A Super Sunday headlines EPL Week 11 as four of the league’s biggest clubs go head to head. It starts with the in form Manchester City hosting Arsenal looking to continue their undefeated start to the season. Following that Jose Mourinho brings his Manchester United squad to Stamford Bridge for what he is hoping will be a more pleasant return than last year’s 4-0 hammering. Tottenham and Liverpool back up from their Champions League duties with matches against Crystal Palace and West Ham respectively.
Stoke City Vs Leicester City
Saturday 4 November, 11:30pm, Britannia Stadium
Two wins on the trot for Leicester and unbeaten in their last four, their slow start to the season appears to be in the rear view mirror. Stoke are coming off a fiery win over the in-form Watford and with a logjam of teams in the middle of the table, both sides would like a win to help escape the traffic. Stoke have not won in this fixture since January 2015 however the last two meetings at Stoke have produced 2-2 draws so another draw (maybe not 2-2) seems to be the play here.
Back the Draw at $3.25
Swansea City Vs Brighton And Hove Albion
Sunday 5 November, 2:00am, Liberty Stadium
Swansea’s form is not great but they will feel as though they could have taken a point or more from The Emirates last week having surrendered a late goal to Aaron Ramsey. Their lone win from the last five has come against another promoted side in Huddersfield. Brighton have settled into the Premier League well notching three wins and three draws to sit comfortably in the middle of the pack. In Wales this game has enough uncertainty around it to consider it a real stay away.
Southampton Vs Burnley
Sunday 5 November, 2:00am, St Mary’s Stadium
Burnley are certainly capable of frustrating teams and capitalising on that to get a result. With just two losses so far they might be considered slight overachievers to this point but they seem to be able to surprise. Southampton have the edge in this fixture’s recent history however winning three of the five meetings since 2014. Even then, the only side to beat Burnley since September is Manchester City who are beating everyone at the moment and the value of an upset here is worth a look.
Back Burnley to Win at $6.00
Newcastle United Vs Bournemouth
Sunday 5 November, 2:00am, St James’ Park
A shortish turnaround for the Magpies after their Monday night defeat to Burnley, which ended their three match unbeaten run in the league. Newcastle have found a way to get on the scoresheet most of the time this year, failing to score just once in the last month of action. Bournemouth have struggled against the big sides this year with Arsenal, Tottenham and Chelsea accounting for three of their four losses since September. Including the Carabao Cup, Bournemouth are producing some respectable results against similarly placed teams. Even then I like Newcastle to bounce back against a team they are noticeably better than.
Back Newcastle to Win @ $1.95
Huddersfield Town Vs West Bromwich Albion
Sunday 5 November, 2:00am, John Smith’s Stadium
Few would have expected West Brom to stay within a goal of Manchester City but they fought valiantly before going down 3-2. Huddersfield could not keep up with Liverpool in the second half of their match and also conceded three but failed to find the net themselves. Neither side is in an overly impressive run of form, with just one combined victory in their last five fixtures (funnily enough over Manchester United) and it will cancel each other out for a draw.
Back the Draw @ $2.88
West Ham United Vs Liverpool
Sunday 5 November, 4:30am, Olympic Stadium
Liverpool picked up their lone league win of October over Huddersfield with a second half run. They still look like a side which is not quite settled and have a tough task playing a West Ham side that are fighting for the manager’s job. The last time these sides met, Liverpool ran away with a 4-0 win and even with both teams struggling Liverpool should scrap out a win with goals in both halves.
Back Liverpool to Score in Both Halves @ $2.40
Tottenham Hotspur Vs Crystal Palace
Sunday 5 November, 11:00pm, Wembley
You could forgive Tottenham for looking past this game having just played Manchester United and Real Madrid in the past week. Bottom of the table Crystal Palace just doesn’t quite have the same lustre but it could be a potential banana skin for a side that will be feeling confident after a late equaliser against West Ham. Last season’s fixtures saw a pair of 1-0 wins for Tottenham and even with the injury questions surrounding Harry Kane and his hamstring, they should get past Palace here. Unfortunately though, the odds are quite short so there is not a lot of value and I can’t confidently push for any sort of margin play.
Manchester City Vs Arsenal
Monday 6 November, 1:15am, Etihad Stadium
City were made to work by West Brom at The Hawthorns last week and it might have had something to do with their Champions League visit to Napoli and this League fixture. While Arsenal are not quite title rivals for City, it is still a big game for them as they look to continue their undefeated start to the campaign. Arsenal are in a good run of results if not form, winning eight of nine in all competitions since a September draw against Chelsea. This looms as their biggest challenge since that trip to Stamford Bridge and they will look to renew that defensive resilience. City are a side that they have a decent set of recent results against, winning three, drawing three and losing one since the start of the 2014-2015 league campaign. Even then, City are the better team here and I like them to win but with this added value play.
Back City to Win and Over 2.5 Goals @ $1.91
Chelsea Vs Manchester United
Monday 6 November, 3:30am, Stamford Bridge
With one eye on the result at the Etihad, Manchester United get ready for the second year of the “Mourinho Derby” as they head to Chelsea for a match against their manager’s former employers. This corresponding fixture last season saw a convincing 4-0 for Chelsea to help kick start their eventual title challenge. As mentioned last week these are the sorts of games that you will see Jose shut up shop and just try to get through the 90 minutes with minimal interest. Add in the Champions League fixtures in the lead up to this game and it screams low scoring. There is potential here for a 1-1 but the likelihood for me is that a single goal will get a result here if anything is to come of it. It’s a bit of a risk but in a game like this we have seen it play out before.
Back the Under 1.5 Goals @ $2.80
Everton Vs Watford
Monday 6 November, 3:30am, Goodison Park
A return home for Everton but it might not have the typical home ground advantage as a frustrated fan base look for answers (and a new manager). With just two wins at home from eight attempts in all competitions this year, Everton are not a side to confidently back at the moment. Watford on the other hand are beginning to hit the wall after their fast start, dropping their last two games including a 1-0 defeat at the hands of Stoke. Even then, they should still be able to handle Everton in their current state.
Back Everton to Win @ $2.10
The rivalry between Arsenal and Tottenham Hotspur is one of the fiercest in the English Premier League and the two sides will do battle in what is clearly the match of the weekend.
The other big guns are all set to start this clash as clear favourites, but we saw last year that anything can happen in the English Premier League and there are a number of potential upsets this weekend.
As always there are plenty of exciting matches in the English Premier League this weekend and you can find all of our recommended bets below.
Bournemouth Vs Sunderland
Sunday 6 November, 1:00am, Goldsands Stadium
Bournemouth went down to Middlesbrough last weekend, but they are clear favourites to get the job done against Sunderland this weekend.
Bournemouth have won four of their past 11 games as home favourites for a clear loss and they have been tough to trust in this scenario.
Sunderland are still chasing their first win of the season after going down 4-1 to Arsenal last weekend.
They are almost impossible to trust from a betting perspective and the fact that they have won just three of their past 17 games as away underdogs does not inspire any confidence.
This is a match that the market looks to have got just about right and I am more than happy to stay out.
Burnley Vs Crystal Palace
Sunday 6 November, 1:00am, Turf Moor
Burnley took a point from their recent clash with Manchester United, but it is Crystal Palace that will go into this clash as clear favourites.
Crystal Palace suffered their third straight loss to Liverpool last weekend and their record as away favourites does not inspire a great deal of confidence – they are 0-0-2 in this scenario.
Burnley toughed it out in impressive fashion against Manchester United and this season they have a simply outstanding record as home underdogs.
They have won three of their five games in this scenario and they are well over the odds at their current quote of $3.20.
Back Burnley To Win @ $3.20
Manchester City Vs Middlesbrough
Sunday 6 November, 1:00am, Etihad Stadium
Manchester City returned to winning form with a dominant performance against West Bromwich Albion and they are clear favourites to get the job done against Middlesbrough.
They have won ten of their past 18 games as home favourites for a loss and it really is tough to get them as short as their current price.
Middlesbrough picked up a crucial three points against Bournemouth, but this is obviously a much tougher challenge and they have won just one of their past five games as away underdogs.
Manchester City should be able to get the job done comfortably, but I can’t possibly back them at their current quote.
West Ham United Vs Stoke City
Sunday 6 November, 1:00am, Olympic Stadium
West Ham continue to struggle at Olympic Stadium, but they will still go into this clash as clear favourites.
The Hammers have been a disappointing 5-5-2 as home favourites over the past 12 months and they have been particularly tough to trust in front of their home fans this season.
Stoke City have recorded three wins on the trot and have rebounded in a very big way over the past month.
They have taken at least a point from eight of their past 17 games as away underdogs and they have been a profitable betting scenario in this situation.
Stoke City are well over the odds at their current quote and are one of the best value bets of the weekend.
Back Stoke City To Win @ $3.80
Chelsea Vs Everton
Sunday 6 November, 4:30am, Stamford Bridge
Chelsea are another team that have found their best form in the past 12 months and they will go into this clash as clear favourites.
Chelsea haven’t conceded a goal in the English Premier League for over a month, but their record as home favourites over the past 12 months is still a poor 7-8-3.
Everton returned to winning form with a confidence performance against West Ham and they were able to beat Chelsea comfortably last season.
The problem for Everton is that they have not won any of their past 10 games as away underdogs, but they have been able to take a point from six of these games.
I expect that this will be a fairly low-scoring affair and the $4.20 currently available for the draw stands out at the current price.
Back The Draw @ $4.20
Arsenal Vs Tottenham Hotspur
Sunday 6 November 11:00pm, Emirates Stadium
The North London Derby is always one of the highlights of the English Premier League season and this is set to be a particularly exciting affair.
Arsenal recorded their seventh win from their past eight starts when they beat Middlesbrough and they really are in excellent form.
They have improved their record as home favourites to 12-4-2 for a profit and they have been a profitable play against Tottenham in this scenario.
Tottenham played out their third draw on the trot against Leicester City last weekend and they desperately need a victory to stay in touch with the league leaders.
Spurs have won two of their past six games as away underdogs for a narrow profit, but they have drawn four of them and backing the draw in all their games this season has been a profitable play.
This should be a fairly tense affair and the $3.40 for the draw is definitely the value.
Back The Draw @ $3.40
Hull City Vs Southampton
Monday 7 November, 1:15am, The KC Stadium
Hull City suffered their sixth straight loss on the trot last weekend and they will go into this clash as clear underdogs.
The lack of depth in this squad is really starting to show and they have now won just one of their past five games as home underdogs for a loss.
Southampton had their unbeaten run ended by Chelsea last weekend, but they have an excellent chance to return to winning form.
They have won four of their past eight games as home favourites for a profit and surely they should prove too strong for Hull City.
Back Southampton To Win @ $1.70
Liverpool Vs Watford
Monday 7 November, 1:15am, Anfield
This should be one of the most entertaining games of the week.
Liverpool have been in truly stunning form in the past couple of months and it is no surprise that they will start this clash as clear favourites.
Despite their recent form, they have still be a losing betting proposition as home favourites in the past 12 months and it is tough to get them as short as their current price.
Watford did enough to take the three points from their clash with Hull and they have now not lost for over a month and a half.
I have said before that they are one of the most underrated sides in the English Premier and they have taken at least a point eight of their past 17 games for a clear profit.
This match will be closer than the current market suggests and the Watford/Draw Double Chance is outstanding value.
Back Watford & Draw Double Chance @ $3.75
Swansea City Vs Manchester United
Monday 7 November, 2:00am, Liberty Stadium
It feels like I say it every single week, but the pressure is really on Jose Mourinho and this Manchester United.
They were unable to beat Burnley last weekend and they were beaten by Fenerbache in the Europa League earlier in the week.
Manchester United will go into this clash as clear favourites, but they have won just four of their past 12 games as away favourites for a clear loss.
Swansea take equally as poor form into this clash after losing to Stoke City.
They have won two of their past seven games as home underdogs for a loss and they are a team that is extremely tough to trust from a betting perspective.
This is a game that I am keen to stay far, far away from betting wise.
Leicester City Vs West Bromwich Albion
Monday 7 November, 3:00am, King Power Stadium
Leicester City have struggled for consistency in the English Premier League this season, but they will still go into this clash with West Bromwich Albion as clear favourites.
Leicester City have won ten of their past 14 games as home favourites for a clear profit and they look to have a clear class edge over this West Brom outfit.
West Bromwich Albion were no match for a rampant Manchester City last weekend and they look likely to struggle again.
They have won just two of their past 19 games as away underdogs for a big loss and Leicester City look like a very safe bet to get the job done.
Back Leicester City To Win @ $1.75