2018/2019 EPL Week 14 Preview

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This is one of those weekends where it is great to be a Premier League fan.

Saturday night will surely throw up some surprises as Week 14 builds to a crescendo with a phenomenal Sunday of local derbies.

It starts off with a London Derby featuring… one big side as Chelsea hosts Fulham before Arsenal face Tottenham at the Emirates all in the build up to Liverpool and Everton.

Read on for our previews, predictions and same game multis for all ten Premier League fixtures this weekend.

Cardiff Vs Wolverhampton

Saturday 1 December, 7:00am, Cardiff Stadium

Cardiff 2 – Wolves 1

For the second straight week, Cardiff are involved in the first game on the Premier League schedule.

Honours have been evenly split between these clubs over the last four years with each side winning four meetings in the Championship.

Wolves have picked up eight points from their six away games so far with a perfectly symmetrical two wins, two draws and two losses so far.

Cardiff have picked up seven of their eight points at home but Wolves should have the quality to see them off here.

Back Wolves to Win @ $2.05

SGM: Wolves to Win, Over 2.5 Goals, Raul Jiminez Anytime Goalscorer

Crystal Palace Vs Burnley

Sunday 2 December, 2:00am, Selhurst Park

Palace 2 – Burnley 0

Goals remain a huge problem for Crystal Palace but if there was ever a week to shake off those issues, this is it.

Burnley have one of the leakiest defences in the Premier League but the but question remains, who can score the goals here?

Palace haven’t been shipping goals freely and did keep a clean sheet at Old Trafford last week so don’t expect a whole lot of highlights from this contest.

Back Under 1.5 Goals @ $2.55

SGM: Under 2.5 Goals, Burnley Halftime/Fulltime

Huddersfield Town Vs Brighton and Hove Albion

Sunday 2 December, 2:00am, John Smith’s Stadium

Huddersfield 1 – Brighton 2

An Aussie focused derby in the Premier League this weekend, with Aaron Mooy’s Huddersfield trying to keep their head above water when they take on Mat Ryan’s Brighton.

Last season it was Mooy’s side who emerged victorious overall, winning at home and drawing away.

Things haven’t been all that smooth for the Terriers so far, but a huge 2-0 win last week will give them confidence to continue that run of form here.

This game looks like it will be a tightly fought contest and when you consider eight of the last ten meetings have had two or fewer goals, that is a prudent play here.

Back Both Teams to Score (No) @ $1.70

SGM: Under 2.5 Goals, Draw, Both Teams to Score (No)

Leicester City Vs Watford

Sunday 2 December, 2:00am, King Power Stadium

Leicester 2 – Watford 0

Both teams would love to finish this weekend in the top ten however a loss in this fixture could see Leicester drop out.

Over the last two seasons you could pick this game purely on whose stadium this was being played at.

Leicester has won all three Premier League meetings at the King Power Stadium and while Watford are a tough out, there is no reason to think this game won’t be any different.

Back Leicester to Win @ $2.20

SGM: Leicester to Win, Over 2.5 Goals, Jamie Vardy Anytime Goalscorer

Manchester City Vs Bournemouth

Sunday 2 December, 2:00am, Etihad Stadium

Manchester City 3 – Bournemouth 1

Things don’t get much easier for Bournemouth, after last week’s clash with Arsenal, they get to face the defending Champions who are coming off a huge win away to West Ham.

These sides have met six times in the Premier League and the form line is about as ugly as you could expect from two sides with such a gulf in class.

City have won all six encounters, with Bournemouth scoring a grand total of two goals in that time.

For the record City have piled up 21 goals in those six fixtures and have won to nil on four occasions.

In terms of the punting markets, there isn’t a lot of value in City to win (as expected) so it just comes down to whether you expect Bournemouth to score. If not back City to win to nil, otherwise look at the handicap market for value.

Back Manchester City to Win -2 Goals @ $1.80

SGM: City to Win, Over 3.5 Goals, Sergio Aguero Anytime Goalscorer

Newcastle Vs West Ham

Sunday 2 December, 2:00am, St James’ Park

Newcastle 0 – West Ham 3

Newcastle comes into this game on a four-game unbeaten run while West Ham would love to bounce back from their defeat against Manchester City here.

This game will be pivotal for the Magpies as they look to improve on what has been a pretty poor home record so far, winning just two of their seven games to this point.

A vital win last week brought them level with the other teams in the relegation zone and a win could vault them out of it.

Helping that cause is the confidence that has come from winning three in a row and four of their last five against West Ham.

Even with those numbers favouring the home team, neither side has shown a whole lot of reason to feel that confident in anything other than a draw here.

Back the Draw @ $3.10

SGM: Draw, Ciaran Clark Anytime Goalscorer, Chicharito Anytime Goalscorer

Southampton Vs Manchester United

Sunday 2 December, 4:30am, St Mary’s Stadium

Southampton 2 – Manchester United 2

Southampton have been a frustrating opponent for Manchester United over the last few seasons.

Since 2013/2014, they have been able to take points off United in six of the 10 Premier League meetings and have only lost by more than one goal once in that span.

Continuing on that line of form does look rather tough here with no wins at home so far this season, while United have won three of seven on the road.

Outside of their derby loss United have been in good form lately and should be able to come away with a low scoring win here.

Back Under 2.5 Goals @ $1.91

SGM: Man United to Win, Under 2.5 Goals

Chelsea Vs Fulham

Sunday 2 December, 11:00pm, Stamford Bridge

Chelsea 2 – Fulham 0

The first derby of the day might not carry the history or the ferocity of the next two, but it still is going to be a nice way to get into a big night of action.

Chelsea and Fulham face off for the first time since March 2014 and the 84th time overall and recent history is not pretty reading for Caludio Ranieri’s side.

Fulham’s last win in this fixture was in 2006 with Chelsea winning 10 games since, including the last three straight.

Perhaps there will be some comfort in Fulham’s ability to pick up seven draws in that span but anything other than a big Chelsea win would be a major shock.

Back Chelsea to Win -2 Goals @ $2.15

SGM: Chelsea to Win, Over 2.5 Chelsea Goals

Arsenal Vs Tottenham

Monday 3 December, 1:05am, Emirates Stadium

Arsenal 4 – Tottenham 2

Arsenal’s unbeaten run is flat out impressive, even if some of the results were harder to come by than they should have been.

Here they face another test of their top four credentials as Tottenham come to the Emirates fresh off a dominant win over Chelsea.

The Gunners have not lost a Premier League game at the Emirates since opening day but have been held to draws the last two times they have played in front of their home fans.

With an away heavy early season schedule, Tottenham have played eight of their 12 matches away from home and won an impressive seven of those eight.

They do have an extra 24 hours rest compared to their rivals, but that is one of the benefits of being in the Champions League instead of the Europa League, however Arsenal are more likely to rotate midweek travelling to the Ukraine.

In short this game looks like it will be very close and while Arsenal have a slight edge in the market, a draw is the best value play here.

Back the Draw @ $3.60

SGM: Draw, Both Teams to Score, Harry Kane Anytime Goalscorer

Liverpool Vs Everton

Monday 3 December, 3:15am, Anfield

Liverpool 1 – Everton 0

Liverpool enters the 283rd Merseyside Derby as clear favourites as they try to claim win number 119 in this fixture.

Everton were one of the few teams in the Premier League last season to not lose against Liverpool, drawing both the home and away matches (although they did lose when they met in the FA Cup).

It will be a big ask for Everton to pick up anything at all from this one as Liverpool have conceded just one goal at home all season, and the only opponent to take points off them were Manchester City.

With all due respect to the blue half of Merseyside, they are not on the same level as Manchester and while they can and will cause Liverpool some problems, expect a red-letter day here.

Back Liverpool to Win to Nil @ $2.40

SGM: Liverpool to Win, Under 2.5 Goals, Mo Salah Anytime Goalscorer


2017/2018

The first midweek round of the Premier League is upon us with Round 14 and squad depth becomes infinitely more important.

For the top six sides, midweek rotation is nothing new thanks to their continental commitments.

For those looking to experience the luxury of those footballing first world problems, this is the perfect opportunity to establish that they are where they belong.

Brighton And Hove Albion Vs Crystal Palace

Wednesday 29 November, 6:45am, Amex Stadium

A cruel way to lose a point against Manchester United as Brighton scored an own goal to go down to Jose Mourinho’s side.

Palace are looking much better under Roy Hodgson and got a win against Stoke to give themselves a chance of being off the bottom of the table in December.

A draw will not be enough to get them off the bottom of the table in this round but that is the tip for this game.

Back the Draw @ $3.00

Leicester City Vs Tottenham Hotspur

Wednesday 29 November, 6.45am, King Power Stadium

When these sides met in May, Spurs ran riot at the King Power Stadium.

Cruising to a 6-1 victory despite being eliminated from title contention just a few days earlier.

Harry Kane would love to replicate his goal scoring touch of that night when he netted four times.

While that may be an optimistic target, one goal and a victory for Tottenham is achievable.

Back Harry Kane to score and Tottenham to Win @ $2.40

Watford Vs Manchester United

Wednesday 29 November, 7.00am, Vicarage Road

Watford managed to claim a 3-1 upset victory in the corresponding fixture last September however outside of that, the history between these teams favours United.

Watford’s last win prior to 2016 came 20 years prior in September 1986.

While United current winning streak might not go another two decades, they should be able to extend it in to 2018 at least.

Back Manchester United to Win to Nil @ $2.88

West Bromwich Albion Vs Newcastle United

Wednesday 29 November, 7.00am, The Hawthorns

Newcastle have lost four straight, scoring just once in that run and their most recent 3-0 defeat at the hands of Watford will not help their confidence at all.

West Brom are not fairing that much better although they have scored three goals in their last five games, including a shock draw against Tottenham.

With the form line looking the way it is, there are not a whole lot of appealing plays here.

NO BET

Arsenal Vs Huddersfield Town

Thursday 30 November, 6:45am, Emirates Stadium

Arsenal have a great record against newly promoted sides and Huddersfield will face a stern test when they travel to the Emirates Thursday morning.

Huddersfield have lost three of their last four including a heartbreaker to Manchester City at home on the weekend.

While there will be some rotation for the Gunners they will have the quality to get by a side they are much better than.

Back Arsenal to win -1 goal @ $3.50

Bournemouth Vs Burnley

Thursday 30 November, 6:45am, Goldsands Stadium

Burnley will be feeling pretty hard done by with another stoppage time loss to Arsenal at the weekend however they will feel pretty confident about bouncing back with a win at Bournemouth.

They have not found themselves three points off the top four by accident and should get the job done away from home.

Back Burnley to Win @ $3.80

Chelsea Vs Swansea City

Thursday 30 November, 6:45am, Stamford Bridge

Things are not looking great for Swansea right now as they try and get themselves out of the relegation scrap.

Swansea fought to a 0-0 draw to end a winless run but this is a big step up from Bournemouth.

Chelsea will be quite happy after their last gasp draw against Liverpool at the weekend.

That result ended their four-match winning run however they will not be too upset about having to settle for a point when looking at the big picture.

It is two sides going in opposite directions here and the scoreline will reflect that imbalance.

Back Chelsea to Win -2 Goals @ $2.45

Everton Vs West Ham United

Thursday 30 November, 7.00am, Goodison Park

Both sides are in desperate need of a win here but the history between these two sides suggest it might be both sides leaving frustrated with just a draw.

Their last six meetings in all competitions are perfectly split with two wins each plus two draws.

This game has all the makings of another evenly split contest.

Back the Draw @ $3.20

Manchester City Vs Southampton

Thursday 30 November, 7:00am, Etihad Stadium

They style points might have dried up just a bit for City when they aren’t blowing teams out of the water by five goals, but they are still rolling on.

They go for their thirteenth win of the season against Southampton who are not exactly leaking goals, but City should find a way to get by comfortably.

Back Manchester City to Win & Over 3.5 Goals @ $2.15

Stoke City Vs Liverpool

Thursday 30 November, 7:00am, Bet365 Stadium

Four straight wins for Liverpool in this fixture although they have not done it easily when playing at Stoke’s home ground.

They have come away the last two times with one goal wins and it would not be a big surprise if they have to scrap here too.

Expect both sides for find the back of the net but Liverpool to get by.

Back Liverpool to Win & Both Teams to Score @ $2.90

 


Manchester City and Chelsea are leading contenders in the race for the English Premier League title this season and they will do battle in a crucial contest this weekend.

Everton have been somewhat of a bogey side for Manchester United in the past decade and they will meet at Goodison Park this weekend, while West Ham will host Arsenal at the Olympic Stadium.

Throw in interesting clashes between Crystal Palace and Southampton as well as the promoted Middlesbrough and Hull City and it is another very big weekend of English Premier League action.

Manchester City Vs Chelsea

Saturday December, 11:30pm, Etihad Stadium

Manchester City 1 - Chelsea 3

This is easily the biggest game of the weekend and could prove crucial when we reach the business end of the season.

Chelsea have won seven games on the trot, but it is Manchester City that will go into this clash as clear favourites.

Manchester City did not look particularly good against either Crystal Palace or Burnley and their record as home favourites over the past 12 months is a disappointing 9-5-3.

Chelsea have conceded just one goal in their past seven games and there is no doubt that they are the form team in the English Premier League.

They have won just one of their past four games as away underdogs, but they gave drawn two of these clashes and backing the draw in their fixtures over the past 12 months has been highly profitable.

This is set to be an outstanding game of football and the draw really does stand out at the current price of $3.40.

Back The Draw @ $3.40

Crystal Palace Vs Southampton

Sunday 4 December, 2:00am, Selhurst Park

Crystal Palace 3 - Southampton 0

Crystal Palace have lost six games on the trot and it is no surprise that Southampton will start this clash as clear favourites.

Southampton ground out a narrow victory over Everton last weekend, but their results as away favourites don’t expire a great deal of confidence – they are 3-1-4 as away favourites.

Crystal Palace’s defence has been truly horrendous in recent weeks and how they managed to lose that clash with Swansea City last weekend I will never know.

They have lost their past six games as home underdogs and they are an extremely tough to trust from a betting perspective.

This is a game that the market looks to have got just about right and I am more than happy to stay out of this clash from a betting standpoint.

No Bet

Stoke City Vs Burnley

Sunday 4 December, 2:00am, Britannia Stadium

Stoke City 2 - Burnley 0

Stoke City returned to winning form against Watford last weekend and they will go into this clash with Burnley as clear favourites.

Stoke have won five of their past ten games as home favourites over the past 12 months and they are 5-6-1 on the back of a win.

Burnley were far from disgraced against Manchester City and a repeat of that effort would have them right in this clash.

They have lost four of their past five games as away underdogs for a clear loss and their record away from home is very poor.

Stoke should be able to make it two wins on the trot, but there is no value at their current price and this is another game that I am happy to stay out of from a betting standpoint.

No Bet

Sunderland Vs Leicester City

Sunday 4 December, 2:00am, Stadium Of Light

Sunderland 2 - Leicester City 1

Leicester City have not won a game in the English Premier League for over a month, but they will still go into this clash as clear favourites.

It is fair to say that they have struggled during their title defence, but they have still won three of their past six games as away favourites for a narrow profit.

Sunderland had their winning run ended by Liverpool last weekend and their record against Leicester City is poor.

They have won only two of their past 10 games as home underdogs for a clear loss and they have really struggled against the best teams in the competition.

Leicester City have an excellent chance to return to winning form and anything better than even money is an excellent bet.

Back Leicester City To Win @ $2.15

Tottenham Hotspur Vs Swansea City

Sunday 4 December, 2:00am, White Hart Lane

Tottenham Hotspur 5 - Swansea City 0

Tottenham Hotspur had their unbeaten run ended by Chelsea last weekend, but they will still start this clash as clear favourites.

Tottenham have won nine of their past 16 games as home favourites for a loss and they have drawn four games in this scenario.

Swansea City returned to winning form with their stunning victory over Crystal Palace last weekend and they are sure to take plenty of confidence from that performance.

They have won just three of their past 17 games as away underdogs for a profit, but they are clearly tough to trust from a betting standpoint.

Tottenham are clearly the team to beat in this clash, but there is no value at their current quote.

West Bromwich Albion Vs Watford

Sunday 4 December, 2:00am, The Hawthorns

West Bromwich Albion 3 - Watford 1

West Bromwich Albion have found form in the past month and they have won two of their past three games, while they drew with Hull City last weekend.

They will go into this clash as clear favourites and home favourtism is not a position in which they have thrived over the past 12 months – they have won just two of their past eight games in this scenario.

Watford suffered a disappointing loss at the hands of Stoke City and stringing together victories has really proven to be a problem for the side this weekend.

The Hornets have won four of their past 16 games as away underdogs for a narrow loss, but they are still excellent value against a West Bromwich Albion side that have been overrated by the market.

I maintain that Watford are one of the most underrated sides in the English Premier League and they are great value at their current price this weekend.

Back Watford To Win @ $3.50

West Ham United Vs Arsenal

Sunday 4 December, 4:30am, Olympic Stadium

West Ham 1 - Arsenal 5

Arsenal returned to winning form with comfortable victory over Bournemouth and they will start this clash as clear favourites.

Arsenal have won seven of their past 13 games as away favourites for a very small loss and their record against West Ham in this scenario is excellent.

West Ham have not won in over a month, but they were able to defend strongly against Manchester United last weekend and they were able to beat Arsenal last season.

The Gunners have won four of their past seven games as home underdogs for a clear profit and they have lost just one game in this scenario over the past 12 months.

West Ham are a better chance in this clash than their current odds suggest and I am willing to take the gamble on them at the big price.

Back West Ham To Win @ $4.33

Bournemouth Vs Liverpool

Monday 5 December, 12:30pm, Goldsands Stadium

Bournemouth 4 - Liverpool 3

Liverpool maintained their unbeaten run with a solid victory over Sunderland and they are clear favourites to make it two wins on the trot.

Liverpool have added a more ruthless streak this season and they continue to improve their record from a betting perspective, but they have still only won seven of their past 15 games as away favourites.

Bournemouth were no match for Arsenal last weekend and they face an equally tough assignment against Liverpool.

They generally save their best form for their home fans and their record as home underdogs is a positive 3-1-4 over the past 12 months.

Bournemouth are the type of side that can frustrate Liverpool and the $2.20 for the Bournemouth/Draw Double chance is worth a small investment this weekend.

Back Bournemouth To Win & Draw Double Chance @ $2.20

Everton Vs Manchester United

Monday 5 December, 3:00am, Goodison Park

Everton 1 - Manchester United 1

The pressure continues to build on Jose Mourinho and Manchester United, but they will still start this clash as clear favourites.

Manchester United have won their past two games against Everton, but Everton have made a habit of upstaging their rivals in recent years.

The Red Devils have won just four of their past 11 games as away favourites for a clear loss, while they have won two of their past five games against Everton in this scenario.

Everton’s form has fallen off a cliff following their strong start to the season and it has been over a month since they were able to get the job done.

They have failed to win their past three games as home underdogs, but they were able to take a point from two of these games.

I am always happy to take on Manchester United this season and Everton are more than capable of taking a point from this fixture.

Back The Draw @ $3.25

Middlesbrough Vs Hull City

Tuesday 6 December, 7:00am, Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough 1 - Hull City 0

Middlesbrough are another team that have not won in the English Premier League for over a month, but they will still start this clash as clear favourites.

Middlesbrough do not have a great deal of experience as favourites and their record in front of their home fans this season has been very poor.

Hull City were able to take a point from their clash with West Bromwich Albion and they will likely look to frustrate Middlesbrough with their typically grinding defensive effort.

They have won just one of their past six games as away underdogs for a clear loss and they are a tough team to trust from a betting perspective.

This is a game that I am more than happy to stay out of from a betting standpoint.

No Bet