2018/2019 EPL Week 27 Preview


Everton Vs Manchester City

Thursday 7 February, 6:45am, John Smith's Stadium

Everton 0 – Manchester City 2


Chelsea Vs Brighton And Hove Albion

TBC, Stamford Bridge


Cardiff Vs Watford

Saturday 23 February, 6:45am, Cardiff City Stadium

Watford is through to the last eight in the FA Cup and is in eighth place in the Premier League as the club prepares for its… second game against Cardiff City this season.

Attempted numerology aside, one team is battling to keep its head above water while the other is trying to finish the season on a high note.

Watford beat Cardiff 3-2 at home in December and would love to pick up its third straight win over the Welsh side.

Prior to Watford’s current run, this was a fixture dominated by Cardiff however the tide seems to have swung back towards the Hornets.

Watford are the better side and are worth backing at over even money even on the road.

For a bit of added value though, Under 3.5 Goals is worth throwing in as an extra play in the doubles market.

Both of these sides have been involved in some very low scoring clashes as of late with each of Watford’s last five in the Premier League (and the FA Cup Fifth Round) having three or fewer goals and Cardiff’s last five in the league also having three or fewer.

Back Watford to Win & Under 3.5 Goals @ $3.10

Watford to Win, Under 3.5 Goals, Troy Deeney First Goalscorer

West Ham Vs Fulham

Saturday 23 February, 6:45am, London Stadium

A big start to the weekend for these two London clubs in very different situations.

Fulham sit eight points off Premier League safety, while West Ham are the exact definition of mid-table sitting in tenth place and looking to hold their position.

Neither side is bringing a great deal of form to this clash however both probably enjoyed their weekend off having already been eliminated from the FA Cup.

Before the break, Fulham had lost its last two and four of its last five while West Ham had two draws and two losses from its last four.

West Ham won the first meeting between these teams back in December at Craven Cottage 2-0 and another win for the Irons here is a good value play.

Back West Ham to Win @ $1.83

SGM: West Ham to Win, Both Teams to Score, Chicharito Anytime Goalscorer

Burnley Vs Tottenham

Saturday 23 February, 11:30pm, Turf Moor

Four straight Premier League wins and a convincing first leg victory in the Champions League, Tottenham is in great form right now.

Even without Dele Alli and Harry Kane, Spurs are grinding their way through a tough part of the schedule and getting the important results.

Up next is a Burnley side they have not lost to since January 2009 and have beaten four of the last five times they have met.

In three of those games Burnley have been held scoreless and with 29 goals from 26 League games, another win to nil is certainly on the cards.

Back Tottenham to Win to Nil @ $2.88

SGM: Tottenham to Win to Nil, Son Heung-Min First Goalscorer

Bournemouth Vs Wolves

Sunday 24 February, 2:00am, Vitality Stadium

Wolves are another side coming off a successful FA Cup weekend while Bournemouth must have enjoyed a weekend off.

Games involving the Cherries seem to go one way or another with a win to nil or a loss to nil in each of their last five league matches.

Wolves on the other hand have built up a good run with three wins and a draw from their last four to help solidify themselves as the “best of the rest” in seventh place.

The first meeting this season went the way of Wolverhampton but Bournemouth have been strong at home picking up seven of their ten wins at the Vitality Stadium this season.

Coming off a full week of rest should have Bournemouth fresh and ready to go and I’ll be backing them to win in an upset.

Back Bournemouth to Win @ $2.80

SGM: Bournemouth to Win, Over 2.5 Goals

Newcastle Vs Huddersfield Town

Sunday 24 February, 2:00am, Emirates Stadium

Huddersfield needs to close a 14 point gap over its final 12 games or face relegation in its second Premier League season.

Having Aaron Mooy back from the Asian Cup has not helped out with four straight Premier League losses and just one goal in that time.

Newcastle is perhaps the easiest opponent they have faced in that run that included Chelsea, Manchester City and Arsenal.

In each of the last two seasons the league meetings between these sides have been split with a win apiece however given their current state, you have to back against Huddersfield here.

Back Newcastle to Win @ $1.80

SGM: Newcastle to Win, Joselu First Goalscorer

Leicester City Vs Crystal Palace

Sunday 24 February, 4:30am, King Power Stadium

Leicester’s last Premier League win came on New Years Day and that run of one point from five has seen the Foxes drop from seventh all the way down to twelfth.

That run of form will need to come to an end at some point but they will have their work cut out for them with a Crystal Palace side that has gone three games without a loss which is equal to their best run of the season.

There’s value on offer in the head to head market if you feel strongly about one particular outcome but otherwise you can back Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals at a decent price.

Even during their struggles Leicester has been able to find a way to score in four of the five games while Palace has scored in its last six.

Back Both Teams to Score @ $1.91

SGM: Crystal Palace to Win, Over 2.5 Goals, Michy Batshuayi Anytime Goalscorer

Arsenal Vs Southampton

Monday 25 February, 1:05am, Emirates Stadium

Another weekend where Arsenal headlines are dominated by the curious case of Mesut Ozil.

The German playmaker made headlines after missing the Gunners Premier League win over Huddersfield and away defeat to BATE Borisov in the Europa League.

With or without their highest paid player, Arsenal will have to take on a Southampton side here a win has been anything but automatic.

Since 2004, Arsenal has won back to back games against Southampton just one time in 2017.

That might be the only positive from December’s 3-2 loss at St Mary’s and the knowledge that in that same time span, Southampton has only beaten them on back to back occasions once as well.

32 of Arsenal’s 50 Premier League points have come at the Emirates but keeping a clean sheet has been a real issue with just four all season.

Back Arsenal to Win and Both Teams to Score @ $2.90

SGM: Arsenal to Win, Over 2.5 Goals, Alexandre Lacazette Anytime Goalscorer

Manchester United Vs Liverpool

Monday 25 February, 1:05am, Old Trafford

What a way to close out the Premier League weekend with Manchester United hosting Liverpool.

There’s a real dilemma on the cards for United as this game could have massive implications on the Premier League title race.

A loss here and Liverpool take control of the title race once more with a vital three points in what is essentially a game in hand.

Picking up a draw or even better a win gives their noisy neighbours a leg up with 11 games remaining.

Of course United are probably also focused on their own fortunes in the midst of a tight race for fourth spot and in all honesty, your average United fan would probably prefer to mess up Liverpool.

A defeat at Anfield ended the Jose Mourinho era sparking the Ole Gunnar Solskjaer revolution and that should continue here.

Back Manchester United @ $3.10

SGM: United to Win and Over 3.5 Goals


Round 27 of the Premier League kicks off with its biggest game in the form of a North London Derby between Arsenal and Tottenham at Wembley.

Manchester City are looking to bounce back from just their fourth set of dropped points this season while their nearest contenders in the Premier League race United are just trying to keep up.

Read our previews of each game here as well as our recommended plays for each contest.

Tottenham Vs Arsenal

Saturday 10 February, 11:30pm, Wembley Stadium

The biggest game of the weekend to kick off the round as Tottenham and Arsenal face off for the 195th time.

This will be the first league meeting between the two sides at Wembley however when they met at the raucous White Heart Lane, it was favourable for Tottenham with Arsenal’s last League win there coming in 2014.

It will be the fifth match in the space of two weeks for Tottenham but they have come through with some excellent league results there winning 2-0 against Manchester United and drawing away to Liverpool.

Arsenal arrested a form slump with a belting of Liverpool last weekend but are a totally different team playing away from home, even if it is just a few minutes down the road at a venue they are very familiar with.

These games are always very entertaining fixtures and this should be no different with the home side enjoying the final score.

Back Tottenham to Win $2.00

Everton Vs Crystal Palace

Sunday 11 February, 2:00am, Goodison Park

Everton’s form against clubs near to them on the table has been quite encouraging with just one loss in the last two months when facing a side not in the top six.

Palace come in to this game with back to back draws against West Ham and Newcastle to help solidify their position on the ladder.

Looking back at the history between these two sides suggests that a draw is coming with five of the nine meetings ending in a draw including four of the last five.

Earlier this season the sides played out a 2-2 draw and the recent form suggests that a similar result will play out here.

Back the Draw @ $3.10

West Ham Vs Watford

Sunday 11 February, 2:00am, Olympic Stadium

Watford enter this game about as confident as possible with three late goals securing a convincing win over Chelsea.

West Ham’s last five games have yielded three draws, a big win and a big loss so it is going to be tough to get a proper read on either side right now.

Watford have good history here wining three of the five meetings since both re-entered the Premier League in 2015.

Under their previous manager, Watford were quite formidable on the road and come into this game as underdogs but it is too hard to get a clear read on this game and instead I would advise to stay away.


Stoke Vs Brighton & Hove Albion

Sunday 11 February, 2:00am, Bet365 Stadium

18 of Stoke’s 24 points this season have come at home including five wins however their last three games have produced a win, draw and loss.

Brighton on the other hand have picked up just nine points on the road with two draws and two losses in the league as of late.

They did get a big win at home against West Ham last weekend however this is still a tough place for visitors when they are not entirely familiar with the setting.

It is hard to see this game producing a whole lot of goals and a solitary one should be enough here and Stoke are the more likely outcome.

Back Stoke to Win @ $2.15

Swansea Vs Burnley

Sunday 11 February, 2:00am, Liberty Stadium

Burnley managed to get their first Premier League win over Swansea when they met in November.

They managed to hold Manchester City to a draw last weekend and appear to have levelled out after their January losing streak.

Swansea won the other hand drew with Leicester at the weekend and have gone four matches in a row without a loss.

Taking into account the recent form of both clubs Swansea at home should be the smart play here.

Back Swansea to Win @ $2.45

Manchester City Vs Leicester

Sunday 11 February, 4:30am, Etihad Stadium

Even with Leicester’s recent resurgence, this game is only really going to go one way.

12 wins from 13 home games with an average winning margin of 3 goals at the Etihad Stadium it simply comes down to how much City will win by when looking for value plays.

City have been held to two goals in the last two Premier League meetings but it is a whole new story here.

Expect City to get a few goals here as they tune up for the Champions League Knockout Phase and Leicester to get one for consolation.

Back Manchester City to Win & Over 3.5 Goals @ $2.25

Huddersfield Vs Bournemouth

Sunday 11 February, 11:00pm, Kirklees Stadium

Bournemouth crushed Huddersfield almost three months ago with a resounding 4-0 win in a fixture that has a history of one sided affairs.

During their two seasons together in the Championship, Huddersfield managed to record a 5-1 win at home before Bournemouth returned the favour less than a year later winning 4-0.

This is going to be a real test for Huddersfield as they are coming off a midweek 120 minutes in their FA Cup replay but it does suggest they may struggle to get up for this one.

They desperately need points having lost their last five matches and are now firmly in a relegation battle.

Bouremouth meanwhile are cruising and should find a way to get by even when away from home.

Back Bournemouth to Win @ $2.25

Newcastle Vs Manchester United

Monday 12 February, 1:15am, St James’s Park

Three out of the last four matches have finished as 1-1 draws for Newcastle, two of which came at home to Swansea and Burnley.

Their last home loss was to Manchester City whose neighbours come into this game winners in four of their last five league games.

Their recent record against the Magpies is equally impressive winning four of the last six and seven of the last ten in the Premier League.

This has the feel of a game where Romelu Lukaku steps up and scores a goal or two in a United canter.

Back Lukaku to Score and Manchester United to Win @ $2.63

Southampton Vs Liverpool

Monday 12 February, 4:30am, St Mary’s Stadium

Safe to say there will be plenty of close ups of Virgil Van Dijk as he makes his return to St Mary’s Stadium following his January move to Liverpool.

Signing the defender has not completely solved Liverpool’s defensive woes as evidenced by their 2-2 draw with Tottenham at the weekend.

The home side come into this game undefeated in four and would love to get one over a side that has signed away a few players over the years too.

Liverpool has struggled against Southampton with November’s win ending a five match winless run in all competitions.

That being said play the odds here and look for Liverpool to win a high scoring contest.

Back Liverpool to Win and Both Teams to Score $3.40

Chelsea Vs West Bromwich Albion

Tuesday 13 February, 7:00am, Stamford Bridge

Chelsea are a club in crisis if recent media reports are to be believed and the capitulation at the hands of Watford will not help Antonio Conte’s position.

Two straight losses and they will hope to arrest that slide with a big win over bottom placed West Brom, who have lost two in a row.

With just one win away from the Hawthorns and seven points all up, Chelsea will be feeling pretty good about this, especially considering they have picked up 26 points at the Bridge.

Do not expect a whole lot of goals here but Chelsea do enough to get into the winners circle.

Back Chelsea to Win & Under 3.5 Goals @ $2.10

It is another huge week in the English Premier League and every single game is set to be a very interesting contest from a betting perspective.

Liverpool and Arsenal face off in what is arguably the best game of the weekend, but the most hotly-contested game could take place at the Olympic Stadium when West Ham host Chelsea.

Throw in interesting games involving Leicester City, Manchester United and Stoke City and there is plenty of money to be made this weekend!

Manchester United Vs Bournemouth

Saturday 4 March, 11:30am, Old Trafford

Manchester United 1 - Bournemouth 1

Manchester United return to English Premier League action after winning the League Cup last weekend.

Manchester United are really starting to play some quality football and Zlatan Ibrahimovic has been in simply sparkling form.

It is no surprise that Manchester United will go into this clash as clear favourites and they remain a losing betting proposition as home favourites – they have won only 10 of their past 18 games in this scenario.

Bournemouth have fallen in a hole in the second half of the season and they have now lost four games on the trot.

They have won only three of their past 15 games as away underdogs and are impossible to trust from a betting standpoint, while they continue to leak goals on a regular basis.

It has been all about Ibrahimovic for Manchester United in 2017 and he should lead his team to victory, but there is no value in the current betting market.

No Bet

Leicester City Vs Hull City

Sunday 5 March, 2:00am, King Power Stadium

Leicester City 3 - Hull City 1

Leicester City made an impressive start to their new life without Claudio Ranieri with a victory over Liverpool and they will go into this clash with Hull City as clear favourites.

The Foxes ended a five-game losing streak in the English Premier League to beat Liverpool and they have now won eight of their past 13 games as home favourites for a narrow profit.

Hull City started the English Premier League season with a win over Leicester City and they have played some decent football in the past month.

The problem for Hull City has been winning away from home and they have won just one of their 13 games on the road this season.

It really would not surprise if the victory over Liverpool was the start of a winning run for Leicester City and they should be able to make it two wins on the trot.

Back Leicester City To Win @ $1.83

Stoke City Vs Middlesbrough

Sunday 5 March, 2:00am, Britannia Stadium

Stoke City 2 - Middlesbrough 0

Stoke City were handed a football lesson by Tottenham last weekend, but they will still go into this clash with Middlesbrough as clear favourites.

Stoke City are always tough to break down in front of their home fans and they have won five of their nine games as home favourites this season for a narrow profit.

Middlesbrough have one of the best defences in the English Premier League, but scoring goals has turned into a real problem and they have scored only three goals in their past eight EPL games.

They have won only one of their 12 games as away underdogs this season, but they have been able to take a point from six of these games.

This is a game that Stoke City really should be able to win and they are genuine value at their current price of $1.95.

Back Stoke City To Win @ $1.95

Swansea City Vs Burnley

Sunday 5 March, 2:00am, Liberty Stadium

Swansea City 3 - Burnley 2

This is a crucial game for Swansea City as three points will help them stay out of the relegation zone for another week.

Swansea were beaten by Chelsea last weekend, but there was still plenty to like about their performance and they have been excellent under Paul Clement.

Liberty Stadium has been a happy hunting ground for Swansea City this season and they have won five of their past nine games as home favourites for a clear profit.

Burnley took a point from their clash with Hull City last weekend, but they are still yet to win a game away from home this season.

They have taken just two points from their 12 games away from home this season and it is tough to see that changing this weekend.

Swansea City are another favourite that should be able to get the job done.

Back Swansea City To Win @ $1.91

Watford Vs Southampton

Sunday 5 March, 2:00am, Vicarage Road

Watford 3 - Southampton 4

Southampton missed out on their chance to claim silverware when they went down to Manchester United in the League Cup Final, but they will still go into this clash with Watford as clear favourites.

The Saints’ English Premier League form has not been anything to write home about in 2017 and their record as away favourites is not impressive – they have won just four of their past ten games in this scenario.

Watford have struggled for consistency in the EPL this season, but they have claimed seven points from their past four games in the competition and they secured a point against West Ham last weekend.

The Hornets have won three of their past eight games as home underdogs for a clear profit and they are a side that is tough to beat in front of their home fans.

Watford are capable of recording an upset victory over Southampton and they are genuine value at the current price of $3.60.

Back Watford To Win @ $3.60

West Bromwich Albion Vs Crystal Palace

Sunday 5 March, 2:00am, The Hawthorns

West Bromwich Albion 0 - Crystal Palace 2

West Bromwich Albion have been in excellent form in the English Premier League in recent weeks and they go into this clash with Crystal Palace as clear favourites.

The Baggies have been very tough to beat at The Hawthorns this season and they have won seven of their past 11 games as home favourites for a clear profit.

Crystal Palace secured a crucial three points with a win over Middlesbrough, but they have still won just two of their past eight games in the EPL.

Their record away from home is not particularly strong and they have won just three of their past 16 games as away underdogs for a clear loss.

West Bromwich Albion should be able to win again and they are one of the best value betting plays of the weekend.

Back West Bromwich Albion To Win @ $2.10

Liverpool Vs Arsenal

Sunday 5 March, 4:30am, Anfield

Liverpool 3 - Arsenal 1

This is the match of the weekend in the English Premier League and is a crucial clash for both sides.

Liverpool suffered a shock defeat at the hands of Leicester City earlier this week, but they will still go into this clash with Arsenal as clear favourites.

Anfield has delivered Liverpool some positive results this season, but they have still not been a profitable betting play as home favourites and they have drawn six of their games in this scenario.

Arsenal have not played in the English Premier League for almost three weeks and have not been in action since their win over Sutton United in the FA Cup.

The Gunners are yet to win a game as away underdogs this season, but they have drawn two of their past four games in this scenario.

There really isn’t a great deal between these two teams and the $3.50 on offer for the stalemate is genuine value.

Back The Draw @ $3.50

Tottenham Hotspur Vs Everton

Monday 6 March, 12:30am, White Hart Lane

Tottenham 3 - Everton 2

This is another interesting fixture between two teams that are in excellent form.

Tottenham dismantled Stoke City last weekend and they will go into this clash with Everton as clear favourites.

Winning at White Hart Lane has not been an issue for Tottenham this season and they have won 12 of their past 16 games as home favourites this season.

Everton have not lost a game in the English Premier League in 2017 and they are one of the form teams in the competition.

One metric in which they have struggled is as away underdogs – they have won just one of their past nine games in this scenario for a clear loss.

The past three games between these teams have been drawn, but Tottenham can beat their rivals this weekend.

Back Tottenham To Win @ $1.65

Sunderland Vs Manchester City

Monday 6 March, 3:00am, Stadium Of Light

Sunderland 0 - Manchester City 2

Manchester City are one of the shortest-priced favourites in the English Premier League this season and really should be too good for a struggling Sunderland.

Manchester City have won nine of their past 15 games as away favourites, but they have still not been a winning betting proposition in this scenario.

Sunderland have won just one of their past eight games and Jermaine Defoe remains the only bright spot in what is a very poor team.

They have won just two of their past 11 games as home underdogs and they are impossible to trust from a betting standpoint.

This is a clash that the market looks to have got just about right and I am more than happy to stay out.

No Bet

West Ham United Vs Chelsea

Tuesday 7 March, 7:00am, Olympic Stadium

There is no love between the West Ham United and Chelsea.

Chelsea continued their path to the English Premier League title with a win over Swansea City and they will go into this clash as dominant favourites.

They have won nine of their past 13 games as away favourites for a clear profit and they continue to be a positive betting play this season.

West Ham have played some decent football in 2017, but this is one of their toughest tests in recent months and they have generally struggled against the biggest teams in the competition this season.

They have won just one of their past six games as home underdogs and it is tough to see them beating Chelsea.

Chelsea should be able to record another comfortable victory.

Back Chelsea To Win To Nil @ $2.75