2017/2018 EPL Week 4 Preview

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The international break is over and players are back with their clubs ready to earn their pay checks.

There will be a few debuts in line this week with the transfer window closed and some players having to remember which side they are on.

We have analysed all ten matches set to take place in the English Premier League this weekend and our complete EPL Week 4 tips can be found below.

Manchester City Vs Liverpool

Saturday 9 September, 9:30pm, Etihad Stadium

Two clubs preparing for the Champions League Group Stage kick off the fourth round of Premier League fixtures.

Liverpool hold a significant advantage in the recent meetings between the clubs having won four of the last five meetings.

Nobody can accuse them of playing conservative football this season, with Liverpool scoring eight goals in their opening three games, including a brutal 4-0 demolition of Arsenal in their last outing.

Senegalese striker Saido Mane has been the key man so far in his second season at Anfield scoring three times and with the support of Roberto Firmino, gives Liverpool their most potent attack since the SAS days.

Their hosts meanwhile are also on seven points and looking to keep pace with their cross-town neighbours.

Defensively they are much more stout so far giving up two goals in three games however they face a tough assignment this week.

Back Mane to score and Liverpool to win @$5.50

Arsenal Vs Bournemouth

Sunday 10 September, 12:00am, Emirates Stadium

Arsenal are a lot of things but boring is not one of them, they are looking to rebound from a tumultuous fortnight.

Their deadline day business involved a few exits with the biggest departure being Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain while a deal for Thomas Lemar was scuppered by the player.

With criticism coming from all angles, the club needs to rediscover their scoring touch as they have not found the back of the net since Olivier Giroud’s winner against Leicester in the opening round, or over 180 minutes of football ago.

They have form against Bournemouth having won three of the four meetings between the clubs.

Bournemouth are just looking to get their first points of the Premier League season having lost to West Brom, Watford and Man City and only scoring once.

Arsenal should get back in the winners circle but it is hard to see them keeping a clean sheet given the uncertainty at the back.

Back Arsenal to Win & Both Teams to Score @$2.50

Brighton And Hove Albion Vs West Bromwich Albion

Sunday 10 September, 12:00am, Amex Stadium

Statistically, this contest will only go one way as Brighton & Hove’s poor start to their debut Premier League season will be extended by West Brom.

The Baggies are off to a good start so far with two wins and a draw from their opening fixtures, all of which have been relatively low scoring.

Aussie goalkeeper Mat Ryan faces some competition from deadline day acquisition Tim Krul and may find himself on the bench for Brighton & Hove.

In the Championship last year, the Seagulls did have the best home record so it would be very helpful for them if they were to rediscover that home form sooner rather than later.

Expect a fairly cautious contest with both keepers having a relatively easy afternoon.

Back the Under Total Goals 2.5 @ $1.53

Everton Vs Tottenham Hotspur

Sunday 10 September, 12:00am, Goodison Park

Both sides come into this game looking to kick start their campaigns having notched identical records in the August warm up.

Tottenham will be glad to return to a stadium they are used to playing in with Goodison Park presenting a more familiar setting than their temporary home of Wembley.

The last two times these sides met at this ground each produced 1-1 draws however Everton have not won a game since December 2012.

A draw is the most frequent result in the last ten fixtures happening five times.

Tottenham’s Harry Kane is yet to get off the mark for this season but did manage a double in a recent qualifier for England.

Everton are yet to fully replace Romelu Lukaku up front as Sandro Ramirez adjusts to the Premier League.

This game should go Tottenham’s way but Everton have proven to be tricky in the past so steer clear here.

No Bet

Leicester City Vs Chelsea

Sunday 10 September, 12:00am, King Power Stadium

The last two champions of England face off at the King Power Stadium this weekend and just like in every other game, both sides will want a win.

Chelsea will still be missing captain Gary Cahill who will be serving the final game of his suspension issued as a result of an opening day red card.

The defending champions will be feeling fairly confident having passed two stern tests before the international break in Everton and Spurs.

Last season they recorded two 3-0 victories over Leicester however both came before their managerial change.

Since the start of the 2016/2017 season, Leicester have struggled against the traditional “Big” opposition winning just two of fourteen games in that time.

They will need to turn that form around quickly if they want to return to the top of the Premier League as they will not want to lose any more ground.

Back Chelsea and Over 2.5 Goals @ $2.80

Southampton Vs Watford

Sunday 10 September, 12:00am, St Mary’s Stadium

Both sides would be relatively satisfied with how things have gone in their opening three fixtures, establishing a decent platform to build on.

So far both sides are on five points with a win and two draws each.

Neither side has been overly potent so far this year however Southampton will be hoping that the re-introduction of Virgil van Dijk will help them out in front of goal.

Watford’s leading goalscorer is defender Miguel Britos but they will be wanting one of their strikers to take over that mantle in the coming weeks.

Back a Draw in this game @ $3.70

Stoke City Vs Manchester United

Sunday 10 September, 2:30am, Selhurst Park

Man United are off to a flying start and the bookies have certainly picked up on that fact.

They travel to Stoke in the late kickoff Sunday morning (or really early depending on your sleeping habits) which is not quite the house of horrors it once was in the Tony Pulis days.

It will not be an easy trip however as Stoke did manage to come away with a pair of 1-1 draws last season.

Of course it is a much different Man United side this season and it is hard to see this game going anyway other than a Red Devils victory.

In terms of value plays, there is not a lot to like about this game but Romelu Lukaku would be the most likely goal scorer.

Back Lukaku as an Anytime Goal Scorer @ $1.91

Burnley Vs Crystal Palace

Sunday 10 September, 10:30pm, Turf Moor

Three games into the season and Palace are already considering sacking their manager Frank De Boer.

Having lost all three games and yet to score a goal, it’s fair to say that Palace are a club struggling to find themselves.

Burnley will be feeling pretty confident on the other hand having already beaten Chelsea at Stamford Bridge and drawn with Spurs at Wembley.

Plenty of money is coming in on them to win this contest and it would be wise to follow that.

Back Burnley to Win Outright at $2.25

Swansea City Vs Newcastle United

Monday 11 September, 1:00am, Selhurst Park

Both of these teams managed to get their first wins in Matchweek 3 and will be looking to turn it into a streak.

Historically this is a fixture that has produced goals with only one of the last five meetings having under the line of 2.5 goals.

Swansea have the edge in head to head meetings, winning three contests at the Liberty Stadium to Newcastle’s one.

This is a game that screams stay away until you know a bit more about both sides.

No Bet

West Ham United Vs Huddersfield Town

Tuesday 12 September, 5:00am, Olympic Stadium

A rough start to the season has the West Ham fans frustrated with their club, meanwhile the Huddersfield supporters are wondering what the big deal is as they find themselves sitting in third place.

After three matches Huddersfield are yet to concede a goal while West Ham have only scored two.

West Ham’s defence has been having a bit of a nightmare so far conceding ten in their defeats to Newcastle, Southampton and Man United.

The only thing that is working in the Hammers favour is the fact that this is their first home fixture of the season having been displaced by the World Athletics Championships.

With a fan protest scheduled for this game, it is hard to see West Ham getting anything out of it and if you are feeling really confident, back them to continue to struggle in front of the net

Back Huddersfield to win to nil @ $7.50


2016/2017

Week four of the 2016/2017 English Premier League is headlined by what is arguably the most anticipated Manchester Derby in history as Jose Mourinho, Zlatan Ibrahimovic and Manchester United host Pep Guardiola and Manchester City.

That fixture will clearly dominate headlines, but there are plenty of other big games this weekend such as the clash between Liverpool and Leicester City as well as the showdown between Arsenal and Southampton at Emirates Stadium.

There are intriguing story lines in just about every game this weekend and you can find our thoughts and betting predictions for every game below.

Manchester United Vs Manchester City

Saturday 10 September, 9:30pm, Old Trafford

Manchester United 1 - Manchester City 2

This is set to be one of the most anticipated editions of the Manchester Derby in history as both clubs have new managers in the form of Jose Mourinho and Pep Guardiola.

This is the biggest game of the English Premier League season to date and the winner will likely go straight to the top of title betting markets.

Manchester United left it late to find the winner against Hull City, but they will still go into this clash as clear favourites to come away with the three points.

Home favourtism has not been a position in which Manchester United have thrived in the past 12 months, but they are close to being back in the profit with their record of 11-4-2.

Manchester City have looked particularly impressive at the start of the English Premier League season and they were outstanding against West Ham.

Guardiola already has this side playing the type of football that he is famous for and I think that a firing Manchester City outfit would prove too strong for a Manchester United team that is still meshing together.

The $3.25 currently on offer for a Manchester City victory is big overs and they are an excellent bet to get the job done.

Back Manchester City To Win @ $3.25

Burnley Vs Hull City

Sunday 11 September, 12:00am, Turf Moor

Burnley 1 - Hull City 1

Burnley and Hull City have both returned to the English Premier League for the 2015/2016 season and they have made credible starts to their campaigns.

Burnley came crashing back to earth against Chelsea following their win over Liverpool and they will still start this clash as clear favourites.

Home ground advantage proved key when these two sides did battle in the English Championship last season and that is one of the reasons I am keen to side with Burnley.

Hull City have played very well in the English Premier League to date, but they have clearly overachieved and the lack of depth in the squad is sure to come back to bite them at some point.

Anything better than even money is a good price for Burnley and I am confident that they can get the job done this weekend.

Back Burnley To Win @ $2.30

West Ham Vs Watford

Sunday 11 September, 12:00am, Olympic Stadium

West Ham 2 - Watford 4

It has been a mixed start for West Ham in the English Premier League this season and they have won just one of their three games.

They will still go into this clash as clear favourites and this is a position in which they have not been particularly profitable in the past 12 months.

West Ham have won five of their past 11 games as home favourites, but five of them were also draws and backing the draw in West Ham games has proven to be a highly profitable play.

Watford have just the point from their three games, but it is fair to say that they faced tough assignments against both Arsenal and Chelsea.

The Hornets have been a profitable betting side across a wide range of metrics over the past 12 months and they have taken at least a  point from eight of their past 17 games as away underdogs.

West Ham have really failed to fire so far this season and I can’t get as short as their current quote, which makes the draw at $3.50 an outstanding bet.

Back The Draw @ $3.50

Middlesbrough Vs Crystal Palace

Sunday 11 September, 12:00am, Riverlands Stadium

Middlesbrough 1 - Crystal Palace 2

Middlesbrough are unbeaten in the English Premier League this season, but it is fair to say they were not overly impressive in their final game before the international break.

Middlesbrough will still start this clash as clear favourites and they really are remarkably short for a team that struggled to break down West Bromwich Albion in their last English Premier League game.

Crystal Palace have started this season where they ended the last one – poorly – and they are yet to record a win.

They are likely to be boosted by the debut of striker Christian Benteke, but their record as away underdogs leaves a fair bit to be desired.

Crystal Palace have won just three of their past 16 games as away underdogs, but six of those games did finish in draws and that is the betting play that stands out in this fixture.

Back The Draw @ $3.10

Bournemouth Vs West Bromwich Albion

Sunday 11 September, 12:00am, Dean Court

Bournemouth 1 - West Bromwich Albion 0

Bournemouth are yet to win a game in the English Premier League this season, but they will go into this clash with West Bromwich Albion as clear favourites.

There have been some worrying signs for Bournemouth in each of their games this season and they have not won any of their last eight English Premier League games.

Bournemouth have struggled as home favourites in the past 12 months and they have just three wins and four draws from their past 11 games as home favourites.

West Bromwich Albion have picked up four points from their first three games of the season and will fancy their chances of taking something from this clash.

The Baggies were a profitable betting play as away underdogs last year, but most of the value came from backing the draw in this situation as the deadlock was not broken in seven of their 17 encounters.

Bournemouth are far too short at their current quote of $2 and I am more than happy to back the draw in another clash this weekend.

Back The Draw @ $3.10

Arsenal Vs Southampton

Sunday 11 September, 12:00am, Emirates Stadium

Arsenal 2 - Southampton 1

Arsenal recorded their first win of the English Premier League season with a comfortable win over Watford and they are short-priced favourites to make it two wins on the trot this weekend.

Arsenal have signed a much-needed quality centre-back in the form of Shkodran Mustafi and he will in action for his new club for the first time in this clash.

Home favoritism is a position that Arsenal have fared well in over the past 12 months and they have won 12 of their past 17 games in this scenario for a profit.

Southampton have made a fairly lacklustre start to the English Premier League season and they were extremely poor against Sunderland in their final game before the international break.

In saying that, Southampton have still proven to be a profitable betting outfit as away underdogs in the past 12 months – with the Saints winning four of their past ten games in this scenario.

The market looks to have got this match just about right and I am happy to stay out from a betting perspective.

No Bet

Stoke City Vs Tottenham Hotspur

Sunday 11 September, 12:00am, Brittannia Stadium

Stoke City 0 - Tottenham Hotspur 4

Stoke City suffered a 4-0 defeat at the hands of Tottenham and they face another tough assignment against their rivals in this clash.

Stoke City are yet to record their first win of the season after suffering back-to-back losses at the hands of Manchester City and Everton and they will go into this clash as clear underdogs.

It is not secret that Stoke City generally produce their best football in front of their home fans at Brittannia Stadium and they have won four and drawn three of their past ten games as home underdogs.

Tottenham were outplayed by Liverpool in their last game before the international break, but they were still able to come away with a point to maintain their unbeaten start to the season.

Tottenham will start this clash as clear favourites and this has been a position in which they have thrived in the past 12 months – they are 7-2-2 as home favourites over this period.

While they are clearly the team to beat in this clash, I can’t get Tottenham as short as their current quote of $1.75 and this is another clash that I

Liverpool Vs Leicester City

Sunday 11 September, 2:30am, Anfield

Liverpool 4 - Leicester City 1

This is one of the biggest games of the weekend and is set to be a very interesting clash.

Liverpool have not won in the English Premier League since their opening day demolition of Arsenal, but they will still start this clash as very short-priced favourites.

Anfield has been far from a fortress for Liverpool in the past 12 months and they have won just six of their past 16 games as home favourites, with eight of those games ending in a draw.

Leicester City recorded their first win of their English Premier League title defence against Swansea City in their final game before the international break.

It has been a slightly slow start for Leicester City, but they have improved each match and their record as away underdogs is simply outstanding – they are 5-3-2 in this scenario over the past 12 months.

I am very keen to take on Liverpool at their current quote and the $2.25 available for the Leicester City/Draw Double Chance is excellent value.

Back Leicester City & Draw @ $2.25

Swansea City Vs Chelsea

Monday 12 September, 1:00am, Liberty Stadium

Swansea City 2 - Chelsea 2

Swansea City scored an upset win over Chelsea at Liberty Stadium last season, but they are at big odds to replicate that feat again this weekend.

Swansea started their season with a win over Burnley, but they have since gone down to both Hull City and Leicester City.

The Swans have only started five games as home underdogs in the past 12 months and they have managed to record two wins and a draw in this scenario.

Chelsea now have three wins from as many English Premier League starts under the care of Antonio Conte and they are clearly a much better outfit than they were 12 months ago.

It may not be pretty at times, but Conte has this Chelsea outfit able to get results when they are needed and they are genuine title contenders.

Their record as away favourites over the past 12 months is still an average 6-2-5, but there is no doubt that they have improved that record under the care of Conte.

This is another game that I am happy to stay out of, but I definitely have my eye on Chelsea going forward.

Sunderland Vs Everton

Monday 12 September, 5:00am, Stadium Of Light

Everton have got off to a flying start in the 2016 English Premier League and they are clear favourites to account for Sunderland this weekend.

Everton have already played some excellent football under the care of Ronald Koeman and they have an outstanding record as away favourites in the past 12 months – they have won five of their past seven games in this scenario and the other two results were draws.

Sunderland produced credible efforts against Manchester City and Middlesbrough in their opening EPL fixtures before they claimed their first point of the season with a hard-fought draw with Southampton.

Sunderland have won three of their past 11 games at the Stadium Of Light as underdogs for a narrow profit and their recent record against Everton is actually fairly strong.

I am still keen on Everton in this clash – they really have been impressive so far this season – and anything better than even money is a great price.

Back Everton To Win @ $2.05