2017/2018 EPL Week 9 Preview

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With EPL Week 9 set to begin in the early hours of Saturday morning with West Ham and Brighton facing off, there are plenty of tantalising clashes this week as teams are starting to establish their identities. Chelsea suffered the embarrassment of being massively upset by Crystal Palace and Arsenal will want to ensure that their clash with Everton does not lead to a major slide in form. All that and more coming up this weekend.

West Ham United Vs Brighton And Hove Albion

Saturday 21 October, 6:00am, Olympic Stadium

Brighton dropped two points against Everton last week and could have missed out on all three were it not for the late saves made by Mat Ryan.

West Ham are also coming off a 1-1 draw and enter this game without striker Andy Carroll who managed to pick up two yellow cards in 99 seconds in their clash with Burnley.

They still have their leading scorer Chicharito coming into the game with three goals from his eight games so far but not much support beyond that.

Brighton are not exactly lighting up the scoreboard either scoring just six goals so far so I’m going to play it a bit safe here and suggest going for a low scoring game.

Back Under 2.5 Goals @ $1.62

Chelsea Vs Watford

Saturday 21 October, 10:30pm, Stamford Bridge

Losing back to back games is a rarity for Chelsea under Roman Abramovich’s ownership but that is the streak they are on at the moment.

Losing to previously goalless Crystal palace should provide the side plenty of motivation to get things back on track when they return to Stamford Bridge and face a Watford side fresh of a successful upset of their own.

Troy Deeney’s late winner over Arsenal has kept Watford’s excellent start to the season going.

Chelsea are still working out how to adapt to the absences of N’Golo Kante, Danny Drinkwater and Gary Cahill however Alvaro Morata is reportedly returning to the squad ahead of this clash.

That inclusion will add a fair bit of potency to their side going forward and they should be able to find the net here.

Back Chelsea to Score in Both Halves @ $2.00

Huddersfield Town Vs Manchester United

Sunday 22 October, 1:00am, John Smith’s Stadium

Last week saw a return of the Big Game Jose Mourinho managerial style as they went to Liverpool, played for a point and executed the plan to perfection.

They will feel much more confident of their ability to go to Huddersfield and come away with a big win.

The home side got off to a great start in the league but haven’t won since round two and have picked up just two points in their last five games.

United aren’t great value straight up for the win but I like the value on offer with a handicap.

Back Man United -2 Goals @ $3.50

Manchester City Vs Burnley

Sunday 22 October, 1:00am, Etihad Stadium

A late Chris Wood equaliser would have Burnley full of confidence until the film study of their next opponent began.

Man City are scoring for fun, most recently putting seven past Stoke in the Premier League then outduelling Napoli in the Champions League.

Last season City won both games 2-1 against Burnley but with the form they are in they would be expecting to win by a bigger margin than that.

The potential for rotation is a little bit of a cause for concern but the depth they have should still see them through.

Back City to Score 4+ Goals @ $2.10

Newcastle United Vs Crystal Palace

Sunday 22 October, 1:00am, St James’ Park

If you picked Chelsea as the side that Palace would score their first goal and get their first win against at the start of the season you would have been called crazy, but it happened.

That 2-1 result snapped a seven game losing streak and removed the 0 from Palace’s points column.

Newcastle battled to a 2-2 draw against Southampton and have shown a real fighting quality so far.

Their only loss in the last five games came away to Brighton and they have accounted themselves well against similarly placed teams on the table.

With that in mind, take Newcastle to win here and bank on Palace’s efforts being an outlier rather than the new norm.

Back Newcastle to Win @ $2.00

Stoke City Vs Bournemouth

Sunday 22 October, 1:00am, bet365 Stadium

Two sides that are not going through the ideal start to the Premier League season with just three wins between them.

Last season’s meetings produced a Bournemouth victory at Stoke and a 2-2 draw at the Vitality Stadium.

Bournemouth were the first side to lose to Tottenham at Wembley in the league this year and outside of their sole win have looked rather insipid overall.

Stoke are coming off a Man City drubbing and could be reeling after conceding seven.

This game has the makings of a dour draw but the potential of one side managing to steal a goal here is enough to call this one a stay away.

No Bet

Swansea City Vs Leicester City

Sunday 22 October, 1:00am, Liberty Stadium

Dissatisfied with their mediocre start to the Premier League, Leicester City have sacked their manager for the second time in 2017.

Having won just once this season back in August, the club have moved on in an attempt to shake things up.

Swansea are not doing much better but did manage to scrape a win this past weekend against Huddersfield.

There are two contrasting styles coming to head in this one as Leicester are scoring plenty but conceding more where Swansea are playing much lower scoring games.

This game appears to lean towards a lower scoring type of game with an assistant manager coming in and looking to shore things up in anticipation of a new boss.

Back the Draw @ $3.10

Southampton Vs West Bromwich Albion

Sunday 22 October, 3:30am, St Mary’s Stadium

One of the most even fixtures in Premier League history with the sides winning five times each and four draws in their 14 matches thus far.

West Brom are one point better off this season but their stats are otherwise remarkably identical with seven goals scored and nine conceded in eight games with three clean sheets.

Sometimes the numbers just add up and this game has all the markings of a draw with neither side able to break the deadlock.

Back the Draw at $3.30

Everton Vs Arsenal

Sunday 22 October, 11:30pm, Goodison Park

A struggling Arsenal side will not want to face a side managed by recent nemesis Ronald Koeman who has seemingly had the Gunners number.

In the thirteen meetings Wenger has only come out on top three times and one of those was the round 38 dead rubber last season at the Emirates.

The fact they have to travel will be of no comfort either with a record of three losses and a draw away from the Emirates.

Everton have not been great against big-name opposition this season, failing to defeat every other club in the traditional big six. Even then in terms of value it is well worth taking a punt on Everton to produce a resilient home stand and add to Arsenal’s misery.

Back Everton to Win @ $3.60

Tottenham Hotspur Vs Liverpool

Monday 23 October, 6:00am, Wembley Stadium

The “curse” is broken, the jokes are over and there are no more things to say about Tottenham failing to win a Premier League game at Wembley.

Liverpool came within a David De Gea foot of toppling Manchester United at Anfield and now face another big game against a Champions League opponent.

With both sides coming off continental commitments, the temptation may be to rest some players however the fact they have almost a full week in between games should mean both sides are playing at close to full strength.

Liverpool’s momentum is hard to ignore but Tottenham will put up more of a fight than Maribor did. It’s a week that looks to have quite a few draws in it and this will be another one.

Back the Draw @ $3.50

 


2016/2017

The blockbusters continue in the English Premier League this weekend and there will be plenty of interest when Chelsea and Manchester United do battle for the first time this season.

Manchester City and Southampton have been involved in a number of exciting contests in recent seasons and they are set for another intriguing fixture this weekend, while defending champions Leicester City will host Crystal Palace at King Power Stadium.

There are ten interesting matches spread out right across the weekend and you can find our thoughts for every single match below.

Bournemouth Vs Tottenham

Saturday 22 October, 10:00pm, Goldsands Stadium

Bournemouth 0 - Tottenham 0

Bournemouth produced their best performance of the season to record a dominant victory over Hull City, but they play a much tougher assignment against Tottenham.

Bournemouth were on the receiving end of a couple of heavy defeats against Tottenham last season and it should come as no surprise that they will start this game as clear underdogs.

The Cherries have actually won three of their past eight games as home underdogs for a narrow profit and they have shown they are capable of stringing wins together.

Tottenham were far from impressive against West Bromwich Albion and they missed out on a golden opportunity to go to the top of the English Premier League.

These are the type of games in which Tottenham can’t really afford to drop points in and their record as away favourites suggests that they should get the job done handily – they have won eight of their past 13 games in the scenario for a clear profit.

Tottenham should be able to win this game comfortably and they are genuine value at their current price of $1.95.

Back Tottenham To Win @ $1.95

Arsenal Vs Middlesbrough

Sunday 23 October, 1:00am, Emirates Stadium

Arsenal 0 - Middlesbrough 0

Arsenal are the equal shortest-priced favourites of the weekend and they are fancied to have no issues accounting for Middlesbrough.

Arsenal made it six wins on the trot with their exciting victory over Swansea City and they have flown under the radar somewhat to sit in second position.

The Gunners have won 13 of their past 18 games as home favourites for a clear profit, but whether you can get them as short as $1.25 is the big question.

Middlesbrough made a promising start to the EPL season, but they have taken just two points from their past six games and they suffered another disappointing loss against Watford last weekend.

They have now won just one of their past four games as away underdogs for a loss and it is tough to see them taking anything from this clash.

Arsenal should be able to get the job done comfortably, but there is no value at their current price and I am willing to stay out from a betting perspective.

No Bet

Burnley Vs Everton

Sunday 23 October, 1:00am, Turf Moor

Burnley 2 - Everton 1

Burnley go into this game on the back of two straight losses to Arsenal and Southampton and they face another tough assignment against Everton this weekend.

Burnley will go into this game as heavy underdogs, but they have already won two of their four games as home underdogs this season for a hefty profit.

Everton played extremely well to take a point from their clash with Manchester City last weekend and they continue to be well organised at the back – they have not conceded more than one goal in a game this season.

They have won five of their past eight games as away favourites for a clear profit and I am confident that they can return to winning form this weekend.

There is still a bit of value at their current price of $1.67 and they are one of the safest bets of the weekend.

Back Everton To Win @ $1.67

 

Hull City Vs Stoke City

Sunday 23 October, 12:00am, The KC Stadium

Hull City 0 - Stoke City 2

Hull City have fallen in a big hole in the past month and they go into this clash on the back of a heavy defeat at the hands of Bournemouth.

There is no doubt that a lack of depth has taken its tole on Hull City and they will go into this clash with Stoke City as underdogs.

We only have a small sample size, but Hull City have won just one of their past four games as home underdogs.

Stoke City have bounced back from their extremely poor start to the season to take five points from their past three games and they are sure to have taken plenty of confidence from their first win of the season over Sunderland.

The Potters have only started two games in the past 12 months as away favourites, but they did lose both of them and they are a very tough side to trust as the punter’s elect.

It would not surprise to see Hull City bounce back somewhat this season and the $3.20 on offer for the draw is the clear value selection in this clash.

Back The Draw @ $3.20

Leicester City Vs Crystal Palace

Sunday 23 October, 12:00am, King Power Stadium

Leicester City 3 - Crystal Palace 1

Leicester City are on the quick back-up following their UEFA Champions League victory on Wednesday morning.

Leicester City were completely outplayed by Chelsea last weekend and they have now won just one of their past five games in the English Premier League, while they have been on the end of three heavy defeats.

They will still go into this clash with Crystal Palace as clear favourites and their record in this scenario over the past 12 months is a most impressive 10-4-0.

Crystal Palace had their winning run ended by West Ham last weekend, but it is fair to say that their recent form has been better than that of Leicester City.

They have taken something from their past 11 games as away underdogs and they were only narrowly beaten by Leicester City in both their meetings last season.

Crystal Palace are well over the odds at their current price and I am taking the gamble that they can end Leicester City’s unbeaten run at King Power Stadium.

Back Crystal Palace To Win @ $3.60

 

Swansea City Vs Watford

Sunday 23 October, 12:00am, Liberty Stadium

Swansea City 0 - Watford 0

Swansea City have lost four games in a row, but they will still go into this clash with Watford as clear favourites.

There is no doubt that Swansea City improved against Arsenal last weekend, but it is incredible tough to trust a team that has won just one game so far this season.

Swansea City are 4-3-3 as home favourites over the past 12 months and they seem criminally under the odds in this fixture.

Watford returned to winning form with a victory over Middlesbrough and it is fair to say that they are one of the most underrated outfits in the entire English Premier League.

They have won six of their past 17 games as away underdogs for a clear profit and at their current price of $3.25 they are the best bet of the entire weekend.

Back Watford To Win @ $3.25

West Ham United Vs Sunderland

Sunday 23 October, 12:00am, Olympic Stadium

West Ham 1 - Sunderland 0

West Ham finally returned to winning form with their victory over Crystal Palace, but winning at the Olympic Stadium could prove to be a tougher assignment.

The Hammers have struggled both on and off the field so far this season and they are an incredibly tough team to trust from a betting perspective – they have won just four of their past 11 games as home favourites for a clear loss.

Sunderland are still looking for their first win in the English Premier League this season after they were extremely poor against Stoke City last weekend.

They have won just three of their past 17 games as away underdogs for a clear loss and David Moyes is a man under a great deal of pressure.

It is incredibly difficult to trust either of these teams from a betting perspective and I am more than happy to stay out of this clash.

No Bet

Liverpool Vs West Bromwich Albion

Sunday 23 October, 3:30am, Anfield

Liverpool 2 - West Bromwich Albion 1

Liverpool are the other shortest-priced favourite of the weekend and they are expected to get the job done comfortably against West Bromwich Albion.

They had their winning run halted by Manchester United last weekend – in one of the most boring games of football that you are ever likely to see – but in the past month they have recorded a couple of big victories over inferior opposition.

In saying that, their record as favourites at Anfield is still not particularly impressive and they have not beaten West Brom since 2014.

West Bromwich Albion produced one of their best performances of the season to date to take a point from Tottenham and they have not lost a game for over a month.

They have only recorded three wins from their past 19 games as away underdogs, but they have been able to take a point from nine of these fixtures.

West Brom are the type of outfit that could frustrate Liverpool – we saw it happen twice last year – and the $5.50 available for the draw is well over the odds.

Back The Draw @ $5.50

Manchester City Vs Southampton

Sunday 23 October, 11:30pm, Etihad Stadium

Manchester City 1 - Southampton 1

Manchester City raced away to an early lead at the top of the English Premier League, but they have come back to the field after losing to Tottenham and drawing with Everton.

They will head into this clash on the back of a Champions League clash with Barcelona and there is reason to think that they could be a touch vulnerable in this clash.

Manchester City will still start this clash as clear favourites and they have won 11 of their past 18 games as home favourites for a loss.

Southampton have bounced back from their slow start to the season to win three of their past four games and they will take plenty of confidence from the fact that they were able to beat Manchester City last season.

The Saints have have taken at least a point in six of their past 11 games as away favourites and they are more than good enough to come away from this game with a draw,

Back The Draw @ $4.33

Chelsea Vs Manchester United

Monday 24 October, 2:00am, Stamford Bridge

Chelsea 4 - Manchester United 0

This will be an intriguing tactical contest between two of the more defensive managers in the English Premier League.

Chelsea produced their best performance of the season to date to comfortably account for Leicester City, but I expect that manager Antonio Conte will go into this clash with a far more defensive mindset.

Chelsea will start this clash as clear favourites and their record at home favourites is 6-8-4 – with the draw an extremely profitable betting play.

Manchester United showed no ambition whatsoever against Liverpool last weekend and I expect Jose Mourinho to produce a repeat against his old club.

The Red Devils have taken at least a point from four of their past five games and Mourinho will be desperate to ensure that he doesn’t suffer a defeat at Stamford Bridge.

Just about everything points to this game finishing as a low-scoring draw and the $3.20 currently available for a stalemate is outstanding value.

Back The Draw @ $3.20