2024/2025 EPL Week 35 Preview

Well there we have it, Liverpool are the Premier League champions for season 2024/2025 with four weeks still to go.

The title race is done and dusted and the relegation battle is over, so the only intrigue left is in the race for European football with the top five set for a Champions League berth next season.

Five sides are battling for three spots over the next few weeks and it is anyone’s guess how that order will shake out, but at least it provides some drama to keep us interested.

Nottingham Forest vs Brentford
Friday 2 May, 4:30am, The City Ground
Nottingham Forest 0 – Brentford 2

*ROUND 34 FIXTURE*

It’s double duty for Nottingham Forest with their delayed fixture from last weekend’s FA Cup Semi Finals added onto the start of this matchweek.

A win here would vault them back up to third place on the Premier League table and provide some minor consolation for their loss at Wembley last weekend.

Their lead in form is not great overall with three defeats in their last four outings and you can’t help but wonder if this overachieving side has started to revert to the mean.

Brentford on the other hand is three games unbeaten and they have taken points from Chelsea, Arsenal and Brighton in that run.

Forest might have won the first meeting between these teams just before Christmas but they just don’t appear to have that same verve at the moment and a stalemate could well be on the cards.

Draw @ $3.50

Manchester City vs Wolves
Saturday 3 May, 5:00am, Etihad Stadium
Manchester City 1 – Wolves 0

Who would have thought the game of the weekend would be between City and Wolves?

But with the visitors on a six game winning streak and City looking like their formerly dominant selves, this shapes up as a potentially great game.

However Wolves streak does come with a major asterisk attached to it, with all six victories coming against teams below them on the table including all three relegated sides.

They have not beaten a good team since early February when they knocked off Aston Villa.

City on the other hand have faced top quality opponents in their recent run of success and should be able to see off Wolves here.

Manchester City to Win and Both Teams to Score @ $2.75

Aston Villa vs Fulham
Saturday 3 May, 9:30pm, Villa Park
Aston Villa 1 – Fulham 0

Sitting in seventh place, possibly six points adrift of a top five berth by the time this match kicks off, Villa has to beat Fulham to keep their hopes of another Champions League campaign alive.

However this may not be the straightforward assignment they would be hoping for with Fulham just about due for another good performance.

It’s fair to say the Cottagers have flattered to deceive in the last few weeks losing to Bournemouth and Chelsea before just getting by Southampton last weekend.

But we know what they are capable of on their day (ask a Liverpool fan if you don’t), and Villa are not exactly full of confidence right now.

They have been outclassed in their last two games, first by Man City in the league and then by Crystal Palace in the FA Cup Semi Final.

But they also have a very good manager in Unai Emery and he is capable of getting one more rally out of his players, which is why I’m sticking with the home side for this match even if there are some good reasons not to.

Aston Villa to Win @ $1.73

Everton vs Ipswich
Sunday 4 May, 12:00am, Goodison Park
Everton 2 – Ipswich 2

Having failed to win any of their last five home games, Everton will be hoping to send out Goodison Park on a winning note over the next month.

As they prepare to host Ipswich for the first time in 23 years this weekend, all signs are pointing towards a Toffees victory here.

We know Ipswich are going down, they haven’t got much left to play for (if anything really) and they have lost their last two games by a convincing aggregate scoreline of 7-0.

Neither team is overly potent going forward so this is not going to turn into a blowout one way or another but it’s a pretty straightforward choice to side with Everton here.

Everton Win and Under 3.5 Goals @ $2.10

Leicester vs Southampton
Sunday 4 May, 12:00am, King Power Stadium
Leicester 2 – Southampton 0

If you like this matchup then the good news is that you will see it twice next season in the Championship.

Technically Southampton can catch Leicester and avoid the dreaded last place finish, but nothing they have done suggests they will find a way to close the seven point gap in four games.

Especially with 11 points from their previous 34 outings.

Leicester is not worth backing at the moment either, losing 11 of their last 12 with the only interruption a draw with Brighton.

When these sides met back in October it was a 3-2 win for the Foxes and while neither team is playing well enough to back with confidence, when you have two bad teams facing off the over is always a worthwhile bet.

Over 2.5 Goals @ $1.70

Arsenal vs Bournemouth
Sunday 4 May, 2:30am, Emirates Stadium
Arsenal 1 – Bournemouth 2

The Gunners have bigger fish to fry over the next week than this clash with Bournemouth, although they cannot afford to take it too lightly.

Most of their focus is likely on the Champions League tie with PSG, but they need to get something from this match to stay clear of Newcastle.

Unfortunately their league form has been rather poor of late, hence why Liverpool were able to kick start their title celebrations a month before the final fixture.

Both teams to score has been a pretty solid play in Gunners league fixtures, hitting in four of their last five domestic outings, so let’s run with that here.

Both Teams to Score @ $1.70

Brentford vs Manchester United
Sunday 4 May, 11:00pm, Gtech Community Stadium
Brentford 4 – Manchester United 3

The punters are enthusiastically taking on Manchester United at every opportunity and who could blame them given the dire situation at Old Trafford.

It is a shocking sight seeing the once dominant force of English football as $4.80 outsiders against 11th placed Brentford.

But when you factor in United will be backing up from a Europa League fixture in Bilbao, Spain on Friday morning (AEDT), the confidence in them getting something from this game is even lower.

The Bees were flying in their last match, putting in their best attacking performance in a long time as they defeated Brighton 4-2, but that did go against the trend of lower scoring matches.

United’s attack has been sputtering in the league as well and with the likely rotations after the continental commitments, we could see a match decided by the first team to score.

Under 2.5 Goals @ $2.15

Brighton And Hove Albion vs Newcastle
Sunday 4 May, 11:00pm, American Express Stadium
Brighton 1 – Newcastle 1

Normal service was resumed on Tyneside as the Magpies returned to winning ways with a convincing victory over Ipswich.

They will have to keep winning to ensure that they stay ahead of the chasing pack in the race for a Champions League place and with the performances this squad has turned in over the last couple of months, they deserve plenty of confidence.

Even though Brighton won last week, there should be plenty of scepticism over their defensive record, that has conceded two or more goals in their last six Premier League matches.

No need to overthink this one, best bet of the weekend here.

Newcastle to Win @ $2.30

West Ham vs Tottenham
Sunday 4 May, 11:00pm, London Stadium
West Ham 1 – Tottenham 1

Being in the stadium as Liverpool celebrated their title win last weekend is as close as Tottenham will come to the Premier League trophy for a while.

On the plus side, their supporters can at least celebrate playing a small part in denying local rivals Arsenal for a second straight year.

It is one of the few positives around this club at the moment, with that and the Europa League all they have to hold on to.

An injury ravaged squad will be expected to back up from a trip to Norway on Friday morning and given their struggles getting a result on a full week of rest, the hopes are not high here.

West Ham might be going through their own issues, but at this point you just have to back against Spurs when you can.

West Ham to Win @ $2.20

Chelsea vs Liverpool
Monday 5 May, 1:30am, Stamford Bridge
Chelsea 3 – Liverpool 1

If this match meant anything to Liverpool, then perhaps there might be more of a debate over who to back.

But they have the title locked up and would anyone blame them if they spent the last week partying instead of preparing for this trip to London?

Chelsea on the other hand have to win this one as part of the pack battling for a Champions League berth.

Desperation wins the day here.

Chelsea to Win @ $2.20

Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest
Tuesday 6 May, 5:00am, Selhurst Park
Crystal Palace 1 – Nottingham Forest 1

The Cinderella story of the season is heading towards a not-so-fairytale inspired ending with Forest set to stumble on the home straight.

You would have given them half a chance of getting something from Palace in this game, until Palace produced a phenomenal performance at Wembley to advance to the FA Cup Final.

It was not that long ago that Palace were the form team in the league and they might be returning to something close to that form.

Add in a strong home record with four wins and a draw from their last five and this is an even easier pick.

Crystal Palace to Win @ $2.35


2023/2024

The Premier League’s mad dash to the finish line continues this weekend and it is shaping up to be a massive weekend at both ends of the table.

No match is bigger than Monday morning’s North London Derby between Arsenal and Tottenham with the current league leaders in desperate need of three points to keep pace with Manchester City.

Spurs won’t want to roll over however with fourth place and a Champions League berth on the line.

At the other end of the table Everton and Brentford will be in a position to mathematically secure safety with a win when they face off at Goodison Park early Sunday morning.

Read on for our match previews and best bets for this weekend’s Premier League action.

West Ham vs Liverpool
Saturday 27 April, 9:30pm, London Stadium
West Ham 2 – Liverpool 2

Surely Liverpool bounces back from their miserable Merseyside Derby result with a response against West Ham.

After all, they have already beaten the Irons twice this season, 3-1 in the league and 5-1 in the Carabao Cup although both matches were at Anfield.

West Ham’s last win over the Reds came in November 2021 but they will fancy their chances in this match given their full week of preparation for this match.

However their lead in result isn’t exactly encouraging, getting belted by Palace last weekend and at some point, Liverpool is going to look like Liverpool in this match.

Liverpool to Win and Both Teams to Score @ $2.45

Fulham vs Crystal Palace
Sunday 28 April, 12:00am, Craven Cottage
Fulham 1 – Crystal Palace 1

Fulham might have a three point lead over Crystal Palace on the Premier League table but based on recent results, you’re left wondering exactly how the Cottagers are favoured in this market.

With just one win from their last five matches, a streak that included some miserable losses, the home side is very much limping home.

The same cannot be said for Palace who have beaten Liverpool, West Ham and Newcastle in their last three outings and are one of the Premier League’s form teams.

At the time of publish, the prices appear to be the wrong way around, so take the value on the underdogs.

Crystal Palace to Win @ $3.40

Manchester United vs Burnley
Sunday 28 April, 12:00am, Old Trafford
Manchester United 1 – Burnley 1

It was not exactly the most encouraging performance from Manchester United during the week, needing to come from behind twice to beat Sheffield United.

Up next is another relegation battler with just a bit more on the line with Burnley still a chance of surviving, but player for player, you can’t back anything other than a United win.

Neither team has been that great defensively of late with United’s last five matches all having at least four goals scored, while both teams have scored in four of Burnley’s last five.

Take United to win in a match with a few goals.

Manchester United to Win and Over 2.5 Goals @ $1.91

Newcastle vs Sheffield United
Sunday 28 April, 12:00am, St James’ Park
Newcastle 5 – Sheffield 1

It has been a season of reality checks for Newcastle with last week’s loss to Palace removing any possibility of a return to the Champions League once again.

Now they can focus on their efforts on winning the race for sixth with Manchester United, who had their hands full with the Blades during the week.

Anything less than a win for the visitors will leave them vulnerable to be officially relegated this weekend.

However they will have to deal with a historically bad defence that has conceded 92 goals in 34 matches, while Newcastle has scored 69 goals in 33 fixtures.

There is not a lot of value in backing the Magpies to win, but there is some in backing another high scoring contest involving these teams.

Over 3.5 Goals @ $1.80

Wolves vs Luton
Sunday 28 April, 12:00am, Molineux Stadium
Wolves 2 – Luton 1

If there was ever a chance for Wolves to break out of their funk, it might come against Luton.

They have gone six matches without a win but Luton has lost 11 of 17 matches away from home.

Making things worse is that they are coming into this match on the back of successive 5-1 defeats first on the road to City and then at home to Brentford.

Luton is going down, it’s just a matter of when.

Wolves to Win @ $2.00

Everton vs Brentford
Sunday 28 April, 2:30am, Goodison Park
Everton 1 – Brentford 0

It’s been a rough season for both of these clubs but they have been phenomenal watches in the last few weeks.

Everton will have to pause and refocus after their best win of the season, knocking off Liverpool in the local derby, as they try to secure safety in spite of a pair of points deductions.

Meanwhile, Brentford has won their last two matches and have now gone five without defeat.

We’ve got two teams playing well and I can’t really find all that much between them so I’ll take the draw.

Draw @ $3.30

Aston Villa vs Chelsea
Sunday 28 April, 5:00am, Villa Park
Aston Villa 2 – Chelsea 2

It just goes from bad to worse for Chelsea, three days after getting knocked out of the FA Cup by City, they got absolutely destroyed by Arsenal at the Emirates Stadium during the week.

Things do not get any easier with a resurgent Aston Villa up next and Unai Emery will be eager to celebrate his new contract by taking another step closer towards Champions League football.

Things are so dysfunctional at Chelsea right now that you have to think about backing against them at all costs.

Aston Villa to Win @ $2.15

Bournemouth vs Brighton And Hove Albion
Sunday 28 April, 11:00pm, Vitality Stadium
Bournemouth 3 – Brighton 0

Bournemouth might not be in the best of form but they are travelling a lot better than this week’s opponents.

For starters, the Cherries have won a match in the month of April, two even and have managed to score more than one goal in that span as well.

Brighton’s last league win came over Nottingham Forest on March 11 and since the subsequent international break they have drawn two, lost three and scored twice.

As a point of comparison, Bournemouth has won two, drawn one and lost two and were only held scoreless once.

Bournemouth to Win @ $2.20

Tottenham vs Arsenal
Sunday 28 April, 11:00pm, Tottenham Stadium
Tottenham 2 – Arsenal 3

It’s up for debate where this ranks in terms of potentially seismic North London Derbies but there is no question that it is a big one.

Arsenal has to win to keep their title challenge intact, but fatigue is a major concern for Mikel Arteta with him relying on a small group of players outside of his preferred 11.

Tottenham’s fast start to the campaign, which included a 2-2 draw at the Emirates but things have been rather rocky of late.

Ange Postecoglou’s side have dropped points in three of their last five fixtures, and their defensive frailties have been found out by the more ruthless sides.

The Gunners won at the Lane last season and coming off the back of a massive win over Chelsea, I like their chances to do it again.

It won’t come easy but they are more than capable of getting the win here.

Arsenal to Win @ $1.75

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City
Monday 29 April, 1:30am, The City Ground
Nottingham 0 – Manchester City 2

Forest will be desperately hoping that Luton does not win this weekend because otherwise they are going to end up in the drop zone.

Let’s not pretend like they are going to have much of a shot against Manchester City here, whose squad depth is coming in very handy with a couple of injuries in the attacking third and still able to bring on the £100m man Jack Grealish off the bench in a 4-0 win over Brighton.

It was only 2-0 when these sides met at the Etihad in September and another win by a multiple goal margin seems incredibly likely here.

Manchester City to Win -1 Goal @ $1.83


2022/2023

It’s coronation time in the United Kingdom this weekend, and while Manchester City cannot officially claim the Premier League title, they can move closer to the crown with two matches on the cards.

Their run continues with a catch up fixture against West Ham Thursday morning (AEST) before hosting Leeds on Saturday night and you would expect them to come away with all six points on offer.

Arsenal faces a tough test with a trip to Newcastle as they seek to keep the title race alive, but their recent form is not exactly encouraging.

We’ve got you covered with previews and best bets for every Premier League match below.

Liverpool vs Fulham
Thursday 4 May, 5:00am, Anfield
Liverpool 1 – Fulham 0

*POSTPONED ROUND 28 FIXTURE*

Currently on the second longest winning streak in the Premier League, Liverpool is finishing the season with a wet sail as they chase an unlikely Champions League spot.

For better or worse they are fast becoming the league’s entertainers with their last three matches all featuring plenty of goals and being decided by a single goal.

Even with a lengthy injury list Fulham should be able to give them plenty of troubles but the form and quality at Jurgen Klopp’s disposal should see them over the line.

It is no coincidence that their revival has coincided with the renaissance of Mo Salah who has scored five goals in his last five matches.

We’ll start the extended matchweek off with a SGM backing Liverpool to win another high scoring game with Salah making it (at least) six from his last six.

SGM: Liverpool to Win, Over 2.5 Goals, Mo Salah Anytime Goalscorer @ $2.50

Manchester City vs West Ham
Thursday 4 May, 5:00am, Etihad Stadium
Manchester City 3 – West Ham 0

*POSTPONED ROUND 28 FIXTURE*

West Ham’s defence will be dreading this trip to the Etihad having just conceded four goals to Crystal Palace.

City might have only scored two against Fulham on the weekend without Kevin De Bruyne but West Ham have shown that when they struggle, they concede goals in bunches.

The market knows that as well so it is no surprise to see City at the unbackable price of $1.20 to win.

Which means that the punters will have to take a deep dive to find some value and even though he may only be involved for an hour with Pep Guardiola having one eye on the Champions League, Erling Haaland is the player to back.

He managed a brace on the opening weekend of the season at the London Stadium and we’ll back him to replicate that in front of his own fans.

Erling Haaland 2+ Goals @ $2.63

Brighton And Hove Albion vs Manchester United
Friday 5 May, 5:00am, Amex Stadium
Brighton 1 – Manchester United 0

*POSTPONED ROUND 28 FIXTURE*

They went close to doing it in the FA Cup Semi Final and we’re going to back Brighton to get the job done in the Premier League encounter.

They shook off a rough week where they lost on penalties at Wembley and dropped points away at Nottingham by belting Wolves 6-0 thanks to a ruthless first half.

If they can play close to that level once again, they should put on a clinic that United with struggle to match and their away form is far from convincing.

They have lost or drawn after 90 minutes in five of their last seven away from Old Trafford and Brighton will be heading into this one with revenge on their mind.

Brighton to Win @ $2.00

Bournemouth vs Chelsea
Sunday 7 May, 12:00am, Vitality Stadium
Bournemouth 1 – Chelsea 3

It is absolutely insane to think that the market for this match is as close as it is when you consider the recent history of these clubs prior to the current campaign.

Under most circumstances, Chelsea would be $1.50 if the bookies wanted to be generous but their disastrous run, combined with Bournemouth looking half decent at times suggests the pricing is about right.

And after Chelsea’s dire showing at the Emirates on Wednesday morning (AEST), where the only reason they came back into the match was because Arsenal took their foot off the accelerator, Bournemouth are every chance of adding to Frank Lampard’s misery.

The interim boss at Chelsea cannot oversee a win at the moment and this is a very good opportunity to take them on here.

Bournemouth to Win @ $3.40

Manchester City vs Leeds
Sunday 7 May, 12:00am, Etihad Stadium
Manchester City 2 – Leeds 1

Right, another instance of asking yourself, “how much are you willing to back City to win by?”

Big Sam might now be in charge of Leeds but it’s unlikely he is going to conjure up any miracles at the Etihad here (sorry Gunners fans).

In fact, his main job is probably just ensuring that Leeds do not get blown out of the water like they did on their last trip to this stadium, going down 7-0 in December 2021.

Try as he might, City are just ruthless at the moment and should comfortably account for their relegation threatened opponents.

Manchester City to Win -2 Goals @ $2.15

Tottenham vs Crystal Palace
Sunday 7 May, 12:00am, Tottenham Stadium
Tottenham 1 – Crystal Palace 0

Make that four matches in a row where Spurs have dropped points and they reached a new level of spectacular collapses last week, conceding the winning goal barely 60 seconds after scoring an equaliser.

Palace came out on top in their own wild match last weekend, flexing their attacking muscle in a 4-3 win at home over West Ham.

Working in their favour is the fact that Spurs just look utterly bereft of confidence and there’s a real concern last week’s collapse might kick start something even more severe.

Palace will be eager to atone for a 4-0 defeat at Selhurst Park earlier this season and there is value backing them to come away from this with at least a point.

Crystal Palace/Draw Double Chance @ $1.95

Wolves vs Aston Villa
Sunday 7 May, 12:00am, Molineux Stadium
Wolves 1 – Aston Villa 0

We know that Aston Villa will be ready to put up a fight on their trip to Molineux, but the big question hanging over this fixture is what version of Wolves will show up.

If it’s the one that defeated Chelsea, Brentford and Crystal Palace at home then we could be in for a classic match.

However if it’s the one that went to Leicester and Brighton and came away with a pair of bad defeats then this could be really ugly.

Considering the pretty clear split between their home and away form, it looks likely that the good version of Wolves will be the one to show up here.

Even if that is the one that does turn up to play, Aston Villa is still a good side and a draw seems like the best result Wolves can hope for.

Draw @ $3.10

Liverpool vs Brentford
Sunday 7 May, 2:30am, Anfield
Liverpool 1 – Brentford 0

It might not always be the prettiest of performances, but Liverpool is on a tear as they seek to hunt down a top four spot.

The Reds won their catch up fixture midweek over Fulham thanks to a Mo Salah penalty for their fifth victory in a row.

That was their fourth win in a row by a one goal margin, each of which have been decided by a different score and it was also their first clean sheet since the start of April when they played Chelsea.

With no shortage of firepower on both sides of the pitch we should see plenty of goals but in their current form, it’s nearly impossible to back against Liverpool.

Liverpool to Win and Over 2.5 Goals @ $2.00

Newcastle vs Arsenal
Monday 8 May, 1:30am, St James’ Park
Newcastle 0 – Arsenal 2

By the time this match kicks off, Arsenal could be four points adrift of the top of the Premier League table or they could be in position to (temporarily) retake the lead in the unlikely event of a City slip up.

Whatever situation they are facing in terms of the table, getting anything from their trip to St James’ Park where the club has had some nightmare moments in the last few years.

Late last season the Magpies essentially ended their top four hopes with a 2-0 and there was the famous 4-0 collapse to 4-4 back in 2011.

Newcastle has won its last four at home and it’s no surprise to see them start as favourites here, and they are the tip for the match.

Newcastle to Win @ $2.35

West Ham vs Manchester United
Monday 8 May, 4:00am, London Stadium
West Ham 1 – Manchester United 0

West Ham is probably safe from relegation, sitting four points clear of the drop zone but they would need another win over the next month just to be on the safe side.

But it seems like a much longer shot to occur this weekend than the market for this match is suggesting.

United’s Premier League run has been quite strong, with Erik ten Haag’s side picking up 13 of their last 15 league points available to sit in fourth spot.

Compare that to a West Ham side that has lost its last three matches and is starting to fall apart defensively and it’s tough to see why this is so close in price.

Manchester United to Win @ $2.05

Fulham vs Leicester
Tuesday 9 May, 12:00am, Craven Cottage
Fulham 5 – Leicester 3

It is so tempting to back Leicester to win simply because this match means so much more to them than it does to Fulham.

The Cottagers are locked in to a mid table finish but Leicester needs to pick up some points to give themselves a bit of breathing room in the relegation fight.

Generally speaking you would back the more desperate side but the Foxes have been so bad at times that you cannot have the required confidence in their ability to win the match.

Where there is a bit of value to be found is in the total goals market, with the over hitting in 22 of Fulham’s and 21 of Leicester’s matches.

Fulham has not kept a clean sheet in any match since March 1, while Leicester’s run goes back even further to January 28 in the FA Cup.

Over 2.5 Goals @ $1.82

Brighton And Hove Albion vs Everton
Tuesday 9 May, 2:30am, Amex Stadium
Brighton 1 – Everton 5

Thanks to their matches in hand, Brighton is still a chance of sneaking into the Champions League however a Europa League spot seems like a much more likely landing spot.

Easily the story of the season is their successful run brought on by shrewd recruiting, something Everton wishes people were saying about their squad building.

With just one win in their last ten matches, Everton is an easy team to back against and that’s exactly what we’re going to do here.

Brighton to Win and Over 2.5 Goals @ $1.91

Nottingham Forest vs Southampton
Tuesday 9 May, 5:00am, The City Ground
Nottingham Forest 4 – Southampton 3

Forest may never have a better chance to secure their Premier League safety than this weekend when they take on Southampton.

In their last home game they defeated Brighton, a far tougher opponent than the last placed Saints.

When playing in front of their own fans, Forest have been a decent side with six wins and six draws so far this season, good enough for 80% of their points this season.

Compare that to Southampton’s 11 defeats on the road from 17 matches and it’s a pretty straightforward tip.

Nottingham Forest to Win @ $2.05


2021/2022

We’re into the final four weeks of the Premier League season and the races at the top and bottom of the table are reaching crunch time.

With clubs having anywhere from six to eight matches to play between now and May 23, it will test both the mental and physical stamina of the squads as they aim for the highest finish possible.

The action kicks off on Friday morning with a big game in the race for the top four with Chelsea taking on Manchester United while Watford will try and give itself hope of a great escape when they take on Burnley in a relegation battle.

We’ve got our previews and predictions for every match below so read on and see who we are backing.

Manchester United vs Chelsea
Friday 29 April, 4:45am, Old Trafford
Manchester United 1 – Chelsea 1

*RESCHEDULED FROM MATCHWEEK 37*

Brought forward to accommodate Chelsea’s trip to the FA Cup Final, this is a huge match for a United desperately clinging on in the race for Champions League football.

The Blues success this season has been built on an impressive record away from Stamford Bridge where they have won 11 and lost just twice from 16 Premier League fixtures.

While the last three meetings between Chelsea and United have all ended in low scoring draws, you cannot feel good about backing United to do anything other than show up and lose.

They might make Chelsea work for it but the only conceivable outcome from this one is taking the visitors to leave Manchester with all three points.

Back Cheslea to Win @ $2.20

Newcastle vs Liverpool
Saturday 30 April, 9:30pm, St James’ Park
Newcastle 0 – Liverpool 1

It might not have seemed this way a couple of months ago, but Liverpool will be in for a real test against a Newcastle side that could conceivably derail their quest for the quadruple if they are on their game.

Battling relegation in January, the Magpies are now on the brink of a top half finish thanks to a remarkable run of 10 wins in their last 14 matches.

Since it began with a 1-0 win over Leeds in late January, Newcastle has accumulated 31 of their 43 points to fly up the table.

Liverpool is on a pretty impressive run of its own and they will need to be perfect over the next four weeks to have any hope of pipping Manchester City.

This trip to St James’ Park is shaping up as a possible stumbling block, especially on the back of a Thursday morning (AEST) Champions League clash with Villareal and the second leg coming up on Wednesday morning.

Newcastle has defeated some decent sides in their impressive run, but they haven’t taken on the elite of the Premier League, I like them to score a goal but I just cannot back against Liverpool in their current form.

SGM: Liverpool to Win and Both Teams to Score @ $3.16

Aston Villa vs Norwich
Sunday 1 May, 12:00am, Villa Park
Aston Villa 2 – Norwich 0

Needing to arrest a poor run of form that has yielded just one point from their last five fixtures, Villa may never get a better chance to return to the winners’ circle.

They were good value for a draw against Leicester last week generating 11 shots despite having only 36% of possession, showing they know how to get forward in a hurry.

Norwich is a side punters should be very happy to back against week in, week out, losing 22 of 33 matches to date and having the dubious honour of the league’s worst defensive record.

If there is a week for Villa to get back on track it’s this one.

Back Aston Villa Halftime/Fulltime @ $2.15

Southampton vs Crystal Palace
Sunday 1 May, 12:00am, St Mary’s Stadium
Southampton 1 – Crystal Palace 2

Safe from relegation, Southampton is a side you might have to consider taking on as the season wraps up, if their performance against Brighton is anything to go by.

They fell behind 2-0 early on the South Coast before rallying for a 2-2 draw, however it’s tough to imagine Palace giving them that sort of opening.

Patrick Vieira’s club have not won in their last four including an FA Cup Semi Final defeat against Cheslea as they also battle to reach the finish line.

The draw is tempting here but Palace at over $3.00 is the option considering the Saints’ sleepy start last week and their manager voicing concerns over their mentality.

Back Crystal Palace to Win @ $3.05

Watford vs Burnley
Sunday 1 May, 12:00am, Vicarage Road
Watford 1 – Burnley 2

There is no good reason for this market to be as close as it is, Burnley is finishing the season on a tear while Watford is hurtling towards the Championship.

Four straight defeats have the Hornets ten points off safety thanks to their -36 goal difference and seemingly bereft of ideas.

Burnley has taken ten points from its past five and is the side that Watford will be aiming to catch.

It would be a massive nail in Watford’s coffin and a huge step towards safety for Burnley, I cannot fathom how the visitors are underdogs.

Back Burnley to Win @ $2.75

Wolves vs Brighton And Hove Albion
Sunday 1 May, 12:00am, Molineux Stadium
Wolves 0 – Brighton 3

Despite a pair of 1-0 defeats in their last two outings, Wolves could be in for a goal fill up when they host Brighton.

The Seagulls defence has conceded five goals in its last two games and three of the last five head to head meetings have seen three or more goals scored.

Brighton’s attack is good enough to break down a stingy Wolves defence at the other end as well and for that reason, rather than forcing a play in the result market, I’ll take the over.

Back Over 2.5 Goals @ $2.40

Leeds vs Manchester City
Sunday 1 May, 2:30am, Elland Road
Leeds 0 – Manchester City 4

On a five match unbeaten run, Leeds are not quite safe from relegation just yet, and they will almost certainly see that come to an end when the league leaders come to town.

The final margin of victory for City will come down to two major factors, firstly how heavily he rotates his squad remembering this comes between the two legs of the Champions League Semi Final and how vividly do they remember City’s 2-1 defeat at Elland Road last April?

While that loss did not cost City the title, any dropped points here could which is surely why Pep Guardiola will go for a strong squad and make sure that they take maximum points.

Back Manchester City -1 Goal @ $1.80

Everton vs Chelsea
Sunday 1 May, 11:00pm, Goodison Park
Everton 1 – Chelsea 0

There will be no rest for Chelsea after taking on Manchester United as they head to the home of club legend Frank Lampard, who is trying to steer Everton to Premier League safety.

The fact Chelsea will be working on just over 60 hours of rest is the only reason Everton will have a chance to nab something from this game.

Even so, I just cannot see how Everton suddenly turns things around and finds a way to upset Chelsea.

Back Chelsea to Win @ $1.77

Tottenham vs Leicester
Sunday 1 May, 11:00pm, Tottenham Stadium
Tottenham 3 – Leicester 1

Leicester’s hopes of European football are all but done and they can deal Tottenham’s chances of returning to the Champions League a real blow this weekend.

However one look at their form line suggests that it is probably being a touch optimistic to think that we will see a whole lot of anything out of this one.

Spurs just need a win after a couple of pretty poor results and any which way will do.

Don’t expect a lot of goals and I’ll take the value on the under.

Back Under 2.5 Goals @ $2.30

West Ham vs Arsenal
Monday 2 May, 1:30am, London Stadium
West Ham 1 – Arsenal 2

It’s all going so well for Arsenal, so surely this is the match they find a way to shoot themselves in the foot, right?

Back to back wins against Chelsea and Manchester United has them in control of their own destiny in the race for fourth spot and now they take on a West Ham side that could be missing every senior central defender.

Talk to any Arsenal fan and they will all have some sort of trepidation about how it is going to go wrong, not if it goes wrong, but how it inevitably will.

But with the way they performed against Chelsea and United, you have to think that Mikel Arteta might be onto something with the Hale End brigade.

This feels like a big risk to back, but the Gunners have given me reason to take the plunge.

Back Arsenal to Win @ $1.80

Manchester United vs Brentford
Tuesday 3 May, 5:00am, Old Trafford
Manchester United 3 – Brentford 0

It’s a mass of dysfunction at Old Trafford at the moment and the hope will be that Brentford will be the tonic to solve what is ailing them.

Having confirmed that Erik ten Haag will be taking over next season, perhaps United’s players will see this as an audition for their jobs and try to right the ship.

But Brentford will not be an easybeat, having won three and drawn one in their last four matches.

It is a fixture that really could go in one of a dozen different ways and something that I am happy to stay away from trying to guess the result.

Back Over 2.5 Goals @ $1.75


2020/2021

Just four rounds remain in the 2020/2021 Premier League season with plenty still on the line at both ends of the table.

Manchester City can claim its third Premier League title in four seasons with a win over Chelsea in an early preview of the Champions League Final.

At the other end, the fate of Fulham and West Brom could be sealed depending on results this weekend.

It’s all to play for and we have found our best bets for every Premier League match this weekend right here.

Leicester vs Newcastle
Saturday 8 May, 5:00am, King Power Stadium
Leicester 2 – Newcastle 4

Should Newcastle claim one point more than both Fulham and West Brom this weekend they will be assured of Premier League safety however getting a point from Leicester could be a real challenge.

There is plenty on the line for the Foxes as well as they try to hold on to third place and book a spot in next season’s Champions League.

Leicester was held to a surprising draw at Southampton last week which ended a three match winning streak.
Newcastle’s bubble burst in a meek performance against Arsenal last weekend, however they may find themselves surviving by default.

I like Leicester to win this one but they have shown themselves to be a touch vulnerable at the back so it might be an idea to throw in Both Teams to Score for some added value in a SGM.

SGM: Leicester to Win & Both Teams to Score @ $3.18

Leeds vs Tottenham
Saturday 8 May, 9:30pm, Elland Road
Leeds 3 – Tottenham 1

Leeds have been quite strong at home lately, taking 12 points from their last seven matches at Elland Road and losing on just one occasion.

Unfortunately their near no-show against Brighton last week is the most recent memory of this side and based on Tottenham’s recent form, I can only see this fixture going one way.

It’s fair to say that Spurs look a lot more relaxed now that Jose Mourinho has been dismissed and they should be able to take care of business here.

Gareth Bale was back to his best netting a hat-trick against Sheffield last weekend adding a third prong to their lethal attacking trident.

Leeds will give them all they can handle but I can’t back against Spurs in this one.

Back Tottenham to Win @ $2.02

Sheffield United vs Crystal Palace
Sunday 9 May, 12:00am, Bramall Lane
Sheffield United 0 – Crystal Palace 2

There are entertaining, high quality football matches and then there is whatever Sheffield United and Crystal Palace will dish up this weekend.

The Blades are getting duly relegated after one of the most hapless seasons in recent memory and backing against them has been a profitable endeavour all season.

Even though Palace has lost its last three, it’s not enough to make me abandon my strategy of taking on Sheffield at any opportunity.

After all, there are only four more opportunities to do that this season.

Back Crystal Palace to Win @ $2.55

Manchester City vs Chelsea
Sunday 9 May, 2:30am, Etihad Stadium
Manchester City 1 – Chelsea 2

Very few teams have been able to say that they have stopped Manchester City this season but Chelsea is one of them.

Less than a month ago Thomas Tuchel’s side ended City’s dreams of a quadruple in the FA Cup Semi Final and this will be a vital scouting mission ahead of the Champions League Final.

Both sides will be flying high after continental victories during the week over PSG and Real Madrid,

For City this match means so much more considering that a win would secure the Premier League title.

Chelsea is in a race for fourth place however I just can’t bring myself to back against City with the league title up for grabs.

Back Manchester City to Win @ $1.91

Liverpool vs Southampton
Sunday 9 May, 5:15am, Anfield
Liverpool 2 – Southampton 0

This match boils down to one key factor, desperation.

Liverpool needs the win far more than Southampton and after enduring a season from hell for the medical staff, their only priority here needs to be securing European football for next season.

The Reds have been very strong in the league, unbeaten in their last five having claimed 11 points in that time.

On the other hand Southampton has been a good team to take on with some very spotty Premier League form, not to mention Liverpool will be out for revenge after losing to the Saints in early January.

Back Liverpool to Win -1 Goal @ $1.80

Wolves vs Brighton And Hove Albion
Sunday 9 May, 9:00pm, Molineux Stadium
Wolves 2 – Brighton 1

There is not a whole lot to look forward to in terms of entertainment value in this fixture, it’s two of the worst attacks in the competition facing off.

Both Wolves and Fulham average one goal scored per match and based on recent form, even that much may be a stretch.

Wolves have scored 12 goals in their last 15 matches while Brighton has managed 13 in the same span.

If either team manages to score more than two goals it will be a massive shock to the system and a play I am happy to make here.

Back Under 1.5 Goals @ $2.60

Aston Villa vs Manchester United
Sunday 9 May, 11:00pm, Villa Park
Aston Villa 1 – Manchester United 3

If you manage to make it through the first match on Sunday evening, you may be rewarded with a phenomenal game on paper.

Manchester United is riding a 12-match unbeaten run in the Premier League while Villa’s last five matches have all seen Over 2.5 Goals hit.

Unfortunately for Aston Villa those matches have produced a mixed bag of results with two wins and a draw in that time so I would not be too heavily invested in an upset.

United should be able to take care of business but the value in this market lies in backing the overs.

Back Over 2.5 Goals @ $1.72

West Ham vs Everton
Monday 10 May, 1:30am, London Stadium
West Ham 0 – Everton 1

The Champions League dream is still alive for the visitors in this match.

All that West Ham can do is win their matches in hand and hope that Chelsea and/or Leicester drop points.

In their recent form there is no reason to not back them to do just that, especially against an Everton side that just has not been able to match what was a perfect opening month of the season.

With the market still not quite on board with West Ham’s chances, I’ll jump on the value play of the weekend.

Back West Ham to Win @ $2.30

Arsenal vs West Bromwich Albion
Monday 10 May, 4:00am, Emirates Stadium
Arsenal 3 – West Brom 1

By the time this match kicks off West Brom’s relegation could be confirmed which will make this a dead rubber in every sense of the word.

Regardless of the result in Arsenal’s Europa League semi-final, Mikel Arteta will almost certainly deploy a rotated squad with their league campaign being for little more than pride.

As much fun as it is to laugh at just how far Arsenal have fallen in the Premier League, they should be able to get the job done against a West Brom side that is simply playing out their remaining fixtures.

Last time these teams met it was a comfortable 4-0 win for the Gunners in a snowstorm but in pleasant May sunlight they should have no problems picking up a comfortable victory.

Back Arsenal to Win -1 Goal @ $2.38

Fulham vs Burnley
Tuesday 11 May, 5:00am, Craven Cottage

Neither side offers a whole lot of confidence in terms of their prospects for this fixture and nobody would blame you if you decided to stay out of this one.

Fulham has lost five of its last six, with only a draw against Arsenal in that time while Burnley is on a similar run of form with its streak broken by a 4-0 trouncing of Wolves.

I can’t see this match reaching any great heights and will settle on a low scoring match.

Back Under 2.5 Goals @ $1.72


2019/2020

When picking out the biggest match of the round in the Premier League, sometimes it can be a bit of a stretch.

Not this weekend though, the North London derby promises to be an enthralling contest between two sides whose European hopes can best be described as “optimistic” at this stage.

Even if both are forced to settle for domestic duties next season, they will want to make sure they at least have bragging rights finishing above their rivals on the table.

We’ve got a full slate of games this weekend so let’s get into the previews and betting plays.

Norwich vs West Ham
Saturday 11 July, 9:30pm Carrow Road
Norwich 0 – West Ham 4

Ready for the ultimate test of the “back against Norwich at all costs” theory?

Up next on their Premier League farewell tour is the horrendously out of form West Ham who could just about secure their top flight future with a win here.

It’s a lot to ask of West Ham and this one might be close but there’s only four more chances to back against the Canaries this season.

Back West Ham to Win @ $2.00

Watford vs Newcastle
Saturday 11 July, 9:30pm, Vicarage Road
Watford 2 – Newcastle 1

If nothing else, this clash should feature plenty of goals with neither side capable of keeping a clean sheet at the moment.

Newcastle have given up at least one goal in their last five after resuming their season with a 3-0 win over Sheffield.

Watford got their first win since the start of March in their last outing (defeating Watford for whatever that’s worth but they have conceded in all five matches since resumption as well.

For that reason, getting both teams to score at this price is worth jumping on, even if there might be more value on offer elsewhere.

Back Both Teams to Score @ $1.87

Liverpool vs Burnley
Sunday 12 July, 12:00am, Anfield
Liverpool 1 – Burnley 1

Liverpool’s quest to become Premier League centurions rolls on when they host Burnley at Anfield

They need eight points from their final four matches and should be able to pick up another three in this contest.

They have had some dramas keeping Burnley scoreless in previous matches but with the way they are looking at the moment it’s worth taking a punt on them winning with a clean sheet.

Back Liverpool to Win to Nil @ $2.10

Sheffield United vs Chelsea
Saturday 12 July, 2:30am, Bramall Lane
Sheffield United 3 – Chelsea 0

This could either be the match of the season or one that sends you into a coma.

Just when it might have been time to write off Sheffield they pick up seven points from their last three matches.

It will be a different challenge against the in form Chelsea though and despite taking a 2-2 draw from Stamford Bridge in September, it’s hard to see them getting anything from this match.

Chelsea won’t want to open the door for Leicester to steal third place and for that reason, we’ll take them to win a high scoring match.

Back Chelsea to Win and Over 2.5 Goals @ $2.50

Brighton And Hove Albion vs Manchester City
Sunday 12 July, 5:00am, Amex Stadium
Brighton 0 – Manchester City 5

Brighton has made a habit of being a pain for some of the Premier League’s elite but we saw how ruthless Manchester City can be if given an opening.

They were nothing short of spectacular against Newcastle during the week and on their day they can belt any team in the league.

Despite their relative successes, the Seagulls can struggle in front of goal, scoring just twice in their last four matches.

When City are on it all starts at the back, keeping clean sheets against Newcastle twice and Liverpool in the last fortnight alone.

For that reason the value play in this market is backing City to win with a clean sheet.

Back Manchester City to Win to Nil @ $2.25

Wolverhampton vs Everton
Sunday 12 July, 9:00pm, Molineux Stadium
Wolves 3 – Everton 0

Could it be that the Wolves bubble has burst?

After all they were riding their luck with a series of low scoring wins and now their fortunes might have turned, going down to Arsenal and Sheffield in this past week.

Everton on a fairly short turnaround should give them a great chance to get back on track here however, the Toffees will be playing on around 48 hours less rest and with fatigue starting to take hold of some teams, that could be crucial in the run home.

Back Wolves to Win @ $2.05

Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace
Sunday 12 July, 11:15pm, Villa Park
Aston Villa 2 – Crystal Palace 0

For just about every other team, this would be another “load up on whoever is playing Villa here” play but Palace are struggling really badly here.

Currently on a run of four straight losses, although they at least put a scare through Chelsea during the week, it makes you wonder just how invested in their season they are.

With their future safe and Villa in proper desperation mode, this one might be a good idea to steer clear of.

NO BET

Tottenham vs Arsenal
Monday 13 July, 1:30am, Tottenham Stadium
Tottenham 2 – Arsenal 1

Here it is, the feature match of the round between… admittedly two sides desperate to prove they are betting than their mid-table standings suggest.

There’s always plenty of passion in the North London derbies and even without a raucous crowd spurring the sides on, this should be a great match.

As has been the case in the last few derbies however, these teams seem intent on cancelling one another out and for that reason, there’s value to be had backing the draw.

Back the Draw @ $3.40

Bournemouth vs Leicester
Monday 13 July, 4:00am, Vitality Stadium
Bournemouth 4 – Leicester 1

It’s time to go back to the tried and true Leicester value-add well.

I’m feeling fairly confident in their ability to defeat a Bournemouth side struggling for form but there’s more to be had in the Same Game Multi market.

Jamie Vardy has clearly shaken off whatever rust he was feeling and is getting his goalscoring touch back.

Get on him to score and Leicester to take care of business.

SGM: Leicester to Win and Jamie Vardy Anytime Goalscorer @ $2.42

Manchester United vs Southampton
Tuesday 14 July, 5:00am, Old Trafford
Manchester United 2 – Southampton 2

The Saints have knocked off one Manchester Club in the last week, surely they won’t do it again will they?

Of course the correct answer here is, “no they absolutely won’t, don’t be silly!”

United has struggled against the Saints, drawing three of their last four head to head matches but in their current form they should win this one and do so quite comfortably.

Back Manchester United and Over 3.5 Goals @ $3.00


2018/2019

Just four weeks remain in the 2018/2019 Premier League season and Matchweek 35 will be the biggest test of the season for Manchester City.

Up first is a clash with Tottenham just two and a half days after their Champions League tie wraps up.

Then on Thursday morning is a Manchester Derby that could prove decisive for both their title hopes and United’s top four ambitions.

Either way, a few team’s fates will be made a lot clearer over the next few days.

We have previewed and predicted every English Premier League game so read on to see our selections.

Manchester City vs Tottenham
Saturday 20 April, 9:30pm, Etihad Stadium
Manchester City 1 – Tottenham 0

Just shy of three days after concluding their Champions League obligations against one another, City and Tottenham play out the third act of their April trilogy.

In City’s last 14 games they have claimed 39 of a possible 42 points as they have see sawed with Liverpool at the top of the table.

As for Tottenham their league form has not been quite so imperious as of late as they have only just come out of a streak where they went five games without a win to fall out of title contention and into a battle for third place.

After back to back wins in the league it certainly looks like they are finding their bearings once again and it could not come at a better time with the chasing pack ready to pounce on any dropped points.

When playing at home this season, City have picked up 48 of 51 points and they are a much better side here, they should win and be able to score a few goals.

Back City to Win and Over 2.5 Goals @ $1.75

SGM: City to Win, Both Teams to Score, Over 3.5 Goals

Bournemouth vs Fulham
Sunday 21 April, 12:00am, Vitality Stadium
Bournemouth 0 – Fulham 1

Bournemouth’s weekend could not have gone much better as they heaped more pressure on relegation threatened Brighton with a 5-0 win.

Up next is the already relegated Fulham who is coming off an upset win over Everton and is playing solely for pride.

The Cherries won the meeting in October 3-0 at Craven Cottage and will look to improve on their 26 points at home in this game.

These games can be a little tough to read with both sides seemingly locked into their fate but you have to like Bournemouth as a home favourite here.

Back Bournemouth to Win & Over 1.5 Goals @ $1.91

SGM: Bournemouth to Win, Over 2.5 Goals, Joshua King First Goalscorer

Huddersfield Town vs Watford
Sunday 21 April, 12:00am, John Smith’s Stadium
Huddersfield 1 – Watford 2

Watford will feel pretty hard done by after being reduced to 10 men early in their defeat to Arsenal but facing Huddersfield should give them the perfect get right opportunity.

The Terriers have picked up just eight points at home all season but just three have come since the start of December.

They have given up four goals in each of their last two games and Watford did blast Fulham 4-1 earlier this month.

Considering their recent form, Huddersfield is one of those sides you have to find a way to back against and this is not a time to abandon that strategy.

Back Watford to Win @ $1.75

SGM: Watford to Win to Nil, Watford to Score Over 3.5 Goals

West Ham vs Leicester City
Sunday 21 April, 12:00am, London Stadium
West Ham 2 – Leicester 2

Leicester’s charge up the Premier League ladder was brought to a halt by Newcastle last weekend, ending a four game winning streak.

West Ham has dropped from ninth to eleventh on the back of a three game losing streak, most recently going down to Manchester United.

Of the last six meetings, Leicester has won two, West Ham have won one and the other three have finished as draws.

Remarkably this season, Leicester has actually picked up more points on the road that it has at home.

Because of that and West Ham’s struggles, back Leicester to win at over even money.

Back Leicester to Win @ $2.25

SGM: Leicester to Win, Both Teams to Score

Wolverhampton vs Brighton And Hove Albion
Sunday 21 April, 12:00am, Molineux Stadium
Wolves 0 – Brighton 0

It’s been a rough last couple of weekends for Wolves, since beating Manchester United on April 2, they have given up a two goal lead in the FA Cup Semi Final and lost to Southampton.

Brighton, also licking their wounds after a Cup Semi Final exit, would love to have the same outcome as their fellow strugglers in this game as three points might just get them to safety.

You can’t feel confident in the Seagulls after shipping five to Bournemouth and three to Chelsea in the game before.

In fact, Brighton has not scored in 285 minutes of Premier League football, the last one coming from Anthony Knockaert in their win over Crystal Palace on March 9.

Brighton might be playing with more urgency but Wolves still have the quality to win this game and Brighton might be in for a few more days of looking over their shoulders.

Back Wolves to Win @ $1.80

SGM: Wolves to Win, Over 2.5 Goals, Diogo Jota Anytime Goalscorer

Newcastle vs Southampton
Sunday 21 April, 2:30am, St James’ Park
Newcastle 3 – Southampton 1

Both of these sides are, for all intents and purposes, safe from relegation but this weekend they could mathematically secure it with a win here.

It’s unlikely that Cardiff will go on a massive run and overtake Southampton and either team here but you would imagine they would like to try and secure safety on their own.

All things considered it’s very tough to split either of these teams and with both sides full of confidence after their victories, there is every chance they won’t be split on the pitch either.

Back the Draw @ $3.10

SGM: Draw, Both Teams to Score

Everton vs Manchester United
Sunday 21 April, 10:30pm, Goodison Park
Everton 4 – Manchester United 0

“If Everton lost to Fulham, how are they going to beat Manchester United?” is a question many will be asking.

For all intents & purposes you have to like United to win this game, especially at over even money, but there has to be a bit of a red flag considering they will be returning from a draining clash in Barcelona.

That being said, Everton last beat United almost four years ago and United really can’t afford to drop points in this game with a derby on the horizon.

A flat United performance would not be that surprising but this is the time of year where it doesn’t have to be pretty and at over even money, why not back them in for a victory.

Back Manchester United to Win @ $2.20

SGM: United to Win, Over 3.5 Goals

Arsenal vs Crystal Palace
Monday 22 April, 1:00am, Emirates Stadium
Arsenal 2 – Crystal Palace 3

Back in October, Crystal Palace held Arsenal to a frustrating 2-2 draw at Selhurst Park but there’s a massive difference with this game being at the Emirates.

If the Premier League was just decided on home form, Arsenal would be contending for the title, with 44 points, only four below Manchester City.

Their away form is the reason they are battling for third place instead and with just one point between them and Tottenham, they know how important getting three points is here.

Because the Gunners are so strong at home, they aren’t a great value play head to head, but you can add some value in the doubles market.

In each of their last eight home games, there has been two or more goals so take Over 1.5 as well to bring the bet up to a better price.

Back Arsenal to Win & Over 1.5 Goals @ $1.75

SGM: Arsenal Win, Over 1.5 Goals, Aaron Ramsey First Goalscorer

Cardiff vs Liverpool
Monday 22 April, 1:00am, Cardiff City Stadium
Cardiff 0 – Liverpool 2

You could say with a high degree of certainty that the Liverpool of old would drop points in this game.

But not this side, not this season and not against this opponent.

Cardiff haven’t exactly had a great run of luck lately getting stiffed on a few calls, although five losses from their last six kind of says it all.

Liverpool should win this game, but how will they back up after the Champions League?

They put four past them in the first meeting this season and Jurgen Klopp should have them firing once again here.

Back Liverpool to Win and Over 3.5 Goals @ $ 2.60

SGM: Liverpool to Win, Over 3.5 Goals, Saido Mane and Mo Salah Anytime Goalscorers

Chelsea vs Burnley
Tuesday 23 April, 5:00am, Stamford Bridge
Chelsea 2 – Burnley 2

You can’t hold too much against Chelsea going down to Liverpool on the weekend, most sides do.

With some of their rivals for the Champions League placings making up their games in hand midweek, nothing less than three points will do here.

They had no trouble accounting for Burnley at the start of the season but their opponents do bring a three game winning streak to Stamford Bridge having conceded just one goal in that time.

This could very well be a low scoring clash with the both teams to score market failing to hit in Chelsea’s last three Premier League matches.

Back Chelsea to Win & Under 3.5 Goals @ $2.05

SGM: Chelsea to Win to Nil, Under 3.5 Goals

Tottenham vs Brighton And Hove Albion
Wednesday 24 April, 4:45am, Tottenham Stadium
Tottenham 1 – Brighton 0

*RESCHEDULED ROUND 33 MATCH*

How can you have any confidence backing Brighton right now?

The Seagulls are teetering on the relegation zone and Tottenham appear to be finishing the season with the wettest of sails.

It could be a long night for Mat Ryan here and set up a very nervous May for Brighton.

Back Tottenham to Win & Over 2.5 Goals @ $2.05

SGM: Tottenham to Win, Over 2.5 Goals, Son First Goalscorer

Watford vs Southampton
Wednesday 24 April, 4:45am, Vicarage Road
Watford 1 – Southampton 1

*RESCHEDULED ROUND 31 MATCH*

Watford can’t let their form drop right now, with a flurry of games coming up, culminating in the FA Cup Final they need to hit their stride on the run home.

They have lost six games at home this season but you have to like their chances against a Southampton side that might just survive by default.

The Hornets last win over Southampton came in September 2017 and it might be time for another one here.

Back Watford to Win @ $2.15

SGM: Watford to Win, Over 1.5 Goals

Wolverhampton vs Arsenal
Thursday 25 April, 4:45am, Molineux Stadium
Wolves 3 – Arsenal 1

*RESCHEDULED ROUND 31 MATCH*

Wolves are one of the three teams to take points off Arsenal at the Emirates Stadium after a 1-1 draw in November.

They will be happy to get out of a forgetful April as they are now just looking to secure a top 10 finish while their visitors continue to battle for the top four.

That draw in November was as good as it has gotten for Wolves against Arsenal though, their last win over the Gunners came in 1983, since then the Gunners have won 16 of the 20 meetings.

Even with their questionable road form, it’s hard to see Wolves getting up for this midweek clash.

Back Arsenal to Win @ $2.45

SGM: Arsenal to Win, Both Teams to Score

Manchester United vs Manchester City
Thursday 25 April, 5:00am, Old Trafford
Manchester United 0 – Manchester City 2

*RESCHEDULED ROUND 31 MATCH*

Could this be the biggest match of the season?

City have the title on the line and United need all three points to stay in the top four race, but that could all but hand the title to Liverpool so there’s going to be some massive dilemmas for the red half of the city.

The question now though is how much do City have left in the tank?

It’s been a trying time for United as they have come crashing back to earth in the last month as well.

Both sides will go into this game with a fair amount of desperation but you have to think with a title on the line, City will get the job done.

Back Manchester City to Win @ $1.80


2017/2018

A long round of English Premier League fixtures with matches spread out over a whole week thanks to the FA Cup Semi Finals.

Manchester United, Tottenham, Chelsea and Southampton have decisions to make when it comes to prioritising their Premier League campaigns or going all out for the chance of a trophy at Wembley next month.

After a false start, City are now officially Premier League champions setting up a big party at the Etihad this weekend, no word yet on who will perform a la Andrea Bocelli at Leicester two years ago.

West Brom’s Premier League status has been granted a stay of execution for another week at least however their run of form might be just a little bit too late.

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Tottenham
Wednesday 18 April, 4:45am, Amex Stadium

Tottenham have no time to dwell on their disappointing loss to Manchester City this past weekend.

A win here would put them one step closer to securing Champions League football next season and they had no trouble dismissing Brighton when they met in December.

Even with the expected rotation taking place to keep the likes of Kane and Alli fresh for their FA Cup encounter with Manchester United at the weekend they should still be able to handle Brighton here.

Back Tottenham to Win to Nil @ $2.40

Bournemouth vs Manchester United
Thursday 19 April, 4:45am, Vitality Stadium

The other participant in the first FA Cup semi final is in action Thursday morning as Manchester United travel to Bournemouth.

The Cherries are wavering as the season winds down and their task does not get any easier with Jose Mourinho’s men coming to town, despite sitting in 11th place with five games to go, they are still mathematically a chance to be relegated.

A win for United here could also secure Champions League football and keep Liverpool in their rear view mirror.

It may not be overly pretty for United but they should be able to handle themselves here, there is actually decent value on offer here for an outright win as well.

Back Manchester Untied to Win @ $1.67

Burnley vs Chelsea
Friday 20 April, 4:45am, Turf Moor

Chelsea salvaged three points from their trip to Southampton, but it should not mask the fact they were average at best for most of that game.

Working in their favour is the fact the hero of that game Olivier Giroud is likely to get a start in this contest.

Burnley will not be interested in rolling over however as they are enjoying their best Premier League campaign.

If Chelsea are off their game in any way, shape or form I like Burnley and their upset potential here.

Back Burnley Win/Draw Double Chance @ $1.75

Leicester vs Southampton
Friday 20 April, 4:45am, King Power Stadium

Southampton’s season may wind up mirroring that of Wigan a few years ago where they make an FA Cup run but ultimately find themselves relegated from the Premier League.

Leicester are coming into this on back to back losses and will want to prevent that becoming a habit.

It cannot mask the fact Southampton have been dreadful in the Premier League and deserve to be in the relegation fight.

Since Leicester’s most recent promotion they have won three and drawn two of the seven meetings between these sides.

Back the better team at home to win here.

Back Leicester to Win @ $2.35

West Bromwich Albion vs Liverpool
Saturday 21 April, 9:30pm, The Hawthorns

West Brom have picked up points in back to back games for the first time since mid-January and just the fifth time this season.

A win or draw here would be equal their longest run of points all season at three.

A brief look at their history against Liverpool suggests that despite their 46 point gap on the table, this game could be a close one.

Even with their history of taking points in six of the last ten Premier League meetings against Liverpool it is a lot to ask of West Brom to get something out of this game.

Liverpool are still a better side and this should be a good tune up for the upcoming Champions League ties against Roma.

Back Liverpool to Win and Over 2.5 Goals @ $2.25

Watford vs Crystal Palace
Sunday 22 April, 12:00am, Vicarage Road

Since Watford re-entered the Premier League in 2015, Crystal Palace have been a bogey side for them to play winning just once in their six meetings in all competitions.

Palace enter this game on a nice run as they try to stay just above the drop zone taking points in three of their last four games.

Watford look like they have run out of steam dropping their last two games and four of their last five.

Palace have much more to lose if they drop this game and that desperation is enough for me to back them home here.

Back Crystal Palace to Win @ $2.55

Arsenal vs West Ham
Sunday 22 April, 10:30pm, Emirates Stadium

Nobody will be happier to have Arsenal playing at the Emirates this weekend than Arsene Wenger (and the 25000 or so fans who will actually show up).

They are like two separate teams home and away in the League this season with results reflecting a major gap between the two setups.

At home they are averaging slightly under three goals per game and when facing sides below them in the Premier League at the Emirates they have a remarkable 12-0-0 record.

West Ham held them to a 0-0 draw at the Olympic Stadium in December but Arsenal should be able to take care of business.

Back Arsenal to Win & Both Teams to Score @ $2.75

Stoke vs Burnley
Sunday 22 April 10:30pm, bet365 Stadium

Stoke arrested their form slide with a battling draw against West Ham and they now face a Burnley side on a remarkable winning streak.

Finishing as high on the table as they will is remarkable considering their strike force has been somewhat muted this year with 33 goals from 33 games as a team.

Working in their favour is the face they have only let in 29 goals all season putting them in the positive for goal difference.

They will have the tough task of backing up less than 72 hours after the full time whistle of their previous game but Stoke have a lot of trouble scoring themselves to back Burnley here.

Back Burnley to Win @ $3.30

Manchester City vs Swansea
Monday 23 April, 1:30am, Etihad Stadium

Get ready for a party at the Etihad.

Having claimed the title when Manchester United lost to West Brom last weekend, City come into this game ready to celebrate.

If they so choose they can continue to push for several Premier League records including most wins, points, winning margin and goals in a season.

Swansea have struggled by and large this season but have been decent keeping scores in their games low but City should be far too strong here and will win by a bit.

Back Manchester City to Win and Over 3.5 Goals @ $2.20

Everton vs Newcastle
Tuesday 24 April, 5:00am, Goodison Park

A win for the Magpies in the weekend’s final match could see them leapfrog their opponents and end a four game losing streak against Everton.

Newcastle will be flying after last weekend’s win over Arsenal and a positive result here will mathematically secure their Premier League place for next season.

Sitting on a four game winning streak they are finishing the season with a bang whereas Everton are limping to the finish line.

I’m backing Newcastle to take care of business and come away with a win here.

Back Newcastle to Win @ $3.25


2016/2017

It is another big week in the EPL as the battle for the title, places in European Football and to avoid relegation continue.

The North London Derby between Arsenal and Tottenham Hotspur is one of the most fiery fixtures on the English Premier League calendar and that is the highlight of another big weekend of football, while Chelsea can maintain their four point gap with a win over Everton at Goodison Park.

You can find our thoughts for every single game below and there are plenty of winners to be found this weekend.

Southampton vs Hull City
Sunday 30 April, 12:00am, St Mary's Stadium

Southampton have suffered back-to-back losses, but they will still go into this clash with Hull City as clear favourites.

The Saints were no match for either Manchester City or Chelsea, but this is obviously a much easier assignment.

Southampton have won eight of their past 13 games as home favourites for a clear profit and their record against Hull City is excellent.

Hull City kept themselves outside of the relegation zone with their win over Watford and they need to keep winning to ensure that they avoid the drop.

Winning away from home has been a massive issue for Hull City and they have won only one of their past 17 games on the road.

Southampton really should be able to return to winning form and they are one of the safest bets of the week.

Back Southampton To Win @ $1.60

Stoke City vs West Ham United
Sunday 30 April, 12:00am, Britannia Stadium

Neither of these teams brings particularly strong form into this clash and there is nothing between them in betting.

It is Stoke City that will go into this clash as narrow favourites, but it is tough to have any faith in a side that has lost five of their past six games.

In saying that, Stoke City have still been a profitable betting play as home favourites and they are 7-1-1 in that scenario this season.

West Ham have won only one of their past eight games, but they were able to take a point from their most recent clash with Everton.

The Hammers have won four of their past 15 games as away underdogs and they really have been a tough team to trust from a betting standpoint this season.

Backing Stoke City at home has been a profitable betting play all season long and there is no reason to jump off this weekend.

Back Stoke City To Win @ $2.30

Sunderland vs Bournemouth
Sunday 30 April, 12:00am, Stadium Of Light

This is another game where there is very little between the two sides in betting.

Sunderland are still chasing their first victory of 2017 and it is no surprise that they will go into this clash as clear underdogs.

They have won just two of their past 12 games as home underdogs and they really have nothing to play for as relegation is all but certain.

Bournemouth returned to winning form with a dominant victory over Middlesbrough, but throughout this season they have really struggled away from home.

They have lost their only two games as away favourites this season and they have won only two of their past 19 games away from home.

Both of these teams are impossible to trust and I am more than happy to stay out of this clash from a betting standpoint.

No Bet

West Bromwich Albion vs Leicester City
Sunday 30 April, 12:00am, The Hawthorns

West Bromwich Albion have lost three games on the trot, but they will still go into this clash with Leicester City as narrow favourites.

There is very little doubt that West Bromwich Albion have put the rack in the cue  this season and it has been well over a month since they scored an English Premier League goal.

They have still managed to win seven of their past 10 games as home favourites and they have lost only one game in this scenario this season.

Leicester City went down to Arsenal midweek and they have now taken just a single point from their past three English Premier League games.

The Foxes have won just one of their past 18 games away from home and they are another team that are already looking ahead to their summer holiday.

West Brom will be keen to put on a show for their home fans and should be able to return to winning form.

Back West Bromwich Albion To Win @ $2.25

Crystal Palace vs Burnley
Sunday 30 April, 2:30am, Selhurst Park

Crystal Palace have been an absolute revelation since Sam Allardyce took over as manager and they will start this clash as clear favourites.

While Crystal Palace have won six of their past eight games, they have still been slightly inconsistent at Selhurt Park and they have won only four of their past ten games as home favourites.

Burnley have fallen in a big hole in the second half of the season and they remain an outside chance of getting dragged back into the relegation battle.

The big issue for Burnley has been their form away from home and they have only taken four points from their 17 games away from home this season.

This is a clash that the market looks to have got just about right and I will be staying out.

No Bet

Manchester United vs Swansea City
Sunday 30 April, 9:00pm, Old Trafford
Everton vs Chelsea
Sunday 30 April, 11:05pm, Goodison Park

Chelsea remain four points clear at the top of the English Premier League ladder, but they face a tricky assignment against Everton this weekend.

Winning away from home has not been an issue for Chelsea this season and they have won ten of their past 14 games as away favourites for a clear profit.

In saying that, winning at Goodison Park has been much easier said than done for visiting teams so far this season.

Everton have lost only one game in front of their home fans and they have won two of their five games as home underdogs for a profit.

The market looks to have got this game just about right, but there is value in the Total Goals betting market.

There have been four goals or more scored in four of the past five games played between these two sides and it would not surprise if this turned into a fairly high-scoring affair.

Back Over 2.5 Goals @ $1.80

Middlesbrough vs Manchester City
Sunday 30 April, 11:05pm, Riverside Stadium
Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal
Monday 1 May, 1:30am, White Hart Lane

This may be the most important North London Derby in recent memory.

Tottenham Hotspur remain four points behind Chelsea in the English Premier League title race and desperately need to take the three points from this clash to keep their title hopes alive.

It is Tottenham that will go into this clash as clear favourites and they have been an extremely reliable betting play in this scenario.

They have won 14 of their past 17 games as home favourites and go into this clash on the back of seven impressive wins.

Arsenal have bounced back in recent weeks and they look to have taken a massive morale boost from qualifying for FA Cup Final.

The Gunners have not won a North London Derby since 2014 and they have not won any of their five games as away underdogs so far this season.

This is a huge moment for Mauricio Pochettino and the entire Tottenham Hotspur Football Club and I believe that they will be up for the challenge.

Back Tottenham Hotspur To Win @ $1.85

Watford vs Liverpool
Tuesday 2 May, 5:00am, Vicarage Road

This is a crucial game for Liverpool as they battle for a top four finish.

These have been the games that Liverpool have struggled with throughout the English Premier League season, but they will still start this clash as clear favourites.

Liverpool have won seven of their past 13 games as away favourites for a narrow profit and they were able to dismantle Watford earlier this season.

Watford are another side that are already looking towards the summer holidays and they were extremely poor against Hull City last weekend.

The Hornets have saved their best form for Vicarage Road this season and they have won three of their past seven games as home underdogs for a clear profit.

Watford are a genuine chance of scoring another scalp here and I am gambling that they can cosign Liverpool to another very disappointing defeat.

Back Watford To Win @ $5.50