2023/2024 EPL Week 11 Preview

Tottenham’s remarkable start to the season has now reached 10 weeks as they maintain sole possession of top spot on the Premier League table.

This week brings about a visit from fellow London club, the struggling Chelsea who are mired in mid-table mediocrity and desperate for a kick start to their season.

However that match will play second fiddle to the battle between Champions League contestants Newcastle and Arsenal at St James’ Park.

We’ve got you covered with our match previews and best bets for every Premier League fixture this weekend below.

Coming off a frustrating loss in the Manchester Derby, United will be out to offer up some sort of response when they travel to London to face Fulham.

History is on their side with the Reds winning 15 of the last 17 meetings since the Cottagers’ most recent victory back in 2009, but at this stage, it’s hard to have a lot of faith in United.

They have been plagued by inconsistency and seem destined to do things the hard way over and over again.

Fulham isn’t exactly the toughest opponent but United has shown they will play to the level of whoever they are facing, unless it’s City in which case they will just be outclassed.

Both teams to score has hit in the last five matches between these sides and backing the overs has been a winner in eight of the last nine head to head meetings so taking a high scoring contest looks like the way to go rather than putting faith in either club.

Over 2.5 Goals @ $1.80

Has playing European football potentially caught up with West Ham?

With one point from their last three domestic fixtures the question is certainly a valid one, with the travel and extra match minutes looking like they are having an impact on the side.

Brentford is in much better form with seven points from their last four matches including a 2-0 win over Chelsea last week.

The Bees have had West Ham’s number in the Premier League winning all four matches since the start of the 2021/2022 season.

Considering all of that, there’s only one choice for this match.

Brentford to Win @ $2.05

Is there any reason to get excited about this match?

Burnley has lost three in a row, including last week’s battle of the cellar dwellers against Bournemouth and just look well off the pace.

Palace has one point from their last three, and that was a dour, scoreless draw at home to Nottingham Forest.

However with both teams wide open at the back, we at least might see some goals in this one as they try to get out of the dumps.

Over 2.5 Goals @ $2.25

Speaking of teams whose bubble has burst, what is going on with Brighton at the moment?

On the plus side their matches are still entertaining but they cannot buy a win due to their inability to keep a clean sheet.

Everton is continuing to trundle along, alternating wins and losses in their last six Premier League outings.

Following that trend would suggest Brighton is due for a course correcting win, but at the moment I’m happy to take on the Seagulls.

Everton to Win @ $3.00

Had Bournemouth defeated pretty much anyone other than Burnley last week, this might be a different tip but City should have no problems brushing their rivals aside.

After a huge win in the Derby, I’m expecting City to put on a ruthless performance once again as they seek to boost their goal difference by shutting out an opponent they have had few problems with in the past.

In a match like this one you just have to try and find anything resembling value and City to Nil looks to be the way to go, especially after they kept United quiet last week.

Manchester City to Win to Nil @ $1.75

Some Premier League tips are a bit more straightforward than others and backing against Sheffield United is one of the easiest plays you can take at the moment.

The Blades have lost six in a row and have just one point so far, while Wolves will be full of confidence after taking a point off Newcastle last week.

No need to overthink this one.

Wolves to Win @ $1.95

It’s the marquee match of the weekend as Arsenal heads to St James’ Park, looking to extend their four match unbeaten run in all competitions.

Late last season they picked up a 2-0 win at this venue, making it four wins from their last five visits, three of which have come while keeping a clean sheet.

Thus far this season, the Gunners have won three and drawn one away from home, with both goals conceded at Stamford Bridge a fortnight ago.

Injuries are starting to become a factor for this team with a few key players carrying knocks but they just keep finding a way to make it work and I’ll side with them in this one.

Arsenal to Win @ $2.45

Even with Villa as a clear away favourite, it’s still a bit of a surprise to see their price as high as it is.

Forest have not won since before the September international break, picking up four points from six matches while Villa have been cruising in the league, winning five and drawing one in the same time frame.

Forest did keep them to a draw at The City Ground last year but under Unai Emery, this side should have too much for Forest to handle.

Aston Villa to Win @ $1.85

The Reds should have this one in the bag nice and early, it’s tough to see how Luton has any answer for their opponents in this game.

When you consider that Jurgen Klopp has his front line playing incredibly well and they have scored at least two goals in each of their last five matches in all competitions, Luton just won’t have an answer.

Even at home, Luton just does not seem to be able to find the right answers against better teams and they are likely to be playing catch up right from the outset.

Liverpool/Liverpool Halftime/Fulltime @ $1.80

In a slightly different era, this would be a Premier League classic.

However with Chelsea struggling once again, this seems like a horrible mismatch for the West London club.

Spurs on the other hand are flying and look unstoppable.

Keep riding the Postecoglou hype train, especially at this price.

Tottenham to Win @ $2.10

2022/2023

Another massive weekend of Premier League action is set to unfold with a busy Sunday night set to headline proceedings.

The two most successful clubs of the last four years will close things out with what is almost a do or die clash for Liverpool as they host everyone’s title pick, Manchester City.

League leaders Arsenal will visit Leeds and have to be on guard for a letdown after last week’s big win over Liverpool as they try and prolong their stay at the summit of English football.

It’s a busy time with European action just wrapped up and midweek Premier League on the horizon, there’s a lot of football on the cards and we’re previewing every fixture below so read on and see who we are backing.

It’s an early start on Saturday as Brighton faces Brentford with both clubs looking to put disappointing defeats behind them.

The Seagulls battled with Tottenham but ultimately couldn’t find a breakthrough while the Bees were battered hammer and tongs by a relentless Newcastle outfit, going down 5-1.

Looking to avoid going three straight games without a win, Brighton will be desperate to course correct following the departure of manager Graham Potter and I like their chances of doing just that.

Back Brighton to Win @ $2.40

Back on the bottom of the Premier League table after a defeat against Bournemouth, Leicester should not be favourites against Crystal Palace.

The pressure continues to build on Brendan Rodgers as the Foxes margin for error grows ever smaller, it’s safe to say that win over Forest was a false dawn.

Palace is hardly setting the world alight but they are more than capable of beating up on a struggling opponent.

I’ll happily take Leicester on, especially at this price.

Back Crystal Palace to Win @ $3.10

Here is another market that seems to be skewed the wrong way, with Fulham favoured despite three defeats from their last four outings.

Bournemouth is doing enough to avoid defeat week in, week out, and with an injury cloud still hanging over Mitrovic, Fulham just might not be able to keep pace with the revitalised Cherries.

Defensively the Cottagers are wide open with one of the worst records in the Premier League having conceded 18 goals already.

That is quite troubling when your attack has dried up and Bournemouth’s price appears to be well off what I’m expecting here.

Back Bournemouth to Win @ $4.00

It is a fair question to ask, what will Wolves do first, find a new manager or score a goal?

They have played two fixtures since sacking Bruno Lage and gone three matches without troubling the scoreboard operator.

Forest’s defence is as open as it gets so perhaps the goal may come here, with the recently promoted club having picked up just one point from their last six matches.

If you chose to stay out of this market nobody would blame you but I’m going to dive in on the unders once again.

Back Under 2.5 Goals @ $1.73

Perhaps it is an oversimplification to suggest that this is simply a case of how many goals do you expect Spurs to score.

But sometimes the simple justification is the smart one, and Spurs can definitely score more than their share of goals even against a stingy Everton side.

After all, they put three past Frankfurt in the Champions League midweek (and they needed all three with some leaks at the back), so we could see a few goals coming in this one as well.

Back Tottenham to Win and Over 2.5 Goals @ $2.20

It has not always been pretty for Chelsea but they enter this fixture on a four match winning streak in all competitions, including three straight clean sheets across the Premier League and Champions League.

Villa has gone four matches without defeat but three of those were draws including a troubling 1-1 effort against Nottingham Forest last weekend.

At some stage, they will have to throw caution to the wind but even if they can execute a slightly more aggressive style, I cannot see them getting the better of the Blues.

Look for a similar sort of scoreline to what it was for Chelsea’s last visit to Villa Park which produced a 3-1 victory for the London club.

Back Chelsea to Win and Over 2.5 Goals @ $2.88

Arsenal has come through the tough part of their Premier League schedule taking six points from Tottenham and Liverpool in the last two weeks.

Now the challenge for Mikel Arteta is ensuring that there is no letdown ahead of this clash with Leeds.

Even though they will be travelling back from the Arctic circle after Europa League duty, there is something different about this Arsenal side and Leeds have gone five matches without a win.

Look for a quick start from Arsenal before they hold on to finish the job.

Back Arsenal Halftime/Fulltime Double @ $2.45

Manchester United definitely does not look like the side their fan base was hoping for, but the results are starting to come for Erik ten Haag.

Eight wins from their last ten outings in all competitions has them back amongst their compatriots and a point ahead of their opponents here.

Nouveau riche Newcastle will be out to secure a statement win of their own when they travel to Old Trafford and after putting five past Brentford, there is some value about the visitors.

This match result market looks about right to me and I’m not willing to dive in with any sort of confidence on either club.

Where I am confident however is backing a few goals to fly in with both teams possessing plenty of top notch attackers.

Back Over 3.5 Goals @ $2.65

A huge question mark hovers over West Ham striker Michael Antonio but even if he cannot suit up for this one I’ll still expect the Irons to get the job done on the road.

After all, Southampton has lost its last four games and has scored a grand total of one goal in that time.

Give me any opportunity to take on Southampton at the moment.

Back West Ham to Win @ $2.40

It’s the blockbuster clash to end the weekend and there is so much to look forward to at Anfield.

Already 13 points behind City, Liverpool simply must win to keep their already slim title hopes alive, but it’s unlikely to be an easy task.

Not only are City in superb form, but they have the robot Erling Haaland to lead the line, something that should make the struggling Virgil van Dijk more than a bit nervous.

Even at Anfield, it’s tough to have faith in Liverpool so I’ll back what has been a very reliable combination in City fixtures all season.

SGM: Manchester City to Win and Erling Haaland Anytime Goalscorer @ $2.38

2021/2022

After a bloodbath in Matchweek 10, the Premier League’s title contenders will look to restore order before the looming international break.

Tottenham became the third club to make a managerial change after a 3-0 loss to Manchester United last weekend and Antonio Conte will take charge of the visitor’s dugout at Goodison Park this weekend.

Life does not get any easier for Ole Gunnar Solskjaer with a Manchester Derby at Old Trafford on Saturday evening with City looking to bounce back from a rough loss to Crystal Palace.

We’ve got our previews and best bets for all 10 Premier League matches this weekend so read on and see who we are backing.

We’ve got a fascinating match to start the weekend off with, as Aston Villa tries to end a four match losing streak.

It’s hard to have any sort of confidence in them with that sort of recent form and with a relatively long list of unavailable players.

Southampton might not be a great Premier League team, but they have shown an ability to take points off the sides they are expected to beat.

With that sort of record I’m happy to take on Villa to start the weekend.

Back Southampton to Win @ $2.05

Beating Tottenham gave Solskjaer a stay of execution at least through to this fixture, but a big defeat at home from their local rivals might just spell the end of his tenure.

In a normal situation that would make United a decent value option as the more desperate team but they will be facing a City side that does not lose consecutive Premier League matches.

After an embarrassing home defeat at the hands of Crystal Palace, City will be primed for a bounce back effort.

These derbies have produced a fair few upsets, especially with United playing spoiler for City but one good result has not altered the way punters should treat the home side.

As it is a derby it could play out any number of ways, but the majority of them involve a City victory and their head to head price is more than enough to feel comfortable backing.

Back Manchester City to Win @ $1.75

Taking on Norwich remains the easiest play in sport with the Canaries taking just two points from their last 20 Premier League matches.

It’s just a case of working out the best value and how much you’re expecting them to lose by.

Brentford is not exactly lethal in front of goal, but they will enjoy plenty of opportunities against a Norwich team that has conceded 25 goals through 10 matches so far.

In each of the Bees’ three league wins they have scored two goals so you can get the price up to even money taking them to score twice as well.

Back Brentford to Win & Over 1.5 Goals @ $2.00

It’s been a managerial masterclass from Thomas Tuchel of late, riding a wave of injuries to keep Chelsea three points clear at the top of the table.

The Blues have taken their last four league matches by an aggregate score of 14-1 and have kept clean sheets in their last three.

Burnley finally picked up its first win of the season last weekend, topping Brentford but history is not on their side in this fixture.

Each of the last four matches between these clubs have been won by Chelsea with the total score sitting at 12-2 and three straight clean sheets.

With the way they are travelling at the moment, that’s a trend I am happy to follow.

Back Chelsea to Win to Nil @ $1.95

Two sides that have forgotten how to lose will face off at Selhurst Park.

Palace made it five matches without defeat after a win at the Etihad Stadium while Wolves took all three points off Everton on Tuesday morning (AEDT).

A draw seems like it is on the cards here but there is serious value to be had on the total goals market.

They have been flying in for both sides with Wolves’ three overs coming in the last four weeks and five overs for Palace in their last eight.

With the confidence Palace will have after their stunning win over City and Wolves’ increased proficiency, take the value on offer.

Back Over 2.5 Goals @ $2.30

January cannot come fast enough for Newcastle with the side in dire need of reinforcements.

For now, they will have to navigate a trip to Brighton who desperately need a win to right the ship.

With four draws and a loss from their last five league matches, we are starting to see some cracks in the armour, however they should be able to take care of a side that has been truly atrocious defensively thus far.

They are yet to keep a clean sheet and have let in three or more goals in four of their matches to date and if Brighton get off to a fast start, this could turn into a rout.

Back Brighton to Win and Over 2.5 Goals @ $2.63

It certainly looks like Watford’s win over Everton was a flash in the pan and normal service resumed when they fell to Southampton last weekend.

Punters should feel quite confident taking them on in this match given the surprising run of form Arsenal have had since their shocking start to the season.

Something has clicked for Mikel Arteta’s side and they are yet to taste defeat since their 5-0 humiliation at Manchester City in August.

Having won seven of their last nine matches in all competitions with two draws in betwee, their much-improved defence has been a big reason why they are now in sixth place.

Their last five wins have come by at least two goals and I’ll follow that trend here.

Back Arsenal to Win -1 Goal @ $2.10

One losing streak will come to an end in this match, but it’s hard to make a convincing case either way.

Everton just have not looked like a Premier League team in their last three matches while a disinterested Spurs saw the ill fated Nuno Santo era come to an end after back to back scoreless defeats.

Perhaps the new boss Antonio Conte will spark what has been a listless team into life here but on five days preparation, you can’t imagine there will be a major turnaround in such short order.

If you want to call this match a stay away nobody would blame you but I’ll have something on both teams to score as Tottenham’s attack comes to life while Conte starts his defensive reshuffle.

Back Both Teams to Score @ $1.80

If Leicester is able to put its apathetic loss to Arsenal behind them, this could actually be a very entertaining match.

Leeds took its second win of the campaign by defeating Norwich and there were some promising signs in that contest, although you do wonder how much of that will be transferrable to facing an actual Premier League quality opponent.

When these clubs faced off last season it was a very profitable fixture for the visitors with Leicester winning the corresponding match 4-1 after capitalising on a fast start.

I’m willing to put the Arsenal defeat down to a bad day at the office and take Leicester to bounce back with another win.

Back Leicester to Win @ $2.50

Make no mistake, West Ham is a legitimately tough out on their day and their Premier League record speaks for itself, losing just twice in all competitions since the start of the year.

If Liverpool turn in the same level of performance that they did against Brighton then this could very well be an upset.

You can make a real case for the Irons in this match, they have the strike force to really get after a Liverpool defence that can (very) occasionally go to sleep and the $4.40 at the time of writing is almost enough to justify pulling the trigger.

But with a Europa League tie to deal with before this match, it just gives me too much cause for concern.

I have no doubt they will cause the Reds plenty of problems, and possibly even take an early lead but I have to back the red hot Liverpool strike force to get them home.

SGM: Liverpool to Win and Both Teams to Score @ $2.98

2020/2021

Just nine games are set to make up Match Week 11 of the English Premier League with the recent news that Aston Villa and Newcastle will be postponed.

In terms of headline clashes, it’s tough to go past the North London Derby between league leading Tottenham and an Arsenal side desperate to get their season back on track.

Read on to see who we are backing this weekend.

MATCH POSTPONED DUE TO COVID OUTBREAK WITH NEWCASTLE

It’s a good thing Everton got off to their perfect start, otherwise we’d be talking about them being stuck in a relegation battle.

Over their last six matches they have claimed just four points, dropping them to eighth on the table.

The good news is that they are taking on one of the few teams in worse form than they are.

Burnley has lost four of its last five with their only goal in that time coming in a 1-0 win over Crystal Palace.

Because Burnley can’t score, I’ll take Everton to stumble over the line and into three points.

Back Everton to Win @ $1.95

Even with City struggling to keep up with the demanding pace of the 2020/2021 season, you have to expect them to take care of business against a Fulham side coming off their second league win of the season.

Each of Fulham’s last seven matches have been decided by a goal at most so they aren’t getting destroyed the way they were earlier in the season.

That being said, it’s unlikely they will be able to find a way through an incredibly stout Manchester City defence that has now gone three matches since conceding a goal.

In their Premier League match over the weekend they put five past a hapless Burnley team, rediscovering their scoring touch.

In all competitions, City has won its last nine matches with Fulham, dating back to 2011 and they have kept the Cottagers scoreless in their last five.

Back City to Win to Nil @ $1.87

If you just looked at West Ham’s opponents in their three match winning streak, you could argue they have benefitted from a soft schedule.

Go back a little further and see that they pushed Liverpool to the brink and drew with Manchester City as well as Tottenham, this Irons side are no pushovers.

Especially going against a United side on short rest after a midweek Champions League tie with PSG.

The Olympic Stadium has not been a happy hunting ground for United either, losing their last two visits there and drawing in the one before that.

When they need to West Ham can score and they are every chance to score a couple on a vulnerable Manchester United backline.

West Ham Over 1.5 Goals @ $2.60

Chelsea is in for a real test against a Leeds side buzzing after getting a much needed win last weekend.

I like the Blues to get home but the big question is whether or not they can keep a clean sheet.

That is something they have done in seven of their last nine matches (written before their Champions League clash with Sevilla) but Leeds are the sort of side to really push the tempo going forward.

Timo Werner has been leading the line for the Blues and has scored four Premier League goals so I’ll back the German marksman to score as Frank Lampard’s side comes away with all three points.

Back Timo Werner to Score and Chelsea to Win @ $2.40

If you’re dreading getting to sleep on Sunday night, this may be the perfect fixture to cure insomnia.

West Brom scored their first goal in five weeks in a win over Sheffield United but their overall form in front of goal is not overly encouraging.

Palace have not scored themselves since the international break as they struggle without their talisman Wifried Zaha.

Chances are this one is a grind and while a 0-0 draw is appealing at its current price, I’ll take some insurance against someone accidentally putting a shot on target.

Back Under 1.5 Goals @ $2.70

Against any other side, this would have been the perfect time to back against Leicester.

They have lost their last two Premier League fixtures and have looked bang average in the process.

Perhaps there is a chance they will come into this match thoroughly uninspired considering they are playing a team in the midst of the worst start in Premier League history.

Sheffield has lost five straight, scored two goals in that time and are now four points adrift at the foot of the table.

Stick to the rule that has worked and back against Sheffield.

Back Leicester to Win @ $2.02

If there ever was a game for Arsenal to shake off whatever has been messing with them the last few weeks.

Since stunning Manchester United in early November, they are winless in their three Premier League matches since, scoring just one goal.

Of course, this is a North London Derby and even with the lack of a raucous, capacity crowd spurring on the atmosphere, this should still have a decent buzz around it.

Spurs have been defensively perfect in the last month, registering four straight clean sheets.

As they say in football however, toss out the form guide when it comes to derbies, two of the last three have finished as draws and this has the makings of a hard fought stalemate.

Back the Draw @ $3.45

Since Wolves were promoted to the Premier League two seasons ago, they are yet to register a victory against Liverpool, dropping all four matches in that time.

They are going to be full of confidence after taking all three points from their visit to the Emirates Stadium last weekend, although it came at a cost, losing star player Raul Jiminez to a fractured skull.

It’s tough to have a whole lot of faith in Liverpool as well with injuries decimating their squad, making their price a little bit short for my liking.

Where there is value however is in the Both Teams to Score market, something that has hit in eight of Liverpool’s ten Premier League matches this season.

Back Both Teams to Score @ $1.80

Looking at the form lines of both teams, it’s a surprise to see the market backing such a low scoring affair.

We have seen two or more goals in all bar one of Brighton’s matches this season and three or more in eight of their 13 in all competitions.

Southampton on the other hand have scored two or more goals in their last seven matches with contributions coming from all over the team.

Instead of taking a side I’ll happily take the value on at least three goals in this match at even money.

Back Over 2.5 Goals @ $2.00

2019/2020

It’s a weekend free of “Big Six” clashes in the English Premier League but there’s still plenty of action to sink your teeth into.

The struggles of Arsenal, Manchester United and Tottenham have set up an intriguing race for the Champions League places while Leicester is playing their best football since they won the entire Premier League.

How will the Foxes back up from a monumental thumping of Southampton?

That’s just one of the 10 Premier League clashes this weekend we have previewed and found our recommended betting plays for here.

Better late than never, United won its first Premier League match since mid-September on the weekend, can they make it back to back here?

It would be their first consecutive Premier League victories since April when they beat Watford and West Ham.

Since then it’s been three wins, six draws and six losses but at least that victory over Norwich has brought them back into the top of the table.

They’ve won their last four against Bournemouth and backing United at the moment does require a little bit of blind faith but the Cherries haven’t scored in over 270 minutes of football.

The good news about United’s slump, it’s got them at a decent price to win here and it’s worth taking a swing at.

Back Manchester United to Win @ $2.00

Who do you feel the least bad about here?

Wolves aren’t losing but they aren’t winning a whole lot either with six of their 10 matches finishing as a draw.

Arsenal on the other hand is far and away the most entertaining Premier League club… as long as you’re not an Arsenal fan after taking one point from games against Sheffield and Palace.

Both of these sides had eyes on the top four at the start of the season but are now in full blown salvage mode as they try and work their way out of their respective holes.

Last season Wolves took four points off the Gunners and this game could go either way, but there’s a pretty good chance we’ll be in for some goals.

Wolves have kept three clean sheets all season and in those matches they have taken seven points, when they concede they’ve earned five points.

Arsenal have kept just two clean sheets (for six points) so both teams to score looks pretty good here, plus with both sides having a remarkable ability to drop points this could go either way.

SGM: Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals @ $2.00

This is Liverpool’s easiest Premier League match in over a month after taking seven points from a tough run that included United, Leicester and Tottenham, all talented sides that could would get up for that game.

It’s been a while since Liverpool managed to really blow out an opponent, instead opting for the “survive and advance” strategy which has given them their six point lead at the top of the table.

With the Champions League duty coming up, the Reds might continue to take that approach to this game, being happy with three points instead of trying to go too crazy on goal difference.

Perhaps the ideal scenario would be to take a 2-0 lead into halftime and put some of their key players on ice for the coming continental duty.

Back Liverpool Halftime/Fulltime @ $2.00

Brighton are not the most free scoring team in the Premier League but Norwich have really struggled keeping goals out this season.

Their one clean sheet came against Burnley, and it might just be what the Seagulls need to get their forward’s striking boots in form.

It might not be pretty but I like them to score a couple of goals which should get them over the line for a win.

If you’re feeling really optimistic about their chances, back a couple more goals in the match but over 1.5 is more than enough for this same game multi.

SGM: Brighton to Win & Over 1.5 Goals @ $2.01

Let’s just take a moment to reflect, last weekend City defeated Aston Villa 3-0 while Southampton lost to Leicester… 9-0.

They conceded to the Foxes… nine times… and now have to go and face the Premier League’s highest scoring team on their turf.

There is no multi this weekend that should not include the defending champions to win.

It might seem a bit over the top, perhaps a touch harsh on the Saints but… nine goals.

During the week these sides met in the Carabao Cup, City played a side made up of a couple of first teamers and this weekend should see a full strength lineup while Southampton tries to hold on for dear life.

Look at the handicap markets here, City should win, it’s just a question of by how much do you feel confident in backing.

Back City to Win -3 Goals @ $2.50

Form can be deceptive, Sheffield has taken five points from its last three matches, while Burnley has lost its last two.

Sheffield’s one win in its last four came over Arsenal and Burnley’s losses have come against Leicester and Chelsea, both very strong sides.

Neither side has really been prolific in front of goal this season with a combined total of 23 goals so far, although Sheffield has conceded the equal lowest total of eight goals in the Premier League, which is why they are in eighth place.

Expect a cagey match, if we’re lucky the highlights package won’t run for two minutes as chances are at a premium.

Back Under 1.5 Goals @ $2.70

If you’re not excited for this match… well nobody will blame you, it’s not the most exciting of draws.

West Ham’s maddening inconsistency continues to irritate fans and punters alike, their last four games have all been winnable but have produced a grand total of two points.

Newcastle has been competitive in a tough stretch but are still capable of producing a performance that is an absolute stinker.

My confidence level backing either of these sides is at a firm zero point zero and I’ll avoid this game.

NO BET

That’s four league wins on the trot for Chelsea and it looks like something has clicked at Stamford Bridge.

Watford has taken three straight draws and while those points are an improvement on a few weeks ago, draws won’t help them stay up.

Unfortunately for the Hornets, this one just screams mismatch and with one goal from their last five matches, they might struggle to get one through Chelsea.

This could be a great chance for a high value same game multi given the price on Chelsea winning with a clean sheet.

SGM: Chelsea to Win to Nil & Over 2.5 Goals @ $7.07

You might want to avoid overreacting to Leicester’s win last weekend, they took advantage of an atrocious Southampton performance.

Palace will be a much stronger opponent and should be full of confidence after taking a point off Arsenal at the Emirates.

All things considered, this might actually be the best match of the entire weekend in the Premier League.

I’ll still give the edge to Leicester just on value but you could make a pretty strong case for Palace here as well.

Back Leicester to Win @ $2.15

How can you back either of these sides with any sort of confidence?

Everton have three points from their last six, Tottenham have four from their last five.

There’s a reason both of these sides are in the bottom half of the Premier League table and while Tottenham should win, they’ve lost plenty of those games already this season.

One thing that has been consistent at least is Harry Kane scoring six goals already this season and another four in the Champions League.

He might be the one reliable factor and at over even money is worth a shot.

Back Harry Kane Anytime Goalscorer @ $2.15

2018/2019

And with that, it was back to the football.

For some it will be hard to focus on the action on the pitch after the events in Leicester during the week however the Premier League rolls on.

Highlighting the action this week is the mouth watering clash between Arsenal and Liverpool as the Gunners have a chance to make a real statement against a title contender.

At the other end of the table, a battle between strugglers Huddersfield and Fulham closes out the round.

Read on for our previews, predictions and same game multis from all ten fixtures from Week 11 of the Premier League.

Bournemouth continue to punch well above their weight sitting in sixth place and unbeaten in their last four.

They are doing a great job of picking up points against the teams they are expected to however United, even with their uneven form will represent a huge test for them.

This fixture has been heavily weighted in United’s favour since Bournemouth’s promotion in 2015, with the Red Devils picking up wins in four of the last five meetings.

In fact, Bournemouth have only beaten United twice in their history, once in 1984 and again in 2015 and it is hard to see them doing it for a third time this weekend.

Back Manchester United to Win @ $2.00

SGM: United to Win, Over 2.5 Goals, Marcus Rashford Anytime Goalscorer

All eyes will be on Wales in this kickoff window as Leicester City take to the pitch a week after their owner perished in the helicopter crash.

While it’s not the ideal circumstances to play a football game under, the competition continues, and Leicester will undoubtedly be the public favourite for this match.

There is every chance the events of the past week could galvanise the squad and they could arrest their three game winless streak but there are too many uncertainties around this team.

What is certain is the fact Cardiff have not been that good this season including last week where they were run over late by Liverpool in a 4-1 defeat.

Backing against Cardiff has been a useful play this season and while Leicester are unknowns, you can go against the home team with some confidence here.

Back Leicester to Win @ $2.15

SGM: Leicester to Win, Over 2.5 Goals, Harry Maguire Anytime Goalscorer

If you’re looking for goals… this probably isn’t the match you want to watch.

Brighton have won three in a row to lift themselves out of the doldrums of the Premier League and each victory has come with the final score of 1-0.

In fact, Brighton have not conceded a goal in 295 minutes of football, so Everton have a tough task ahead.

Everton on the other hand were defeated by Manchester United and have been involved in a few high scoring clashes but this has all the makings of a tight encounter.

The visitors will look to keep things tight and rely on their in-form keeper Mat Ryan to stop Everton piling on the pressure.

Back Under 2.5 Goals @ $1.83

SGM: Everton Win, Under 2.5 Goals, Both Teams to Score (No)

At some point, eventually, Newcastle will win a Premier League match, history says it probably won’t be this weekend, but it’ll come at some point.

After picking up their third point of the season in last week’s draw, they face seventh placed Watford, who have been one of the most impressive sides to start the season.

Newcastle have not beaten Watford in the Premier League in their last four meetings, losing all four contests since 2015 with an FA Cup defeat in that time as well.

There is not a lot of in depth analysis required for this game, Watford look good, Newcastle do not, bet accordingly.

Back Watford to Win @ $2.75

SGM: Watford to Win, Both Teams to Score, Under 4.5 Goals.

West Ham will have to go into this game without captain Mark Noble after his red card against Leicester which may force them into a slight reshuffle and leave them with a leadership void.

Burnley will just be happy to see the back of the last fortnight where they were on the wrong end of hammerings from Manchester City and Chelsea.

The visitors took four points from their meetings last season including a 3-0 win in London however it is hard to have any confidence in either side having the wherewithal to score enough to win here.

A low scoring draw is the smart play for this game with West Ham the most likely to come away with a win.

Back the Draw @ $3.50

SGM: Drawn Match, Under 2.5 Goals

Easily the biggest match of the round, this is a game that is well worth staying up (or waking up) for.

Liverpool are unbeaten in the league and have not lost any of their last six against the Gunners.

Historically this has been a very high scoring fixture with seven of the last eight matches having four or more goals so don’t be at all surprised if this game continues that trend.

Even with that history, this is a new Arsenal side under Unai Emery, despite dropping points against Palace they are still unbeaten in their last eight Premier League matches and appear to have a stronger edge.

Facing Liverpool will be their biggest test since their last loss, which came away to Chelsea in August.

One issue that has plagued them however is their slow starts and Liverpool taking a halftime lead is a good value play here.

Back Liverpool to Win the First Half @ $2.60

SGM: Liverpool to Win, Over 3.5 Goals, Salah Anytime Goalscorer

A trip away from Wembley might actually help Tottenham after they experienced the pitfalls of venue sharing in last week’s loss to Manchester City.

That defeat on a torn up pitch ended their four game winning run but they have a great chance to kick start a new one when they take on a Wolves side that have lost back to back matches.

So far this season, Tottenham’s vaunted attack has failed to click with the side tallying just 16 goals so far however they will be happy to be one of five teams with a goals against number in the single digits.

With neither side giving the scorer a whole lot of trouble lately, two goals should be enough to come away with a victory in this game.

Back Tottenham to Win to Nil

SGM: Tottenham to Win, Under 3.5 Goals, Both Teams to Score (No)

Get ready to go digging for a value play in this one as Manchester City are short priced favourites to pick up three points at home here.

If you are looking for any hope for Southampton here, we are struggling to find any to be totally honest.

They have picked up back to back draws but haven’t scored a goal since September 18 when they drew 2-2 with Brighton.

Conversely, City last conceded a goal on September 2 when they defeated Newcastle 2-1, so you can see where we are going on this one.

Back Manchester City to Win to Nil @ $1.75

SGM: City to Win to Nil, Aguero and Mahrez Anytime Goalscorers

Another game where you might have to do a bit of digging to try and find some value plays comes from Stamford Bridge where Chelsea are at a short price to beat Crystal Palace.

Picking up a point at home to Arsenal, would have felt as good as a win but Palace know they have another tough test coming up.

This fixture hasn’t always been kind to the favuorites with Palace picking up victories in two of the past three games with four of the past six ending with a final score of 2-1.

With Chelsea at such short odds to, the play for this game is to back the exact score market and the recent trend of 2-1 results keeping up.

Back Chelsea to Win 2-1 @ $9

SGM: Chelsea Win, Chelsea to Score Over 1.5 Goals

The beauty of the Premier League is that a match between last and third last still carries some intrigue.

Having played over a quarter of the season, the clubs that know they are already in a relegation fight know they need three points and games like these are where to pick them up.

These two sides last met in the Championship in 2017 with Huddersfield winning to take all three points on their push for promotion.

With one win between these sides so far this season it is only reasonable to expect that tally to stay exactly the same here.

Back the Draw @ $3.30

SGM: Draw, Under 2.5 Goals

2017/2018

A Super Sunday headlines EPL Week 11 as four of the league’s biggest clubs go head to head. It starts with the in form Manchester City hosting Arsenal looking to continue their undefeated start to the season. Following that Jose Mourinho brings his Manchester United squad to Stamford Bridge for what he is hoping will be a more pleasant return than last year’s 4-0 hammering. Tottenham and Liverpool back up from their Champions League duties with matches against Crystal Palace and West Ham respectively.

Two wins on the trot for Leicester and unbeaten in their last four, their slow start to the season appears to be in the rear view mirror. Stoke are coming off a fiery win over the in-form Watford and with a logjam of teams in the middle of the table, both sides would like a win to help escape the traffic. Stoke have not won in this fixture since January 2015 however the last two meetings at Stoke have produced 2-2 draws so another draw (maybe not 2-2) seems to be the play here.

Back the Draw at $3.25

Swansea’s form is not great but they will feel as though they could have taken a point or more from The Emirates last week having surrendered a late goal to Aaron Ramsey. Their lone win from the last five has come against another promoted side in Huddersfield. Brighton have settled into the Premier League well notching three wins and three draws to sit comfortably in the middle of the pack. In Wales this game has enough uncertainty around it to consider it a real stay away.

NO BET

Burnley are certainly capable of frustrating teams and capitalising on that to get a result. With just two losses so far they might be considered slight overachievers to this point but they seem to be able to surprise. Southampton have the edge in this fixture’s recent history however winning three of the five meetings since 2014. Even then, the only side to beat Burnley since September is Manchester City who are beating everyone at the moment and the value of an upset here is worth a look.

Back Burnley to Win at $6.00

A shortish turnaround for the Magpies after their Monday night defeat to Burnley, which ended their three match unbeaten run in the league. Newcastle have found a way to get on the scoresheet most of the time this year, failing to score just once in the last month of action. Bournemouth have struggled against the big sides this year with Arsenal, Tottenham and Chelsea accounting for three of their four losses since September. Including the Carabao Cup, Bournemouth are producing some respectable results against similarly placed teams. Even then I like Newcastle to bounce back against a team they are noticeably better than.

Back Newcastle to Win @ $1.95

Few would have expected West Brom to stay within a goal of Manchester City but they fought valiantly before going down 3-2. Huddersfield could not keep up with Liverpool in the second half of their match and also conceded three but failed to find the net themselves. Neither side is in an overly impressive run of form, with just one combined victory in their last five fixtures (funnily enough over Manchester United) and it will cancel each other out for a draw.

Back the Draw @ $2.88

Liverpool picked up their lone league win of October over Huddersfield with a second half run. They still look like a side which is not quite settled and have a tough task playing a West Ham side that are fighting for the manager’s job. The last time these sides met, Liverpool ran away with a 4-0 win and even with both teams struggling Liverpool should scrap out a win with goals in both halves.

Back Liverpool to Score in Both Halves @ $2.40

You could forgive Tottenham for looking past this game having just played Manchester United and Real Madrid in the past week. Bottom of the table Crystal Palace just doesn’t quite have the same lustre but it could be a potential banana skin for a side that will be feeling confident after a late equaliser against West Ham. Last season’s fixtures saw a pair of 1-0 wins for Tottenham and even with the injury questions surrounding Harry Kane and his hamstring, they should get past Palace here. Unfortunately though, the odds are quite short so there is not a lot of value and I can’t confidently push for any sort of margin play.

NO BET

City were made to work by West Brom at The Hawthorns last week and it might have had something to do with their Champions League visit to Napoli and this League fixture. While Arsenal are not quite title rivals for City, it is still a big game for them as they look to continue their undefeated start to the campaign. Arsenal are in a good run of results if not form, winning eight of nine in all competitions since a September draw against Chelsea. This looms as their biggest challenge since that trip to Stamford Bridge and they will look to renew that defensive resilience. City are a side that they have a decent set of recent results against, winning three, drawing three and losing one since the start of the 2014-2015 league campaign. Even then, City are the better team here and I like them to win but with this added value play.

Back City to Win and Over 2.5 Goals @ $1.91

With one eye on the result at the Etihad, Manchester United get ready for the second year of the “Mourinho Derby” as they head to Chelsea for a match against their manager’s former employers. This corresponding fixture last season saw a convincing 4-0 for Chelsea to help kick start their eventual title challenge. As mentioned last week these are the sorts of games that you will see Jose shut up shop and just try to get through the 90 minutes with minimal interest. Add in the Champions League fixtures in the lead up to this game and it screams low scoring. There is potential here for a 1-1 but the likelihood for me is that a single goal will get a result here if anything is to come of it. It’s a bit of a risk but in a game like this we have seen it play out before.

Back the Under 1.5 Goals @ $2.80

A return home for Everton but it might not have the typical home ground advantage as a frustrated fan base look for answers (and a new manager). With just two wins at home from eight attempts in all competitions this year, Everton are not a side to confidently back at the moment. Watford on the other hand are beginning to hit the wall after their fast start, dropping their last two games including a 1-0 defeat at the hands of Stoke. Even then, they should still be able to handle Everton in their current state.

Back Everton to Win @ $2.10

2016/2017

The rivalry between Arsenal and Tottenham Hotspur is one of the fiercest in the English Premier League and the two sides will do battle in what is clearly the match of the weekend.

The other big guns are all set to start this clash as clear favourites, but we saw last year that anything can happen in the English Premier League and there are a number of potential upsets this weekend.

As always there are plenty of exciting matches in the English Premier League this weekend and you can find all of our recommended bets below.

Bournemouth went down to Middlesbrough last weekend, but they are clear favourites to get the job done against Sunderland this weekend.

Bournemouth have won four of their past 11 games as home favourites for a clear loss and they have been tough to trust in this scenario.

Sunderland are still chasing their first win of the season after going down 4-1 to Arsenal last weekend.

They are almost impossible to trust from a betting perspective and the fact that they have won just three of their past 17 games as away underdogs does not inspire any confidence.

This is a match that the market looks to have got just about right and I am more than happy to stay out.

No Bet

Burnley took a point from their recent clash with Manchester United, but it is Crystal Palace that will go into this clash as clear favourites.

Crystal Palace suffered their third straight loss to Liverpool last weekend and their record as away favourites does not inspire a great deal of confidence – they are 0-0-2 in this scenario.

Burnley toughed it out in impressive fashion against Manchester United and this season they have a simply outstanding record as home underdogs.

They have won three of their five games in this scenario and they are well over the odds at their current quote of $3.20.

Back Burnley To Win @ $3.20

Manchester City returned to winning form with a dominant performance against West Bromwich Albion and they are clear favourites to get the job done against Middlesbrough.

They have won ten of their past 18 games as home favourites for a loss and it really is tough to get them as short as their current price.

Middlesbrough picked up a crucial three points against Bournemouth, but this is obviously a much tougher challenge and they have won just one of their past five games as away underdogs.

Manchester City should be able to get the job done comfortably, but I can’t possibly back them at their current quote.

No Bet

West Ham continue to struggle at Olympic Stadium, but they will still go into this clash as clear favourites.

The Hammers have been a disappointing 5-5-2 as home favourites over the past 12 months and they have been particularly tough to trust in front of their home fans this season.

Stoke City have recorded three wins on the trot and have rebounded in a very big way over the past month.

They have taken at least a point from eight of their past 17 games as away underdogs and they have been a profitable betting scenario in this situation.

Stoke City are well over the odds at their current quote and are one of the best value bets of the weekend.

Back Stoke City To Win @ $3.80

Chelsea are another team that have found their best form in the past 12 months and they will go into this clash as clear favourites.

Chelsea haven’t conceded a goal in the English Premier League for over a month, but their record as home favourites over the past 12 months is still a poor 7-8-3.

Everton returned to winning form with a confidence performance against West Ham and they were able to beat Chelsea comfortably last season.

The problem for Everton is that they have not won any of their past 10 games as away underdogs, but they have been able to take a point from six of these games.

I expect that this will be a fairly low-scoring affair and the $4.20 currently available for the draw stands out at the current price.

Back The Draw @ $4.20

The North London Derby is always one of the highlights of the English Premier League season and this is set to be a particularly exciting affair.

Arsenal recorded their seventh win from their past eight starts when they beat Middlesbrough and they really are in excellent form.

They have improved their record as home favourites to 12-4-2 for a profit and they have been a profitable play against Tottenham in this scenario.

Tottenham played out their third draw on the trot against Leicester City last weekend and they desperately need a victory to stay in touch with the league leaders.

Spurs have won two of their past six games as away underdogs for a narrow profit, but they have drawn four of them and backing the draw in all their games this season has been a profitable play.

This should be a fairly tense affair and the $3.40 for the draw is definitely the value.

Back The Draw @ $3.40

Hull City suffered their sixth straight loss on the trot last weekend and they will go into this clash as clear underdogs.

The lack of depth in this squad is really starting to show and they have now won just one of their past five games as home underdogs for a loss.

Southampton had their unbeaten run ended by Chelsea last weekend, but they have an excellent chance to return to winning form.

They have won four of their past eight games as home favourites for a profit and surely they should prove too strong for Hull City.

Back Southampton To Win @ $1.70

This should be one of the most entertaining games of the week.

Liverpool have been in truly stunning form in the past couple of months and it is no surprise that they will start this clash as clear favourites.

Despite their recent form, they have still be a losing betting proposition as home favourites in the past 12 months and it is tough to get them as short as their current price.

Watford did enough to take the three points from their clash with Hull and they have now not lost for over a month and a half.

I have said before that they are one of the most underrated sides in the English Premier and they have taken at least a point eight of their past 17 games for a clear profit.

This match will be closer than the current market suggests and the Watford/Draw Double Chance is outstanding value.

Back Watford & Draw Double Chance @ $3.75

It feels like I say it every single week, but the pressure is really on Jose Mourinho and this Manchester United.

They were unable to beat Burnley last weekend and they were beaten by Fenerbache in the Europa League earlier in the week.

Manchester United will go into this clash as clear favourites, but they have won just four of their past 12 games as away favourites for a clear loss.

Swansea take equally as poor form into this clash after losing to Stoke City.

They have won two of their past seven games as home underdogs for a loss and they are a team that is extremely tough to trust from a betting perspective.

This is a game that I am keen to stay far, far away from betting wise.

No Bet

Leicester City have struggled for consistency in the English Premier League this season, but they will still go into this clash with West Bromwich Albion as clear favourites.

Leicester City have won ten of their past 14 games as home favourites for a clear profit and they look to have a clear class edge over this West Brom outfit.

West Bromwich Albion were no match for a rampant Manchester City last weekend and they look likely to struggle again.

They have won just two of their past 19 games as away underdogs for a big loss and Leicester City look like a very safe bet to get the job done.

Back Leicester City To Win @ $1.75