2017/2018 EPL Week 10 Preview

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We are ready for EPL Round 10 to kick off or as it is otherwise know, one of the more frustrating weekends for fans watching at home. With the UK moving off daylight savings time, Saturday night has games at their familiar spot but Sunday sees every game moving back an hour. Before that though we have a massive clash between Manchester United and Tottenham at Old Trafford while at the other end of the table the battle of the clubs who have sacked their managers takes place Sunday evening between Everton and Leicester.

Manchester United Vs Tottenham Hotspur

Saturday 28 October, 10:30pm, Old Trafford

With both sides eying off a potential title tilt, they will be very eager to get one up in this clash. Tottenham are in the middle of a great run, breaking their Wembley duck in the league as a part of four straight wins. United played for a draw against Liverpool before a massive upset by Huddersfield. Traditionally this is the sort of game where Jose Mourinho will slow the game down and try to grind out a low scoring result so with that in mind, take the under here.

Back Under 2.5 Goals @ $1.80

Watford Vs Stoke City

Sunday 29 October, 1:00am, Vicarage Road

Watford’s defeat at Chelsea last will have done nothing to dent their confidence as they were able to push the Blues for large parts of the game. They are still yet to lose against sides outside of the big six this season and are resilient when at home. Stoke have not travelled well at all this year picking up just one point all the way back in August. With just one win and four losses from their last five starts, it’s hard to see them changing that form here. I like Watford to continue their excellent start to the season in this game and get by with a comfortable win.

Back Watford to Win @ $2.05

Arsenal Vs Swansea City

Sunday 29 October, 1:00am, Emirates Stadium

For all the turmoil surrounding Arsenal, they managed to respond last week with an excellent second half to run out comfortable 5-2 victors over Everton. Swansea on the other hand are sitting at the bottom end of the table, thanks in part to the fact they have been somewhat sound defensively even in defeat. With their major stars not taking part in the midweek Carabao Cup fixture expect Arsenal to get by here and with Alexandre Lacazette scoring freely at the Emirates Stadium, he should get on the scoresheet here.

Back Alexandre Lacazette to Score and Arsenal to Win @ $1.91

West Bromwich Albion Vs Manchester City

Sunday 29 October, 1:00am, The Hawthorns

If there is going to be a side to hand City their first loss of the season, it is highly unlikely it will be West Brom, who are currently sitting on 10 points and are without a win since their second match of the year. City as we all know are flying high on top of the table with eight wins and a draw. They also tend to like playing West Brom having won 13 of the last fourteen meetings, including 11 straight. Add in the fact that they are likely smarting after being taken to penalties by Championship side Wolves in the Carabao Cup and this just screams City winning by a lot.

Back City to Score 3+ Goals @ $2.05

Liverpool Vs Huddersfield Town

Sunday 29 October, 1:00am, Anfield

Last weekend consisted of dreams and nightmares for these two sides, Huddersfield got their first win over Manchester United since 1952. Liverpool are desperate for a bounce back after being ripped apart by Tottenham and with just one win since the start of September, they are desperate for a reversal in form. Both sides have shown a vulnerability at the back and while Liverpool are far & away the better side on paper, I can’t say to back them in good conscience right now.

NO BET

Crystal Palace Vs West Ham United

Sunday 29 October, 1:00am, Selhurst Park

Palace came back down to earth in the last few days after their first win of the season with defeats at Newcastle in the league before a confidence denting thrashing at the hands of Bristol City in the Carabao Cup. West Ham will be coming off a derby cup tie against Tottenham however with several first team players not expected to feature they will still be somewhat fresh heading into this game. Last year West Ham won both games but this season’s product is not quite at that level and this has the makings of a scrappy draw.

Back the Draw @ $3.20

Bournemouth Vs Chelsea

Sunday 29 October, 3:30am, Vitality Stadium

Something is not right with Chelsea at the moment, winning just two of their last five game however their ability to finish strong against Watford might give them the platform to go forward from here and build on it. They face a Bournemouth side that has failed to inspire at all this year and will be overmatched by Chelsea’s pace and power. There is a bit of value in Chelsea straight up but the better play here is to take Chelsea to score in both halves.

Back Chelsea to score in both halves @ $2.35

Brighton And Hove Albion Vs Southampton

Monday 30 October, 12:30am, Amex Stadium

Both sides have been relatively productive since returning from the October international windowwith a win and a draw in their two matches. Southampton are playing just their fourth league game away from home with a win, draw and loss so far. Brighton have been a tough host at Amex Stadium, not dropping a point there since opening day against Manchester City. With a big win over West Ham last week they might have a tougher test against Southampton as both sides pick up a point each.

Back the Draw @ $3.00

Leicester City Vs Everton

Monday 30 October, 3:00am, King Power Stadium

Plenty of drama in the blue half of Merseyside as they prepare for their first game without Ronald Koeman in charge. After a rough start to the season they will face Leicester in a battle of the replacement managers. Despite their mediocre overall record, most of their dropped points have come against sides in contention for the Champions League, winning two, drawing one and losing one outside the traditional Big Six. Even then, the advantage of playing at home in front of the maniacal fans at the King Power should be enough to get Leicester over the line here.

Back Leicester City to Win @ $2.15

Burnley Vs Newcastle United

Tuesday 31 October, 7:00am, Turf Moor

The final match of the Premier League round and it screams two sides that will cancel each other out. Burnley have a league high four draws this year with three coming in their last five outings while Newcastle have drawn two in their last three. Newcastle’s form is very encouraging  losing just once in September and they are showing an ability and belief under Rafael Benitez to get the necessary results to be in the mix this year. Burnley have shown a similar resiliency and I think neither side will let themselves lose here.

Back the Draw @ $3.10


2016/2017

We are now over a quarter of the way through the English Premier League season the table is now starting to take shape.

Tottenham and Leicester City were involved in the race for the championship at the end of last season – with Leicester City easily accounting for their rivals – and they will face off at White Hart Lane this weekend.

Add in interesting contests between Crystal Palace and Liverpool, Southampton and Chelsea and West Bromwich Albion and Manchester City and it is another huge weekend of English Premier League action.

Sunderland Vs Arsenal

Sunday 30 October, 10:30pm, Stadium Of Light

Sunderland 1 - Arsenal 4

Sunderland suffered yet another loss at the hands of West Ham last weekend and it is no surprise that they will go into this clash as heavy underdogs.

Sunderland are still chasing their first victory of the season and they face a difficult assignment against Arsenal, but they have won three of their past 11 games for a very narrow profit.

Arsenal let slip a golden opportunity to go to the top of the English Premier League ladder when they drew with Middlesbrough last weekend and they can’t afford to drop more points against Sunderland.

The Gunners have won just seven of their past 15 games as away favourites for a loss, while they have not lost in their past 12 games against Sunderland.

There is no doubt that Arsenal are deserving favourites, but it is tough to get them as short as their current quote and I am happy to stay out of this clash from a betting perspective.

No Bet

Manchester United Vs Burnley

Sunday 30 October, 1:00am, Old Trafford

Manchester United 0 - Burnley 0

Jose Mourinho is already under plenty of pressure at Manchester United and a defeat at the hands of Burnley would lead to absolute carnage.

Manchester United were nothing short of disgraceful against Chelsea and they have not won a game in the English Premier League since they beat Leicester City over a month ago.

It is no surprise that they will go into this clash as dominant favourites, but they have not been a profitable side as home favourites over the past 12 months.

Burnley returned to winning form with a tough performance against Everton and they will take plenty of confidence from that performance.

The problem for Burnley so far this season is that they have struggled away from home and they have lost all three games as away underdogs.

This is another game where there is very little betting value and I am more than happy to stay out of the action.

No Bet

Middlesbrough Vs Bournemouth

Sunday 30 October, 1:00am, Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough 2 - Bournemouth 0

Middlesbrough produced one of their best performances of the season to date to take a point from Arsenal this weekend and they will go into this clash as clear favourites.

Middlesbrough are yet to fire as the punter’s elect this season and their record at Riverside Stadium has been particularly poor.

Bournemouth have not lost a game since they went down to Manchester City over a month ago and they showed plenty of heart to take a point from their meeting with Tottenham.

Bournemouth have taken at least a point from eight of their past 15 games as away underdogs for a profit and they are more than capable of coming away from this clash with the three points.

Back Bournemouth To Win @ $3

Watford Vs Hull City

Sunday 30 October, 1:00am, Vicarage Road

Watford 1 - Hull City 0

Watford took a point from their clash with Swansea City last weekend and are dominant favourites to return to winning form against Hull City.

Watford made a slow start to the season, but they have lost just one of their past six matches and have really cemented themselves as consistent English Premier League performers.

They have lost just one of their past eight games as home favourites and they very rarely lose when they are expected to get the job done.

The wheels have fallen off Hull City in a big way and Stoke City resigned them to their fifth loss on the trot last weekend.

Hull City face a tougher challenge against Watford this weekend and it is extremely difficult to see them returning to winning form.

There is a genuine edge at the current price of Watford and they are one of the safest bets in the English Premier League this weekend.

Back Watford To Win @ $1.75

West Bromwich Albion Vs Manchester City

Sunday 30 October, 1:00am, The Hawthorns

West Bromwich Albion 0 - Manchester City 4

Manchester City produced their third disappointing performance on the trot against Southampton and they are dominant favourites to return to winning form this weekend.

Manchester City looked as though they were going to cruise to the English Premier League title at the start of October, but they are sure to have received a much-needed wake-up call in recent weeks.

Their record as away favourites in the past 12 months is extremely poor – they have won just five of their past 14 games in this scenario.

West Bromwich Albion have won only two games this season, but they have played well in recent weeks and they were far from disgraced against Liverpool.

The Baggies have won five of their past 11 games as home underdogs for a massive profit and they have lost just four of their games in this scenario.

There is no doubt that Manchester City deserve to be favourites, but they are way too short at their current price and the West Bromwich Albion and draw Double Chance is worth a gamble.

Back West Bromwich Albion And Draw Double Chance @ $2.75

Tottenham Vs Leicester City

Sunday 30 October, 1:00am, White Hart Lane

Tottenham 1 - Leicester City 1

This is one of the most interesting games of the weekend.

Leicester City upstaged Tottenham to win the English Premier League last season, but it is Tottenham that will go into this clash as clear favourites.

Tottenham were unable to get the job done against Bournemouth last weekend, but they are still yet to lose a game this season and their record at home in excellent.

They have now won ten of their past 17 games as home favourites, but this has actually not been a profitable betting play for punters.

Leicester City returned to winning form with a fighting victory over Crystal Palace and they will take plenty of confidence from the fact that they beat Tottenham at White Hart Lane last season.

The Foxes have won four of their past 11 games as away underdogs for a clear profit and there is definite value at their current price of $5.50.

Back Leicester City To Win @ $5.50

Crystal Palace Vs Liverpool

Sunday 30 October, 3:30am, Selhurst Park

Crystal Palace 2 - Liverpool 4

Liverpool are arguably the form team in the English Premier League and they recorded their fifth win from their past six games when they beat West Bromwich Albion last weekend.

The style of football that Liverpool has played this season is nothing short of outstanding and they will start this game as clear favourites.

Winning as home favourites has been easier said than done for Liverpool and they have won just six of their past 13 games as away favourites for a loss.

Crystal Palace suffered their second straight loss on the trot against Leicester City and they face another tough assignment this weekend.

They have lost four of their past five games as underdogs for a clear loss, but their recent record against Liverpool is excellent and they have won three of the past six games played between the two sides.

The market looks to have got this game just about right and this is another contest that I am happy to stay out of from a betting perspective.

No Bet

Everton Vs West Ham United

Monday 31 October, 12:30pm, Goodison Park

Everton 2 - West Ham 0

Everton have regressed significantly since their positive start to the season and they desperately need to return to winning form against West Ham on Monday morning.

Everton produced their worst performance of the season to lose to Burnley, but they will still go into this clash as clear favourites.

Home favourtism has not been a particularly strong position for Everton and they have won just seven of their past 15 games in this scenario for a loss.

West Ham have rebounded impressively in the past two weeks to beat Crystal Palace and Sunderland and their season is now somewhat back on track.

The Hammers have won only three of their past 15 games as away underdogs, but they have drawn six of these contests and backing the London-based side to draw has been a profitbale play over the past 12 months.

The $3.80 currently on offer for the draw can’t be ignored and it is one of the best value betting plays of the week.

Back The Draw @ $3.80

Southampton Vs Chelsea

Monday 31 October, 3:00am, St Mary's Stadium

Southampton 0 - Chelsea 2

Both these teams bring strong form into what should be an exciting clash.

Chelsea produced their best performance of the season to completely steamroll Manchester United last weekend and they have now recorded three impressive victories on the trot.

They will go into this clash as clear favourites and they have proven to be a narrow winning proposition as home favourites in the past 12 months having won seven of their past 13 games in this scenario.

Southampton have not lost a game in well over a month and they played very well to take a point from their clash with Manchester City last weekend.

The Saints have an excellent record in front of their home fans and they have won two of their past three games as home underdogs for a clear profit.

I am still not completely sold on this Chelsea outfit and the $3.10 available for a Southampton victory is worth a bet.

Back Southampton To Win @ $3.10

Stoke City Vs Swansea City

Tuesday 1 November, 7:00am, Britannia Stadium

Stoke City 3 - Swansea City 1

Stoke City have returned to their best form in recent weeks and they will go into this clash as clear favourites.

It is fair to say that Stoke did not beat much in the form of Sunderland and Hull City, but before that they were able to take a point from Manchester United and they haven’t lost for over a month.

Stoke City have won four of their past eight as home favourites for a narrow profit and it is fair to say that they are tough to beat at Britannia Stadium.

The change of manager has not really worked wonder for Swansea City, but they were at least able to end their losing streak with a draw against Watford last weekend.

Swansea City have won just three of their past 17 games as away underdogs and they are profitable in that scenario, but are very tough to rely on.

Neither team really stands out at their current price, but the Over in the Total Goals betting market does appeal.

The over has saluted in 12 of the past 18 away games played by Swansea City and backing the overs has been a profitable betting play in games involving Stoke City over the past 12 months.

Back Over 2.5 Goals @ $1.87