2024/2025 EPL Week 37 Preview

It’s the time of year when the maths skills of football fans around the world get tested with hypothetical scenarios galore.

That will be no different in this elongated Matchweek 37 of the Premier League, stretched out by Saturday night’s FA Cup Final between Manchester City and Crystal Palace.

City will be hoping it is a very successful week not just with the silverware on the line, but they are part of a crowded field of six clubs, battling for a lucrative Champions League spot next season.

They, alongside Arsenal and Newcastle could secure their spot this weekend with a win (or a combination of favourable results elsewhere) but it appears as though at least fifth place will need to be decided on the final day.

Find our previews and best bets for the penultimate weekend of Premier League action below.

Currently in sixth spot, Aston Villa could not have asked for a more favourable draw to close out the season and leapfrog their way up the table.

Not only do they face Europa League finalists Tottenham this weekend, five days before their season defining clash, but they have the other finalists Manchester United on the final day of the season, following three days of celebrations or commiserations.

It means their season is firmly in their own hands and it is unlikely that they will encounter a whole lot of resistance from a Spurs side with bigger fish to fry.

Ange Postecoglou’s men have taken a total of one point from their last five Premier League matches and that tally is unlikely to grow here, especially with Villa having so much to play for.

Aston Villa to Win -1 Goal @ $1.91

You could almost copy and paste the description of the last match into this one, except Chelsea is in fifth place instead of sixth.

United are unlikely to be fielding a full strength squad in this match, instead opting to keep their key players in cotton wool ahead of their trip to Bilbao.

Chelsea have been super hot and cold this season and there is every chance the occasion might get to them, but such is the gulf between these two sides at the moment that a well below par Blues side should still take care of business.

Chelsea HT/FT Double @ $1.91

For a match between the teams in 13^th and 20^th on the Premier League table, there is quite a compelling storyline to follow here as Everton bids farewell to Goodison Park.

While the venue will still be used as a home for the women’s team, this will be its last Premier League fixture before the move to their new stadium next season.

It is a venue with plenty of history and plenty of memories for the Toffees fan base which should lead to some emotional scenes (and some stolen seats on the way out).

Of course the on-field action is not quite as compelling as the fans saying goodbye, these are two pretty bad teams.

But Southampton is much worse than Everton and the best bet for this game is following that line of thinking.

Everton to Win and Over 2.5 Goals @ $2.05

Despite sitting just one point behind fifth placed Chelsea, Champions League football looks like it might just evade seventh placed Forest this season.

But they can make it interesting and keep their hopes of a second tier European spot with a win over lowly West Ham.

Unfortunately their recent form does make that a rather tough bet with two draws and two losses in their last four games in all competitions.

West Ham aren’t travelling much better, with their only win since Easter coming over Man United, not quite the achievement it was 20 years ago.

We’ve got two bad teams, but defending has been an issue for both and backing a both teams to score looks like the best value play in the market.

Both Teams to Score @ $1.73

Here is a question, who is the Premier League’s most in form team right now?

There are any number of teams you would probably guess before coming to Brentford, but with four straight wins it is the Bees flying high right now.

The same cannot be said for Fulham, with four defeats from their last five, only interrupted by a win over Southampton.

It might be an overly simplistic choice in this market, but it does look like the only way to go.

Brentford to Win @ $1.85

There is not a lot to talk about this matchup between two teams other than maybe when they meet in the Championship next season it will be a slightly more appealing and competitive affair.

The winner of this one will finish in 18^th and the loser will finish in 19^th, that’s about all they are playing for.

It’s just anyone’s guess who will win with two bad sides playing one another.

And when there are two bad teams that can’t defend, take the over and hope for some chaos.

Over 2.5 Goals @ $1.73

In a week with more than a few dud matchups, this one actually carries a bit of intrigue.

Both clubs know that a win would secure Champions League football for next season but it won’t come easy.

You have some real concerns around the mental state of Arsenal at the moment, now winless in five fixtures, but they just have to rally one more time and finishing second has to be seen as a must for them.

Falling away and finishing below that could have some far more dramatic consequences.

Meanwhile Newcastle could be the side to overtake them and the Magpies have given Arsenal problems, winning all three meetings this season across the league and Carabao Cup.

But they have not won a Premier League match at the Emirates in a long time, almost 15 years in fact with one draw breaking a run of 11 defeats.

The under has been a profitable play in those matches, hitting in six of the last 12 games at the Emirates and that might be the way to go here.

Under 2.5 Goals @ $2.05

If Liverpool had anything to play for here, they would be the play (and probably priced very differently as well).

Since being crowned champions the Reds have lost at Chelsea and drawn at home to Arsenal.

It seems highly unlikely they will be playing anywhere near their best on the road.

Brighton to Win @ $2.55

Regardless of how the FA Cup Final plays out on the weekend, it is tough to expect too much from this game.

Palace will likely have spent the days between matches either celebrating or consoling themselves, knowing they cannot slip lower than their current 12^th position.

Wolves could get past Everton but their last two defeats against City and Brighton suggest their race is run as well.

Especially seeing them held scoreless on both occasions.

This feels like it will be a low scoring game with few chances either way that we can all forget in quick order.

Under 2.5 Goals @ $1.80

Depending on how the weekend plays out, City could potentially lock up their Champions League berth in this game.

Even if they cannot do that, it means they will have to go all out to set themselves up to do so on Matchday 38 and they can’t afford to drop points.

Thankfully Bournemouth won’t offer up too much resistance and City should finish the job early.

Manchester City to Win and Over 1.5 Goals @ $1.73

2023/2024

The penultimate matchweek of the 2023/2024 English Premier League season brings us 13 games and some potentially decisive matchups at both ends of the table.

All three FA Cup Semi Finalists will be pulling double duty with midweek catch up fixtures that will have a big say in the race for the title and European placings.

Entering the weekend one point behind Arsenal, Manchester City could (and probably should) retake top spot o the EPL Ladder with two very winnable fixtures in Fulham on the weekend and Tottenham Wednesday morning (AEDT).

Spurs might have nothing to play for in that match if Aston Villa can take maximum points from their clash with Liverpool on the weekend and in turn lock up fourth spot.

It’s all to play for this weekend in England and we’ve got you covered with our match previews and Premier League best bets below!

Let’s start this one off with an apology to Arsenal fans, Manchester City is not losing this game so you can probably spare yourselves two hours on Saturday night watching this one with blind optimism.

They had a tougher assignment last week against Wolves and belted the ever-loving daylights out of them 5-1.

Oh and Erling Haaland managed to put four goals away to remind everyone he’s pretty damn good when he wants to be.

Meanwhile, the Cottagers recent form goes as follows: a loss at home to Newcastle, a win away to an out of sorts West Ham, a loss at home to Liverpool, a draw at home to Palace and last week’s draw at away to Brentford.

The last time Fulham took points off City was all the way back in September 2011 when City’s state-sponsored project was in its infancy, when the sides played out a 2-2 draw at Craven Cottage.

Since then, it has been 15 games in all competitions with City winning on every occasion, usually by a multiple goal margin.

City to win it in a canter with a Haaland goal looks to be the best play here.

SGM: Manchester City Halftime/Fulltime and Erling Haaland Anytime Goalscorer @ $2.13

While some matches this weekend have a lot on the line, this is one of the ones where little more than pride matters.

Bournemouth is fighting for a top ten finish along with half a dozen other teams while Brentford is just happy to be safe with a few games to spare.

Last time these two faced off it was an entertaining 2-2 draw and I’ll happily take the over again in anticipation of another free flowing contest.

Over 3.5 Goals @ $2.15

There are very few occasions where punters can back Everton with some confidence, but when they are playing a side as bad as Sheffield United, this is one of those blue moon moments.

Currently riding a five match losing streak, all of which have come by multiple goal margins, and a 12 game run without a victory, it is no surprise to see the Blades as such heavy outsiders.

Everton is actually travelling quite well and should make short work of their Championship bound opponents.

Everton to Win -1 Goal @ $2.05

A season that offered so much promise for both of these teams has fizzled out with Brighton mired in mid-table mediocrity while Newcastle’s Champions League revival lasted just a few months.

Brighton finally ended a six game winless run against Aston Villa last weekend but it was far from a vintage performance from the Seagulls.

As for Newcastle, they actually looked quite strong in the last month, taking 12 of a possible 15 points to ensure that they might be playing some European football next season.

It seems unlikely that a defence as porous as Brighton’s will be able to keep an opponent quiet two weeks in a row and Newcastle still has some motivation to finish the season on a winning note.

I’ll back the home side to pick up the win on the back of their potent attack.

Newcastle to Win and Over 2.5 Goals @ $1.85

While the “Ange Out” complaints from Spurs fans probably feel a little bit premature, their case will become a lot stronger if they lose to this very desperate Burnley side.

Anything less than a Burnley victory will confirm their relegation and even if they do win, it might not mean much if Forest win their match a couple of hours later.

Tottenham are not going to make the Champions League next season, it’s just a matter of when that will be mathematically confirmed.

They still need a couple of points from their remaining matches just to ensure that they hold off Newcastle in the fight for fifth and those points should come against Burnley.

Tottenham to Win and Both Teams to Score @ $2.00

If Luton is going to pull off the great escape, they have to take maximum points from this clash with an out of sorts West Ham.

While a win would have been preferable against Everton last week, Luton at least were able to remind everyone that desperation is a phenomenal motivator at this time of year.

West Ham on the other hand have the look of a team that is sorely lacking in motivation with the club on the end of some big defeats as they limp towards the finish line and the end of David Moyes’ tenure.

Sure they have still had some moments of joy like holding out for a draw with Liverpool, but it’s not something I’m going to count on in this match.

Luton still has everything on the line for the club and we are going to see two very different teams taking to the pitch.

Luton Win/Draw Double Chance @ $2.00

Molineux is not the imposing venue for visitors it has been in previous seasons, with Wolves winning four and losing six home games since the start of February.

Palace is coming off a phenomenal win at home to Manchester United and are finishing the season on a tear under new manager Oliver Glasner.

The Austrian boss has guided the side to a fie match unbeaten run and helped guide them to a comfortable survival that looked unlikely during Roy Hodgson’s tenure.

I’ll ride the hot hand and take Palace to pick up the points.

Crystal Palace to Win @ $2.40

Speaking of hot hands, how about Chelsea’s league form lately?

Having spent most of the last two seasons as a punchline, the Blues are finally starting to put it all together on the pitch, despite the occasional spat over who is taking the penalties.

From a low point of 13^th just before Christmas and 11^th in early February they have lost just once in three months to climb up to seventh and could still finish as high as fifth.

Forest needs something from this match to ensure safety but I cannot see them knocking off the in form Blues.

Chelsea to Win @ $2.00

There is a certain depressing inevitability over the closing 180 minutes of Arsenal’s season.

They have won their last four matches, kept three clean sheets in the process and if they win their final two fixtures… they will still lose out to Manchester City.

Of course, if they win out they will at least be able to capitalise on the unlikely scenario where City slips up.

Meanwhile, United just seem like a proper mess right now, with the dysfunction at the club rearing its ugly head during a loss to Palace last weekend.

Every single one of the players knows an overhaul is coming in the offseason, but it would just be fitting for them to produce one last rally to end the title hopes of the Gunners.

Manchester United Win/Draw Double Chance @ $2.90

There will be goals in this fixture, Villa Park has become a bit of a fortress for Unai Emery’s side this season with Arsenal and City both dropping points at the Midlands venue.

Liverpool’s away form has been spotty at times, but they will be more than happy to play into Villa’s hands and turn this into an end to end contest.

After a poor showing last week against Brighton, I’m expecting Villa’s forwards to produce a response and score a couple against a Liverpool backline that has been far from water tight.

Let’s go for the big value play to wrap up the weekend’s action before we move into the catch ups.

Both Teams to Score in Both Halves @ $5.75

*RESCHEDULED FROM MATCHWEEK 34*

The title race will go down to the final day of the season, but this match will determine how much control Manchester City have in the final destination of the trophy.

If you want to see a fan base have an existential crisis, just imagine being a Tottenham fan in this situation.

A win or draw here would put a major dent in City’s title hopes while simultaneously helping out local rivals Arsenal… so it is very much a lose-lose-lose scenario for Spurs.

While rivalries in North London run deep, it is very hard to imagine Ange Postecoglou sending his team out to do anything other than win, it’s just whether or not they can do it is another question.

Back in December these teams played out a wild 3-3 draw before City won at the new White Hart Lane 1-0 in the FA Cup.

City have been automatic lately, they’ve won their last four by multiple goal margins and I’m expecting another resounding win from the champions-elect.

Manchester City to Win -1 Goal @ $1.91

*RESCHEDULED FROM MATCHWEEK 34*

Brighton’s late season resurgence will be too little, too late for the Seagulls to play European football this season, but it should provide some optimism heading into the summer break.

Chelsea made it three wins in a row when they knocked off Forest on Sunday morning, although they seem to be obligated to play in high scoring matches.

It makes them must watch for better or worse and there’s finally been some good for Blues fans to enjoy.

As they chase down a possible sixth place finish, I’ll happily back the Blues to win another high scoring affair.

Chelsea to Win and Over 2.5 Goals @ $2.50

*RESCHEDULED FROM MATCHWEEK 34*

While most of the issues at Old Trafford can be described as “first world problems” with the team in real danger of missing out on European football next season thanks to a disinterested squad that is putting in some dire performances.

Monday morning’s defeat at home against Arsenal was their 14^th of the season in the league and perhaps more worryingly, their sixth at home.

The one time Theatre of Dreams is more an Off-Off-Broadway Stage of nightmares where you have to listen to Barney Stinson say “moist” for 45 minutes straight.

Newcastle’s away form is actually one of the worst in the league, with just 17 points from 17 games and they have lost their last three road games against top ten opponents.

There’s a decent case to be made against both of these teams so I’ll just split the difference and back the draw.

Draw @ $4.00

2022/2023

Just 23 matches remain in the 2022/2023 Premier League season and the final makeup of the table is starting to crystalise.

If Manchester City manages to defeat Chelsea (or Arsenal’s capitulation continues against Nottingham Forest), they will be crowned champions of England… again.

We are also set for the final three catch up fixtures of the campaign with Newcastle, Manchester United, City and Chelsea all playing twice, plus Brighton having a pair of catch up contests starting on Friday morning against the Magpies.

Those matches will have a strong bearing on the final makeup of the top four with Newcastle and United in prime position to lock up third and fourth if they pick up six points apiece this weekend.

Finally we have the relegation battle with Leeds and Leicester fast running out of time to escape the drop zone, with both potentially set to be confirmed Championship participants next season as early as Sunday morning (AEST).

We’ve gone through the form lines and found our best bets for every fixture over the next week below so read on and see who we are backing.

*POSTPONED ROUND 25 FIXTURE*

The weekend gets underway early Friday morning with a catch up fixture that got postponed because of Brighton’s run in the FA Cup.

Both clubs can still mathematically secure Champions League football but any dropped points here would put them behind the metaphorical eight ball.

Not to mention with the way these teams have played all season, it’s tough to count either of them out.

Newcastle have lost just five matches from 35 and have found ways to grind out points while Brighton have claimed their share of big scalps, most recently delivering the final blow Arsenal’s title challenge.

What is most concerning for the Magpies is that they have dropped points in their last two outings, including a 2-2 draw against relegation battlers Leeds.

Brighton have struggled for consistency on the road however and there is a real chance that they head into this one overconfident after their profitable trip to the Emirates Stadium.

A draw doesn’t really help either team but there isn’t a whole lot between them and Newcastle’s recent wobble is enough to keep me off them, even at even money odds.

Draw @ $3.70

It would be somewhat fitting that while most Spurs fans are celebrating the end of their rivals title charge, their own club is busy falling out of European football entirely.

With just one win from their last six, Tottenham faces the prospect of continuing their slide as the Bees have proven to be a tricky opponent for plenty of clubs this season.

The last two meetings between these sides have finished with the points being shared and with the Bees claiming maximum points in three of their last four outings, they will fancy their chances of springing another upset.

You can back them to get something in the double chance market and that is the way I’m heading for this one.

Brentford or Draw Double Chance @ $1.91

Only one team has something to play for in this fixture with United needing maximum points to keep clear of the red hot Liverpool in the race for the top four.

Depending on Newcastle’s and Liverpool’s results, a win for United could see them secure Champions League football next season and that should be all the incentive they need to come out firing.

Bournemouth are officially safe from relegation despite losing their last two matches and will mostly be playing for pride here.

Even though the motivation to play spoiler will be present, it just doesn’t seem like it will be enough.

Manchester United to Win -1 Goal @ $2.30

These mid-table dead rubbers can go one of two ways, either the sides go through the motions or throw caution to the wind and play out a wild and wacky encounter.

In this instance it looks like we will be in for the former with neither side likely to chance their arm too much.

Fulham might have played in a 5-3 match a couple of weeks ago but that looked like it was more driven by a motivated Leicester team rather than a anything the Cottagers did.

Palace’s recent matches have all been a bit of a grind with the unders hitting in five of their last six and that’s enough of a trend for me to back.

Under 2.5 Goals @ $1.82

Just looking at the head to head markets, you wouldn’t think that these sides are just three places apart on the Premier League Table.

Although with the Reds on an absolute tear to finish the season, winning their last seven, it does go a long way to explaining why Jurgen Klopp’s men are short priced favourites.

It’s also why it would take a brave punter to back against them and that is not something that sounds like a good idea right now.

Instead, it’s worth having a look at the total goals market with both sides possessing plenty of firepower, even if it hasn’t always shone through of late.

On their day both sides are capable of scoring multiple goals and the overs looks to be the way to go here.

Over 3.5 Goals @ $2.30

A win for Everton would all but secure their Premier League place for next season, however it won’t come easily this week.

Wolves are a different team at home, winning their last four matches at Molineux and ever more impressively, they have kept clean sheets in each of those fixtures.

Everton did belt Brighton in their last away trip and have taken at least a point in five of their last six away matches.

While the market is having a tough time splitting these teams, Wolves stout defensive efforts at Molineux is enough to swing the tip in their favour, and put plenty of pressure on the Toffees heading into the final day.

Wolves to Win @ $2.65

It’s all come crumbling down for the Gunners, another frustrating defeat ended whatever faint hope was still left in their title charge.

With two matches remaining the biggest question remaining for them is whether they will end the season with a response or a whimper.

While Forest are three points clear of the drop zone, getting anything from this fixture should be enough to ease the stress heading into the final day.

However with the three point buffer that might mean Forest’s motivation is not quite as high as it would be if they needed something to get out of the drop zone.

Arsenal to Win and Both Teams to Score @ $2.88

After taking a point from Newcastle last week, another draw might be all Leeds need to head into Matchweek 38 in an advantageous position.

West Ham’s focus is likely to be elsewhere with a potential European final on the horizon and they will be backing up from Friday morning’s second leg away to AZ Alkmaar.

Leeds may never have a better opportunity than this to pick up just their third away win of the campaign and there is value to be had taking on West Ham here.

Leeds to Win @ $3.00

Regardless of how Friday morning’s match goes for Brighton, they should be able to knock off a Southampton side who is playing out the string after being relegated with games to spare.

Not to mention the Seagulls will want to atone for an atrocious showing the last time they were in front of their home fans, getting demolished 5-1 by Everton.

Prior to that they won at home against Wolves and Manchester United keeping clean sheets in both fixtures.

With the Saints motivation likely at an all time low, take the Seagulls to pick up an easy win.

Brighton to Win to Nil @ $2.10

Assuming Arsenal does not lose to Nottingham Forest on Saturday night, this sets up a dream scenario for Manchester City.

If they beat Chelsea, they will be crowned Premier League champions once again.

Things are pretty good at the Etihad right now after demolishing Real Madrid on Thursday morning to reach the Champions League Final and securing their first trophy of the season would keep that rolling.

In the past this would be a blockbuster of the highest order but with Chelsea stuck in 11^th place, it sure looks like there is only one way this is going to go.

While the temptation to rest his stars might be there for Pep Guardiola, it seems far more likely that he will get them to take care of business at home and give the likes of De Bruyne and Haaland time off next week.

Manchester City to Win to Nil @ $2.00

There’s plenty on the line at St James’ Park in this one with Newcastle chasing a top four finish and Leicester hoping to avoid the drop.

With the Magpies having played their game in hand by the time this kicks off and as the last fixture of the weekend, they will know if they can secure their Champions League fate in this match.

However as mentioned earlier in the preview, they are not bringing the best run of form into the weekend.

And at some point, Leicester’s desperation might bring about a performance that we know they are capable of despite the results all season long suggesting otherwise.

It’s not worth backing Leicester because they have been so poor but Both Teams to Score has been a profitable option with that market hitting in four of the last five matches for both clubs.

Both Teams to Score @ $1.70

*POSTPONED ROUND 32 FIXTURE*

A match that could have had a bit more meaning if it took place a month ago when it was originally scheduled now has the makings of a training drill for both of these sides.

City have wrapped up the league title and will now turn their attention to the FA Cup and Champions League finals.

Brighton is going to be playing European football next season and while they still technically can finish in fifth, it sure seems like they are locked into sixth place.

With the intensity surrounding this fixture at a… shall we say lower than normal level, the value play in this market is taking the under.

Under 2.5 Goals @ $2.50

*POSTPONED ROUND 32 FIXTURE*

A solitary point will be enough for Manchester United to lock up the final Champions League place when they host Chelsea this weekend.

On the plus side for the Blues, they only lost 1-0 against a heavily rotated Manchester City side on the weekend, however other results meant they fell to 12^th place, destined to finish in the bottom half of the Premier League for the first time since 1996.

Given the contrasting storylines of the two clubs, it’s no surprise to see United heading into the match as favourites, however the last five head to head meetings have ended in draws.

Even more surprisingly, this is a chance for United to pick up their first home win over Chelsea since August 2019.

With something still to play for, and the chance to leapfrog Newcastle into third place, look for United to put on a show in their final home match of the season.

Manchester United HT/FT @ $2.55

2021/2022

It’s setting up for a fast and furious finish to the 2021/2022 Premier League season with Matchweek 37 featuring 18 fixtures as every club will finally complete its catch up games after the plethora of midseason postponements.

Over the next 10 days we could see the title race, battle for the top four and relegation dogfight settled with 14 clubs having to play at least two matches over that period.

Some will be forced into triple duty with Everton and Aston Villa facing a busy fixture list while Liverpool and Chelsea will also have the small matter of the FA Cup Final either side of their pair of midweek encounters.

We’re previewing every Premier League match below so read on to find our best bets and match previews.

*MATCH PREVIEWED IN WEEK 35*

*RESCHEDULED FROM MATCHWEEK 33*

It’s hit and hope time for Liverpool after their draw with Spurs on the weekend.

Three points behind Manchester City they now need to hope that their rivals slip up and they can also turn around a deficit of four in the goal difference column.

With former favourite son Steven Gerrard in the opposite technical area, it will surely bring about some mixed emotions as he tries to derail his former club’s title chances.

Even though the hosts come into this game on the back of consecutive wins over battlers Norwich and Burnley, Liverpool will present a much tougher test than those sides simply trying to stave off the drop.

It will be Liverpool’s match to lose and it is tough to see the Reds not bouncing back from their disappointing result on the weekend.

Even with the FA Cup Final on the horizon, Jurgen Klopp will not be able to afford to rest his star players in this match as they try to keep the title race alive.

Look for Mo Salah to get in the mix early on as the Reds try to fly out of the blocks, kill the game and rest their stars for the final half hour.

SGM: Liverpool to Win, Over 2.5 Goals & Mo Salah Anytime Goalscorer @ $3.06

*RESCHEDULED FROM MATCHWEEK 33*

It’s a desperation derby to kick off a busy Thursday morning of catch up matches.

Both sides have won once in their last five league fixtures and have plenty on the line.

Chelsea all of a sudden is in danger of falling out of third spot just one point ahead of Arsenal and five above Tottenham.

Leeds is in the relegation zone behind Burnley on goal difference and one point off Everton who are also in action.

The hosts will go into this one without their captain Luke Ayling after his red card against Arsenal which is not going to help the league’s second most porous defence.

It’s the perfect opportunity for the Blues to have a get-right game and I’m ready to back them in for a big win at Elland Road.

Back Chelsea to Win -1 Goal @ $2.63

*RESCHEDULED FROM MATCHWEEK 21*

There’s really not a lot to be said in terms of talking up this match as an enthralling contest.

Leicester could jump up to 10^th place but that would involve arresting a seven match winless run against a Norwich side that is already preparing for more Championship football.

This might be decided by which team shows up on the day and even with nothing on the line, Leicester seems the more likely to do so.

In their most recent defeat to Everton, they forced Jordan Pickford into a couple of spectacular saves from good chances so they should be able to pepper the Canaries goal here.

Both sides have fairly porous defences so backing a few goals to go in is a good way to add a bit of value to Leicester outright.

Back Leicester to Win and Over 2.5 Goals @ $2.05

*RESCHEDULED FROM MATCHWEEK 30*

Unlike the match above, one of these clubs still has something to play for with Everton looking to give themselves a bit of breathing space above the drop zone.

Regardless of Leeds’ result against Chelsea, Everton can give themselves a four point buffer above whichever club ends the night in 18^th spot.

Watford is the side to back against, losing their last six, eight of their last nine and 11 of their last 15.

It might be dangerous to feel good about taking Everton to win, but they are rallying in the last few matches as Jordan Pickford is proving to be incredibly tough to break down.

Back Everton to Win @ $1.88

*RESCHEDULED FROM MATCHWEEK 33*

It’s so close right now, Manchester City can reach out and touch the Premier League trophy.

With Liverpool dropping points against Spurs and back in action again before City kicks off, they will be in position to open up anywhere from a three to a six point lead against a stubborn Wolves outfit.

The hosts won’t just roll over for Pep Guardiola and company, especially after taking points off Chelsea with a draw over the weekend.

Domestically City has been irresistible over the last month since their draw with Liverpool, they have defeated Brighton, Watford, Leeds and Newcastle by a combined score of 17-1.

Considering the League title is all that City has left to play for, I can’t see them looking to take their foot off the accelerator and they’ll leave no doubt with a convincing win.

Back City to Win -1 Goal @ $1.73

*RESCHEDULED FROM MATCHWEEK 22*

Now for the biggest match of the midweek catch up fixtures, the North London Derby.

A win for the visiting Gunners would not only lock up a top four finish, but also allow them to celebrate St Totteringham’s Day for the first time in what would feel like an eternity (although, in reality it’s six years).

Spurs need to win to give themselves a chance of running down Arsenal and booking their return to the Champions League.

History is on Tottenham’s side, having won five of the last seven home Premier League North London Derbies since Arsenal last took points from White Hart Lane.

Not to mention Arsenal looking vulnerable in their wins over an undermanned West Ham and a Leeds side that played over an hour with 10 men.

However Tottenham’s inconsistencies have been laid bare for all to see lately as well in a shock loss to Brighton and scoreless draw with Brentford in the last month.

They say derby day means you have to throw out the form lines and on paper, there is a real case to be made for either side to win, so it might be a time to split the difference.

Back the Draw @ $3.50

Not to go all Peter Drury but the glimmer has turned into a full blown ray of hope for Tottenham’s Champions League dreams.

Perhaps the biggest challenge for Antonio Conte will be getting his side refocused after their derby day belting of local rivals Arsenal, with just over 60 hours between the two fixtures.

Desperation will serve as a remarkable motivator for a Burnley side that is currently only safe from the drop on goal difference.

They would surely much rather secure their safety on points and they’ll need to go all out to get something from this match and will have the confidence of beating Spurs at Turf Moore in February.

That result has not given me the confidence that Burnley will do anything other than show up, ship a few goals and head back home needing a result on the final day.

Back Tottenham Halftime/Fulltime @ $2.05

Villa’s three game unbeaten run came to an end during the week but there was not a lot they could do about it, they were playing against a Liverpool side that is swatting away just about every opponent.

A top half finish is still very much a possibility for both of these clubs but one of them will need to win this fixture to keep in touch with tenth placed Leicester.

It’s about all you can do to try and sell what is essentially a dead rubber, neither side can qualify for Europe and are both clear of the relegation zone.

There is still value to be found in the markets though, with both sides having their issues at the back.

Both teams to score has hit in Villa’s last two matches and Palace have kept two clean sheets in their last six in all competitions.

This is a match that could go either way in terms of the result but it feels like a fairly strong chance that both sides will find a way to get on the scoresheet.

Back Both Teams to Score @ $1.70

This might be Leeds’ last chance to get the three points that they so desperately need in the fight to secure Premier League safety.

Both Everton and Burnley have a game in hand on Jesse Marsch’s squad so anything less than three points here puts them in real danger of being relegated before their 38^th fixture.

Unfortunately for them, Brighton is one of the competition’s best sides away from home, picking up 28 points and losing just four times.

The other concern is their attack which has been found wanting in the last week, being held scoreless in three of their last four contests.

Perhaps the desperation of their situation will spur Leeds on to an unlikely victory but in this market, with the visitors at their current price, it is a massive value play taking Brighton to win.

Back Brighton to Win @ $2.65

Leicester found a way to play themselves into form with a 3-0 belting of Norwich and now they have a chance to build up a bit of confidence with a clash against another Championship bound opponent.

While the Hornets might have picked up a point at home to Everton during the week, that isn’t the achievement it was even five years ago considering they may be playing the Toffees in the Championship in a couple of months.

It was their first clean sheet since February 27, however there was an alarming six shots taken, none of which were on target in that game.

Leicester looks well over the odds here and even though they have not been that strong lately (not to mention the off field distractions), they are well worth a value bet.

Back Leicester to Win @ $2.10

While a win over West Ham would not clinch the Premier League title, it would put Manchester City on the precipice of it.

In their current form, you wouldn’t back against City, especially since Kevin de Bruyne decided to get in on the hat-trick party, registering four goals during the week against Wolves.

City were pushed all the way by West Ham in November but it looks like the Irons are ready for their holidays.

With just one win from their last six in the Premier League, which came over a hapless Norwich outfit, it’s tough to expect anything from West Ham other than an opposition for City to run around.

SGM: City Halftime/Fulltime and Over 3.5 Goals @ $3.73

Someone has to win this match right?

Wolves have stumbled down the stretch with one point from their last five fixtures ending their hopes of a top seven finish.

Norwich has left no doubt as to why they are getting relegated, losing their last five and failing to score in four of those.

During the week Wolves were pummelled 5-1 by Manchester City while Norwich could barely muster a shot in anger in their 3-0 defeat to Leicester.

Clearly the market and I are in unison, desperate to take on Norwich, since at least Wolves have shown an iota of fight in the last month.

Wolves might not be in great form but they’ll be able to take care of the Canaries here.

Back Wolves to Win -1 Goal @ $2.25

By the time this match kicks off, Everton will know if they can secure Premier League safety with a win over Brentford.

If Leeds lose to Brighton (as we tipped above) then Everton will be able to build an unassailable gap with maximum points from this fixture.

Considering they have a pair of tough assignments to close out the season, the Toffees would be well served to take care of business here and in their current form, it’s tough to back against them

Seven points from their last three matches has given them hope, although the draw did come against lowly Watford.

Brentford has been quite strong of late as well with ten points from their last four and they have taken 19 points away from home this season.

However I do like Everton at home, with something on the line to get the necessary result to secure their future in the top flight.

Back Everton to Win @ $2.05

Arsenal’s margin for error in the chase for the top four evaporated in the blink of an eye on Friday morning, but the silver lining for Mikel Arteta is that if his side takes care of its own business in the final two matches, they will be playing Champions League football next season.

While defender Rob Holding will be suspended for this match after his red card against Tottenham, that does open up a space in the starting lineup for Ben White who is almost certainly an upgrade.

Newcastle has been one of the form sides in the Premier League in 2022 but have fallen over in the last two weeks losing to Liverpool and Manchester City to end a four match winning run.

History in this fixture also favours the Gunners with them winning the last seven Premier League matches plus an FA Cup tie that went to extra time following a scoreless 90 minutes.

It has been almost four years since Arsenal conceded to Newcastle, with that goal coming in a 2-1 win for the Gunners at St James’ Park in September 2018.

Perhaps the pressure might get to Arsenal but I’m willing to back them to get the job done here.

Back Arsenal to Win @ $1.85

There won’t be a whole lot of time for Liverpool to celebrate their FA Cup triumph on the weekend with the window for the Premier League title being kept ajar after West Ham held Manchester City to a draw.

Victory over a Southampton side that has provided many first team players for Jurgen Klopp’s squad would put them just one point behind City heading into the final day.

Klopp faces a bit of a selection dilemma however with Fabinho, Mo Salah and Virgil van Dijk all ruled out after injuries in the last week.

Add in the 120 minutes against Chelsea and it’s a side that probably could use a bit of a rotation however they cannot afford to with that much riding on the result of this match.

Up front there are still plenty of options for Klopp to call upon with Mane, Jota and Diaz a very dangerous trio for opposing defences, especially the ones that have conceded at least two goals in each of their last four.

Back Liverpool to Win and Over 2.5 Goals @ $1.83

*RESCHEDULED FROM MATCHWEEK 33*

If Everton get relegated from this position, they will have only themselves to blame after a capitulation at home to Brentford on the weekend.

A twice blown lead, compounded by a pair of red cards in a 3-2 loss means they still require a win to officially survive this tumultuous season.

The match result market is clearly expecting Everton’s desperation to get them home and they have been a tough opponent at Goodison Park, earning 26 of their 36 points at that venue.

Considering Palace are just left to play out their final few matches, I’ll back a desperate Everton side to get the result they need to secure their top flight status.

Back Everton to Win @ $1.90

*RESCHEDULED FROM MATCHWEEK 18*

Burnley can not secure Premier League safety with a win here, but they can put themselves in an advantageous position heading into the final day with at least a draw at Villa Park.

The problem is their momentum appears to have ground to a screeching halt thanks to a 3-1 loss at the hands of Aston Villa 12 days before this fixture.

In that match Villa flew out of the blocks and were up 2-0 in the opening half an hour with Burnley’s goal coming in second half stoppage time for little more than a consolation.

I have no faith in Burnley getting the result they need from this, especially with a lengthy injury list and Villa looking to end the season on a good note.

Back Aston Villa to Win @ $2.00

*RESCHEDULED FROM MATCHWEEK 27*

There will be no time for Chelsea to dwell on their FA Cup defeat, however thanks to Arsenal’s loss at Newcastle, they are under a lot less pressure heading into this game.

Champions League football has been secured for another campaign and with a vastly superior goal difference to fourth placed Tottenham, one point from their final two games should have them in third position.

Leicester has found its scoring touch in the last two weeks, putting eight past Norwich and Watford, however Chelsea’s defence will be a slight upgrade on the Championship calibre opponents they have taken on.

Even so they should be able to find a way through Chelsea at least once and at the current price, backing both teams to score is the value option in the market.

Back Both Teams to Score @ $1.87

2020/2021

Every Premier League club has two matches remaining as the eventful 2020/2021 season draws to a close this weekend.

The Premier League table is beginning to fan out with the champions and relegation places already confirmed while the battle for the Champions League is down to a three horse race for two spots.

Leicester and Chelsea will face off again barely 72 hours after competing in the FA Cup Final with the loser likely to drop down to fifth place.

Find out who we are backing in our preview below!

It’s fair to say the last week could not have gone much worse for Manchester United losing to both Leicester and Liverpool.

The good news for them is the fact they can secure second place in the Premier League with a victory over Fulham in this fixture.

Considering the Cottagers have lost their last three matches and seven of their last eight, it almost seems like a fait accompli for Ole Gunnar Solskjaer and company.

While they are the better side and should come away with the win, it will not come easily with huge questions about their backline.

They have conceded two or more goals in four of their last five games and Both Teams to Score has hit in each of those contests.

I’ll put those two outcomes together for a Same Game Multi to kick off the midweek action.

SGM: Manchester United to Win and Both Teams to Score @ $3.00

Both of these sides come into this match on two game winning streaks as they try and end their season on a high note.

Despite being largely rubbish for most of 2021, Southampton has rediscovered its scoring touch in the past seven days, getting by Palace and Fulham by a scoreline of 3-1 in both fixtures.

As for Leeds they stunned Tottenham 3-1 at Elland Road before trouncing Burnley 4-0.

With both teams rediscovering their scoring touch, I’ll back this fixture to feature plenty of goals in another SGM.

SGM: Leeds Over 1.5 Goals & Southampton Over 1.5 Goals @ $3.73

This is arguably the toughest match of the round to settle on a bet for, with so many variables set to play a role.

Brighton has secured safety for next season (just) by operating on a policy of stubbornness and frustrating opponents into submission.

City doesn’t have a whole lot riding on this result having already won the Premier League, but they need to strike the balance of maintaining a relatively healthy squad and keeping them sharp for next weekend’s Champions League Final.

Perhaps that contributed to their seven-goal thriller against Newcastle where they were far from sharp defensively but still had the firepower to get by.

I’ll back another high scoring fixture here as City goes for broke in attack once again.

Back City to Win and Over 3.5 Goals @ $3.50

In a case of déjà vu, Leicester will travel to London for the second time in three days to face Chelsea.

While the stakes are not quite as high as Sunday’s FA Cup Final at Wembley (won by Leicester), neither side can afford to lose this fixture in the race for a Champions League berth.

Defeat could see that side overtaken by Liverpool heading into the final matchday while a draw could still see Chelsea drop to fifth.

With both sides still needing points, I’ll back a similar match to the FA Cup Final and take a low scoring result.

Back Under 2.5 Goals @ $1.70

Everton’s complete lack of composure in front of goal looks like it will cost them the European football they so desperately crave next season.

Their best case scenario right now is winning out, getting a lot of help from Tottenham and West Ham and sneaking into sixth place but that would rely on an awful lot of things breaking their way.

As for Wolves they seem destined into finish in the bottom half of the table following an incredibly disappointing season where they just have not shown a whole lot of ability when it comes to scoring goals.

Both sides will probably be happy to just grind this one out and take another step closer to the offseason.

Back Under 2.5 Goals @ $1.75

Sheffield United ensured that they had one final chance to play spoiler before exiting the Premier League for at least 12 months.

There is not a lot to spoil here with Newcastle just happy they have survived for another season.

Over their last two matches we have seen a total of 13 goals scored against Leicester and Manchester City.

Sheffield is not a great side going forward and gave up four goals to Tottenham earlier this month so the Magpies could be in for a fill up here.

Back Newcastle Over 2.5 Goals @ $3.30

Spurs have to win to ensure that they are playing European football next season, with West Ham, Everton and even Arsenal still eying off any potential stumbles.

Villa is just playing for pride so if Tottenham is ready to play, this could get ugly.

They have won their last two home games by a combined score of 6-0 and I can’t see them dropping this one.

Son has scored in three of his last four matches and after being held out against Wolves, should be firing in this match.

SGM: Son Anytime Goalscorer and Tottenham to Win @ $2.90

Arsenal have had plenty of time to enjoy their win over Chelsea but up next is (one of) their bogey teams in Crystal Palace.

The last five meetings between these sides have produced four draws and one Palace victory including a 0-0 draw back in January.

Anything less than a win would end their hopes of playing in Europe next season and even then, all three points may not be enough.

Even though they have won their last three Premier League matches, I cannot understand how Arsenal is at $1.50 in this market.

I’ll back Mikel Arteta’s team to drop more points by dipping into the double chance market.

Back Crystal Palace/Draw Double Chance @ $2.55

Liverpool survived against West Brom and should they win this fixture, they will enter the final weekend of the Premier League season in a Champions League place.

Burnley did stun the Reds at Anfield back in January but are coming off arguably their worst loss of the season, getting demolished 4-0 at the hands of Leeds.

Based largely on that result, and Liverpool’s encouraging form in front of goal, I’ll back the Reds to cruise home in this one.

SGM: Liverpool/Liverpool HT/FT & Liverpool Over 2.5 Goals @ $2.23

Much like Everton, West Ham’s dreams of playing in next season’s Champions League have been felled by their own failings over the last month.

One win from their last five has put the Irons squarely in the “blind hope” category and they could be consigned to a seventh place best case scenario by the time they kick off.

As for West Brom, well who could blame them for having given up already with the Championship looming.

I’ll catch up on the highlights later Thursday morning.

Back Under 2.5 Goals @ $2.25

2019/2020

It’s the penultimate round of the Premier League and we’ve still got plenty on the line over the next few days.

The race for the final two Champions League spots is down to three teams and it could be resolved this weekend if Manchester United drops points.

We’re going to preview this round’s matches in two parts, firstly the covering the matches on Saturday and Sunday night (AEST) and then after the FA Cup finalists are determined, cover the rest of the matches.

Check out who we are backing here.

There’s something to like about Burnley’s recent form, drawing three of their last four and they are doing a good job avoiding defeat, losing just once in their last 14 Premier League matches.

Norwich is well and truly done, stone dead last and just playing out the fixtures, it’s hard to see them finding any motivation to do a whole lot of anything in this match.

There’s two more chances to back against Norwich and there’s some value on offer here.

Back Burnley to Win @ $2.20

The Saints are becoming the Premier League’s draw specialists splitting the points in their last three matches.

Bournemouth needs all three points on offer in this match or their relegation could be all but confirmed.

A point would at least keep their survival hopes alive for another week and that’s all I can really see them getting.

Back the Draw @ $3.50

Tottenham’s run has come a little too late to get rewarded with a Champions League berth, and they may yet find themselves punished with a spot in the Europa League.

Perhaps most importantly, they need to win this match to keep above North London rivals Arsenal.

Leicester won the first meeting but have really struggled this month winning just two of five matches.

The last six matches between these two sides have all produced winners with Spurs taking four of those contests.

In those six matches we have seen plenty of goals flying in with three or more goals in five of those games and there’s value on offer backing that to happen again.

Back Over 2.5 Goals @ $1.95

It’s the relief of being just about home facing the apathy of mid-table security in the penultimate Premier League match for both of these clubs.

Brighton could still mathematically be relegated however it doesn’t seem all that likely both Watford and Aston Villa will collect the necessary points (and overturn the goal differential) to run them down.

Even just a point would remove the benefit of the doubt and with neither side inspiring a whole lot of confidence, a draw is a good value play here.

Back the Draw @ $3.50

The Blades four game unbeaten run was brought to a screeching halt in the form of Leicester last week but they should have enough in the tank to get over the line against a struggling Everton team.

A win would keep Sheffield’s faint European hopes alive, bringing them just one point behind Tottenham.

Everton has gone four matches without a win but has not had a whole lot to play for lately, content with finishing in the bottom half of the table after a nightmare first half of the season.

With one eye on next season, Everton might not be at their peak and I’ll back Sheffield to put that Leicester defeat behind them.

Back Sheffield United to Win @ $2.10

How quickly can we put a bet on Crystal Palace to lose?

This side has been atrocious and currently has a form lone better than only last placed Norwich.

They can’t score and Wolves needs all three points from this fixture to leapfrog Spurs into sixth place.

Easily the best bet of the weekend, Wolves to win and keep a clean sheet.

Back Wolves to Win to Nil @ $2.00

With the FA Cup now out of the equation, City’s season hinges on their Champions League tie with Real Madrid, meaning this is going to be a tune up for them.

Watford is not quite safe and have opted to sack manager Nigel Pearson with two matches remaining.

Perhaps there will be a response from the side but you can’t back against City responding to their disappointing performance at Wembley.

The last two meetings have finished 6-0 and 8-0 to City and they will be looking for another scoreline in that vein.

SGM: Manchester City HT/FT, Over 3.5 Goals @ $3.40

If Arsenal is going to have a letdown after a pair of huge results, it will be in this match against a desperate Aston Villa side trying to stave off relegation.

By the time this match kicks off, Villa will know the result of Watford’s match and if they can catch up to the Hornets with an upset win here.

You have to give them a chance especially with Arsenal’s struggles on the road however the Gunners have had their measure, winning the last seven meetings between the two clubs.

If Villa are to survive their best option is to limit the damage in this match and go for broke against West Ham on the final day.

Arsenal on the road is a risky bet but it’s too hard to pass up at this price.

Back Arsenal to Win @ $2.10

With Chelsea in action a couple of hours after this match kicks off and Leicester losing to Tottenham, United has the perfect bounce back opportunity after their FA Cup nightmare.

Their league form has been superb, unbeaten in their last 12 Premier League matches, winning eight.

A point from this match would allow them to jump over Leicester and regardless of the Chelsea result, put them in position to secure Champions League football next season.

West Ham has secured their survival and will be glad to not need a point from Old Trafford, a venue they have not won at since May 2007.

United and West Ham both have plenty of attacking talent so we could see quite a few goals in this contest as United comes away with all three points.

Back Manchester United to Win & Over 3.5 Goals @ $2.45

It might not be the traditional title party for Premier League champions but it won’t matter for Liverpool, this is the day they get to raise the trophy at Anfield.

Chelsea on the other hand still has a lot on the line and could secure Champions League football with a win in this match.

A Chelsea upset does offer some value and Liverpool have struggled against their traditional rivals since football returned, so we’ll back the Blues to spoil Liverpool’s party.

Back Chelsea to Win @ $3.40

2018/2019

Just two weeks remain in the Premier League season and there are two big questions yet to be answered.

Who wants the title more and does anyone actually want to finish third?

City knows all they have to do is win their final two games and they are champions again, while Liverpool need some sort of slip up.

In the trailing pack, none of Tottenham, Arsenal, Chelsea and United seem overly capable of winning anything right now and that’s just fine for Spurs who could fall into third place at this rate.

It’s the best and worst part of the Premier League how unpredictable these final weeks can be as it becomes what Sir Alex Ferguson once descibred as “squeaky bum time”.

We have sifted through the form guide and found our previews, predictions and Same Game Multis for all ten Premier League games in the penultimate weekend of action.

While there are plenty of games with something on the line this weekend, the match to kickoff the weekend has little more than pride on the line.

Everton is in great form but has been very guilty of playing to the level of their opponents in their last few matches.

Having beaten both Arsenal and Manchester United, they lost to Fulham and drew with Crystal Palace.

Using that logic, they might struggle against a Burnley side with not much on the line themselves but have been playing their opponents close as well.

The Claret’s away form however hasn’t been all that strong this season so I just don’t have the confidence to back them for an upset here, but I’m not confident in Everton at that price either.

Instead, I’ll take the Both Teams to Score market since that has hit in four of the last five meetings between these teams.

Back Both Teams to Score @ $1.85

SGM: Everton to Win, Richarlison & Ashley Barnes Anytime Goalscorers

If things go right for Tottenham this weekend, they could clinch third spot by beating Bournemouth and having Chelsea, Arsenal and United drop points.

The question is though, how on earth can you feel confident in a win here?

Bournemouth have scored eight goals in their last three Premier League matches while Tottenham have scored just one goal in their last four games in all competitions.

On top of that Mauricio Pochettino will have to juggle a depleted squad with a return trip to Ajax coming up as well.

It would be a shock to see Jan Vertonghen play after his concussion midweek and frankly an unnecessary risk.

Perhaps the one comfort here is that they could lose this game and still finish third as they have the biggest margin for error in that race.

Because of that I’m going to take Bournemouth to get something out of this game.

Back Bournemouth Win/Draw Double Chance @ $1.91

SGM: Bournemouth Win, Both Teams to Score, Over 3.5 Goals

Another game with not much on the line as Southampton secured their Premier League position for next season last weekend.

West Ham will be flying after becoming the first team to beat Spurs in their new stadium and could still sneak into the top ten by closing out the season with two wins.

The Irons have won the last two meetings between these sides and I’m happy to back them in on their home form and the fact they are over even money.

Back West Ham to Win @ $2.25

SGM: West Ham to Win, Under 3.5 Goals, Michail Antonio Anytime Goalscorer

Outside of Man City and Liverpool, Fulham are the form side in the Premier League with three straight wins.

Unfortunately this run is a case of too little too late as the Cottagers are still going to be relegated in two weeks.

It does present an interesting upset opportunity here if you can talk yourself into backing Fulham, which might take a lot of talking.

They did pick up a draw at Craven Cottage on Boxing Day but Wolves have been in pretty good form themselves and still have way too much quality in their side.

As kickoff approaches I might be able to talk myself into putting a small bet on a Fulham upset but for now I’ll play it safe and take Wolves in the doubles market.

Back Wolves to Win & Over 1.5 Goals @ $1.75

SGM: Wolves to Win, Over 2.5 Goals, Diogo Jota First Goalscorer

Cardiff will be very glad to be playing before Brighton do this weekend, considering one of the two will be going down to the Championship next season.

The Welsh side still need some sort of miracle to avoid the drop, needing to gain five points on Brighton in the remaining two matches.

A loss here would confirm their relegation and a repeat of the 0-0 draw in December might not be enough either.

Desperation is the best kind of motivator but it does leave a lot of room for interpretation about what could come next so I’m happy to stay out of this game since, like the market suggests, it could go either way.

NO BETS

After being one of many, many sides to feel the wrath of Leo Messi, Liverpool now has to turn their attention to their Premier League title quest.

Nothing less than six points from their final two games will do and it would be foolish to overlook this game, especially considering their recent record at St James’ Park.

The last four games there have resulted in two Newcastle wins and two draws, if that doesn’t scream bogey ground, I don’t know what does.

The last time they hosted the Reds in October 2017 was also the last time they scored against them however, losing at Anfield 2-0 last season and 4-0 this season.

Like a few games this weekend, you could absolutely talk yourself into backing an upset here, but with the Champions League pretty much out of reach, expect Liverpool to go all out and put some pressure on City with a big win.

Back Liverpool to Win to Nil @ $2.20

SGM: Liverpool to Win, Mane and Salah Anytime Goalscorers

Sunday’s slate of games could shape the race for fourth spot (and third if Tottenham drop points).

Chelsea have just two points from their last three games which, compared to the teams around them isn’t that bad.

Watford is tuning up for the FA Cup Final and could see this game as a great chance to deal with being a massive underdog, just like they will be against City in two weeks.

Realistically, I can’t back Chelsea with any confidence at their current price here so I’m going to roll with the value and take what is a very good Watford side to win outright

Back Watford to Win @ $7.50

SGM: Watford to Win, Over 2.5 Goals, Gerard Delofeu Anytime Goalscorer

It would just sum up the season for both of these clubs if Huddersfield, winless since February and firmly rooted to the bottom of the Premier League table decided to mess with Manchester United’s top four hopes.

Of course backing Huddersfield to do anything other than lose would not be a responsible move no matter how much United have struggled lately.

With the price on offer for a United win and any sort of reasonable value adds like total goals not adding much before getting ridiculous, this game screams “stay away”.

NO BETS

Two sides have beaten Arsenal in the Premier League at the Emirates, Manchester City on opening day and Crystal Palace over Easter.

That loss started the Gunners current three game losing streak, their worst since Unai Emery’s first two games in charge.

Perhaps the only reason you can back Arsenal to win with something resembling confidence here is the fact they are at home.

Defensively they are a shambles at the moment giving up a total of nine goals to Palace, Wolves and Leicester in the space of a week.

Back Arsenal to Win and Both Teams to Score @ $3

SGM: Arsenal to Win, Both Teams to Score, Aubameyang First Goalscorer

If Liverpool does slip up at St James’ Park, this game could be for the Premier League title, if they don’t, then it gives City a huge edge going into the final day of the season.

At home I just can’t see City losing to Leicester here, especially after going down at the King Power Stadium earlier this season.

The question, like with most City games is where to find a value play?

After struggling by Burnley, and with Leicester putting three past Arsenal, this has the makings of a high scoring affair.

Back City to Win and Over 3.5 Goals @ $1.91

SGM: City to Win, Over 3.5 Goals, Sergio Aguero Anytime Goalscorer

2017/2018

Plenty of action on offer in in the penultimate round of the English Premier League with some teams in action twice thanks to the remaining catch up games from the FA Cup.

Manchester City are still chasing that historic 100 point haul while Tottenham can seal a top four finish.

At the bottom end of the table, the round is highlighted by a potentially defining clash between Swansea and Southampton midweek which could see one side’s drop sealed.

Mathematically there are nine sides still fighting to survive the drop however West Brom could be the first side to book passage to the Championship Saturday night.

Read on for our previews and predictions for all 16 Premier League matches in the next week and a bit.

Brighton’s run home has done them no favours starting with this match against Manchester United.

It might be a lot to ask of them to end their now six game winless run against United, who took the first meeting between these sides 1-0 at Old Trafford.

Outside of their derby win against City, United have been involved in plenty of low scoring games as of late.

That trend should continue here with United winning a low scoring fixture.

Back Manchester United to Win & Under 3.5 Goals @ $2.45

Despite only scoring 14 away goals all season, Crystal Palace have so far amassed the ninth best record away from home.

Once a fortress, Stoke’s home ground has produced a meagre five wins and five draws this season.

Stoke fans will be hoping that the desperation of needing a win will help them break a miserable run against Palace where they have lost seven of their past nine meetings.

Hope is an interesting factor in games like this but Stoke have been largely awful this season and that will not be enough for them.

Back Crystal Palace to Win @ $2.70

If Swansea are going to survive the drop, they have to win this game against Bournemouth to give them some breathing space ahead of their midweek match against Southampton.

While a win or a loss here will not provide a definitive resolution on its own, picking up three points will go a long way to helping their cause.

Three straight Premier League losses for Bournemouth represents a worrying trend for Bournemouth who at least have the comfort of never losing to Swansea in the Premier League.

This is a contest the market looks to have about right an I am happy to steer clear of.

NO BET

Two games without a goal and four without a win makes for a rough time for Leicester City.

West Ham’s porous defence is the worst in the Premier League, conceding eight goals in the last two games and has only kept a clean sheet on eight occasions.

Leicester come into this game relatively pressure free knowing they are safe from relegation and only need a few more points for a top ten finish.

The Foxes have burned me on multiple occasions this season but West Ham are a poor side no matter how you spin it so I am backing Leicester to win this.

Back Leicester to Win @ $2.20

A mid table quagmire of a game where Watford will be hopeful of ending their seven match winless run.

In the last three years they have won all four meetings between these sides and have a chance to register seven home wins on the season.

Newcastle’s attack has not travelled with them away from St James’s Park with an average of just one goal per game.

This has the makings of a relatively even game and I can’t split these sides.

Back the Draw @ $3.20

A chance for Tottenham to show a killer instinct that has been lacking from time to time from this side.

Any dropped points for West Brom seals their relegation fate (as would Swansea winning their match at the same time).

They are not going down without a fight, picking up two wins and two draws from their last four games but their rally is looking to be too little too late.

This is a simple case of picking the better side to win.

Back Tottenham to Win to Nil @ $2.38

Sam Allardyce continues his end of season PR tour trying to win over a hostile Everton fan base winning two in a row and on a four match unbeaten run.

Despite the unrest inside the fan base they still have a good home field advantage winning 10 of their 18 home games this season putting them seventh on the home form table.

Southampton have won just twice away from home but have been able to fight for seven draws which is a big reason as to why they are still a chance to survive relegation.

This has the makings of a contest with not a lot of goals in it with Everton looking to play it close to the chest, the Both Teams to Score market has failed to hit in three of Everton’s last four matches.

Back Both Teams to Score (No) @ $1.91

You have to feel for Huddersfield, having to rely on a poor away record to ensure their Premier League survival with upcoming matches against Manchester City and Chelsea.

They will need some magic to pick up the necessary points over those two matches however Manchester City will not be in an overly giving mood.

Despite having already sealed the Premier League title, City are still chasing a handful of records, including breaking the elusive 100 point barrier.

In their last four wins they have scored three, three, five and four goals so their form line suggest they should continue on that streak.

As confident as I am in City winning this game, the market looks about right and is not offering a lot of value on a handicap market.

NO BET

Arsene Wenger’s final home game is set up for a sixth placed playoff against perhaps the most impressive side in the Premier League, Burnley.

Thankfully this is at the Emirates where they have been borderline unstoppable in the league this season, however they will have to backup from their Europa League semi final in Spain.

Even so they will welcome back Aubameyang into the side which should be enough to fire them to a win here.

Back Arsenal Half Time/Full Time Double @ $2.40

Chelsea are back in form, winning their last three league games and are looking to pounce on a vulnerable Liverpool side that is coming off a draining Champions League tie.

Four of the last six meetings between these sides have ended in a draw with Liverpool claiming the other two.

Their home form has not quite replicated the stunning form of last season where they won 17 of 19 matches, dropping points in seven matches this season.

This is a fixture that has produced plenty of goals with the Both Teams to Score market hitting in every Premier League match except one since the 2011/2012 season.

Back Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals @ $2.00

This game will have plenty of bearing on the fates of these sides as it could result in Premier League safety for one, and relegation for another. Nil has been a popular score in recent meetings between these two, with one or both teams failing to score in eight of their past ten meetings. Swansea’s attack has been quite limited at home while Southampton’s has been limited full stop, so expect a low, scoring cagey game here where whoever scores first has a huge advantage.

Back Both Teams to Score (NO) @ $1.85

With Tottenham going through their traditional late season slump, the door has been opened for Chelsea to sneak in a steal fourth place thanks to a four game winning streak.

To do so they need to top Huddersfield who are still fighting thanks to their draw at Manchester City Sunday night.

If a winner emerges from Swansea-Southampton, Huddersfield would need a solitary point to be able to relax ahead of the final day however a draw makes things very precarious going into this game.

Chelsea won the first meeting between these teams in December 3-1 and with the Champions League still in reach they should take care of business.

Even so, the market looks to have this game just about right so I am happy to keep away from it.

NO BET

What a wonderful scene it was Sunday as Arsene Wenger farewelled the Emirates Stadium, unfortunately for him, the club still has two away games to play.

They are still yet to pick up a Premier League point away from home and are now locked into sixth place.

Leicester present a great chance to pick up said point having struggled mightily as of late, being held scoreless for the third straight game.

Even so, Arsenal have a longer track record of poor away performances having won just three times all season so I’m taking on Leicester to spring the upset.

Back Leicester to Win @ $3.50

City finally got their title party but are still chasing Chelsea’s record mark of 95 points in 2004/2005 and ideally, a grand total of 100 points for the season.

Brighton are fighting their way to the finish line, securing safety thanks to an upset of Manchester United on the weekend.

This will be Brighton’s first trip to Manchester City since September 1988, when both were still in Division Two, all three meetings since then have been at Brighton’s home ground.

City’s season kick started with a 2-0 win on the opening day and another win here would not surprise at all as Pep Guardiola pushes his charges to finish strong.

Back Manchester City to Win to Nil @ $1.73

While they are in no danger of being overtaken by Arsenal, Tottenham have been struggling to live up to expectations as of late, dropping points in three of their last four matches.

There was plenty of cause for concern as they lost to then bottom of the table West Brom on the weekend but they do have the chance to right the ship at Wembley.

Tottenham won on the opening day of the season but have not beaten Newcastle twice in a Premier League season since 2004/2005.

Newcastle have lost three in a row as they wind down to the end of the season and might struggle to get up for this one.

Back Tottenham to Win and Both Teams to Score @ $2.70

West Ham are safe thanks to their win over Leicester but face a different sort of challenge Manchester United on the rebound.

They have lost their last two in the league against United, being held scoreless both times however they have done a good job scoring goals as of late.

West Ham have managed to score at least once in every game except two since the start of December.

Even so, United are the better team here and should be able to take care of themselves, I do like West Ham to get a potential consolation goal late on.

Back Manchester United to Win and Both Teams to Score @ $3.50

2016/2017

We have reached the penultimate weekend of the English Premier League season and we are in for a busy few days of football.

Tottenham’s loss to West Ham means that Chelsea are now only one win away from the English Premier League title and they can secure the trophy with a victory over West Bromwich Albion on Saturday morning.

The relegation battle is still on in earnest and a Hull City victory over Crystal Palace would really throw the cat among the pigeons.

There are interesting games spread right across the weekend and you can find our complete 2016/2017 EPL Week 37 tips below.

Neither of these teams take particularly strong form into this clash, but it is still Everton that will start this game as clear favourites.

Everton produced a fairly uninspiring performance against Swansea last weekend, but they have generally saved their best form this season for in front of their home fans.

They have won 11 of their past 13 games as home favourites and they have not lost at Goodison Park this season as the punter’s elect.

Watford have lost three games on the trot and their record away from home has been particularly bad.

They have won three of their past 16 games as away underdogs for a profit, but they have failed to score a goal in their past five games on the road.

It is very tough to see Everton losing this game and they should be able to cruise to victory.

Back Everton To Win To Nil @ $2.10

This really is the moment that Chelsea should secure the English Premier League title and they will start this clash as clear favourites.

Chelsea have been dominant against both Everton and Middlesbrough in the past fortnight and winning away from home has not been an issue this season – they have won 11 of their past 14 games as home favourites for a clear profit.

West Bromwich Albion gave up on this season months ago and they have not won a game since their upset victory over Arsenal in March.

In saying that, they have definitely saved their best form for The Hawthorns and they have won two of their past eight games as home underdogs for a profit.

Chelsea should win this game and claim the title, but there is no value at their current price and I am happy to stay out of this clash from a betting standpoint.

No Bet

Manchester City could hardly have been more impressive against Crystal Palace last weekend and they will go into this clash as clear favourites.

While there was plenty to like about the way that Manchester City played against Crystal Palace, they have struggled for consistency this season and that has made them one of the most frustrating betting sides in the whole English Premier League.

Manchester City have won only nine of their past 17 games as home favourites for a clear loss and they were handily beaten by Leicester City earlier this season.

Leicester City have played some quality football in the second half of the season and they will go into this clash with the mindset that they can take something from it.

The Foxes have won only one of their of their past 13 games as away underdogs, but they have drawn four games in this scenario.

Manchester City are far too short at their current and I am more than happy to take them on at their current price.

Back Leicester City & Draw @ $4

Bournemouth can potentially climb into the top ten with a win over Burnley and they will start this clash as clear favourites.

The Cherries have taken seven points from their past three games and they are one of the only sides in the middle of the English Premier League table that have finished the season with any real purpose.

Bournemouth have won six of their past ten games as home favourites and their recent form in front of their home fans has been particularly impressive.

Burnley secured their safety with their draw against West Bromwich Albion and are another side that remain in the hunt for a top ten finish.

They have won only one game away from home so far this season and they are a side that are very tough to trust on the road.

Bournemouth really have looked the goods in recent weeks and they are a safe bet to make it three wins on the trot.

Back Bournemouth To Win @ $1.91

Middlesbrough were relegated from the English Premier League following their loss to Chelsea and it is Southampton that will go into this clash as clear favourites.

Southampton have played some fairly uninspiring football in recent weeks and they have not won a game in over a month.

They have won five of their past ten games as home favourites for a narrow profit, but they are still a tough team to trust from a betting standpoint.

It has looked a foregone conclusion for some time that Middlesbrough would be returning to the English Championship and their time in the English Premier League really has been a massive waste of time.

Middlesbrough have failed to win a single game as home underdogs this season and their motivation levels will be at rock bottom.

Southampton are a tough side to trust, but they do represent genuine value at their current price.

Back Southampton To Win @ $1.95

Swansea City are now outside of the relegation zone and they can keep their fate in their own hands if they beat Sunderland this weekend.

Swansea City recorded one of the most important wins in their history to beat Everton last weekend and a similar performance would definitely be enough to see off Sunderland this weekend.

The Welsh outfit have won their only game as away favourites this season and they recorded a comfortable win over Sunderland earlier in the year.

In a move that was sure to frustrate their fans, Sunderland responded to being relegated with their first win in 2017 when they beat Hull City.

Sunderland have still only won one of their 12 games as home underdogs this season and are impossible to trust from a betting standpoint.

Swansea City still have plenty to play for and are a great bet to account for Sunderland this weekend.

Back Swansea City To Win @ $1.83

Arsenal still have a chance of finishing in the top four and they will go into this clash with Stoke City as clear favourites.

Arsenal were not particularly impressive against Manchester United, but they still came away with the three points and they have won three of their past four games.

The Gunners have been somewhat inconsistent away from home and they have won only seven of their past 12 games as away favourites for a narrow loss.

Stoke City took a point from their most recent clash with Bournemouth, but their form in the second half of the season has been far from spectacular and they have won only one of their past eight games.

This is a game that the market has got just about right and I am happy to stay out from a betting standpoint.

No Bet

This is a massive game for both sides and is a true six point clash.

Crystal Palace have lost three games on the trot in very poor fashion and they now find themselves only four points away from the relegation zone.

They will start this clash as favourites, but they have been extremely tough to trust in this scenario – they have won only three of their past 10 games as home favourites for a clear loss.

Hull City took a massive step towards relegation when they failed to beat Sunderland last weekend and this is basically a must-win clash for the Tigers.

The problem for Hull City this season has been winning away from home and they have won just one of their past 18 games as away underdogs.

Tension is sure to be high at Selhurst Park and this will be one of the most interesting games of the weekend, but it is not a fixture I am interested in getting involved in from a betting standpoint.

No Bet

Liverpool are yet to secure a top four finish in the English Premier League and a loss against West Ham would be a huge issue for Jurgen Klopp’s men.

Liverpool produced one of their worst performances of the season to date when they played out a miserable 0-0 draw with Southampton last weekend, but they will still go into this clash as clear favourites.

Winning away from home has not been an issue for Liverpool and they have won eight of their past 14 games as away favourites, but their recent record against West Ham is poor.

West Ham effectively ended the title chances of Tottenham last Saturday morning and they go into this clash on the on the back of a five game unbeaten run.

The Olympic Stadium has really not been a happy hunting ground for West Ham this season and they have won only one of their past seven games as away underdogs.

There should be plenty of goals scored in this encounter and the value does look to be with a Liverpool win, with both sides to score.

Back Both Teams To Score And Liverpool To Win @ $3.40

Tottenham will likely be out of the title race by the time this game is played, but they will still go into this clash as clear favourites.

While they are unlikely to win the title, it has still been a season to remember for Tottenham and they have shown they are capable of competing with the best teams in the English Premier League.

Tottenham had their winning run ended by West Ham, but they have still won 15 of their past 17 games as home favourites and they have not lost at White Hart Lane this season.

Manchester United are on the quick back-up after facing Celta Vigo in their Europa League Semi-Final on Friday morning.

The Red Devils have failed to win their past three games in the English Premier League and they have been a very tough side to trust from a betting standpoint.

Manchester United have failed to win any of their past four games as away underdogs and they have very little to play for in the English Premier League.

Tottenham really should be able to maintain their unbeaten run at White Hart Lane and secure their top two finish.

Back Tottenham To Win @ $1.67

Chelsea secured the English Premier League title with their win over West Bromwich Albion and they will be in celebration mode at Stamford Bridge.

Stamford Bridge has been a very happy hunting ground for Chelsea this season and they really should have little trouble winning again.

Chelsea have won 15 of their past 17 games as home favourites and their defence continues to be a strength.

Watford have failed to score in their past four English Premier League games and it is clear that they are mentally finished with this season.

Chelsea will win this game and they are a good bet to keep a clean sheet in the process.

Back Chelsea To Win To Nil @ $2.25

Arsenal remain in the mix for a top four finish and a victory over Sunderland will get them within a single point of Liverpool.

The one position that Arsenal have thrived this season has been as home favourites and they have won 12 of their past 15 games in this scenario.

Sunderland ensured that Hull City would be relegated when they went down to Swansea City on the weekend and it really is tough to see them winning this clash.

The Black Cats have won three of their past 17 games as away underdogs, but it is simply impossible to back them with any confidence in this clash.

Arsenal will win this game, but there is no value at their current price.

No Bet

This is a key game for Manchester City as they much win to ensure they remain in the top four.

Manchester City made it two wins on the trot with their victory over Leicester City and their recent record against West Bromwich Albion is nothing short of outstanding – they have won 12 of the past 13 games played between the two sides.

In saying that, Manchester City have still only won 10 of their past 18 games as home favourites for a clear loss.

West Bromwich Albion made have been the first club this season to start focusing on their summer holiday and they have taken only two points from their past seven games.

The Baggies have struggled away from home this season and they have won only three of their past 16 games as away underdogs for a clear loss.

This is another game where the favourite should win comfortably, but there is no edge whatsoever at the current price.

No Bet