2018/2019 EPL Week 23 Preview


Arsenal Vs Chelsea

Sunday 20 January, 2:00am, Emirates Stadium

Bournemouth Vs West Ham

Sunday 20 January, 2:00am, Vitality Stadium

Fulham Vs Tottenham

Sunday 20 January, 2:00am, Craven Cottage

Huddersfield Town Vs Manchester City

Sunday 20 January, 2:00am, John Smith’s Stadium

Liverpool Vs Crystal Palace

Sunday 20 January, 2:00am, Anfield

Manchester United Vs Brighton And Hove Albion

Sunday 20 January, 2:00am, Old Trafford

Newcastle Vs Cardiff

Sunday 20 January, 2:00am, St James’ Park

Southampton Vs Everton

Sunday 20 January, 2:00am, St Mary’s Stadium

Watford Vs Burnley

Sunday 20 January, 2:00am, Vicarage Road

Wolverhampton Vs Leicester City

Sunday 20 January, 2:00am, Molineux Stadium


After the last few weeks it will be nice to return to some sort of normalcy in the Premier League with a standard weekend of fixtures back on the cards.

Presumably the players will be glad to be out of the festive season with only three Premier League sides not coming off at least six days of rest.

Manchester City were involved with midweek League Cup action and face another stern test of their undefeated season with a trip to the Coutinho-less Liverpool.

Chelsea Vs Leicester

Sunday 14 January, 2:00am, Stamford Bridge

Outside of Leicester’s title winning season, this fixture has been one way traffic for the last fifteen years with every other meeting being won by Chelsea including a 2-1 win at the King Power Stadium.

Stamford Bridge has been a productive venue for Chelsea as per usual with eight wins from eleven league matches there.

Leicester have taken points from seven of their away games but their matches tend to be relatively high scoring with eighteen goals both for and against in those matches.

As long as Alvaro Morata is not missing his shooting boots like he was against Arsenal last week, Chelsea should be able to stroll to a comfortable high scoring victory.

Back Chelsea to Win & Over 3.5 Goals @ $3.25

Crystal Palace Vs Burnley

Sunday 14 January, 2:00am, Selhurst Park

Despite Palace’s recent surge in form, Burnley will be happy to visit Selhurst Park with three straight league wins over the Clarets.

Last season Burnley won at this venue 2-0 and managed a 1-0 home victory back in September.

Five games without a win has seen them drift from the expected big boys however with Arsenal struggling for form but a win here could bring them back to within one point and help keep Leicester at a comfortable distance.

Palace managed to string together plenty of big results throughout December and are more than capable of winning this as well so with such an equal game on paper, take the draw here.

Back the Draw @ $3.10

Huddersfield Vs West Ham United

Sunday 14 January, 2:00am, Kirklees Stadium

West Ham won the first match between these sides in twenty years with a 2-0 win at the Olympic Stadium in September.

With two wins and two draws from their last five matches, including a big draw at home against Tottenham West Ham will be feeling confident going into this game.

Working against them though is their questionable form playing away from home winning just once this season against relegation battlers Stoke.

Huddersfield have taken points at home with four wins and four draws from their eleven matches and that has been a big reason why they are in eleventh place so far.

None of the out & out match results relly appeal here so instead I will recommend taking a game with a few goals here that could go either way.

Back Over 2.5 Goals @ $2.55

Newcastle Vs Swansea City

Sunday 14 January, 2:00am, St James’ Park

A relative dry spell for Newcastle against Swansea has come to an end with two straight wins in this fixture.

With just five points separating tenth from eighteenth every win is critical and a home game against the side at the bottom of the league is a huge opportunity for Rafael Benitez’s side.

They will need to turn around a poor home record which has six losses in front of their home fans.

Swansea did win their last game on the road with a surprise victory at Watford and they will want to take full advantage of this opportunity.

Even so I can’t in good faith recommend Swansea here and I do think Newcastle will be able to get by.

Back Newcastle to Win @ $1.91

Watford Vs Southampton

Sunday 14 January, 2:00am, Vicarage Road

One win in five for Watford including the aforementioned upset at the hands of Swansea and the side which bullied Arsenal into submission looks a long way away now.

Southampton have three losses in their last five and are hovering in seventeenth desperately needing any points they can get.

The big question for this match is whether or not either of these sides will find a the courage to go for it when they desperately need a win.

Watford seem to be the most likely side to do that and with the Saints producing some absolutely diabolical defending at times that may be the reason they go down here.

Back Watford to Win @ $2.35

West Bromwich Albion Vs Brighton and Hove Albion

Sunday 14 January, 2:00am, The Hawthorns

Brighton’s first team will be feeling well rested after a few of their players, including Socceroos keeper Mat Ryan was rested for their FA Cup tie last weekend.

With a loss and two draws in their last three outings, they will want to get back on track with the chance to get as high as tenth this weekend.

West Brom are tied on the bottom of the table with Stoke and lost 3-1 when they went to the Amex Stadium earlier this year.

They have won just twice this season, once at home to go with seven draws and three losses so they are not getting beaten at home but they aren’t getting vital wins either.

I don’t see them adding to their wins tally here despite their favouritism, instead the upset win away from home for what should be a rested Brighton side looks appealing.

Back Brighton to Win @ $4.00

Tottenham Vs Everton

Sunday 14 January, 4:30am, Wembley Stadium

When you compare Tottenham’s home form and Everton’s away form you can see that this game is only really going to go in one direction.

One win and five draws away from home this season for Everton plus six wins and four draws at Wembley show exactly why Spurs are heavy favourites in this contest.

Sam Allardyce will likely deploy a team that fits right into his stereotype of play and stagnate the Tottenham attack.

Even so, the likes of Harry Kane, Christian Eriksen and company should still be able to break down Everton’s wall and find a way to win this game.

Back Christian Eriksen to Score and Tottenham to Win @ $3.50

Bournemouth Vs Arsenal

Monday 15 January, 12:30am, Vitality Stadium

Something is not right with Arsenal at the moment where they seem to be content playing to the level of their opponent.

They have played out some exciting games drawing with Liverpool and Chelsea lately but had to battle past Crystal Palace and fight for a draw with West Brom.

Add in the upset loss in the FA Cup and you have plenty of warning signs about a potential upset here.

Based purely on the away from home they sit ninth on the table with just three wins and a negative goal difference.

Even so, Bournemouth has been a profitable matchup in the Premier League with four wins and a draw.

Their form is far too hard to ignore at the moment so if you are looking for one of the “big” clubs to go down this is the game to watch.

Back Bournemouth Win/Draw Double Chance @ $2.30

Liverpool Vs Manchester City

Monday 15 January, 3:00am, Anfield

We all remember the last game between these sides when City truly announced themselves as far & away the best side in England this year.

City romped to a 5-0 win at the Etihad after Saido Mane got a red card for kicking Ederson in the face ended City’s three game winless run against the Reds.

The loss of Gabriel Jesus will impact their attack however Sergio Aguero still looms as a potent attacking threat and after stumbling to a draw against Palace on New Year’s Eve, City will not want to drop any more points.

Back Manchester City to Win @ $2.15

Manchester United Vs Stoke City

Tuesday 16 January, 7:00am, Old Trafford

A quick look at the market suggest that this should be an easy win for United but the history between these sides suggests it might not be as straightforward.

The last three times these teams have met Stoke have been able to grab a draw with the three prior matches being split with a win each and another draw dating back to New Years’ Day 2015.

After notching seven straight wins at home, the derby loss to City began a run of meagre results at Old Trafford including back to back draws with Burnley and Southampton.

Of course Stoke’s away form is enough to take away any hope of a home form slump with one win and three draws when forced to travel.

Look for United to bounce back with a couple of late goals to get them home after an early scare.

Back Manchester United to Win & Over 2.5 Goals @ $1.70


We are set for a host of midweek fixtures in the English Premier League following a weekend of FA Cup action and the highly anticipated clash between Liverpool and Chelsea at Anfield is set to be an absolute ripper.

West Ham United will host Manchester City at the Olympic Stadium for the very first time, while Arsenal host Watford in a London Derby.

We have analysed every game in the English Premier League this weekend and you can find recommended bets for every single game below!

Bournemouth Vs Crystal Palace

Wednesday 1 February, 6:45am, Goldsands Stadium

Bournemouth 0 - Crystal Palace 2

It has been a tough few weeks for both these teams in the English Premier League, but it is Bournemouth that will start this clash as clear favourites.

Bournemouth have won just one of their past six games and they have won only four of their past nine games as home favourites for a clear loss.

Crystal Palace have not won in the EPL for almost two months and scoring goals has proven to be a real problem in recent weeks.

They have won just two of their past 16 games as away underdogs for a clear loss and they have been very tough to trust from a betting perspective in recent weeks.

This is a clash that the market looks to have got just about right and I am happy to stay out of this one.

No Bet

Arsenal Vs Watford

Wednesday 1 February, 6:45am, Emirates Stadium

Arsenal 1 - Watford 2

Arsenal are one of the shortest-price favourites in the English Premier League this week and they are dominant favourites to get the job done against Watford.

Arsenal have won four of their past five games in the EPL and they have proven too strong for Watford in their past three meetings.

The Gunners have won 13 of their past 18 games as home favourites for a clear profit and they are very tough to beat in this scenario.

It has been a while between wins for Watford and it doesn’t get any easier for them against Arsenal.

Watford have won four of their past 18 games as away underdogs for a clear loss and their record against the biggest teams in the competition has been particularly poor.

Arsenal should be able to get the job done comfortably and I would be surprised if Watford got on the score sheet.

Back Arsenal To Win To Nil @ $1.80

Burnley Vs Leicester City

Wednesday 1 February, 6:45am, Turf Moor

Burnley 1 - Leicester City 0

Leicester City are only narrow favourites to beat Burnley in this English Premier League clash – a true sign of how much they have struggled during their title defence.

Leicester City have suffered two heavy defeats in their past two games and they have won just one of their past seven games, but they have still proven a profitable betting option as away favourites.

Burnley have proven to be somewhat of a revelation in the English Premier League this season and their form in front of their home fans has been nothing short of outstanding.

They have won seven of their ten games this season as home underdogs for a huge profit and there has been no more profitable scenario in the EPL this season.

It is tough to have any faith in Leicester City whatsoever and Burnley are excellent value to record another win in front of their home fans.

Back Burnley To Win @ $2.90

Middlesbrough Vs West Bromwich Albion

Wednesday 1 February, 6:45am, Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough 1 - West Bromwich Albion 1

It has been a long time between wins for Middlesbrough, but they will still go into this clash as narrow favourites.

Middlesbrough have struggled in front of goal over the past few weeks and their record as home favourites is an unconvincing 3-2-3.

West Bromwich Albion have been somewhat of a surprise package in the EPL this season and they have won three of their past four games in impressive fashion.

The Baggies have taken a point from ten of their past 18 games as away underdogs for a clear profit and they really are exceptional value to make it two wins on the trot.

Back West Bromwich Albion To Win @ $3

Sunderland Vs Tottenham Hotspur

Wednesday 1 February, 6:45am, Stadium Of Light

Sunderland 0 - Tottenham 0

Tottenham really can’t afford to be losing these sort of games and they go into this clash as clear favourites.

Tottenham had their winning run ended before the week-off for the FA Cup, but they are still unbeaten in well over 12 months and are deserving of their status as clear favourites.

They have won seven of their past 12 games as away favourites for a clear profit and they have won seven of their past eight games against Sunderland.

Sunderland have lost six of their past eight games and it is tough to see them avoiding getting completely outclassed by this Tottenham side.

They have actually won three of their past 11 games as home underdogs for a profit, but it is very tough to trust them in this clash.

Tottenham should be able to get the job done comfortably, but there is no real value at their current price.

No Bet

Swansea City Vs Southampton

Wednesday 1 February, 6:45am, Liberty Stadium

Swansea City 2 - Southampton 1

Swansea City stunned Liverpool in their most recent EPL clash, but it is Southampton that will go into this game as clear favourites.

Southampton returned to winning form themselves with a strong effort against Leicester City, but they have still only won four of their past ten games as away favourites for a narrow loss.

Swansea City have struggled for consistency over the past 12 months and the fact that they are 2-3-6 on the back of a win in the past 12 months is a real concern.

The Welsh outfit have won just two of their past nine games as home underdogs for a clear loss and they have won just one of their past seven games against Swansea City.

This is another game that the market looks to have got just about right and there is no real value on offer.

No Bet

Liverpool Vs Chelsea

Wednesday 1 February, 7:00am, Anfield

Liverpool 1 - Chelsea 1

This is easily the biggest game of this matchday and is a crucial clash for Liverpool, who have had a horror start to 2017.

Liverpool dropped to fourth on the EPL Ladder following their shock loss to Swansea City and they have since been knocked out of both the League Cup and the FA Cup.

Liverpool will still start this clash as favourites and over the past 12 months they remain a losing betting proposition as home favourites – they have won ten of their past 17 games in this scenario for a loss.

Chelsea continue to be extremely difficult to score against and they now sit eight points clear at the top of the English Premier League ladder.

They have won only one of their past four games as away underdogs for a loss and they have not beaten Liverpool since 2014, but they remain the most reliable betting team in the English Premier League this season.

Liverpool are one team that are capable of breaking down the Chelsea defence, but I still think that it is the London-based side that will come away with the victory.

Back Both Teams To Score And Chelsea To Win @ $5.50

West Ham United Vs Manchester City

Thursday 2 February, 6:45am, Olympic Stadium

West Ham 0 - Manchester City 4

Manchester City have dropped to outside the top four and desperately need to win this clash to get themselves back into the title hunt.

Manchester City will start this clash as clear favourites, but their recent form has left a fair bit to be desired and they have won only eight of their past 15 games as away favourites for a clear loss.

The Dimitri Payet saga looks to be over for West Ham and it is fair to say that they have played much better football without him in recent weeks.

This is the toughest challenge that West Ham have faced for almost a month, but their record against Manchester City is fair and they have won two of their past six games as home underdogs for a profit.

Manchester City are obviously deserving favourites, but there is genuine value at the price currently on offer for a West Ham victory.

Back West Ham To Win @ $5.50

Manchester United Vs Hull City

Thursday 2 February, 7:00am, Old Trafford

Manchester United 0 - Hull City 0

Manchester United are the shortest-priced favourites of the week in the English Premier League and they really should have too much class for Hull City.

Manchester United have improved their record as home favourites over the past couple of months, but they have still been a losing betting proposition in this scenario.

Hull City have struggled badly away from home this season and they have won just one of their past 11 games as away underdogs.

Manchester United should win, but they generally have not recorded dominant victories over EPL minnows and the $2.50 available for under 2.5 goals is well over the odds.

Back Under 2.5 Goals @ $2.50

Stoke City Vs Everton

Thursday 2 February, 7:00am, Britannia Stadium

Stoke City 1 - Everton 1

There is very little splitting these two teams in betting, but it is Everton that will go into this clash as narrow favourites.

Everton have won four of their past five games – including an emphatic victory over Manchester City – and they have now won five of their past ten games as home favourites for a clear profit.

Stoke City are always tough to beat in front of their home fans at Britannia Stadium, but they have had just as much trouble winning games as the venue as home underdogs.

They have won just one of their past nine games in this scenario, but have managed to draw four of these games.

It is fair to say that Everton are a class above this Stoke City outfit and if they perform at anywhere near their best the price currently on offer will seem a steal.

Back Everton To Win @ $2.50