2020/2021 EPL Week 4 Preview

Facebooktwittermail

The new Premier League season continues this weekend with the final round of matches before an international break.

Four sides will be looking to extend their perfect starts to the season but one will drop their first points as Liverpool and Aston Villa face off.

We should also be in for a real treat when Leeds face Manchester City in a match that promises plenty of goals.

After scouring the markets, we’ve found our best bets for each Premier League match below so read on to see who we are backing.

Chelsea Vs Crystal Palace

Saturday 3 October, 9:30pm, Stamford Bridge

Chelsea 4 – Crystal Palace 0

It’s been an eventful week for Chelsea, needing to pull off a massive comeback to get a point from West Brom before dropping a midweek cup tie to Tottenham on penalties.

With just four points on the season so far, the Blues will be desperate to pick up all three points when they host a Palace side they have won five straight against.

It won’t be all that easy though with Palace looking good so far and already defeating Manchester United at Old Trafford.

On the balance of play though, you have to give the edge to Chelsea but with them yet to keep a clean sheet in the league this season and Palace scoring in every game, it won’t be with a clean sheet.

SGM: Chelsea to Win & Both Teams to Score @ $2.92

Everton Vs Brighton

Sunday 4 October, 12:00am, Goodison Park

Everton 4 – Brighton 2

If nothing else, we’ll see an angry, motivated Brighton after a post fulltime whistle, VAR intervention cost them a point against United last week.

The problem for them though, is they face an Everton side that has won all five matches it has played this season in all competitions.

All things considered this one is quietly setting up as a really intriguing match as Everton looks to extend its perfect record while Brighton has shown the ability to be competitive in most matches.

It’s tempting to add in an extra play on the goals market but backing the better team (Everton) outright is enough value for me here.

Back Everton to Win @ $1.75

Leeds Vs Manchester City

Sunday 4 October, 3:30am, Elland Road

Leeds 1 – Manchester City 1

Bielsa and Guardiola could be managing two sides in the local Sunday morning league in Stanthorpe and they would find a way to turn it into an entertaining match.

With two Premier League sides at their disposal this one should be an attacking masterclass, aided in part by the fact that neither side seems overly solid defensively.

It would be borderline suicidal for Bielsa to go for broke against this vulnerable City backline though because as we have seen in all three Premier League matches so far, they give up plenty of chances.

They are every chance of matching City however after the visitors were demolished at home by Leicester last week, Guardiola will surely have his side primed for a rebound.

The head to head market looks about right, although you could make a case there’s value on a Leeds/Draw but you have to back a high scoring clash here given the number of scoring chances that will be created.

Back Over 4.5 Goals @ $2.75

Newcastle Vs Burnley

Sunday 4 October, 6:00am, St James’ Park

Newcastle 3 – Burnley 1

On current form, you have to like the value on offer for backing against Burnley here.

Newcastle didn’t offer a whole lot against Tottenham but had a bit of luck and managed to escape with a draw while the Clarets are still searching for answers.

With no points from their first two games, it’s hard to see Burnley getting anything from this game and because of that, I’ll take Newcastle.

Back Newcastle to Win @ $2.35

Leicester Vs West Ham

Sunday 4 October, 10:00pm, King Power Stadium

Leicester 0 – Burnley 3

How can you not enjoy Leicester’s start to the season?

Three straight wins, all by multiple goals and Jamie Vardy is equal top of the Golden Boot race with five on the season.

West Ham on the other hand looked good in their convincing win over Wolves last week but consistency has always been a major issue for this club.

In this instance you have to back the hot hand and Leicester is as hot as they come, along with Vardy to score and add to his season tally.

Back Jamie Vardy to Score and Leicester to Win

Southampton Vs West Bromwich Albion

Sunday 4 October, 10:00pm, St Mary’s Stadium

Southampton 2 – West Brom 0

West Brom will have spent all week wondering how they blew a 3-0 lead to Chelsea and how to not make that same mistake this week.

Southampton picked up its first points of the season with an uninspiring 1-0 win over Burnley.

This is a fixture that the Saints have dominated lately, winning the last four meetings daring back to April 2017.

With West Brom’s apparent lack of resolve at the back it wouldn’t be at all surprising to see this fixture turn into a shootout.

Back Over 2.5 Goals @ $1.75

Arsenal Vs Sheffield United

Monday 5 October, 12:00pm, Emirates Stadium

Arsenal 2 – Sheffield 1

This match boils down to one simple fact, Sheffield United cannot score at the moment.

Three losses from three games, no goals scored, it’s not a good sign for last season’s Cinderella story.

Admittedly if this follows the script of a traditional Arsenal season this finishes as a 1-0 win to the Blades but surely fate will not be that cruel to the Gunners.

You can give them a pass for losing to Liverpool on Tuesday morning and Mikel Arteta has given us reason to think Arsenal might be able to stop dropping so many points against sides they should beat comfortably.

More than anything else, you just have to back against Sheffield until they show some reason to have any faith in them.

Back Arsenal to Win to Nil @ $2.50

Wolves Vs Fulham

Monday 5 October, 12:00am, Molineux Stadium

Wolves 1 – Fulham 0

When you add in the League Cup, Wolves have now lost their last three and were far from their best when they were trounced by West Ham last week.

Perhaps the sale of Diogo Jota to Liverpool is having a bigger impact on this squad than first thought, perhaps Wolves bought into their own hype or perhaps we overrated them.

Either way, Fulham have been nothing short of atrocious in their Premier League return and they simply can’t defend which makes this look like a very tough assignment if Wolves bounce back.

I’ll happily back a Wolves response in this one as they get back on form with a big win.

Back Wolves to Win -1 Goal @ $2.50

Manchester United Vs Tottenham

Monday 5 October, 2:30am, Old Trafford

Manchester United 1 – Tottenham 6

Much like a lot of Premier League sides this season, Both Teams to Score has been a profitable play in matches for Manchester United and Tottenham this season.

That market has hit in the last two Premier League matches for both sides plus Tottenham’s Europa League and League Cup ties.

It also hit in both meetings between these sides last season and with the defensive calamities that have already been logged on both ends, we should see both sides register at least one goal.

Back Both Teams to Score @ $1.70

Aston Villa Vs Liverpool

Monday 5 October, 5:15am, Villa Park

Aston Villa 7 – Liverpool 2

This is a battle of second taking on fourth after both sides have had perfect starts to the current season.

It will be a huge test for Aston Villa whose two wins have come against sides that look more like relegation battlers than the defending champions in Sheffield and Fulham but the fact they have not conceded a goal is something to be impressed by.

Liverpool on the other hand have defeated Leeds, Chelsea and Arsenal, all sides that could have put a real scare through them.

It’s just too hard to back against Liverpool in their current form but I’ll give Aston Villa some credit and expect them to at least get one goal on the board.

SGM: Liverpool HT/FT and Both Teams to Score @ $4.40


2019

The goals were flying in during Round 3 of the Premier League with 17 teams getting on the scoresheet.

It was also a great week for travelling teams with seven of the 10 away sides heading home with all three points.

One of those sides that failed to score and also lost at home was Tottenham, who have the first North London Derby of the season coming up in the early hours of Monday morning.

We’ve previewed that and the other nine games coming up this weekend in Week 4 of the English Premier League.

Southampton Vs Manchester United

Saturday 31 August, 9:30pm, St Mary’s Stadium

Southampton 1 – Manchester United 1

It all looked so good for United a fortnight ago, fresh off a belting of Chelsea, they have dropped points in their last two games including a troubling home loss to Palace last weekend.

Southampton just picked up their first win of the season last weekend and will now turn their attentions to defeating United for the first time since 2016.

Last season this fixture saw plenty of goals with a 2-2 draw at St Mary’s and a 3-2 United win at Old Trafford and with the way both sides have left themselves exposed at the back at times this season, we could see a similar scoreline.

United haven’t exactly set the world alight in the last two weeks but this side has too much quality to drop points three games in a row.

I’ll still give the edge to them picking up a win on the road but can’t see them keeping a clean sheet on the way.

SGM: Manchester United to Win & Both Teams to Score @ $4.16


Chelsea Vs Sheffield United

Sunday 1 September, 12:00am, Stamford Bridge

Chelsea 2 – Sheffield 2

Chelsea had to work to get all three points against Norwich last weekend and now face another promoted opponent in Sheffield United this weekend.

These two last played in 2007 where the Blues did a league double with back to back clean sheets over the Blades including a 3-0 win at Stamford Bridge.

Sheffield has made a decent start with four points from the opening three games, but this is going to be their biggest test.

The Blues showed enough in their win last week to suggest that they should win this game and score a few goals on the way, even if they concede against Sheffield for the first time since 1994.

SGM: Chelsea to Win, Over 3.5 Goals, Tammy Abraham Anytime Goal Scorer


Crystal Palace Vs Aston Villa

Sunday 1 September, 12:00am, Selhurst Park

Crystal Palace 1 – Aston Villa 0

For Crystal Palace, they could not be coming into this fixture on a bigger high after a huge win at Manchester United.

On the other hand, that does lend plenty of credence to the theory this will be a comedown game of sorts given the drama involved with that win.

That should open the door for Aston Villa, who broke their duck with a win over Everton last weekend.

Villa has the discipline to limit the chances on offer for the Palace front line and you have to like the value on offer for an upset here.

Back Aston Villa to Win @ $3.25


Leicester Vs Bournemouth

Sunday 1 September, 12:00am, King Power Stadium

Leicester 3 – Bournemouth 1

Out of all the clubs in the Premier League for Leicester to struggle with, you’d be surprised to hear Bournemouth was one of them.

Last March saw them finally beat the Cherries in the Premier League for the first time in eight meetings.

Now the Foxes are one of three Premier League sides that are yet to lose this season and they have a good chance to pick up win number two here.

Bournemouth can’t take too much pain away from joining the long list of teams to lose to Manchester City, but one stat of note is that Both Teams to Score has hit in all three matches so far so that’s going to be the value add play for a Same Game Multi.

SGM: Leicester to Win and Both Teams to Score @ $3.19


Manchester City Vs Brighton And Hove Albion

Sunday 1 September, 12:00am, Etihad Stadium

Manchester City 4 – Brighton 0

Sometimes it can be a real chore finding a bet for a Manchester City game.
You know they’re almost certainties to beat Brighton and chances are it should be by a lot, after all they won 4-1 on the final day of last season back in May and have won five straight against the Seagulls.

That’s where a Same Game Multi will come in handy, starting with a City half time/full time double and over 3.5 goals in the match.

Then to top it off you also will need to find a City player to back to score a goal and it basically comes down to whether you like Sterling, Aguero, Silva or De Bruyne to score here.

Aguero scored a brace against Bournemouth and he’s the pick here to add to his tally here.

SGM: City Halftime/Fulltime, Over 3.5 Goals, Aguero Anytime Goal Scorer


Newcastle Vs Watford

Sunday 1 September, 12:00am, St James’ Park

Newcastle 1 – Watford 1

One team is yet to pick up a single point this season and in all honesty, you would have been forgiven for thinking it would be Newcastle.

Instead it’s Watford that has had a brutal start to the season with a couple of heavy defeats and just one goal scored.

Newcastle on the other hand stunned Tottenham at the new White Hart Lane last weekend for their first points of the season.

At some point Watford has to stop the rot but it may not be this weekend.

That also involves having more confidence in Newcastle than I’m comfortable with right now, so I’ll just avoid this game and catch up on the highlights later on.

NO BET


West Ham Vs Norwich

Sunday 1 September, 12:00am, London Stadium

West Ham 2 – Norwich 0

Back the hot hand… or the hot boots.

With five goals in his first three Premier League matches, it’s hard not to go straight for Teemu Pukki in the anytime goalscorer market and frankly, you probably should.

A goal in this match will equal Diego Costa and Mick Quinn’s achievement of scoring in their first four Premier League matches.

Unfortunately when you get off to such a good start the market does catch up with the form run and it impacts the prices.

You can throw in the Both Teams to Score Market for a Same Game Multi on top of Pukki scoring since it’s hit in all three games for Norwich and West Ham’s last two.

SGM: Both Teams to Score & Teemu Pukki Anytime Goalscorer


Burnley Vs Liverpool

Sunday 1 September, 2:30am, Turf Moor

Burnley 0 – Liverpool 3

The Reds are the last team with a perfect record and they come up against a Burnley side yet to be kept goalless this season.

Having dominated against Arsenal last week, they go into this one as very short priced favourites which is too be expected when they have dominated Burnley in the last couple of years.

For a same game multi in this one, it’s best to start off with a Liverpool win since they’ve taken eight of the last 10 meetings.

Up next is Both Teams to Score which has hit in the last five meetings and we’ll back four or more goals to be scored in the match since it’s Liverpool’s forward line we’re talking about here.

To top it all off we’ll also back the Reds to score first since they’ve managed to do that in all three of their games so far this season.

SGM: Liverpool to Win, Both Teams to Score, Over 3.5 Goals, Liverpool to Score First @ $5.58


Everton Vs Wolverhampton

Sunday 1 September, 11:00pm, Goodison Park

Everton 3 – Wolves 2

If you were one of the people to back Wolves to finish in the top six, it’s not time to panic by any means.

Sure three draws is not an ideal way to start the season but taking points off Leicester and United is still a decent effort and their draw with Burnley in the midst of Europa League qualification looked more like a point gained than two dropped.

Because they have the return leg against Torino coming up on the weekend and that will be the priority, I can’t see them picking up a win in this game and I have to back against them here.

Everton on the other hand still haven’t clicked so instead it’s worth looking into this for a Same Game Multi.

Start off with an Everton/Draw double chance and pair it with Both Teams to Score which has hit in Wolves last three games in all competitions (before the Europa League match).

SGM: Everton/Draw Double Chance, Both Teams to Score @ $2.56


Arsenal Vs Tottenham

Monday 2 September, 1:30am, Emirates Stadium

Arsenal 2 – Tottenham 2

All is not well at Spurs right now, with 15 points from their last 15 Premier League matches, it’s easy to see why Mauricio Pochettino is so frustrated.

Of course that stretch has including a Champions League Final appearance so it’s not all bad, but after last weekend’s loss to Newcastle, the squad seems primed for a bounce back.

The perfect recipe for that bounce back could come this weekend with the North London derby against Arsenal.

Unfortunately the Gunners need a rebound of their own after going down meekly to Liverpool and they do have the confidence of winning the last two Premier League meetings at the Emirates.

It’s unlikely that Arsenal will go into a shell like they did against Liverpool or that Dani Ceballos will have as poor of a game as he did last week either, and if they try and go for the throat here, they should be able to pick up a much needed win.

Back Arsenal to Win @ $2.35


2018/2019

Fathers’ Day weekend and there’s another ten games of Premier League action to delve into before the first international break of the season.

Last weekend saw Manchester City drop their first points of the season, while Arsenal picked up their first win under new manager Unai Emery.

Meanwhile, what is going on with Jose Mourinho and Manchester United?

We have analysed all ten games set to take place this weekend and our complete EPL Week 4 tips can be found below.

Leicester City Vs Liverpool

Saturday 1 September, 9:30pm, King Power Stadium

Leicester 1 – Liverpool 2

Undefeated and on top of the table without conceding a goal, Liverpool are flying early.

Meanwhile Leicester are two from three and host the Reds in what could very well be the match of the round.

One point of concern for Leicester  is the fact they have lost four in a row against the ‘Big Six’ of English Football and their last points against their fancied rivals came in a draw at Chelsea in January.

Liverpool took out both Premier League matches against Leicester last season and are well placed to take both again this year, starting with a statement victory here.

Back Liverpool to Win to Nil @ $2.55

SGM: Liverpool to Win, Under 3.5 Goals, Mo Salah First Goalscorer

Brighton And Hove Albion Vs Fulham

Sunday 2 September, 12:00am, Amex Stadium

Brighton 2 – Fulham 2

After a couple of very busy weeks, Mat Ryan might be in for another testing when his Brighton side face a Fulham outfit coming off four goals in their last match.

If Brighton have their way it will be a low scoring contest, however they have allowed a whopping 50 shots in their first three matches and Fulham have taken the fourth most shots in the competition so far.

With that in mind, there will be too many chances for this to go under and while the result could go one way or the other, you can expect a high scoring contest.

Back Over 2.5 Total Goals @ $1.95

SGM: Over 2.5 Goals, Both Teams to Score, Mitrovic First Away Team Goalscorer

Chelsea Vs Bournemouth

Sunday 2 September, 12:00am, Stamford Bridge

Chelsea 2 – Bournemouth 0

Bournemouth are off to a great start so far; with two wins and a draw from their opening three matches.

They have scored two goals in each of their matches, but they did have to settle for a draw with Everton in their last outing.

Chelsea rode their luck, but ultimately enjoyed a tight victory at St James’ Park, which is a venue that they have struggled at in the past.

Historically this is a fixture that has favoured Chelsea although after a 3-0 win last time, the Cherries will believe in the possibility of an upset.

In terms of the midnight kick offs this is definitely the pick of the bunch and it should feature a couple of goals.

Back Both Teams to Score @ $1.85

SGM: Chelsea to Win, Both Teams to Score, Over 2.5 Goals

Crystal Palace Vs Southampton

Sunday 2 September, 12:00am, Selhurst Park

Crystal Palace 0 – Southampton 2

Both sides come into this match having suffered back-to-back defeats and neither side would be overly keen to make it three on the trot.

Even in their defeats, Crystal Palace have enjoyed the stellar form of Wilfried Zaha and he looms as a potential difference maker here.

With two goals already this season, Zaha should be in for a big day against a Southampton side that has conceded multiple goals in each of its last two matches.

Back Crystal Palace to Score 2+ Goals

SGM: Over 2.5 Goals, Zaha First Goalscorer

Everton Vs Huddersfield Town

Sunday 2 September, 12:00am, Goodison Park

Everton 1 – Huddersfield 1

Everton are one of just a handful of sides that have whose matches have featured 11 goals this season and have been one of the more entertaining teams to watch.

They will go into this game missing their livewire, Richarlison, as he will be suspended this weekend and next due to a red card in his last match.

There is still plenty of attacking talent in this Everton side and they face one of the league’s leakiest defences in Huddersfield.

This is a contest that screams value play, with plenty of goals in matches featuring these two sides and no reason to expect that trend to not continue.

Back Over 3.5 Goals @ $3.50

SGM: Everton to Win, Over 3.5 Goals, Oumar Niasse Anytime Goalscorer

West Ham Vs Wolverhampton

Sunday 2 September, 12:00am, London Stadium

West Ham 0 – Wolves 1

It is safe to say that offseason spending does not always equal in-season success as West Ham have demonstrated over the first few weeks.

They are the one side that is yet to pick up a point so far this season and they face an interesting test in Wolves, who held Manchester City to a draw last weekend.

This will be the first meeting between these sides in almost three years and their first Premier League match since January 2011.

West Ham’s home form has not been awful but ,with just 7 wins in the past 20 games, they desperately need to improve their record in front of their home fans.

Unfortunately for them, it is unlikely to come this week with Wolves offering excellent value at these odds.

Back Wolves to Win @ $2.75

SGM: Wolves to Win, Both Teams to Score, Raul Jiminez First Goalscorer

Manchester City Vs Newcastle

Sunday 2 September, 2:30am, Etihad Stadium

Manchester City 2 – Newcastle 1

How will Newcastle respond after coming so close to holding on for a draw against Chelsea?

How will Manchester City bounce back after a disappointing draw at Wolves?

Those are just some of the questions surrounding Newcastle’s trip to the Etihad.

It has been a very long time since Newcastle beat City in the Premier League, with their last victory coming on September 24, 2005.

Since then there have been three draws and 18 wins for Manchester City in Premier League action and there is no reason to think City will do anything other than win.

Unfortunately the market also seems to reflect that certainty and to find value you will have to delve a little bit deeper and look for a goalscorer and with the form of Raheem Sterling, he is a good play here.

Back Raheem Sterling as First Goalscorer @ $4.50

SGM: City to Win, Under 2.5 Goals, Sterling Anytime Goalscorer

Cardiff Vs Arsenal

Sunday 2 September, 10:30pm, Cardiff City Stadium

Cardiff 2 – Arsenal 3

Be honest, when West Ham went up 1-0 over Arsenal last weekend you were expecting the worst.

The Gunners bounced back for their first win of the season and they now take on Cardiff who, despite failing to score a Premier League goal so far, have picked up two draws.

In Cardiff’s lone Premier League season, they dropped both games to Arsenal and will need to find the back of the net sooner rather than later.

Deciding on a play in this game will come down to whether or not you feel as though Arsenal can keep a clean sheet and despite their issues defensively, they should be able to keep Cardiff at bay.

Back Arsenal to Win to Nil @ $2.75

SGM: Arsenal to Win, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang First Goalscorer

Burnley Vs Manchester United

Monday 3 September, 1:00am, Turf Moor

Burnley 0 – Manchester United 2

It was nice to see a bit of fight from Manchester United in their last match, although some may feel as though Mourinho’s press conference might have been a bit too late to display it.

They now face a trip to a Burnley side that will be backing up from a Europa League qualifier at home to Olympiacos.

While a United win seems like the most probably outcome on paper, it is a tough to back with any confidence at the moment, however a Burnley Win/Draw double play does offer some good value at $2.20.

For this one though this is a comfortable stay away for the time being, but if you want a speculative same game multi, this is a good match to have a wager on.

NO BET

SGM: Burnley to Win, Under 2.5 Goals

Watford Vs Tottenham

Monday 3 September, 1:00am, Vicarage Road

Watford 2 – Tottenham 1

One, or potentially both, of these sides will have their perfect start to the season come to an end in this fixture and based on how they have performed so far, it will be a great game to watch.

History does not favour Watford here with five losses and a draw to Tottenham since their most recent promotion.

This is not the game to try and get overly fancy and Harry Kane appears to be past his August scoring woes.

Back Harry Kane to Score and Tottenham to Win @ $2.10

SGM: Tottenham to Win, Over 3.5 Goals, Both Teams to Score


2017/2018

The international break is over and players are back with their clubs ready to earn their pay checks.

There will be a few debuts in line this week with the transfer window closed and some players having to remember which side they are on.

We have analysed all ten matches set to take place in the English Premier League this weekend and our complete EPL Week 4 tips can be found below.

Manchester City Vs Liverpool

Saturday 9 September, 9:30pm, Etihad Stadium

Two clubs preparing for the Champions League Group Stage kick off the fourth round of Premier League fixtures.

Liverpool hold a significant advantage in the recent meetings between the clubs having won four of the last five meetings.

Nobody can accuse them of playing conservative football this season, with Liverpool scoring eight goals in their opening three games, including a brutal 4-0 demolition of Arsenal in their last outing.

Senegalese striker Saido Mane has been the key man so far in his second season at Anfield scoring three times and with the support of Roberto Firmino, gives Liverpool their most potent attack since the SAS days.

Their hosts meanwhile are also on seven points and looking to keep pace with their cross-town neighbours.

Defensively they are much more stout so far giving up two goals in three games however they face a tough assignment this week.

Back Mane to score and Liverpool to win @$5.50

Arsenal Vs Bournemouth

Sunday 10 September, 12:00am, Emirates Stadium

Arsenal are a lot of things but boring is not one of them, they are looking to rebound from a tumultuous fortnight.

Their deadline day business involved a few exits with the biggest departure being Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain while a deal for Thomas Lemar was scuppered by the player.

With criticism coming from all angles, the club needs to rediscover their scoring touch as they have not found the back of the net since Olivier Giroud’s winner against Leicester in the opening round, or over 180 minutes of football ago.

They have form against Bournemouth having won three of the four meetings between the clubs.

Bournemouth are just looking to get their first points of the Premier League season having lost to West Brom, Watford and Man City and only scoring once.

Arsenal should get back in the winners circle but it is hard to see them keeping a clean sheet given the uncertainty at the back.

Back Arsenal to Win & Both Teams to Score @$2.50

Brighton And Hove Albion Vs West Bromwich Albion

Sunday 10 September, 12:00am, Amex Stadium

Statistically, this contest will only go one way as Brighton & Hove’s poor start to their debut Premier League season will be extended by West Brom.

The Baggies are off to a good start so far with two wins and a draw from their opening fixtures, all of which have been relatively low scoring.

Aussie goalkeeper Mat Ryan faces some competition from deadline day acquisition Tim Krul and may find himself on the bench for Brighton & Hove.

In the Championship last year, the Seagulls did have the best home record so it would be very helpful for them if they were to rediscover that home form sooner rather than later.

Expect a fairly cautious contest with both keepers having a relatively easy afternoon.

Back the Under Total Goals 2.5 @ $1.53

Everton Vs Tottenham Hotspur

Sunday 10 September, 12:00am, Goodison Park

Both sides come into this game looking to kick start their campaigns having notched identical records in the August warm up.

Tottenham will be glad to return to a stadium they are used to playing in with Goodison Park presenting a more familiar setting than their temporary home of Wembley.

The last two times these sides met at this ground each produced 1-1 draws however Everton have not won a game since December 2012.

A draw is the most frequent result in the last ten fixtures happening five times.

Tottenham’s Harry Kane is yet to get off the mark for this season but did manage a double in a recent qualifier for England.

Everton are yet to fully replace Romelu Lukaku up front as Sandro Ramirez adjusts to the Premier League.

This game should go Tottenham’s way but Everton have proven to be tricky in the past so steer clear here.

No Bet

Leicester City Vs Chelsea

Sunday 10 September, 12:00am, King Power Stadium

The last two champions of England face off at the King Power Stadium this weekend and just like in every other game, both sides will want a win.

Chelsea will still be missing captain Gary Cahill who will be serving the final game of his suspension issued as a result of an opening day red card.

The defending champions will be feeling fairly confident having passed two stern tests before the international break in Everton and Spurs.

Last season they recorded two 3-0 victories over Leicester however both came before their managerial change.

Since the start of the 2016/2017 season, Leicester have struggled against the traditional “Big” opposition winning just two of fourteen games in that time.

They will need to turn that form around quickly if they want to return to the top of the Premier League as they will not want to lose any more ground.

Back Chelsea and Over 2.5 Goals @ $2.80

Southampton Vs Watford

Sunday 10 September, 12:00am, St Mary’s Stadium

Both sides would be relatively satisfied with how things have gone in their opening three fixtures, establishing a decent platform to build on.

So far both sides are on five points with a win and two draws each.

Neither side has been overly potent so far this year however Southampton will be hoping that the re-introduction of Virgil van Dijk will help them out in front of goal.

Watford’s leading goalscorer is defender Miguel Britos but they will be wanting one of their strikers to take over that mantle in the coming weeks.

Back a Draw in this game @ $3.70

Stoke City Vs Manchester United

Sunday 10 September, 2:30am, Selhurst Park

Man United are off to a flying start and the bookies have certainly picked up on that fact.

They travel to Stoke in the late kickoff Sunday morning (or really early depending on your sleeping habits) which is not quite the house of horrors it once was in the Tony Pulis days.

It will not be an easy trip however as Stoke did manage to come away with a pair of 1-1 draws last season.

Of course it is a much different Man United side this season and it is hard to see this game going anyway other than a Red Devils victory.

In terms of value plays, there is not a lot to like about this game but Romelu Lukaku would be the most likely goal scorer.

Back Lukaku as an Anytime Goal Scorer @ $1.91

Burnley Vs Crystal Palace

Sunday 10 September, 10:30pm, Turf Moor

Three games into the season and Palace are already considering sacking their manager Frank De Boer.

Having lost all three games and yet to score a goal, it’s fair to say that Palace are a club struggling to find themselves.

Burnley will be feeling pretty confident on the other hand having already beaten Chelsea at Stamford Bridge and drawn with Spurs at Wembley.

Plenty of money is coming in on them to win this contest and it would be wise to follow that.

Back Burnley to Win Outright at $2.25

Swansea City Vs Newcastle United

Monday 11 September, 1:00am, Selhurst Park

Both of these teams managed to get their first wins in Matchweek 3 and will be looking to turn it into a streak.

Historically this is a fixture that has produced goals with only one of the last five meetings having under the line of 2.5 goals.

Swansea have the edge in head to head meetings, winning three contests at the Liberty Stadium to Newcastle’s one.

This is a game that screams stay away until you know a bit more about both sides.

No Bet

West Ham United Vs Huddersfield Town

Tuesday 12 September, 5:00am, Olympic Stadium

A rough start to the season has the West Ham fans frustrated with their club, meanwhile the Huddersfield supporters are wondering what the big deal is as they find themselves sitting in third place.

After three matches Huddersfield are yet to concede a goal while West Ham have only scored two.

West Ham’s defence has been having a bit of a nightmare so far conceding ten in their defeats to Newcastle, Southampton and Man United.

The only thing that is working in the Hammers favour is the fact that this is their first home fixture of the season having been displaced by the World Athletics Championships.

With a fan protest scheduled for this game, it is hard to see West Ham getting anything out of it and if you are feeling really confident, back them to continue to struggle in front of the net

Back Huddersfield to win to nil @ $7.50


2016/2017

Week four of the 2016/2017 English Premier League is headlined by what is arguably the most anticipated Manchester Derby in history as Jose Mourinho, Zlatan Ibrahimovic and Manchester United host Pep Guardiola and Manchester City.

That fixture will clearly dominate headlines, but there are plenty of other big games this weekend such as the clash between Liverpool and Leicester City as well as the showdown between Arsenal and Southampton at Emirates Stadium.

There are intriguing story lines in just about every game this weekend and you can find our thoughts and betting predictions for every game below.

Manchester United Vs Manchester City

Saturday 10 September, 9:30pm, Old Trafford

Manchester United 1 - Manchester City 2

This is set to be one of the most anticipated editions of the Manchester Derby in history as both clubs have new managers in the form of Jose Mourinho and Pep Guardiola.

This is the biggest game of the English Premier League season to date and the winner will likely go straight to the top of title betting markets.

Manchester United left it late to find the winner against Hull City, but they will still go into this clash as clear favourites to come away with the three points.

Home favourtism has not been a position in which Manchester United have thrived in the past 12 months, but they are close to being back in the profit with their record of 11-4-2.

Manchester City have looked particularly impressive at the start of the English Premier League season and they were outstanding against West Ham.

Guardiola already has this side playing the type of football that he is famous for and I think that a firing Manchester City outfit would prove too strong for a Manchester United team that is still meshing together.

The $3.25 currently on offer for a Manchester City victory is big overs and they are an excellent bet to get the job done.

Back Manchester City To Win @ $3.25

Burnley Vs Hull City

Sunday 11 September, 12:00am, Turf Moor

Burnley 1 - Hull City 1

Burnley and Hull City have both returned to the English Premier League for the 2015/2016 season and they have made credible starts to their campaigns.

Burnley came crashing back to earth against Chelsea following their win over Liverpool and they will still start this clash as clear favourites.

Home ground advantage proved key when these two sides did battle in the English Championship last season and that is one of the reasons I am keen to side with Burnley.

Hull City have played very well in the English Premier League to date, but they have clearly overachieved and the lack of depth in the squad is sure to come back to bite them at some point.

Anything better than even money is a good price for Burnley and I am confident that they can get the job done this weekend.

Back Burnley To Win @ $2.30

West Ham Vs Watford

Sunday 11 September, 12:00am, Olympic Stadium

West Ham 2 - Watford 4

It has been a mixed start for West Ham in the English Premier League this season and they have won just one of their three games.

They will still go into this clash as clear favourites and this is a position in which they have not been particularly profitable in the past 12 months.

West Ham have won five of their past 11 games as home favourites, but five of them were also draws and backing the draw in West Ham games has proven to be a highly profitable play.

Watford have just the point from their three games, but it is fair to say that they faced tough assignments against both Arsenal and Chelsea.

The Hornets have been a profitable betting side across a wide range of metrics over the past 12 months and they have taken at least a  point from eight of their past 17 games as away underdogs.

West Ham have really failed to fire so far this season and I can’t get as short as their current quote, which makes the draw at $3.50 an outstanding bet.

Back The Draw @ $3.50

Middlesbrough Vs Crystal Palace

Sunday 11 September, 12:00am, Riverlands Stadium

Middlesbrough 1 - Crystal Palace 2

Middlesbrough are unbeaten in the English Premier League this season, but it is fair to say they were not overly impressive in their final game before the international break.

Middlesbrough will still start this clash as clear favourites and they really are remarkably short for a team that struggled to break down West Bromwich Albion in their last English Premier League game.

Crystal Palace have started this season where they ended the last one – poorly – and they are yet to record a win.

They are likely to be boosted by the debut of striker Christian Benteke, but their record as away underdogs leaves a fair bit to be desired.

Crystal Palace have won just three of their past 16 games as away underdogs, but six of those games did finish in draws and that is the betting play that stands out in this fixture.

Back The Draw @ $3.10

Bournemouth Vs West Bromwich Albion

Sunday 11 September, 12:00am, Dean Court

Bournemouth 1 - West Bromwich Albion 0

Bournemouth are yet to win a game in the English Premier League this season, but they will go into this clash with West Bromwich Albion as clear favourites.

There have been some worrying signs for Bournemouth in each of their games this season and they have not won any of their last eight English Premier League games.

Bournemouth have struggled as home favourites in the past 12 months and they have just three wins and four draws from their past 11 games as home favourites.

West Bromwich Albion have picked up four points from their first three games of the season and will fancy their chances of taking something from this clash.

The Baggies were a profitable betting play as away underdogs last year, but most of the value came from backing the draw in this situation as the deadlock was not broken in seven of their 17 encounters.

Bournemouth are far too short at their current quote of $2 and I am more than happy to back the draw in another clash this weekend.

Back The Draw @ $3.10

Arsenal Vs Southampton

Sunday 11 September, 12:00am, Emirates Stadium

Arsenal 2 - Southampton 1

Arsenal recorded their first win of the English Premier League season with a comfortable win over Watford and they are short-priced favourites to make it two wins on the trot this weekend.

Arsenal have signed a much-needed quality centre-back in the form of Shkodran Mustafi and he will in action for his new club for the first time in this clash.

Home favoritism is a position that Arsenal have fared well in over the past 12 months and they have won 12 of their past 17 games in this scenario for a profit.

Southampton have made a fairly lacklustre start to the English Premier League season and they were extremely poor against Sunderland in their final game before the international break.

In saying that, Southampton have still proven to be a profitable betting outfit as away underdogs in the past 12 months – with the Saints winning four of their past ten games in this scenario.

The market looks to have got this match just about right and I am happy to stay out from a betting perspective.

No Bet

Stoke City Vs Tottenham Hotspur

Sunday 11 September, 12:00am, Brittannia Stadium

Stoke City 0 - Tottenham Hotspur 4

Stoke City suffered a 4-0 defeat at the hands of Tottenham and they face another tough assignment against their rivals in this clash.

Stoke City are yet to record their first win of the season after suffering back-to-back losses at the hands of Manchester City and Everton and they will go into this clash as clear underdogs.

It is not secret that Stoke City generally produce their best football in front of their home fans at Brittannia Stadium and they have won four and drawn three of their past ten games as home underdogs.

Tottenham were outplayed by Liverpool in their last game before the international break, but they were still able to come away with a point to maintain their unbeaten start to the season.

Tottenham will start this clash as clear favourites and this has been a position in which they have thrived in the past 12 months – they are 7-2-2 as home favourites over this period.

While they are clearly the team to beat in this clash, I can’t get Tottenham as short as their current quote of $1.75 and this is another clash that I

Liverpool Vs Leicester City

Sunday 11 September, 2:30am, Anfield

Liverpool 4 - Leicester City 1

This is one of the biggest games of the weekend and is set to be a very interesting clash.

Liverpool have not won in the English Premier League since their opening day demolition of Arsenal, but they will still start this clash as very short-priced favourites.

Anfield has been far from a fortress for Liverpool in the past 12 months and they have won just six of their past 16 games as home favourites, with eight of those games ending in a draw.

Leicester City recorded their first win of their English Premier League title defence against Swansea City in their final game before the international break.

It has been a slightly slow start for Leicester City, but they have improved each match and their record as away underdogs is simply outstanding – they are 5-3-2 in this scenario over the past 12 months.

I am very keen to take on Liverpool at their current quote and the $2.25 available for the Leicester City/Draw Double Chance is excellent value.

Back Leicester City & Draw @ $2.25

Swansea City Vs Chelsea

Monday 12 September, 1:00am, Liberty Stadium

Swansea City 2 - Chelsea 2

Swansea City scored an upset win over Chelsea at Liberty Stadium last season, but they are at big odds to replicate that feat again this weekend.

Swansea started their season with a win over Burnley, but they have since gone down to both Hull City and Leicester City.

The Swans have only started five games as home underdogs in the past 12 months and they have managed to record two wins and a draw in this scenario.

Chelsea now have three wins from as many English Premier League starts under the care of Antonio Conte and they are clearly a much better outfit than they were 12 months ago.

It may not be pretty at times, but Conte has this Chelsea outfit able to get results when they are needed and they are genuine title contenders.

Their record as away favourites over the past 12 months is still an average 6-2-5, but there is no doubt that they have improved that record under the care of Conte.

This is another game that I am happy to stay out of, but I definitely have my eye on Chelsea going forward.

Sunderland Vs Everton

Monday 12 September, 5:00am, Stadium Of Light

Everton have got off to a flying start in the 2016 English Premier League and they are clear favourites to account for Sunderland this weekend.

Everton have already played some excellent football under the care of Ronald Koeman and they have an outstanding record as away favourites in the past 12 months – they have won five of their past seven games in this scenario and the other two results were draws.

Sunderland produced credible efforts against Manchester City and Middlesbrough in their opening EPL fixtures before they claimed their first point of the season with a hard-fought draw with Southampton.

Sunderland have won three of their past 11 games at the Stadium Of Light as underdogs for a narrow profit and their recent record against Everton is actually fairly strong.

I am still keen on Everton in this clash – they really have been impressive so far this season – and anything better than even money is a great price.

Back Everton To Win @ $2.05