Eagles to Cover the Line (-11.5 Points) @ $1.90

2020

Only eight rounds remain in the home/away season and one look at the ladder suggests we’re still no closer to determining who might play finals.

Only four points separate fourth from 10th, but we might see things take shape this week with a top-eight battle on Saturday night between Manly and Penrith.

Favourites proved a valuable commodity last week for bettors, but we’ve mixed things up by tipping a few upsets in our 2020 NRL Round 12 Preview below.

St George Illawarra Dragons Vs South Sydney Rabbitohs

Thursday July 30,7:50pm, Nestrata Jubilee Stadium

The Dragons and the Rabbitohs both suffered respective losses last week to leave both sides clamoring for a spot in the eight.

St George were a little hard done by in their controversial loss to the Sharks, while the understrength Bunnies came up short to the Raiders in Canberra.

Neither side was disgraced on the scoresheet and with a couple of big names returning from suspension, we should be in for another close one.

Latrell Mitchell returns at fullback for the Bunnies, while the Dragons are welcoming Tariq Sims back into the second row.

The Bunnies have had the wood over the Dragons recently with wins in four of their last five meetings, and it appears the bookies are favoring Souths to add another.

St George had a real problem last week defending the wing against Cronulla and they’ll have their hands full again this week against the likes of Alex Johnston, Braidon Burns and Campbell Graham.

It’s tough to see this game being decided by more than a try, but stick with Souths to win a tight one.

Tip: Back the Rabbitohs 1-12 @ $2.75

Wests Tigers Vs New Zealand Warriors

Friday July 31, 6:00pm, SCG

The Tigers and the Warriors both hung tight with the competition heavyweights last week.

Wests put up a good fight in their 10-point loss to the Eels, while the Warriors actually led at half-time against the Roosters in their eventual eight-point defeat.

Warriors interim coach Todd Payten is facing his former club on Friday night, so you can expect another spirited performance from the Kiwis – even without several of their top line stars.

The Tigers, meanwhile, have proven themselves a valuable commodity on the back of a previous loss playing to a 5-3 record over the last 12 months.

Wests are set to receive an added boost with Luke Garner and Robert Jennings expected to return, while the news isn’t quite so positive on the Warriors’ end with David Fusitu’a and Ken Maumalo heading home.

While it wouldn’t be surprising to watch the Warriors build on last week’s big performance, unfortunately, the aforementioned names make this a very tough ask.

Tip: Back the Tigers 1-12 @ $3.00

Brisbane Broncos Vs Cronulla Sharks

Friday July 31, 7:55pm, Suncorp Stadium

A win on Friday could be huge for the Sharks as they look to not only cement their spot in the eight but also edge their way closer to the top four.

Cronulla put in a huge effort last week against the Dragons and they have been well-supported to carry on with it against the Broncos.

Brisbane were embarrassed last week at home against the Storm, but they might be able to draw some confidence from the fact they’ve won each of their last six games against the Sharks.

The Broncos are moving Darius Boyd to fullback this week with Anthony Milford sidelined due to injury.

Cronulla, meanwhile, are sweating on Sione Katoa’s HIA report, while Matt Moylan and Andrew Fifita are still a week away from returning.

Plenty went wrong last week for the Broncos, particularly in the second half.

Brisbane surrendered six second-half tries to the Storm, which has become an emerging trend of late.

The Broncos have also given up a league-leading 11 tries in the final 10-minutes of games this year, so take the Sharks to pile on the points in the second half.

Tip: Sharks Over 11.5 2nd Half Total Points @ $2.00

Sydney Roosters Vs Gold Coast Titans

Saturday August 1, 3:00pm, SCG

Roosters coach Trent Robinson will be hoping to see some urgency from his side this week after a slow start against the Warriors in Round 11.

The Titans will be looking to capitalize on where the Warriors left off, and they only need to draw on last week’s close call against the Panthers for some added motivation.

Gold Coast fought back from two unanswered tries to trail by only two points at half time, a performance the Titans are sure to build on.

The Titans have lost each of their last five games against the Roosters, but if they string together 80-minutes of solid footy, there’s nothing stopping them from at least covering this enormous line.

It just so happens the Titans have covered in four of their six games as the away underdog against the Roosters, so take the Gold Coast to keep things respectable.

Tip: Back the Titans to Cover the Line (+22.5 Points) @ $2.00

North Queensland Cowboys Vs Canberra Raiders

Saturday August 1, 5:30pm, Queensland Country Bank Stadium

A spot back in the top four might be up for grabs if the Raiders can take care of business on Saturday night against the Cowboys.

Canberra held on for a six-point win over the Rabbitohs last week, but they did lose star fullback Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad in the process to a dislocated finger.

The Raiders only need to ask the Cowboys how much injuries can derail a team’s season.

North Queensland lost their fourth game in a row last week against Manly, and it appears the bookies are favouring the Raiders heavily to add to that record.

The Cowboys might receive some good news on the Jordan McLean front on Tuesday, while the Raiders will be without CNK for at least two weeks.

The Raiders have won their last two trips to North Queensland though, and with the fifth-best record in the league at the line (6-4-1), they should have no trouble covering.

Tip: Back the Raiders to Cover the Line (-8.5 Points) @ $2.00

Manly Sea Eagles Vs Penrith Panthers

Saturday August 1, 7:35pm, Brookvale

Manly find themselves back in the eight for another week after dusting off the Cowboys, but they’ll do well to hold their position with the top of the table Panthers up next.

Penrith survived a first-half scare to walk away with a comfortable 22-14 win over the Titans on the Gold Coast last week, while a win for Ivan Cleary’s side is just as crucial with the second-placed Eels facing a very winnable game against the Bulldogs on Sunday.

The Panthers chances are set to improve drastically should Viliame Kikau return from his calf injury.

Manly, on the other hand, are still left waiting at least another week for Dylan Walker.

The Panthers have won their last two games at Brookvale and they do look good value here to add to that record.

The last six games between these two sides have been decided by less than 12 points, so it’s worth taking a look at the Margin Market.

Tip: Back the Panthers 1-12 @ $2.60

Canterbury Bulldogs Vs Parramatta Eels

Sunday August 2, 2:00pm, ANZ Stadium

The Eels have an enormous opportunity to reclaim the top spot on the ladder should results go their way.

Parramatta will be licking their lips knowing they face the hapless Bulldogs on Sunday, especially after the top of the table Panthers face off against Manly on Saturday night.

Following their loss to the Sea Eagles a fortnight ago, the Eels bounced back last week in a hard-earned win over the Tigers at Bankwest.

Head coach Brad Arthur must ensure his team doesn’t overlook the Bulldogs however, much like the Knights did last week in Newcastle.

A win for the Eels would even up the slate between these two sides with 22 wins apiece since their first meeting in 1998.

The only real issue of concern for Parramatta is the status of second-rower Ryan Matterson, who undergoes HIA protocols later in the week.

Taking nothing away from Canterbury, their win last week in Newcastle largely boiled down to the wet conditions.

Considering the Eels are perhaps the most prolific attacking team in the competition, don’t be surprised if they force a litany of errors against a Bulldogs team renowned for missing tackles.

Tip: Back the Eels to Cover the Line (-16.5 Points) @ $2.00

Melbourne Storm Vs Newcastle Knights

Sunday August 2, 4:05pm, Sunshine Coast Stadium

The Storm are well-rested coming off last Friday’s massive win over the Broncos, so it is no surprise to find them at odds-on in the market.

Newcastle have enjoyed a few days to regroup and reflect on last week’s shortcomings against the Bulldogs, a loss that has sent the Knights spiraling down to sixth on the ladder ahead of another tough game.

Another loss for the Knights would put them in real danger of slipping out of the eight, while a win for the Storm (and other results going their way) could leave them on top of the table by the end of the round.

The Knights have been a quality outfit all year, but much like last season, the injury bug has taken its toll.

Andrew McCullough and Connor Watson both suffered season-ending injuries last week, while the Storm will also go without Paul Momirovski for the next few months.

The obvious play here is to take the Storm to cover, but beware a Knights team with everything to play for.

Newcastle has been an outstanding betting play on the back of a previous loss covering in six of their eight games over the last 12 months.

On the somewhat neutral ground Sunshine Coast Stadium, take the Knights to keep it tight.

Tip: Back the Knights to Cover the Line (+13.5 Points) @ $2.00


2019

The battle for bragging rights kicks off next week, meaning we’re in for a shortened round of NRL action as we turn our attention towards State of Origin Game 1.

This week, the Broncos, Dragons, Knights, Sharks, Storm, Roosters and Warriors all take a seat, leaving an action-packed four-game slate to look forward to with a handful of ladder implications on the line.

Whether you’re Maroon or Blue, we’ve got all the tips just for you. Be sure to read on below for our complete 2019 NRL Round 12 Preview.

Penrith Panthers Vs Manly Sea Eagles

Thursday May 30, 7:50pm, Panthers Stadium

Things looked bleak early last week for the Panthers before Tim Grant crossed the line against the run of play, kick-starting a much-need win over Parramatta.

The 16-10 victory was marred by sloppy penalties, but Blues fans must feel confident in Nathan Clear ahead of next week’s Origin opener after scoring the game-winning try in the 58th minute.

Manly wasn’t quite so fortunate last week at home to the Titans. The Sea Eagles lost 36-18 at Brookvale largely due to a lack of possession and of course, second half scoring.

After showing plenty of fight defensively in recent weeks, Des Hasler’s side was left wondering as the Titans piled on five tries in the second half, two of which completed Dale Copley’s hat-trick.

Looking ahead, these two sides have plenty to play for this weekend with a few names potentially missing due to Origin duties.

In their two meetings last year, the Panthers and Sea Eagles split the wins one game apiece – but it’s the Panthers who hold the better record having won three of their last five games against Manly.

The market offers tremendous value this week, but unfortunately, Penrith’s 1-4 record at home is tough to trust. The Panthers may have earned the points against the Eels, but their ill discipline is still a concern.

Manly are 2-1 as the road favourite against Penrith, so back the Sea Eagles to hold strong inside the eight.

Tip: Back Manly To Win @ $1.80

[matchmodule matchid=" 81613715" no="1"]

Parramatta Eels Vs South Sydney Rabbitohs

Friday May 31, 7:55pm, Western Sydney Stadium

Just when we thought we had the Eels all figured out, they go and lose their third straight game to one of the wooden spoon favourites.

Parramatta finds themselves barely clinging to a spot inside the eight, but that mightn’t be the case once Round 12 is said and done.

South Sydney still hold a two-point lead ahead of the Storm atop the table, and if last week’s 32-16 demolition over the Tigers is anything to go by, the Bunnies should have no trouble traveling to the lavish Bankwest Stadium to pinch the points.

These two sides met twice last year with Souths winning on both occasions. The Bunnies tore apart the Eels 42-24 in Round 15 before recording a narrow 26-20 victory four weeks later. Due to Origin commitments though, the Bunnies find themselves as the outsiders at a pretty handy price.

The Rabbitohs are 2-1 as the away underdog against Parramatta while the Eels are a less than impressive 7-7 on the back of a loss.

Given Parramatta have scored no more than 10-points in each of their last three games, back the understrength Rabbitohs to stand up to this test.

Tip: Back the Rabbitohs To Win @ $2.10

[matchmodule matchid=" 81613837" no="2"]

NRL Same Game Multi

Canterbury Bulldogs Vs Canberra Raiders

Saturday June 1, 7:35pm, ANZ Stadium

The Raiders showed some fight last week against the Cowboys, but it wasn’t enough to overcome a sloppy defensive performance.

Canberra struggled with North Queensland’s forwards all game long, and although the Bulldogs find themselves sitting bottom on the ladder, the Raiders need to be wary of Canterbury with so many big-name players out due to Origin.

Having now won just one of their last five games, things aren’t about to get any easier following Josh Hodgson’s broken thumb. The likes of Nick Cotric, Jack Wighton and Josh Papalii have all been selected for Origin, leaving Canberra looking a little thin in all areas.

The Dogs, on the other hand, have only lost Dylan Napa to the Maroons’ bench, giving reason to the handy odds on offer.

Canterbury has won only one of their last five games against the Raiders, and with a sloppy 1-6 record as the away underdog, you can’t take on the Dogs head-to-head.

Instead, take faith in Canterbury’s 7-5 record as the line underdog. Canberra are 6-5 on the back of a loss, but if the Dogs can get Jayden Okunbor involved early, they could keep this close.

Tip: Back the Bulldogs to Cover the Line (+1.5 Points) @ $1.90

[matchmodule matchid=" 81613956" no="3"]

NRL Same Game Multi

Gold Coast Titans Vs North Queensland Cowboys

Sunday June 2, 3:00pm, CBus Super Stadium

A win this week could vault the Cowboys inside the eight as they head to the Gold Coast for a battle against the Titans.

North Queensland coach Paul Green has to be happy with his side’s execution last week after taking down the Raiders 22-16 in Canberra. The Cowboys forward line played exceptionally well, while Jordan Kahu’s clutch kicking made a difference on the scoreboard.

Gold Coast won’t hold particularly fond memories of this fixture though having last beaten the Cowboys way back in 2014. The Titans will, however, take full confidence into Round 12 on the heels of last week’s sorely needed win over Manly at Brookvale.

The Titans have won only two of their five games at home this year, but with the Cowboys missing Josh McGuire and Michael Morgan due to Origin, this is a huge opportunity for the Gold Coast to prove themselves.

Head coach Garth Brennan will have to do without Jai Arrow this week, who was also selected to start for Queensland. To win this game, Gold Coast simply need to slow down North Queensland’s halves – something easier said than done.

With a handful of talented players missing this week, your best bet is probably on the Total. The last two Titans home games have gone Over the Total, while the same can be said for North Queensland’s last two games on the road.

Tip: Back Over 41.5 Total Match Points @ $1.88

[matchmodule matchid=" 81614093" no="4"]

NRL Same Game Multi


2018

It was another controversial round in the NRL last weekend and the biff returned for the first time in a number of seasons!

We are set for more excitement this weekend and there are a host of big games spread right across the round.

We have analysed every game set to take place and our complete 2018 NRL Round 12 tips can be found below.

Brisbane Broncos Vs Parramatta Eels

Thursday 24 May, 7:50pm, Suncorp Stadium

The Brisbane Broncos overcame a horror injury toll to record an upset win over the Sydney Roosters last weekend and they will go into this clash with the Parramatta Eels as clear favourites.

There was plenty to like about the performance of the Broncos and they showed plenty of character to bounce back from their horror defeat at the hands of the Manly Sea Eagles.

Brisbane have won six of their past eight games as home favourites, but they are only 3-1-4 against the line in this scenario.

The Eels suffered their third loss on the trot when they went down to the New Zealand Warriors last weekend and they have still won only two games this season.

Parramatta have won only two of their past seven games as away underdogs, but they are 4-3 against the line in this scenario and they have won their past two games against the Broncos.

Stringing together quality performances has been an issue for the Broncos and I am keen to take them on in this contest.

Back Parramatta To Cover The Line (+6.5 Points)

[matchmodule matchid=" 55486715" no="1"]

Canberra Raiders Vs Manly Sea Eagles

Friday 25 May, 6:00pm, GIO Stadium

The Manly Sea Eagles are back on track after recording back-to-back wins, but it is the Canberra Raiders that will still start this clash as favourites.

Canberra have not been disgraced in recent weeks against either the Cronulla Sharks or the St George Illawarra Dragons, but they have been unable to finish off games.

The Raiders have won only six of their past 12 games  as home favourites and they are a poor 4-8 against the line in this scenario.

Manly made it two wins on the trot with a comprehensive defeat of the Melbourne Storm, but they will go into this clash without Api Koroisau and Dylan Walker following their roles in last Saturday night’s brawl.

The Sea Eagles have won two of their past six games as away underdogs and they are a middling 3-3 against the line in this scenario.

Defence has generally been an issue for both these sides this season – although Manly were excellent against the Storm – and backing the Over in games involving either of these teams has been a profitable betting play.

Back Over 41.5 Points

[matchmodule matchid=" 55491724" no="2"]

North Queensland Cowboys Vs Melbourne Storm

Friday 25 May, 7:55pm, 1300SMILES Stadium

The Melbourne Storm struggled badly without Cameron Smith last weekend, but they will still go into this clash with the North Queensland Cowboys as favourites.

Smith will be back for the Storm this weekend and is a big inclusion for a side that lacked structure without him.

Melbourne have dominated their recent meetings with the Cowboys and they have won the past seven games played between the two sides, which includes a comfortable win earlier this season.

The Storm have won six of their past eight games as away favourites and they have covered the line in five of those wins.

North Queensland looked as though they had stolen victory with a late Michael Morgan field goal against the South Sydney Rabbitohs last weekend, but a costly late penalty saw them denied a must-needed win.

The season is not over for the Cowboys just yet, but they desperately need to start winning games if they are going to be any chance of making the NRL Finals.

The Cowboys have won only one of their past five games as home underdogs and their record against the line in this scenario isn’t much better.

There is no doubt that the market continues to overrate the Cowboys and the line of 3.5 points will not be enough.

Back Melbourne To Cover The Line (-3.5 Points)

[matchmodule matchid=" 55492286" no="3"]

Sydney Roosters Vs Gold Coast Titans

Saturday 26 May, 3:00pm, Central Coast Stadium

The Gold Coast Titans were able to end their losing streak last weekend, but it is still the Sydney Roosters that will go into this clash as favourites.

Sydney flew out of the blocks against the Brisbane Broncos and really looked set to record a big win, but a host of defensive errors let down and they lost a game they should have won.

The Roosters have elected to take their home game to Central Coast Stadium and they have a simply shocking record at this venue.

They have won only one of their past ten games at the venue – although that win did come at the hands of the Titans.

The Titans maintained their composure at key moments to beat the Newcastle Knights last weekend, but they are still a tough side to trust from a betting perspective.

The Gold Coast have won only one of their past 12 games as away underdogs and they are a poor 3-9 against the line in this scenario.

This is another clash where the value does lie in the Total Points betting market.

The Under has saluted in nine of the past 13 games played by the Titans and has also been a profitable betting play in games involving the Roosters.

Back Under 47.5 Points

[matchmodule matchid=" 55492634" no="4"]

New Zealand Warriors Vs South Sydney Rabbitohs

Saturday 26 May, 5:35pm, Mt Smart Stadium

This is set to be one of the most interesting games of the weekend.

The New Zealand Warriors recorded a big win over the South Sydney Rabbitohs in the opening round of the season, but there is no doubt that that the Rabbitohs have improved significantly since then.

New Zealand have struggled for consistency in recent weeks and they weren’t overly impressive in their win over the Parramatta Eels last weekend.

The Warriors have won five of their past eight games as home favourites and they have covered the line in each of these wins.

They required a late penalty to do so, but the Rabbitohs were able to make it three wins on the trot with their victory over the North Queensland Cowboys and they have also won five of their past six games.

South Sydney have won only two of their past eight games as away underdogs, but they are an impressive 6-2 against the line in this scenario.

This is a game that the market does look to have just about right and I am happy to stay out from a betting perspective.

No Bet

[matchmodule matchid=" 55496096" no="5"]

Penrith Panthers Vs St George Illawarra Dragons

Saturday 26 May, 7:35pm, Panthers Stadium

This is a top-of-the-table clash between two teams that have defied expectations in 2018 to date.

The St George Illawarra Dragons returned to winning form with a tough win over the Canberra Raiders and they will go into this clash with the Penrith Panthers as favourites.

Winning away from home continues to be something of an issue for the Dragons and they have won only one of their past six games as away favourites for a big loss.

The Penrith Panthers ground out a win over the Wests Tigers last weekend and they are a side that continues to fly under the radar.

Penrith are always very tough to beat in front of their home fans at Panthers Stadium and they have won ten of their past 11 matches at the venue for a clear profit.

Taking on the Dragons on the road has been a winning play and the Panthers do appeal at their current odds of $2.10.

Back Penrith To Win @ $2.10

[matchmodule matchid=" 55493251" no="6"]

Newcastle Knights Vs Cronulla Sharks

Sunday 27 May, 2:00pm, McDonald Jones Stadium

The Cronulla Sharks have recorded five wins on the trot and they will go into this clash with the Newcastle Knights as clear favourites.

Cronulla just continue to grind out victories and they are a team that have shown they are capable of finishing over the top of their rivals.

The Sharks have won four of their past five games as away favourites, but they are only 2-3 against the line in this scenario.

Life without Mitchell Pearce has been tough for the Knights and they have now lost three wins on the trot following their defeat at the hands of the Gold Coast Titans last weekend.

The Knights have not beaten the Sharks since 2014 and they have won only two of their past seven games as home underdogs.

There is no reason that the Sharks can’t continue their winning ways, but once again the margin is unlikely to be large.

Back Cronulla To Win By 1-12 @ $2.80

[matchmodule matchid=" 55494052" no="7"]

Wests Tigers Vs Canterbury Bulldogs

Sunday 27 May, 4:10pm, ANZ Stadium

The wheels have fallen off the Wests Tigers bus following their impressive start to the season, but they will still start this clash with the Canterbury Bulldogs as clear favourites.

The Tigers could only manage two points in their defeat against the Penrith Panthers last weekend and they have now lost four of their past five games.

Wests have won only two of their past four games as favourites for a loss and they have been a tough side to trust from a betting perspective in recent weeks.

Canterbury slumped to their fourth loss in five games with another tight loss at the hands of the Cronulla Sharks and they are a better side than their current record suggests.

The Bulldogs have seven of their past 22 games as underdogs for a clear loss and they are 10-12 against the line in this scenario.

Points have proven hard to come by for both these sides this season and backing the Under in games involved in either of these sides has been a highly profitable play.

Back Under 36.5 Points

[matchmodule matchid=" 55494669" no="8"]

2017

The State Of Origin season is upon us and that means that there are only four games in the NRL this weekend.

A number of sides will be missing their State Of Origin players – with the Brisbane Broncos most badly effected – and that always makes for an interesting round from a betting perspective.

We have analysed all four games taking place this weekend and our NRL Round 12 tips can be round below.

South Sydney Rabbitohs Vs Parramatta Eels

Friday 26 May, 7:50pm, ANZ Stadium

South Sydney Rabbitohs 16 - Parramatta Eels 22

Both the South Sydney Rabbitohs and Parramatta Eels will go into this clash at close to full-strength as neither have a single player involved in State Of Origin.

The South Sydney Rabbitohs have won only one of their past five games, but they will still go into this clash as favourites following their improved effort against the Melbourne Storm last weekend.

Winning games as favourites has proven to be an issue for the Rabbitohs and they have won only three of their past seven games as favourites for a clear loss.

Parramatta suffered a narrow defeat at the hands of the Canberra Raiders last weekend and they are a team that it is tough to get a read on in 2017.

The Eels have won six of their past 16 games as underdogs for a clear loss and they are a middling 8-8 against the line in this scenario.

It really is difficult to split these two teams and because of that the $2.10 on offer for a Eels victory does stand out as a touch of value.

Back Parramatta To Win @ $2.10

[matchmodule matchid=" 32129754" no="1"]

New Zealand Warriors Vs Brisbane Broncos

Saturday 27 May, 5:30pm, Mt Smart Stadium

New Zealand Warriors 28 - Brisbane Broncos 10

The New Zealand Warriors take on a Brisbane Broncos side that is missing five players on State Of Origin duty and it is no surprises that the Warriors will start this clash as favourites.

New Zealand produced another uninspiring performance against the St George Illawarra Dragons last weekend and they continue to struggle as home favourites.

They have won only six of their past ten games in this scenario and they are a shocking 1-9 against the line in this scenario.

Brisbane head into this clash on the back of six straight wins and they are a genuine chance of continuing their winning streak – even if they will be missing a number of key players.

The pressure will be on the likes of Ben Hunt, but if he can take control of this clash they are definitely in this contest.

The Broncos have won only one of their past four games as away underdogs, but they are 2-1-1 against the line in this scenario.

Taking on the Warriors at the line continues to be a profitable betting play and I will be doing just that this weekend.

Back Brisbane To Beat The Line (+6 Points)

[matchmodule matchid=" 32129885" no="2"]

Cronulla Sharks Vs Canterbury Bulldogs

Saturday 27 May, 7:30pm, Southern Cross Group Stadium

Cronulla Sharks 9 - Canberra Raiders 8

The Cronulla Sharks made it seven wins from their past eight games with a victory over the North Queensland Cowboys and they will start this clash with the Canterbury Bulldogs as clear favourites.

Cronulla will be without the likes of James Maloney, Andrew Fifita, Wade Graham and Jack Bird, but the representative retirement of Paul Gallen as well as the surprise snub of Valentine Holmes means that there is still a fair bit of quality in this side.

The Sharks have won six of their past nine games as home favourites, but they are a disappointing 3-6 against the line in this scenario.

Canterbury went down to the Sydney Roosters last Sunday, but their effort was still a massive improvement on their performance against the North Queensland Cowboys.

The Bulldogs have lost their past six games as away underdogs and they are an extremely poor 1-5 against the line, while they will go into this clash without leaders Josh Jackson and Brett Morris.

The market looks to have got this game just about right, but there is value in the Unders in the Total Points betting market.

It really would surprise if this game ended up being a fairly dour affair and backing the Under has been a profitable betting play in games involving either of these teams this season.

Back Under 38.5 Points

[matchmodule matchid=" 32129995" no="3"]

Canberra Raiders Vs Sydney Roosters

Sunday 28 May, 4:00pm, GIO Stadium

Canberra Raiders 24 - Sydney Roosters 16

The Sydney Roosters have struggled badly without Mitchell Pearce in recent seasons and it will be interesting to see how they cope in his absence this weekend.

Canberra ended their losing streak with a fighting victory over the Parramatta Eels and they will go into this clash as clear favourites.

The Raiders have won ten of their past 13 games as home favourites and they are 7-6 against the line in this scenario, while they are aided by the fact that Josh Papali is their only player involved in State Of Origin.

The Roosters will also be without Dylan Napa, Aidan Guerra and Blake Ferguson and this will be a serious test of their depth.

Sydney have lost their past six games as away underdogs and they are a poor 2-4 against the line in this scenario.

The Roosters have struggled badly without their stars in the past and this really is an opportunity for Canberra to record back-to-back wins.

Back Canberra To Beat The Line (-6.5 Points)

[matchmodule matchid=" 32130070" no="4"]

2016

This is the first split round of the 2016 NRL season and a number of teams will be without their representative stars.

This is a big loss for the Brisbane Broncos who will face the Wests Tigers without what will likely be six or seven players, while the North Queensland Cowboys will take on the St George Dragons without inspirational playmaker Johnathan Thurston.

State Of Origin 1 will be played at ANZ Stadium on June 1.

Brisbane Broncos Vs Wests Tigers

Friday 27 May, 7:50pm, Suncorp Stadium

Brisbane Broncos 18 - Wests Tigers 19

The Brisbane Broncos have an outstanding record against the Wests Tigers and they have lost to the joint venture on just four occasions, but they will go into this clash without a number of their key forwards as well as fullback Darius Boyd as well as winger Corey Oates.

The big benefit for the Broncos is that they still have Ben Hunt, Anthony Milford and Andrew McCollough in their side and they will still start this game as very short favourites.

The Broncos are 11-3 as home favourites in the past 12 months and they are a most impressive 10-4 against the line in this scenario, while they have suffered back-to-back losses just once across this time period.

Wests returned to winning form against the Newcastle Knights last weekend, but they were still not particularly impressive and they obviously face a much tougher challenge against the Brisbane Broncos.

The Tigers have won just two of their past eight games as away underdogs and their record against the line in this situation is a thoroughly average 3-5.

Even an under strength Broncos will prove too strong for the Tigers and they are a good bet to cover the line.

Recommended Bet: Back Brisbane Broncos To Beat The Line (+12 Points)

[matchmodule matchid="15677479" no="1"]

St George Dragons Vs North Queensland Cowboys

Saturday 28 May, 7:30pm, WIN Stadium

St George Illawarra Dragons 14 - North Queensland Cowboys 10

The St George Illawarra Dragons have not lost three of their past four games against the North Queensland Cowboys and have not beaten them at Win Stadium since 2010, but they take on the Cowboys in a situation where they are always vulnerable – without Johnathan Thurston.

It is no secret that the Cowboys have a very poor record without Thurston in the side, but they did in fact win two out of three games without him last season and they beat the Dragons without their State Of Origin stars.

The Dragons went down to the Rabbitohs last weekend, but they will still start this game as favourites and they have been very solid in this position in the past 12 months.

St George Illawarra have won four of their past five games as home favourites, but their record against the line in this situation is average and they are 3-6 against the line when giving away a start.

The Cowboys have actually won four of their past seven games as away underdogs and their record against the line is a more than profitable 5-2.

North Queensland have enough talent in their side to win without the likes of Johnathan Thurston, Matthew Scott, James Tamou and Michael Morgan and they are a good bet to beat the Dragons this weekend.

Recommended Bet: Back North Queensland Cowboys To Win @ $2

[matchmodule matchid="15677494" no="2"]

Canberra Raiders Vs Canterbury Bulldogs

Sunday 29 May, 4:00pm, GIO Stadium

Canberra Raiders 32 - Canterbury Bulldogs 20

This is one of the most interesting games of the weekend as neither team have lost that many players to representative duties.

The Canberra Raiders returned to winning form against the New Zealand Warriors last weekend and on the back of that performance they will start this game as clear favourites.

The issue for the Raiders is that they have been a losing proposition as home favourites for a number of seasons now and in the past 12 months they are 4-6 against the line in this scenario.

The Bulldogs made it two wins on the trot with a professional performance against the Sydney Roosters last weekend and although they have lost the like of Josh Morris and David Klemmer, they haven’t been as badly effected by State Of Origin as they have been in other years.

Canterbury have an excellent record as away underdogs and they have won four out of their past six games in this scenario.

The $2.25 currently on offer for a Bulldogs victory is huge overs and they are the best value betting play of the weekend.

Recommended Bet: Back Canterbury Bulldogs To Win @ $2.25

[matchmodule matchid="15677527" no="3"]

Newcastle Knights Vs Parramatta Eels

Monday 30 May, 7:00pm, Hunter Stadium

The Parramatta Eels have not won a game since they were stripped of all their competition points due to the salary cap drama, but they have an excellent chance to return to winning form against the Newcastle Knights.

The Eels were far from disgraced against the Melbourne Storm and they will go into this game as clear favourites to put a month of turmoil behind them.

Parramatta have proven an incredibly reliable betting proposition as away favourites and they are 4-0 in both head to head as well as line betting in this scenario.

The Knights produced an improved performance against the Tigers last weekend, but they still never looked like winning and are a class below what is required to compete in the NRL.

They have won just one of their past seven games as home underdogs and I can’t see them giving their home supporters anything to smile about this weekend.

Recommended Bet: Back Parramatta Eels To Beat The Line (-10.5 Points)

[matchmodule matchid="15677784" no="4"]