2018 NRL Round 7 Preview

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The upsets continued in the NRL last weekend and incredibly is the St George Illawarra Dragons, Penrith Panthers, New Zealand Warriors and Wests Tigers that currently occupy the top four.

Will it be another round of upsets or will favourite backers bounce back?

We have analysed every game set to take place in the NRL this weekend and our complete 2018 NRL Round 7 tips can be found below.

Canterbury Bulldogs Vs Sydney Roosters

Thursday 19 April, 7:50pm, ANZ Stadium

The Sydney Roosters suffered a disappointing loss at the hands of the South Sydney Rabbitohs last weekend, but they will still go into this clash with the Canterbury Bulldogs as favourites.

Consistency has been an issue for the Roosters this season, but they have won six of their past eight games on the back of a loss and they have won 15 of their past 21 games as favourites.

In saying that, their record against the line in that scenario is poor and they have covered in only seven of their past 21 games when they give away a start.

The Bulldogs returned to winning form with a comfortable win over the North Queensland Cowboys and they were able to score over 20 points for the first time this season.

They have won seven of their past 20 games as underdogs for a profit, but they are only a middling 10-10 against the line.

Recent games played between these two sides have generally been high-scoring affairs and the Over has saluted in ten of the past 12 meetings between these sides.

The Roosters are capable of scoring plenty of points on their day and the Total Points line of 42.5 will not be enough.

Back Over 42.5 Points

New Zealand Warriors Vs St George Illawarra Dragons

Friday 20 April, 6:00pm, Mt Smart Stadium

The St George Illawarra Dragons remain unbeaten and they will go into this clash with the New Zealand Warriors as narrow favourites.

St George Illawarra recorded another impressive win over the Cronulla Sharks and there really is a lot to like about the way they have played so far this season.

This will be another big test for the Dragons and they have won only one of their past four games as away favourites.

The Warriors had their winning streak ended by the Brisbane Broncos and the way they respond to that disappointment will be an excellent insight into the character of this side.

They have won only one of their past four games as home underdogs and they are a middling 2-2 against the line in this scenario.

This is another game where the value does look to be in the Total Points betting market.

The Under has saluted in nine of the past 11 away games played by the Dragons as well as five of the past seven games played between these two sides.

Back Under 42.5 Points

Brisbane Broncos Vs Melbourne Storm

Friday 20 April, 6:00pm, Suncorp Stadium

The Melbourne Storm have an excellent record at Suncorp Stadium and they will go into this clash as favourites.

Melbourne returned to winning form with a comprehensive win over the Newcastle Knights and played easily their best football of the season to date.

The Storm have won seven of their past nine games as away favourites and they are 5-4 against the line in this scenario.

The Brisbane Broncos ended their own horror run of form with a strong win over the New Zealand Warriors, but their recent against the Storm does leave something to be desired.

They have won only two of their past 12 games against the Storm and the Storm have won seven of the past eight games played between the two sides at Suncorp Stadium.

Melbourne can make it two wins on the trot and cover the line of 4.5 points in the process.

Back Storm To Cover The Line (-4.5 Points)

South Sydney Rabbitohs Vs Canberra Raiders

Saturday 21 April, 3:00pm, Central Coast Stadium

The South Sydney Rabbitohs have taken their home game to Central Coast Stadium in Gosford and they will start as clear favourites.

South Sydney produced their best performance of the season to beat the Sydney Roosters last Thursday night and they have now won three of their past four games.

The Rabbitohs have won five of their past nine games as favourites and they have covered the line in each of these wins.

The Canberra Raiders made it two wins on the trot with a comfortable victory over the Parramatta Eels and they now have some momentum after their very poor start to the year.

They have won only two of their past six games as underdogs and they are a middling 3-3 against the line when being given a start,

Recent clashes between these two teams have generally been high-scoring affairs – five of the past six games played between the two sides has gone over the Total Points line – and that could be the case again this weekend.

Back Over 44.5 Points

Wests Tigers Vs Newcastle Knights

Saturday 21 April, 5:30pm, Scully Park

This game between the Wests Tigers and the Newcastle Knights will be played at Scully Park in Tamworth.

The Tigers have had their best start to a season in their history and they were nothing short of outstanding against the Manly Sea Eagles last weekend.

They have lost only one game this season – against the Brisbane Broncos in controversial fashion – and what Ivan Cleary has done with this side has been truly remarkable.

The Tigers have won their past two games as favourites and they have covered the line in each of these wins.

There is no doubt that the Knights have made big improvement this season, but consistency continues to be an issue and they were poor against the Melbourne Storm last weekend.

Newcastle have won only two of their past 13 games as away underdogs and they are 5-8 against the line in this scenario.

The Tigers have finally made a believer out of me and they can continue on their winning ways.

Back Tigers To Cover The Line (-5.5 Points)

North Queensland Cowboys Vs Gold Coast Titans

Saturday 21 April, 7:35pm, 1300SMILES Stadium

The time for panic is here for the North Queensland Cowboys and they go into this clash with the Gold Coast Titans on the back of five straight losses.

The Cowboys looked nothing short of disinterested against the Canterbury Bulldogs last weekend and they aren’t playing like the side that were so exciting to watch during the NRL Finals last year.

North Queensland have won their past five games against the Titans and they will start this clash as favourites, but they are a tough side to back with any real confidence.

The Titans had their winning run ended by the Penrith Panthers last weekend and their recent record on the road has been poor.

Gold Coast have won three of their past 11 games as away underdogs and their record against the line isn’t much better.

This is another game where the value does lie in the Total Points betting market.

The Under has saluted in nine of the past 11 games played by the Cowboys at 1300SMILES Stadium and has also been a profitable betting play in Titans games over the past 12 months.

Back Under 43.5 Points

Parramatta Eels Vs Manly Sea Eagles

Saturday 22 April, 2:00pm, ANZ Stadium

Things keep going from bad to worse for the Parramatta Eels.

Not only have lost all six games this season, but they have scored a pathetic 46 points in the process.

They will go into this clash as clear underdogs and it should not be forgotten that the Manly Sea Eagles beat them 54-0 earlier this season.

Defence has been a big issue for Manly in recent weeks and they are another side that are tough to trust from a betting perspective.

The Sea Eagles have won only two of their past six games as away favourites and they are a poor 1-5 against the line in this scenario.

Both these teams are going poorly and this is a game that I am more than happy to stay out of.

No Bet

Cronulla Sharks Vs Penrith Panthers

Sunday 22 April, 4:10pm, Southern Cross Group Stadium

The Penrith Panthers have flown under the radar somewhat this season, but they currently sit on top of the ladder with a 5-1 record.

They produced a professional effort to account for the Gold Coast Titans last weekend and they are a touch unlucky not to be 6-0 heading into this weekend.

Penrith have won three of their past six games as away favourites and they are a poor 2-4 against the line in this scenario.

The Cronulla Sharks will go into this clash with a heavy injury toll and they will be without the likes of Paul Gallen and Andrew Fifita, who were both injured in their defeat at the hands of the St George Illawarra Dragons last weekend.

Cronulla have won the past three games played between these two sides and they have covered the line in two of their past three games as home underdogs.

Their isn’t as much between these two teams as the current betting market suggests and the Sharks can cover the line with the start.

Back Sharks To Cover The Line (+5.5 Points)


2017

The Easter Weekend is always packed full of rugby league action and 2017 is set to be no exception.

There are three games on Good Friday before Monday Rugby League returns when the Parramatta Eels host the Wests Tigers in what is set to be a spiteful clash.

Our complete 2017 NRL Round 7 tips can be found below and we are confident that we in for some big returns this weekend.

Canterbury Bulldogs Vs South Sydney Rabbitohs

Friday 14 April, 4:00pm, ANZ Stadium

Canterbury Bulldogs 24 - South Sydney Rabbitohs 9

The Good Friday clash  between the Canterbury Bulldogs and the South Sydney Rabbitohs have developed into one of the most anticipated clashes on the NRL calendar.

There really is not a great deal between these two teams and it is the Canterbury Bulldogs that will start this clash as narrow favourites.

The Bulldogs made it two wins on the trot with their fighting effort against the Newcastle Knights and they are a side that generally get the job done as favourites.

They have won 11 of their past 13 games as the punter’s elect for a clear profit and they are 7-6 against the line when giving away a start.

South Sydney returned to winning form with a last-grasp victory over an under-strength Penrith Panthers and it will be interesting to see whether they can back that performance up.

The Rabbitohs have won six of their past 17 games as underdogs for a narrow loss and they are 8-9 against the line in this scenario.

This should be another nail-biter between these two sides, but Canterbury should prove too good in the  pivotal stages.

Back Canterbury To Win @ $1.80

Newcastle Knights Vs Sydney Roosters

Friday 14 April, 6:00pm, McDonald Jones Stadium

Newcastle Knights 6 - Sydney Roosters 24

The Sydney Roosters head into this clash off the back of two losses, but they will still start this clash as favourites.

The Roosters made a very strong start to the season, but they could hardly have been more disappointing against the Brisbane Broncos last weekend.

Winning away from home has been something of an issue for the Sydney Roosters over the past 12 months and they have won only three of their past six games as home favourites.

There is no doubt that the Newcastle Knights have improved this season and they were unlucky not to come away with the two points against the Bulldogs last weekend.

The Knights have still won only one of their past 13 games as home underdogs and their record against the line in this scenario is a very poor 3-10.

This is a game that the market looks to have got just about right and I am happy to stay out from a betting standpoint.

No Bet

Brisbane Broncos Vs Gold Coast Titans

Friday 14 April, 7:50pm, Suncorp Stadium

Brisbane Broncos 24 - Gold Coast Titans 22

It has been a very tough start to the season for the Gold Coast Titans and it is no surprise that the Brisbane Broncos will start this clash as clear favourites.

Brisbane have an excellent record against the Titans historically and they have won seven of the past eight games played against their rivals.

The Broncos returned to their best form with an excellent performance against the Sydney Roosters and a repeat would make them fairly tough to beat.

Brisbane have won nine of their past 13 games at Suncorp Stadium, but they are only 6-7 against the line in this scenario.

Gold Coast produced their worst performance of the season to go down to the Canberra Raiders last weekend and they have recorded just the one win this season.

Defence really has been an issue for the Titans and they will need to improve their toughness up the middle to have any chance against the Broncos.

The Titans have won only two of their past seven games as away underdogs for a narrow loss, but they are 5-2 against the line in this scenario.

The Gold Coast aren’t playing as badly as their current record suggests and they are a good bet to cover the line with a start of 12.5 points.

Back Gold Coast To Beat The Line (+12.5 Points)

Manly Sea Eagles Vs Melbourne Storm

Saturday 15 April, 3:00pm, Brookvale Oval

Manly Sea Eagles 26 - Melbourne Storm 30

The rivalry between the Manly Sea Eagles and the Melbourne Storm was the fiercest in the NRL not that long ago and it should be an interesting clash at Brookvale Oval on Saturday.

The Melbourne Storm suffered their first defeat of the season when they went down to the Cronulla Sharks last weekend, but they will still go into this clash as favourites.

Melbourne have an outstanding record away from home over the past 12 months and they have won 10 of their past 11 games as away favourites, while they are 8-3 against the line in this scenario.

Manly had their winning run ended by the St George Illawarra Dragons last weekend and it does not get any easier against the Storm.

The Sea Eagles have won just one of their past seven games as away underdogs for a big loss and their record against the line is no better.

Melbourne simply do not lose back-to-back games and they are an outstanding bet to cover the line.

Back Melbourne To Beat The Line (-4.5 Points)

Canberra Raiders Vs New Zealand Warriors

Saturday 15 April, 5:30pm, GIO Stadium

Canberra Raiders 20 - New Zealand Warriors 8

The Canberra Raiders made it two wins on the trot with their stellar victory over the Gold Coast and they will go into this clash as clear favourites.

Canberra have returned to a semblance of the form that saw them narrowly miss out on the 2016 NRL Grand Final and they really should be able to make it three wins on the trot.

The Raiders have won ten of their past 12 games as home favourites for a clear profit and they are 7-5 against the line in this scenario.

New Zealand have got their season back on track with two wins over the Gold Coast Titans and the Parramatta Eels, but obviously face a tougher challenge against the Canberra Raiders this weekend.

The Warriors have showed renewed commitment over the past fortnight, but they continue to be a tough team to trust from a betting standpoint.

New Zealand have won just one of their past seven games as away underdogs for a clear loss and they are 3-4 against the line in this scenario.

Canberra should be able to continue their winning ways and the line of 8.5 points does not look like enough.

Back Canberra To Beat The Line (-8.5 Points)

St George Dragons Vs North Queensland Cowboys

Saturday 15 April, 7:30pm, WIN Stadium

St George Illawarra Dragons 28 - North Queensland Cowboys 22

The North Queensland Cowboys will go into this clash without star half-back Johnathan Thurston and it is the St George Illawarra Dragons that will start this clash as clear favourites.

St George Illawarra went to the top of the NRL ladder with their impressive win over Manly and they continue to be the surprise packages of the season.

The Dragons have proven to be a very tough team to trust as home favourites over the past 12 months and they have won their past four games in this scenario, while they are 3-1 against the line.

The injury crisis at the North Queensland Cowboys hit its lowest point last Saturday when Thurston went off with a calf injury that will keep him out of action for at least a month.

Cowboys coach Paul Green has elected to pick Ben Hampton as the replacement half-back and I am really not sure that he is the answer.

Without Thurston, Jake Granville and Lachlan Coote the Cowboys are missing the majority of their premiership winning spine and any team in that position would struggle.

Winning away from home has been an issue for the Cowboys and they are 1-3 against the line in their past four games as away underdogs.

The Dragons meet the Cowboys at the perfect time and really should be able to continue their winning run.

Back St George Illawarra Dragons To Beat The Line (-10.5 Points)

Penrith Panthers Vs Cronulla Sharks

Sunday 16 April, 4:00pm, Pepper Stadium

Penrith Panthers 2 - Cronulla Sharks 28

This is one of the biggest games of the weekend and it is the Penrith Panthers that will go into this clash as narrow favourites.

The Panthers clearly missed Matt Moylan, Peta Hiku and Waqa Blake last Friday night against South Sydney and all three are expected to make their return this weekend.

Penrith have proved very tough to beat at Pepper Stadium over the past 12 months and they have won nine of their past 12 games as home favourites, but they are 6-6 against the line in this situation.

Cronulla made it three wins on the trot with their excellent performance against the Melbourne Storm and they improved what is already an outstanding record as away underdogs.

The Sharks have now won six of their past seven games as away underdogs for a huge profit and they continue to be one of the best betting teams in the NRL.

This should be another close clash and I am keen to back the Sharks with the insurance of a 2.5 points start.

Back Cronulla To Beat The Line (+2.5 Points)

Parramatta Eels Vs Wests Tigers

Monday 17 April, 4:00pm, ANZ Stadium

Parramatta Eels 26 - Wests Tigers 22

The Parramatta Eels have lost four games on the trot, but they will still go into this clash with the Wests Tigers as clear favourites.

Parramatta have offered very little with the ball in hand in their past three NRL games and they are a team that are incredibly tough to trust from a betting standpoint.

They have won just one of their past three games as home favourites and their record against the Tigers is very poor.

Wests put a week of turmoil behind them to start the Ivan Cleary era with an upset win over the North Queensland Cowboys and they played some quality football in the process.

The Tigers have won eight of their past 20 games as underdogs for a clear profit and their record away from home has been particularly strong in this scenario.

I am very keen to take on the Eels this weekend and the Tigers are genuine value at their current price of $2.25.

Back Wests Tigers To Win @ $2.25

 


2016

Round 7 of the 2016 NRL season gets underway with what is always an intriguing clash between the Parramatta Eels and Manly Sea Eagles before the North Queensland Cowboys take on the South Sydney Rabbitohs in Friday Night Football.

The Canterbury Bulldogs have taken their home game against the New Zealand Warriors to Wellington and a big crowd is expected to pack into ‘The Cake Tin’, while the Brisbane Broncos host the Newcastle Knights in a rare Saturday night fixture.

The round concludes on Monday Night when the Sydney Roosters tackle the Penrith Panthers in a rematch of the 2003 NRL Grand Final.

Manly Sea Eagles Vs Parramatta Eels

Thursday 14 April, 7:50pm, Brookvale Oval

Manly Sea Eagles 10 - Parramatta Eels 22

There has been no love lost between the Manly Sea Eagles and the Parramatta Eels since both sides entered the NSWRL in 1947 and the Kieran Foran factor adds extra spice to this clash.

Both Manly and Parramatta are coming off impressive victories last weekend and will take plenty of confidence into what could be a season defining match.

The Eels will start this game as favourites and they got the job done in this scenario last weekend, while they are an impressive 3-0 in both head to head and line betting in the past 12 months.

The injection of Apisaio Koroisau to the halves has been them play much better in recent weeks and they have been a profitable betting proposition as underdogs in recent times.

In favour of the Sea Eagles is the fact that they have won five of their past seven games against the Eels at Brookvale Oval, but the organisation they will lose without Cherry-Evans in the side could prove costly.

This is sure to be a very interesting fixture, but the market appears to have got the game just about right and I don’t think that there is an edge in the price of either side.

Recommended Bet: No Bet

North Queensland Cowboys Vs South Sydney Rabbitohs

Friday 15 April, 7:50pm, 1300 Smiles Stadium

North Queensland Cowboys 44 - South Sydney Rabbitohs 18

The North Queensland Cowboys proved too strong for the Penrith Panthers last week, while the South Sydney Rabbitohs suffered a disappointing loss at the hands of the Sydney Roosters.

The return of Adam Reynolds is a massive plus for South Sydney, but they are still clear outsiders in this fixture and they are $3.30 to record an upset win.

South Sydney have won just one of their past six games as underdogs in the past 12 months and their record against the line in this scenario is not a great deal better.

The Cowboys have won 11 of their past 13 games at 1300 Smiles Stadium and they are very hard to beat in front of their home fans, but their record against the line in this scenario is far from impressive.

It would not surprise to see South Sydney get out to a hot start before the Cowboys run them down late and the $6.50 on offer for the South Sydney Rabbitohs/North Queensland Cowboys Half-Time/Full-Time double is excellent value.

Recommended Bet: Back The South Sydney Rabbitohs/North Queensland Cowboys Half-Time/Full-Time Double @ $6.50

Gold Coast Titans Vs St George Dragons

Saturday 16 April, 3:00pm, Cbus Super Stadium

Gold Coast Titans 14 - St George Illawarra Dragons 19

The St George Illawarra Dragons have been nothing short of disgraceful in recent weeks and their attack now appears to consist of only a single play – pass the ball to Josh Dugan and hope for the best.

It is no surprise that the Dragons go into this game as underdogs, but the fact that they are not at a much longer prices indicates that the market is still underrating the Gold Coast Titans.

The Titans have suffered back-to-back losses to the Sharks and Broncos, but they were still gallant in defeat and there is plenty to suggest they will return to winning form this weekend.

Gold Coast are 3-1 as home favourites in both head to head betting and line betting in the past 12 months, while the Dragons have won just one of their past 11 games as away underdogs and are 4-7 against the line in this scenario.

The Gold Coast Titans are easily the team to beat here and they are probably the safest bet of the weekend.

Recommended Bet: Back The Gold Coast Titans To Win @ $1.70

Canterbury Bulldogs Vs New Zealand Warriors

Saturday 16 April, 5:30pm, Westpac Stadium

Canterbury Bulldogs 20 - New Zealand Warriors 24

The Canterbury Bulldogs have a large fan base in New Zealand and they have elected to take their home game to Westpac Stadium in Wellington.

The Bulldogs bounced back from their defeat to the Raiders to score a grinding victory over the Melbourne Storm last weekend, but they are still underdogs in this clash.

Canterbury have won five of their last nine games as underdogs and their record against the line in this scenario is also excellent.

The New Zealand Warriors have been an awful betting team for a number of seasons now and it should come as no surprise that they have been a losing betting proposition as favourites in the past 12 months.

Their record against the line in this scenario is a poor 5-7 and there is nothing in their recent form that suggests they should be favourites here.

The move of Tuimoala Lolohea to five-eight might be the spark that they need, but it is the Bulldogs that clearly represent the best value in this fixture.

Recommended Bet: Back The Canterbury Bulldogs To Win @ $2

Brisbane Broncos Vs Newcastle Knights

Saturday 16 April, 7:30pm, Suncorp Stadium

Brisbane Broncos 53 - Newcastle Knights 0

The Brisbane Broncos were far from impressive against the St George Illawarra Dragons, but they were still able to get the job done and remain on top of the ladder at this stage of the season.

Brisbane have been a very safe betting proposition as favourites and they are 11-3 as the punter’s elect in the past 12 months, while they are a highly profitable 9-5  against the line in this scenario.

The Knights finally recorded their first win of the season against the Wests Tigers last weekend and there is no doubt that they have improved, but they face a much stiffer challenge against the Broncos on Saturday night.

Newcastle are 2-9 in the past 12 months as away underdogs and they have been a very poor 4-7 against line in this situation.

The line of 16 points does not appear as though it will be enough here and the Broncos will be able to record a very comfortable victory.

Recommended Bet: Back The Brisbane Broncos To Cover The Line (-16 Points)

Canberra Raiders Vs Cronulla Sharks

Sunday 17 April, 2:00pm, GIO Stadium

Canberra Raiders 16 - Cronulla Sharks 40

This should be one of the closest games of the round and the market suggests as much.

The Canberra Raiders produced their worst performance of the season to date against the Parramatta Eels last weekend, but they are still set to start this game as narrow favourites.

Canberra have been far from convincing as favourites in recent times and their 5-6 record as home favourites is a very big concern heading into this fixture.

Cronulla have flown under the radar during the 2016 NRL season to date, but they have now won three games on the trot and have been a highly profitable betting tea,.

The Sharks have won nine of their past 14 games as underdogs and that record is just as impressive away from home, while they are 7-4 against the line as away underdogs.

It would not surprise to see this market flipped on its head later in the week and I would be locking in the $2 that is currently available for the Sharks to make it four wins on the trot.

Recommended Bet: Back The Cronulla Sharks To Win @ $2

Wests Tigers Vs Melbourne Storm

Sunday 17 April, 4:00pm, Leichhardt Oval

Wests Tigers 18 - Melbourne Storm 19

The Melbourne Storm suffered a narrow loss to the Canterbury Bulldogs last Monday night, but they have an excellent opportunity to return to winning form against the struggling Tigers.

The Tigers started the season with a bang, but they have been extremely poor in the past month and they have now loss four games on the trot.

A factor in their favor this weekend is the return to Leichhardt Oval and their record as away underdogs in the past 12 months is a profitable 4-4, while they have the same record against the line is this scenario.

The Storm are always a fairly safe bet as favourites and they have won three of their past four games as away favourites, with their record against the line just as impressive.

Melbourne are always quick to bounce back from a loss and they are 6-4 against the line on the back of a loss, while the Tigers are 5-12 against the line on the back of a loss.

The Leichhardt Oval factor is the reason that we are getting such a good price for the Storm and they are a great bet to cover the line of 3.5 points.

Recommended Bet: Back The Melbourne Storm To Beat The Line (-3.5 Points)

Sydney Roosters Vs Penrith Panthers

Monday 18 April, 7:00pm, Allianz Stadium

Sydney Roosters 16 - Penrith Panthers 20

The Sydney Roosters have won five of their last six games with the Penrith Panthers, but the Panthers are set to start this game as favourites following an impressive performance against the North Queensland Cowboys last weekend.

Penrith have only won two games this season, but they have played much better football than that and they have not lost a game this season by more than eight points.

Their record as favourites is a slight concern as they are 0-2 as away favourites in the past 12 months and 1-4 as favourites over that sime time period.

The Roosters finally scored their first win of the season against the South Sydney Rabbitohs last Friday night and they have definitely shown signs of improvement since their very poor start to the season.

Sydney are 5-2 against the line as underdogs in the past 12 months, but it is still tough to have a great deal of faith in this side, particularly with a line of just two points.

The betting market that does stand out here is the total points and under 37.5 points is a great bet.

The Roosters have been a narrow unders team in the past 12 months, while the under is 7-4 in Panthers away games in the same time period.

Recommended Bet: Back The Under (37.5 Points)