Paris Daily Tips

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It is the biggest sporting event of 2024 with the world’s best athletes all congregating in France for a two week extravaganza.

Regardless of your sporting preference, there’s something for everyone to get into over the coming fortnight and we’ve got you covered with our daily best bets below!

Check out our Parisian prognostications below.

DAY 16 – Sunday 11 August

Having picked up a silver medal in the 5000m in Rio and again in Tokyo, Obiri is stepping it up by taking on the final athletics event on the program with a 42.2km stroll through Paris on a Sunday morning.

There is a lot to like about her form heading into this race, most notably her back to back wins in Boston over the last two years as well as New York.

Her main competition will come from Sifan Hassan who is also competing in the 5000m and 10,000m events which has to be considered when forecasting this race.

Let’s back Obiri to wrap up the program with her first gold at the games.

DAY 15 – Saturday 10 August

The marquee event of the final weekend is without a doubt the marathon and we’re backing the Kenyan legend to earn his fifth medal in six attempts.

He is defending back to back golds from Rio and Tokyo and will certainly be in the mix come 40km.

However this is one to play a little bit more conservatively and take Kipchoge to make it onto the podium.

With Benson Kipruto, Victor Kiplangat and Deresa Geleta all likely to push for the gold, there is just a bit too much competition to feel overly confident backing him for a gold.

The 23 year old out of Brisbane already has a bit of experience on this stage, featuring in this event in Tokyo so he knows what to expect heading into this event.

Since that outing in Japan where he finished eighth, he has picked up gold in the 2022 Comm Games and 2023 World Championships.

He will be hard pressed to pick up another gold ahead of the Chinese duo who are deserved short priced favourites but he has the capacity to finish on the podium at the very least.

Let’s call this for what it is, a total storyline bet as legend of the game Marta is set to wrap up a decorated international career.

Both nations will be eager to erase a horrible World Cup (by their standards) and pick up a gold medal here and they have played well to make it this far.

Especially America under former Chelsea boss Emma Hayes.

But Marta is something special and in her final game, let’s back the storyline.

DAY 14 – Friday 9 August

The second favourite to win the gold in this event is going to have to see off some tough competition here.

However the price on him to win a medal looks like one of the better value plays in this market.

While the 28-year-old has had his differences with the federation in the past, his record speaks for itself with a bronze in 2016 and a sixth place finish in 2020.

Now in his home country, he is looking like a legitimate contender to win a medal.

Two traditional powerhouses will face off for gold and a raucous crowd will be hoping the French can win it on home soil.

It was enough for their senior side in the 1998 World Cup, but can their under-23’s get the job done here?

They are going to have their work cut out for them against a Spanish side who will be hoping to replicate their senior team’s Euro triumph.

France have been defensively resolute in this tournament conceding just twice but Spain will be more than capable of challenging their backline.

It’s tough to split these teams and extra time is quite likely to be on the cards.

DAY 13 – Thursday 8 August

A race victory might not be enough to offset the risks of this open water swim in the Seine but that is the risk this field will be taking.

Dutch favourite Sharon van Rouwendaal ran down Aussie Moesha Johnson in the final few metres of this event at the World Championships.

With the confidence of that fast finish at her back, not to mention the motivation to get out of the river as quickly as possible, the Dutch dynamo looks like the way to go.

The 21 year old from Wales already has a Parisian gold to her name, part of the British team that won the Sprint event.

Now she is out on her own and will start the Kierin event as the market favourite.

In the last two European championships she has won silver in this event and is a worthwhile bet in this event.

It took a while for the American to break through after turning professional in 2021, but she picked up a silver in the World Championships last year and a gold in the Indoor Championships in March.

Her background in hurdling should help provide a bit of an edge here too.

She has the pedigree to challenge the reigning champion and favourite Malaika Mihambo and looks like the value play.

DAY 12 – Wednesday 7 August

Palmer’s done it once before and we’ll back him to do it again in the park skateboarding event.

Three years ago in Tokyo, the then 18-year-old took out the title with a monster 95.83 score, well clear of Pedro Barros in second place.

He knows what it takes to win these events and with back to back X-Games golds to his name in the last two years, he’s the choice in this market.

The Aussies might have come through the qualifying stage with the fastest overall time, but the value in this market is on the Danes.

With three of the four riders who won silver in Tokyo, this team is well placed to go one better and knock off not only the Aussies but the favoured British team.

The reigning World Champion will go into the final of the pole vault as the short priced favourite and justifiably so.

Less than 12 months ago, she cleared 4.9m to share the gold at the World Championships with American Katie Moon and there is no reason to doubt her chances in this event.

While she is at a very short price, the WA-native is primed for a career best showing here.

DAY 11 – Tuesday 6 August

It’s going to be a fascinating competition in the skateboarding arena on Tuesday night as Australia has a pair of medal hopes in the field.

The younger of the Trew sisters Arisa comes into the games on the back of becoming the first female skateboarder to land a 900 in a half-pipe.

With that sort of confidence, the occasion will not be too big for the Cairns born athlete.

Three years ago in Tokyo, the Aussies were less than 0.3 seconds away from making into the final, just edged out by Great Britain.

Admittedly they lost the bronze final to France on that occasion but the Aussies love the track and are a great chance to make it to the gold medal final here.

They just have to find a way to set a strong time in the heat and they are more than capable of doing just that.

The runner from Bahrain is no stranger to taking out the gold, having won this event no fewer than eight times including the 2023 World Championships.

Since finishing 10^th in Tokyo, she has improved on her time by over ten seconds and is the deserving favourite in this market.

DAY 10 – Monday 5 August

We’ve already celebrated a couple of Fox triumphs in Paris and with Jess watching on, her younger sister Noemi will try to have her own moment in the spotlight here.

The 27-year-old has made the final and will take on a tough field but Fox will without a doubt be leaning on her sister for advice when it comes to winning on this stage.

Add in the fact that Fox has a fair few medals to her name already, including a silver at the 2022 World Cup in this event and she is a great chance in the final here.

If we were just looking for a winning tip in this one, the play would be Armand Duplantis to win gold at the meagre odds of $1.02, but that’s not really offering a lot of value.

Not to mention, the Swede is that good I’m not willing to take the defending champion in this event on.

Where there is value is backing the Greek pole vaulter to finish in the medals.

Just under two months ago, Karalis finished as the runner up to the Duplantis in the European Championships with a PB of 5.87m.

His main competition for a medal will come from outside of Europe in the form of Sam Kendricks and Ernest Obiena.

While both of those have better PBs than the Greek vaulter, his recent form competing against the best in the world should put him in good stead ahead of this competition.

It is a bit of a basic pick, taking America to win a gold medal in a basketball but they have played themselves into a nice bit of form throughout the pool stage.

Admittedly it looked like it was all collapsing in a heap when they lost to Germany, Azerbaijan and Australia before rattling off four straight wins to qualify for the play in game against China, which they won 21-13.

Up next in the Semi Final is a Spanish team they defeated 17-11 in the pool stag and from there it is a Gold Medal game against either Canada or Germany.

DAY 9 – Sunday 4 August

Having just missed a medal in this event in Tokyo, Kopecky will want to ensure she not only makes the podium but is on the top step after a very impressive build up.

The reigning World Champion in the Road Race event, she brings strong form into this event with a win in both the Time Trial and Road Race at the Belgian Championships.

Not to mention finishing on top of the points classification and second in the overall classification in the Giro D’Italia this year.

Add in wins in the Paris-Roubiax, Strade Bianche and Nokere Korese and she is the clear pick for this event.

This event was admittedly a lot more fun to watch when it was Kieran Perkins and then Grant Hackett dominating the pool, but in the meantime, there is still value to be had.

As strange as it may seem taking an Irish swimmer to win gold, Wiffen has already won the gold in the 800m in Paris.

That has set him up well to repeat the double from the World Championships in Doha earlier this year where he took out both long distance events.

This field is no tougher than the one he beat on that day and the Irishman should be celebrating once again here.

The true marquee event from the track rounds out the Saturday evening action in Paris and this is shaping up as a blockbuster, albeit a short one unlike most major movie blockbusters these days.

Frankly you won’t find a better nine and a bit seconds of entertainment anywhere and the market has this as a race of two.

Kishane Thompson of Jamaica is a slight favourite in this market although he was battling injuries in the last year, but his 9.77s personal best time cannot be ignored.

However I’m going with Noah Lyles, who is admittedly more of a 200m specialist but he has the experience and did set a new PB at this distance of 9.81 in London only a couple of weeks ago.

Take the form and back the American to win gold.

DAY 8 – Saturday 3 August

Perhaps the second biggest road race to occur on the streets of France in the last two months will kick off our Saturday tips.

Dutch rider Mathieu van der Pol will start as favourite and there has already been a drop in price since the Tour de France wrapped up.

It is going to be an interesting race to track with plenty of riders modifying their normal allegiances to ride for their countrymen.

That is where van der Pol could benefit from the familiarity of having Jasper Philipsen on his side given the two ride together for Alpecin-Deceunink.

Having won the 2023 World Road Race Championship with a similar build up through Le Tour, he is well placed to strike in this event here.

Caleb Dressel already has one gold medal to his name in Paris at publish and there is value to be had on the dual stroke threat.

He was part of the victorious 4x100m Freestyle Relay team and could add to that tally with an individual award here.

Not only is he a very good swimmer, but he only seems to win gold at the games.

All eight of his medals have come from finishing first and he is going to be tough to beat here.

The reigning European triple jump champion is going to have a massive battle to win gold here, but her price to win a medal makes that a good value bet from the track and field events.

She finished third in Tokyo and has medalled at the World Indoor Championships in this event too.

While a gold would be what she is hoping for, anywhere on the podium will do for us.

DAY 7 – Friday 2 August

While the British team will start as favourites in the final of this event, there is value to be head on the reigning champions.

Croatian duo Martin and Valent Sinkovic have no shortage of experience and look well placed based on their improvement over the heats and semis.

They won the slowest of the three heats with the fifth fastest overall time before posting an almost six second improvement to win their semi.

It was the second fastest overall time behind the Romanians who won the other race setting up for a very interesting final on Friday night.

With the Croatians on the second line of betting, that’s where the value can be found in this event.

This is going to be a competitive event, but even so the price on Bryony Page to at least get on the podium looks rather high.

She has managed to finish amongst the medals in her two previous games appearances so far with a silver in Rio and a bronze in Tokyo.

Since that third place finish, she has won gold in the 2021 and 2023 World Championships to go with a silver in the 2022 event.

Page is definitely not the fourth best trampolinist in this field, instead she is solid value at her current price.

The 30-year-old Queenslander is still chasing his first individual medal at the games having picked up a trio of relay bronze’s from his trips to Rio and Tokyo.

But on the back of a World Championship gold in this event in 2023 and a silver earlier this year, he may never have a better chance.

As the market favourite for this race, McEvoy is going to have to deal with the weight of expectation but he is deserving of that status.

DAY 6 – Thursday 1 August

There is only one choice in this market and it is the Spanish favourite Alvaro Martin, who is heading to his fourth career games.

In 2012 he did not finish the race in London, 2016 saw him finish in 22^nd place and in 2021 he just missed the podium by a mere 18 seconds.

This time around though, the 30-year-old is heading into this event as the reigning European and World Champion, setting a PB in Budapest last year with a blistering 1:17.32.

Paris might be his best and last chance to take out the gold on this stage.

This is not the biggest price you will find in the swimming events, but getting even $1.50 (at publish) for the Canadian star is enough to include in the day’s best bets.

And when it comes to punting in an event like this, you have to take the value when it is there.

McIntosh has already won gold in the 400m IM and pushed Ariane Titmus in the 400m freestyle and now she will compete in her preferred stroke in Paris.

She should be much shorter in price and a drop would not surprise at all.

Murphy had to settle for bronze in the 100m backstroke but will start as favourite in the 200m this time around.

If that was not enough motivation for the 29-year-old, he will no doubt remember the feeling of winning this event in Rio and also the frustration of having to settle for silver in Tokyo.

In international championships he has finished first or second in this race in every event since 2016 and this should be no different.

DAY 5 – Wednesday 31 July

The top ranked triathlete in the world is heading into probably the biggest event of his career as a surprising outsider given his recent form.

At $11.00 to win outright, there is some solid value to be had backing him to land on the dais in his home Games.

With the crowd likely backing him from the outset, he looks well placed to add to his 18 career podium finishes.

The American rider is out to improve on her silver medal from Tokyo and based on her lead up form in the World Championships, she’s a deserving favourite in the market here.

She has taken out gold in each of the last three events, including the 2021 title in Montpelier.

Her main competition will come from fellow American Perris Benegas but if Roberts is locked in then nobody is going to be able to stop her.

Every single Aussie will be watching Jess Fox as she aims to defend her gold from Tokyo, but there is other value to be found in this market.

Germany’s canoeing program has produced medals in both women’s slalom events in Tokyo and their main contender here is Elena Lilik.

The 25 year old is no stranger to the podium over the last three years, earning a handful of medals over the last three years.

While we are all hoping it’s Jess Fox on the podium, there is value to be had backing the German to join her up there.

Marchand already has one gold to his name in this swimming program and is favoured to add a second in what could be a big night for him.

This is the first of two finals he is expected to contest in the space of an hour and with a couple of World Championships victories in the 200 fly to his name, why not back the hometown hero to add another one to his resume.

This could be his event for a long time to come and at just 22 years of age, he is quickly emerging as one of the stars of this fortnight.

DAY 4 – Tuesday 30 July

We know that barring some wild, unforeseen circumstances the Americans will be taking home the gold medal.

At $1.05 and boasting an all-star roster, it’s not worth taking them on but the battle for the silver and bronze keeps this event interesting from a competitive standpoint.

Even at under even money I love the value on offer for the British team, they look very well situated to prevent the Americans from having all the highlights and should be able to add the medal tally for all four nations that make up the British team.

They’ve done it before and could very well do it again, the Aussie women’s team will start as a clear favourite in their Semi Final against Canada.

Without sounding incredibly overconfident, they are a much better team than the Canadians and should get through to the final, which is where the difficulty will ramp up tenfold.

New Zealand should breeze past the Americans in the other final four matchup and these teams are much closer matches than the current odds suggest.

With breakout star Maddie Levi looking dangerous and a few other players hoping to rekindle the spark from Rio in 2016, they are a great chance to knock off the Kiwis, a feeling we haven’t had a lot of in the seven or 15 player version of rugby lately.

The Aussie with the creative vocabulary gave us one of the best moments in Tokyo when she did the 100m-200m backstroke double.

In the early hours of Wednesday morning (AEST) she will take on the first part of that title defence and start as second favourite behind Regan Smith from the American team.

Smith set the World Record in the US qualifiers and earned Lane 4 with a solid 57.97 in the semis, however McKeown was just 0.02 behind her and both have room to improve.

At this price, it’s time to let a little bit of patriotism sink in and back McKeown to make it back to back golds in this event.

DAY 3 – Monday 29 July

At just 22 years of age, Janssen has to deal with the weight of expectation heading into this event as the favourite, but it is a status she has earned.

Janssen earned her spot on the back of her strong showing at the European Championship where she won gold in the rifle, mixed team and trio women fields.

Look for her to fire here in Paris and get off to a winning start.

In some of the gymnastics events, China will be starting as a very short priced favourite however they have a bit of competition in this team event market.

Three years ago they had to settle for the bronze medal, however with the changes in the field, they should be able to leapfrog Japan and pick up the gold here.

They have a strong team that is expected to feature on the podium in the individual events and that bodes well for their prospects here.

The market is expecting gold for Australia in this marquee event, it’s just a question over whose neck it will be draped around after the race.

Defending champion Ariane Titmus shattered the world record in the trials back in June and looks primed for another big week in the Paris pool.

Her main rival is Mollie O’Callaghan who, probably much to her own frustration, also set a time that would have broken the world record in the final… were it not for Titmus.

That is the sort of result you remember and Titmus should be able to defend her crown in Paris.

DAY 2 – Sunday 28 July

Serbian sharpshooter Arunovic heads into the opening weekend’s shooting event on the fourth line of betting at $6.50 to win gold.

While she is yet to medal at the games, she has finished on the podium in three of the last four World Championships, including a win in 2010.

However backing her to win outright and upset Chinese superstar and market favourite Jiang Ranxin might be a bit optimistic, however there is solid value backing Arunovic to win a medal.

Easily the best bet of the night, Aussie Jessica Fox will start favourite on her return to her country of berth (but she’s an Aussie so we’re claiming her anyway).

The K1 is her pet event (well, one of them) and she is all set to finally break through in the event she has won a silver and two bronze medals at over the last three games.

What better way to start off her competition in France.

The tournament could not have begun in worse fashion for the Aussies, outplayed by a German side that could have won by more had they not been so wasteful.

In what might be the sporting understatement of the year, the comments out of the Australian camp all acknowledge the fact they need to play better in match number two.

Perhaps the only thing working in their favour is the fact Zambia is the easiest team they will face in the tournament.

However it is tough to see them improving enough to completely eradicate the goal difference blow they suffered on Friday morning.

Australia should win, but probably not by a lot.

Frenchman Leon Marchand is an unbackable $1.01 to take out gold in his home country, but this does not look like an automatic win for the hometown hero.

The 22 year old American Carson Foster is a much better chance than his $8.00 quote suggests.

Foster won this event at the US Trials barely a month ago and any improvement should see him in the mix for gold.

It’s been a rough start to the tournament for the Canadians with the coach Bev Priestman sent home after being caught in a Marcelo Bielsa style spying incident.

That tends to produce one of two extreme results, with the team either rallying around the issue as a point of motivation, or they will collapse in a heap.

While they did knock off New Zealand (the team they were watching with a drone) first up, France is a whole different beast.

They flew out to a 3-0 lead over Colombia before halftime before holding on after a late rally, but that should serve as a wake up call for the 2023 World Cup Quarter Finalists.

France are the better team and should book a spot in the knockout stage with a comfortable win here.

DAY 1 – Saturday 27 July

There has already been a plunge on the American in this market, dropping from $1.99 earlier in the week and that might drop even further by the time she starts on Saturday evening (AEST).

She will face some competition from Ellen van Dijk and Aussie Grace Brown in this event, but the 27-year-old has set some lofty ambitions for her time in Paris.

Even with the price drop, there’s still some value to be had on her taking out the first cycling gold medal.

With two contenders in this event, Australia should find a way onto the podium through Sam Short and/or Elijah Winnington but it’s tough to go past the German here.

He brings some winning form into this event, posting an impressive 3:40.33 to take out the national titles back in April and looks primed for a big showing in Paris.

It has been a long time since German man took out a gold medal in the pool (36 years in fact), but Martens might just break their duck in the opening medal event of the program.

This is not the best value on offer but it might be one of the more straightforward trifectas in the entire swimming program.

We have three main contenders, then the rest of the field and given the setup for each of the big three, it seems unlikely they will fall over on Day 1.

It’s the defending champion Ariane Titmus the clear favourite and she should successfully retain her spot on top of the podium.

But at $1.35 there is more value to be extracted from this market in the form of a Same Game Multi.

If you want to go super specific the Titmus-McIntosh-Ledecky correct order SGM is paying $3.76 and the Titmus-Ledecky-McIntosh option is at $3.99.

But rather than trying to nail it outright, backing the Canadian and American superstars to just get on the podium is enough to get it over even money.

Perhaps this might be the time to get all patriotic and say that the upstart Aussies are going to knock off those arrogant Americans… but the USA are $1.20 in this market for a very good reason.

That’s not to say it will be a walkover but the value isn’t there to back an outright upset.

However taking the Aussies to finish in the top two (and still enjoy the victory if they do pull it off) looks like the value in this market.

They have brought a strong team to Paris and should be able to walk away from this event with at least a silver medal.