2023/2024 EPL Week 13 Preview

What a way for the Premier League to resume after an eventful international break.

A top of the table clash between Manchester City and Liverpool kicks off the weekend with plenty of clubs looking to go on a run as we enter the busy festive period.

Everton were handed a 10-point deduction during the break as well and we will get to see how they respond when they face Manchester United at Goodison Park.

Check out who we are backing in every match in Week 13 below!

Manchester City will take on the only side to disrupt its run of Premier League titles in a match that could prove pivotal in May.

The winner of this will go top of the table (at least for a couple of hours in Liverpool’s case) and all signs are pointing towards a tight encounter.

What swings this one for me is the fact it is being played at the Etihad, a venue where City have won their last 15 Premier League matches.

Liverpool is one of the few teams capable of coming to this stadium and leaving with all three points but I’m not willing to back against the reigning champions at home.

Manchester City to Win @ $1.70

West Ham might be going through some issues in the league, but they are nothing compared to Burnley’s woes so far.

Vincent Kompany’s side have lost their last six matches in all competitions have scored just three goals in that run.

They remain anchored to the foot of the table even after Everton’s points deduction thanks to a -21 goal difference and I can’t see that getting any better here.

West Ham looked like they might have been finding some form before the international break and I’ll back them to win this one.

West Ham to Win @ $1.94

If you’re struggling to find a reason to get excited about this match, nobody would blame you because this seems like it might be a bit of a grind.

Palace should win this game given Luton’s struggles at home, with the Premier League debutants taking just two points from five fixtures at Kenilworth Road.

But the Eagles are always liable to put up a stinker and I can’t back them with any confidence here.

Taking both teams to score looks like the way to go given it has hit in four of Luton’s five home games and two of Palace’s last three.

Both Teams to Score @ $1.91

There might be a bit of recency bias coming into play here, but I’m expecting a goal-fest between Newcastle and Chelsea.

Before the international break the Blues played out an enthralling 4-4 draw with Manchester City after putting four past a (nine-man) Tottenham side the week prior.

After their attacking woes have been a punchline for the last year and a half, it looks like they have found their attacking vigour.

Newcastle will have to find a way to match them following a couple of disappointing defeats and some dire attacking performances but they have the talent to flick the switch when needed.

Over 2.5 Goals @ $1.80

If Brighton is going to find a way to end it’s six match winless run in the Premier League, it is surely going to come here with the side coming back together after a week off.

They are at a decent price to do just that at $2.20 but it is hard to have any confidence in them at the moment given their inability to get over the line.

The same can be said for Forest whose last eight matches have yielded just the one win and four draws.

We should see some goals in this game with Forest letting in seven in their last four and both teams to score hitting in every Brighton match this season so far.

Rather than putting any faith in one of these teams to win, I’ll take the overs and just try to build the bank.

Over 2.5 Goals @ $1.67

Regardless of the final score of this match, football will be the ultimate loser with these teams combining for 14 points from 24 matches.

Defensively they have both been very poor as well with Bournemouth conceding 27 goals and Sheffield allowing 31 through 12 fixtures apiece.

It’s hard to have any hope of a high quality contest but I’ll back the over in the market and hope that we’re at least going to see some goals.

Over 2.5 Goals @ $1.80

While they are very much in the title race and will be for the foreseeable future, Arsenal’s performances coming out of the international break have not been as sharp as one would expect.

In September they only just scraped past Everton 1-0 at Goodison Park and in October they drew 2-2 away to Chelsea.

One potential mitigating factor is that they had Champions League ties to contend with following those matches and that is the case once more.

So while I like Arsenal to win this match, I can’t see them doing this the easy way and they will likely have their work cut out for them against a stubborn Brentford side.

Arsenal to Win @ $1.75

In just about any other week, this would be the pick of the fixtures but it’s either the second or third best on the schedule this weekend.

Fourth placed Spurs have lost their last two matches as the wear and tear of the season starts to take hold of Ange Postecoglou’s squad.

While fifth placed Villa have been phenomenal at times this season under Unai Emery but have dropped points in three of their last four away matches, two of which were very winnable.

Both teams are more than capable of winning this one and I’m happy to stay out of the head to head market and instead back the overs because of the attacking prowess on both teams.

Over 3.5 Goals @ $2.20

For a team sitting in sixth place just five points adrift of the top four, United has an inordinate amount of “club in crisis” headlines attached to it.

Perhaps they should take a look at Everton whose season has just hit a massive bump in the form of a points deduction that has put them all the way down to 19^th on the table.

Sean Dyche has this side playing effective football at the moment though, taking 10 points of a possible 15 prior to the break and I have full confidence that they will keep rolling.

Scoring has been a major issue for United this season with 13 goals from 12 matches and that will play into Everton’s hands.

I’m expecting this one to be a bit of a grind with both teams trying to outmuscle each other to the three points and the first goal might be enough to win it.

Under 2.5 Goals @ $1.95

Even with Wolves going on the road for this match, it’s tough to see why they are underdogs against a Fulham team that has failed to fire.

The Cottagers have picked up one point from their last five in the league and don’t look like they are set to improve anytime soon.

I’ll happily back the visitors at this price.

Wolves to Win @ $3.10

2022/2023

Let’s not waste any time, Matchweek 13 of the Premier League kicks off barely 36 hours after the conclusion of Friday’s games.

After surviving their test against Tottenham, Manchester United will move on to another challenge when they head to Stamford Bridge to take on Chelsea.

Then on Sunday night we have another huge set of matches headlined by Newcastle taking on Tottenham.

We’ve got our previews and predictions for every fixture below so read on and see who we are backing.

On the plus side for Forest, they picked up a second point from their last three games with a scoreless draw away to Brighton.

Unfortunately for them, Liverpool presents a much tougher prospect, especially when you consider they have scored one goal in their last 360 minutes of football.

It wasn’t pretty for Liverpool during the week either but they at least found a way to defeat West Ham 1-0 at Anfield.

That was their second straight win with a clean sheet and the signs are certainly pointing in the right direction for Jurgen Klopp’s side.

Back Liverpool to Win to Nil @ $2.05

It might also be starting to turn around for Crustal Palace after a hard fought win over Wolves during the week.

Wilf Zaha looked like the player that was once touted as an A$100m+ dollar target for some of the biggest clubs in England and now they will turn their attention to Everton.

The Toffees losing streak extended to three with another defeat at Newcastle and they have only managed a single goal in that time as well.

If Palace scores first, this could potentially get ugly but the visitors look like excellent value at their current price.

Back Crystal Palace to Win @ $2.90

Fresh off a week of rest, City will have spent that time stewing over their loss to Liverpool and seem highly likely to take out their frustrations on Brighton.

It’s been over 270 minutes since the Seagulls have scored a goal and it’s not really looking like a drought that will come to an end at the Etihad.

City will have a bounce back performance and take this one out comfortably as Erling Haaland recovers from his out of character quiet effort against Liverpool.

SGM: Manchester City to Win to Nil and Erling Haaland Anytime Goalscorer @ $2.45

Chelsea might not have lost to Brentford during the week but it sure would have felt like one after that 0-0 draw.

As for Manchester United it would have felt like a huge result, defeating Tottenham 2-0 with Cristiano Ronaldo watching on (for most of the game at least).

Now Ronaldo can put his feet up for this entire fixture with the Portugese marksman banished for this fixture by Erik ten Haag following his latest tantrum.

Goals will likely be at a premium in this fixture, with United having kept clean sheets in their last three and Chelsea keeping their opponents scoreless in their last five.

The first goal might be enough to win the match outright.

Back Under 2.5 Goals @ $2.00

Villa faces an unenviable short turnaround from Friday morning’s clash with Fulham while the Bees will be buzzing after a second straight clean sheet.

That clean sheet came in a 0-0 draw with Chelsea and there is some value to be found on the visitors here.

Villa needs a major course correction as soon as possible and sacking Steven Gerrard is probably only the first of many moves that will need to be made.

Back Brentford to Win @ $3.60

For better or worse, Fulham appears to be set on providing some of the more entertaining matches of the Premier League season, even if they wind up on the wrong end of the scoreline.

The numbers show that backing three or more goals to be scored in their matches has been a profitable strategy and there is no reason to expect it to change here.

Especially with Leeds on the other side who are more than happy to go on the offensive as well.

This could finish with just about any score but there will almost certainly be goals.

Back Over 2.5 Goals @ $1.75

The Saints course corrected with a win over Bournemouth during the week while Arsenal took care of a Europa League catch up match.

However it’s tough to back against the Gunners after a pair of massive wins in October, and you have to like their chances of taking something from St Mary’s.

They were ambushed by the Saints back in April and you can feel quite confident that Mikel Arteta will have something up his sleeve to make amends for that effort.

Back Arsenal to Win -1 Goal @ $2.50

It’s the tried and true strategy when Wolves play and there’s no need to overcomplicate it.

Goals tend to be at a premium and while it’s not always a perfect strategy, backing the under seems to be the sage advice.

Back Under 2.5 Goals @ $1.91

Spurs will not be happy with the way they failed to really challenge Manchester United in their midweek encounter.

Now all eyes will be on whether or not they can muster a response against a Newcastle side that is desperate to ascend to the level Spurs have reached over the last decade.

It will provide an interesting measuring stick for both clubs as they both seek to stay in touch with the top four race heading into the World Cup break.

However it’s tough to split these clubs on the pitch, especially with the respective injuries on both sides and it could lead to a stalemate.

Back the Draw @ $3.50

Bournemouth’s unbeaten run came to an end with a 1-0 defeat at home to Southampton during the week and now they head to London to take on West Ham.

Both clubs will likely be happy to see this match played in a fairly conservative manner with neither side really able to offer a whole lot in terms of attacking prowess.

Even though both meetings last season ended with four goals scored, this is a different season and it’s one where the under looks like the way to go.

Back Under 2.5 Goals @ $1.95

2021/2022

Even by modern top-flight football’s ruthless standards, this has been an especially brutal Premier League season for managers.

Manchester United will take on Chelsea this weekend in their first league outing since Ole Gunnar Solskjaer was sacked from the club.

That made the Norwegian the seventh boss to depart his club in the just over three month long season to date.

Elsewhere Arsenal will be out for a bounce back win when they take on Newcastle in the early game Saturday night and Liverpool is hoping to continue its free scoring ways.

We have our previews and best bets for all 10 Premier League matches here so read on and see who we are backing!

The Gunners’ bubble burst in the most spectacular fashion at Anfield last weekend with Mikel Arteta’s sideline battle with Jurgen Klopp spurring Liverpool to a 4-0 win.

It was their first loss since before the September international break and a stark reminder that while the Arsenal is a side on the rise, they have a long way to go before catching the Premier League’s elite.

On the plus side for them however is they built that long unbeaten run by defeating sides that they were able to stifle defensively.

This might be a match that will require them to go outside of their comfort zone and go on the attack but they have the firepower to take care of business if this turns into a shootout.

Back Arsenal to Win and Over 2.5 Goals @ $2.05

Villa finally got back on track with a 2-0 win in Steven Gerrard’s first match in charge while Palace were involved in a phenomenal 3-3 draw at Burnley.

All signs are pointing towards a goal fest in this match with both teams starting to find their footing in attack.

Both Teams to Score has hit in five of Palace’s last seven as well as four of Villa’s last six.

That’s the play here.

Back Both Teams to Score @ $1.75

Fresh off a loss to Norwich, it’s hard to see how Southampton are going to compete with a rampant Liverpool in this fixture.

They lead the match for all of three minutes early in the first half, and the likes of Salah and Mane will be eager to get after this backline.

At the other end of the pitch Southampton appear to be in for a long afternoon against a Liverpool backline that appears to be back in its title winning form.

In each of their last three Premier League wins Liverpool have kept a clean sheet and there is value to be had backing that to happen again.

Back Liverpool to Win to Nil @ $2.30

Norwich have officially exited the “back against at all costs” territory after collecting their second straight win last weekend.

Wolves have been hot and cold in front of goal this season but have been able to score in six of their last seven matches.

Meanwhile Norwich has one of the best overs records in the Premier League with eight of their last 12 matches having three or more goals.

With both sides desperate for three points, take the over in this one as they try and outscore one another.

Back Over 2.5 Goals @ $2.20

Neither side is in great form heading into this contest and you would be hard pressed to find a punter who felt overly confident backing something in the head to head market.

For all of the headlines they have generated for their free flowing attacking football, Leeds just have not clicked this season as injuries ravaged their first team.

Brighton were never going to win any style points but they have now gone over two months without a win in all competitions, only scoring more than one goal once in their last seven Premier League matches.

Take a low scoring, defensive battle to round out the overnight action.

Back Under 2.5 Goals @ $1.90

While neither side in this match is in the midst of an overly profitable run at the moment, you just cannot feel good about backing Everton.

They have failed to score a goal in their last two matches and their backline has been chasing shadows all over the pitch with 10 goals conceded in their last four matches.

Brentford has the strike force to make life tough for Everton and after their gallant performance against Newcastle it’s worth taking a punt on them here.

For some extra value back at least three goals to be scored as that has hit in the Bees last four matches and three of Everton’s last four.

Back Brentford to Win and Over 2.5 Goals @ $4.00

The Conte revolution has begun at Tottenham with the Italian boss claiming his first Premier League win for the North London club.

Defensively there are still plenty of issues for him to work out as Spurs have kept one clean sheet from their last nine Premier League matches.

This weekend they will be in for a tough test in the shape of a Burnley side that is starting to find its groove in attack.

While the wins are not coming as frequently as some at Turf Moor may hope, the Clarets have done a good job battling their way to draws in six of their last eight matches.

However with the newfound confidence and tactics Conte has put in place, you have to give the benefit of the doubt to Spurs as they work their way back into the top four race.

SGM: Tottenham to Win and Both Teams to Score @ $4.12

The gut reaction looking at the most recent results of these two clubs is to load up on Watford, after all they beat Manchester United 4-1 while Leicester lost 3-0 to Chelsea.

However Watford’s major issue all season has been consistency following up every point they have earned this season with a defeat.

Even their lone Carabao Cup win over Crystal Palace saw their lose their next match to Tottenham 1-0.

In fact, on four of the five previous occasions Watford have been backing up from a win or draw, they have been kept scoreless.

With Leicester desperately needing to get their campaign back on track, take them to get three points any way they can.

Back Leicester to Win and Under 3.5 Goals @ $2.60

While this match may be getting played at the same time as several others, this could be the biggest fixture of the weekend.

After a brief stumble at the end of October, City look like they are getting things back on track with four consecutive wins in all competitions, including a ruthless dispatching of Everton last weekend.

While the reigning champions have built their success on a strong defence, this fixture seems destined for goals.

West Ham has one of the most exciting attacks in the competition and Michael Antonio is one of the most lethal strikers in England.

It’s not the spot to be backing against City, however I do like West Ham to really go after them and turn this game into a shootout.

Back Manchester City to Win and Over 3.5 Goals @ $2.70

Will the departure of Solskjaer produce the desired response among the Manchester United squad?

Based on their Champions League win in Spain during the week there is a chance it just might.

However until the produce a capable performance in the Premier League, you cannot feel good about backing them, especially against this Chelsea side.

Both meetings last season ended as 0-0 draws however Chelsea appear to be a much improved side since then.

Perhaps we will see some sort of reaction out of United but believe it when you see it rather than anticipating it.

Back Chelsea to Win -1 Goal @ $2.63

2020/2021

Midweek Premier League football is back as the frantic festive period continues.

For the players involved in European competitions, this is nothing new, for the other teams, this is a huge test of squad depth as the fixtures roll in thick and fast.

It will be well worth the early alarm on Thursday morning when six fixtures kick off, headlined by the top of the table bout between Tottenham and Liverpool.

Read on to see who we are backing.

It was a weekend to forget for both of these clubs, with Wolves going down to Aston Villa while Chelsea were defeated by Everton.

Since Wolves beat Arsenal and, in the process, lost Raul Jiminez to a fractured skull, their goalscoring prowess has disappeared completely.

Chelsea’s backline is not impenetrable but it’s been pretty solid so you would feel good backing them to keep Wolves to a solitary goal at most, while Wolves have not kept a clean sheet since October 31.

Back Chelsea to Win @ $1.70

You know it, I know it, the bookies know it, even the person working on an oil deck in the Gulf of Louisiana knows it, Manchester City will win this match against West Brom.

It’s why they are at such an insanely short price head to head so you have to dig through the markets or get creative with a Same Game Multi to find some value.

It’s not the most ambitious play but City’s backline have not conceded a goal in their last six matches and West Brom are probably not the ones to break that streak.

Last season at the Etihad, City won 3-0 so a similar result is what I’ll take here.

Back Manchester City to Win to Nil @ $1.62

Even the most dedicated Arsenal fan has to look at this market and think the prices are the wrong way around.

If the Gunners did not have the name and history to carry, they probably would find themselves as underdogs here.

That being said, it’s a perfect opportunity for punters looking for some value.

There was nothing redeeming about their effort in the loss to Burnley and while Mikel Arteta might have a bright future as a manager, his present is pretty grim.

Since defeating Manchester United in early November, the Gunners have taken just one Premier League point from five matches and in that run they have scored one single goal.

Southampton continues to impress and are perhaps the best value bet of the entire Premier League week.

Back Southampton to Win @ $3.20

Newcastle, like a lot of Premier League teams have a habit of running on both extremes they can look very good some weeks and like they have only just met each other in others.

They will have this match circled as one they should be expecting all three points from, however Leeds know their Premier League return is fast turning into a real struggle.

Back to back losses to Chelsea and West Ham have them falling down the table but all it takes is one win to spark a good run.

In a pinch, Newcastle does appear to be a touch over the odds at their current price, but in keeping with the theme of following the value, taking both teams to score seems like a much safer play.

Back Both Teams to Score @ $1.70

Any questions over Leicester’s credentials are slowly evaporating as Brendan Rodgers’ side continues to mount an impressive title challenge.

Picking up all three points against an Everton side who got a much needed confidence boost defeating Chelsea on the weekend would answer even more questions following their convincing win over Brighton.

The last six meetings between these teams in all competitions have been decided by a one goal margin or penalties in the League Cup.

Right now Leicester are the more in form team and there is every chance that Everton put their efforts into the Chelsea match, they may be a touch off the pace here.

Back Leicester to Win @ $2.15

All things considered, coming away with four points from a three match stretch that featured Leicester, Manchester City and Liverpool is a pretty impressive feat for Fulham considering that doubled their season total.

Now comes the next test, winning a match against a side that will likely also be battling relegation for most of the season.

Brighton has dropped its last two matches against Leicester and Southampton but did manage to take a point off Liverpool.

We have seen plenty of goals in matches featuring these teams with three or more in eight of Brighton’s and six of Fulham’s.

With that option over even money, it’s an easy value play to take here.

Back Over 2.5 Goals @ $2.10

When it comes to blockbusters, this has all the makings of one… on paper at least.

First taking on second, the defending champions taking on their biggest challengers.

Between Liverpool’s injury record and Jose Mourinho’s… Mourinho-ness get ready for a scrap-fest between these two.

There is no doubt both sides are stocked with attacking talent however as we saw against Manchester City, Spurs know how to sit back and absorb pressure.

It will just come down to whether or not Liverpool can capitalise on their pressure or Spurs can weave some magic on the break.

Either way, don’t expect a high scoring encounter.

Back Under 2.5 Goals @ $2.20

Four wins from their last five has West Ham up into sixth place and dreaming of a miraculous run to Europe.

If they can continue that form they should be able to turn their fortunes around against an opponent that they have really struggled against.

From their past six meetings with Palace, they have lost twice, drawn three times and won just once.

Palace is starting to come into form themselves with a crushing win over West Brom preceding their well earned draw at home to Tottenham.

When there’s a very good case to be made for both of the teams in a match, the draw might be your best friend.

Back the Draw @ $3.30

If there was one big thing we should take away from recent form in the Premier League, it’s that a win over Arsenal is not the massive achievement it once was.

Burnley have been awfully dour and let’s be honest, defeating a 10-man Arsenal side via an own goal should not be taken as an encouraging sign for the future.

Perhaps if they win against a Villa side that has been hot and cold all year, then you can take them a little bit more seriously.

Back Aston Villa to Win @ $1.75

Sheffield United continued to endure the worst start in Premier League history, going down in a meek effort 3-0 to Southampton last weekend.

They cannot defend at all, cannot attack and cannot get anything going in their favour.

Don’t bother overthinking this play, Manchester United will continue to add to the Blades’ woes.

Back Manchester United to Win to Nil @ $2.40

2019/2020

The down and out Hammers will face off with London rivals and the equally disappointing Tottenham Hotspur in Saturday night’s primetime fixture.

It has been a while between Premier League wins for both clubs, but there is no doubt that Spurs have still been the far better side and they will enter this match off the back of two draws, while the return of Son Heung-min is also sure their fill their sails with wind.

West Ham’s most recent loss to Burnley was extremely damning, and they would need to improve tenfold to take anything away from this match.

Spurs to Win ($1.91)

Betting suggests that the match of the round will materialise at Dean Court when the ninth-placed Cherries host the eighth-placed Wolves. There’s barely anything between these two clubs in stats for the 2019/20 Premier League season and there genuinely is a case to be made for both in the market.

For Bournemouth, a hard-fought loss to Newcastle in England’s north saw them into the bye week, while it was opposite fortunes for Wolves, who snapped a three-game winless (though also unbeaten) streak by defeating Aston Villa.

At home, the Cherries do deserve their slight favouritism, but this match does appear to have ‘draw’ written all over it.

Draw ($3.25)

At first glance this should be the most one-sided contest of the week, but that simply will not be the case.

Life under Unai Emery has been anything but glittering for the Gunners, particularly this season and they are winless in their last four Premier League matches. As anticipated, they did not have the answers for the impressive Leicester City, but this does loom as a good opportunity for them to bounce back into the winner’s stall.

The Saints are another club that look to be on their last legs in the Premier League and every match will be a difficult one for them. Three-consecutive losses have seen them anchored to 19^th position, saved only by an even worse Norwich outfit. Other than the 9-0 thrashing at the hands of Leicester, they have been getting on the scoresheet frequently and that may be where the values lies in betting this week.

Both Teams to Score ($1.65)

Mat Ryan and Aaron Mooy return from international duty, but there is little doubt that the Seagulls will need to produce their best performance of the season to overcome the in-form Leicester City, early on Sunday morning.

Brighton have not been awful, but their recent wins have come against lowly opposition and they do enter this match off the back of a comfortable loss to Manchester United at Old Trafford.

Leicester’s form has been nothing short of outstanding throughout the first three months of the competition and fittingly, they sit second on the table leading into this fixture. They have won each of their last four Premier League matches, including a comfortable 2-0 win over Arsenal.

The $2.05 on offer for the Foxes at publish looks an outstanding bet.

Leicester to Win ($2.05)

The league leaders are back in action early on Sunday morning and Crystal Palace is the next club tasked with stemming their outstanding run of form.

Eleven wins and one draw is how the ledger so-far reads for Liverpool and they are clearly faced with their best ever chance of winning the Premier League. They are three in a row since drawing with United, which included an easy 3-1 win over reigning champions City leading into the bye.

Palace have suffered 2-0 defeats in three of their last four Premier League fixtures; drawing 2-2 with Arsenal on the other occasion. This is clearly the biggest test of their season so far and they realistically cannot compete with the Reds for the full 90.

Liverpool 2-0 ($7)

The action takes us back to Goodison Park and an ideal opportunity to make it two in a row awaits the Toffees.

There is no doubt that Everton will be disappointed with the start to their new campaign, but they have steadily improved and prior to the bye week, recorded a much-needed win over the lowly Southampton. A return home and another weak opponent should be just what the doctor ordered, in their quest for another victory.

Norwich City appear to be on the straight and narrow towards relegation and they are the only club to have suffered nine losses this Premier League season. They failed to capitalise on a ten-man Watford at their last Premier League appearance and undoubtedly face a tougher task in Everton.

Everton to Nil ($2.75)

Week 12 winners Watford and Burnley will trade blows at Vicarage Road and with their most-recent performances in mind, this could prove to be one of the better contests of matchday 13.

They were the final club to get off the mark this season and their recent form hasn’t been good, but a rare win has seen Watford climb to eighteenth and ultimately breathe just a little bit of life into their prospects of survival. Christian Kabasele will sit this one out following his 65^th-minute red carding at Norwich and that could mean the difference in winning or losing.

Burnley snapped their three-match losing streak with a handy win over West Ham and fresh off the bye week, they do look a live chance of making it two-in-a-row, at odds.

Burnley to Win ($3.25)

The match of the round will take place at the Etihad Stadium on Sunday night when Manchester City hosts Chelsea.

City have slipped to fourth after losing two of their last five Premier League matches and they will be eager to bounce back into the winner’s stall and ultimately, leapfrog Chelsea into third. Given their performances and league titles over the last couple of years, something had to give at some point, and this looks to be the ‘form slump’ that we have been waiting for, if you can even call it that.

Chelsea have enjoyed an excellent start to their campaign, winning eight and recording two each of draws and losses. They have won their last six PL matches and are flying high from excellent results in other competitions.

City do deserve favouritism and are every chance of winning, but they are under the odds at $1.40. Sergio Aguero to net the first goal represents a far better betting play.

Aguero 1st Goalscorer ($3.80)

An interesting fixture looks set to play out between the league’s surprise packets Sheffield United and the seventh-placed Manchester United at the home of the former.

Sheffield’s rise to prominence has been meteoric this season. They haven’t played in England’s topflight for a long time, but their performances have been those of a club that is destined for a long and prosperous stay in the Premier League and they remain fifth in overall standings leading into Matchday 13. They are undefeated in their last five PL matches and leaked only one goal to Liverpool at their most recent loss.

United have weathered another slow start to the season and are all but out of the title race already. They did record an easy win over Brighton at their last appearance, however and a repeat of that effort would find them difficult to beat again.

Draw ($3.20)

A reasonably uninspiring fixture will see Week 13 of the Premier League close in Birmingham early on Tuesday morning, Australian time.

Villa’s return to the Premier League will be short-lived if the first twelve weeks of their campaign are to be followed. They are perched perilously close to the drop zone and are a solitary loss away from figuring in the bottom three. They have lost each of their last three matches, but this does look to be their best opportunity to win for some time.

Newcastle have been typically difficult to trust this season, but have won their last two matches, which included one of their best performances of the campaign to see off the in-form Bournemouth.

Anything could happen here, and I am happy to stay out of it from a betting perspective.

No Bet

2018/2019

It took 12 matches and three international breaks but we finally have our first managerial casualty of the Premier League season.

Fulham have responded to their less than ideal start by sacking Slavisa Jokanovic and bringing in Claudio Ranieri, who we all remember masterminding Leicester’s title campaign in 2015/2016.

Ranieri makes his debut at home to fellow strugglers Southampton but the big clash for the weekend is easily Chelsea facing Tottenham at Wembley.

Read on for our previews, predictions and same game multis for all 10 Premier League matches this weekend.

Fresh off his efforts for the Socceroos, Mat Ryan is straight back into club duty as his Brighton side kick off Week 13 of the Premier League with a home clash against Leicester.

Last season there wasn’t much joy in this fixture for the hosts, losing both games against the Foxes 2-0.

Brighton lost their last two going into the international break and Leicester have picked up two draws and a win from their last three however the week off will certainly halt some of the momentum built up.

This looks too hard to split and the draw is a play here as these sides leave happy with a point.

Back the Draw @ $3.10

SGM: Draw, Over 0.5 Brighton Goals, Jamie Vardy Anytime Goalscorer

Three wins and a draw from Everton’s last five games have them in the top half of the table and in position to climb above 9^th with a win over Cardiff.

It won’t come easy against the lone Welsh side in the Premier League this season, who have picked up both their wins in the last four games.

One big issue for Cardiff remains their defensive stability, having conceded in 10 of their last 12 games, including their last nine in a row.

There have been a total of 34 goals scored in Everton’s games so far this season and looking at this matchup, there should be a few more added to that tally in this one.

Back Over 3.5 Goals @ $2.88

SGM: Everton to Win, Over 2.5 Goals,

With all due respect to Southampton, having a home game against them is about as soft of a landing as Ranieri could have hoped for at Fulham.

The Saints have kept their head above water by finding ways to scrap out draws with five already this season.

A big mark against them though is picking up just the one win which is why they are sitting in 17^th place.

There is a common theme among teams at the bottom of the table and that is goals conceded, five of the bottom six sides have conceded more than 20 goals with Fulham “leading” the pack with 31.

Expect Ranieri to try and shore up Fulham’s defence first and foremost as the Cottagers can’t be split from the Premier League’s “Draw Specialists”

Back the Draw @ $3.30

SGM: Drawn Match, Both Teams to Score

You have to go back quite a few years to find Palace’s last win over Manchester United, and even longer to find a win in a League match.

To be exact, the last time United left a league match against Palace was in 1991 in the old first division.

In the ten Premier League meetings at Old Trafford, United have won all of those matches, including five straight to nil.

Across all competitions, United have won six on the trot against Palace and look well placed to make it seven in this one.

Back Man United to Win to Nil

SGM: United to Win, Over 2.5 Goals, Juan Mata Anytime Goalscorer

Just two points behind current leaders Manchester City, Liverpool know that winning every match is critical right now, no matter who it is against.

They will look to avoid a slip up against a Watford side they have won four of their last five against including some big scorelines in there.

Their last meeting in March finished 5-0 to the Reds they look likely to avoid a repeat of their opening day draw from last season.

Back Liverpool to Win & Over 2.5 Goals @ $2.15

SGM: Liverpool to Win, Mo Salah Anytime Goalscorer, Saido Mane Anytime Goalscorer

Since their scoreless draw with Liverpool, City have won four straight and been scoring plenty of goals in that time.

They scored five against Burnley, six against Southampton and in perhaps their best result, three in the Manchester Derby before the international break.

Goals haven’t been as free flowing for West Ham however, scoring one or fewer goals in four of their last five.

The last few meetings between these sides have all followed a similar pattern with City winning by multiple goals and expect this one to produce a similar scoreline.

Back Manchester City to Win -1 Goal @ $1.70

SGM: Man City to Win, Over 2.5 Goals

Two of the Premier League’s in form sides meet with a spot in the top four potentially on the line.

Tottenham have lost once in their last seven games, and that was the Manchester City while Chelsea are still yet to lose in the 2018/2019 campaign.

With Liverpool and City both setting a blistering pace at the top of the table, neither side will want to concede any ground in this one.

Last season both teams won away from home in this fixture and while the market has a slight edge towards Chelsea at the moment, a draw seems like the prudent play here.

Back the Draw @ $3.40

SGM: Draw, Eden Hazard Anytime Goalscorer, Harry Kane Anytime Goalscorer

On the plus side for Arsenal, their unbeaten run is still going.

On the down side for Arsenal, they have been held to a draw in their last three Premier League matches.

That has caused them to lose ground in their quest for a top four finish, however going into this game they will be able to gain ground on one or both of Chelsea and Tottenham depending on their result.

This match is doubly important as it would allow them to put some space between them and the team immediately behind them on the ladder in Bournemouth.

The Cherries cannot be taken lightly here and are looking to get back on track here.

Despite both sides sitting in the top six, this is a game with plenty of desperation around it.

It has been three seasons since Arsenal won away to Bournemouth but they are at good value to pick up all three points this one.

Back Arsenal to Win @ $1.95

SGM: Arsenal Win, Both Teams to Score, Over 2.5 Goals

One good result is all Huddersfield need to help them out of their situation right now.

They picked up a win and a draw before the international break to get them off the bottom of the table and within touching distance of five teams above them.

Wolves are winless in their last four although they were very impressive in their draw away to Arsenal in their most recent match.

This market for this game doesn’t appear to line up with the form lines and as such, Huddersfield is offering great value here.

I’m not feeling confident enough to back a Huddersfield outright victory but $2.60 for the win/draw double chance looks very appealing.

Back Huddersfield Win or Draw Double Chance @ $2.60

SGM: Under 2.5 Goals, Both Teams to Score (No)

Not all is solved in Newcastle but back to back wins sure go a long way towards fixing the early season issues that plagued them.

Burnley are not anywhere near the team they were last year, mostly because their previously stingy defence is now giving up over two goals per game.

This might be Newcastle’s chance to put some goals on the board, with five goals in their last five games, more than doubling their total from the first seven.

Back Newcastle to Win @ $2.65

SGM: Newcastle to Win, Under 3.5 Goals, Joselu Anytime Goalscorer

2017/2018

As the calendar inches closer to Christmas, the Premier League just gets busier and busier and EPL Week 13 signals the start of that patch.

All twenty teams are in action this weekend and will be backing up four or five days later with Week 14 but first and foremost they have to take care of business this weekend.

Liverpool against Chelsea is the headline EPL fixture of the weekend with both sides coming back from Champions League commitments, but every game certainly bears watching as sides have the opportunity to make a push up the table.

Week 13 gets underway with a Saturday morning (AEDT) match at the Olympic Stadium as David Moyes gets his first home game in charge of West Ham.

Leicester will be the more confident of the two sides having won five of the last six meetings between these clubs.

In their meeting in March at the Olympic Stadium, Leicester came away 3-2 victors thanks to a three goal first half where Riyad Mahrez, Robert Huth and Jamie Vardy all finding the net before halftime.

In this game I like Vardy to find the net again but Leicester to win the match looks to be the safest play.

Back Leicester to Win @ $2.55

While still anchored to the bottom of the table, Crystal Palace are starting to put things together.

Their past five games have produced their five points on the season with a win and two draws, all at home.

Historically this has been a profitable fixture for the home side with six wins and a draw from their eight meetings since January 2014.

Of course this is a very different Palace side to then and a win is just a step too far here so look for a score draw.

Back Both Teams to Score and a Draw @ $4.50

Even with the busy period of their schedule coming up, Manchester United have the depth to deal with the busy fixture list at this point in time.

They welcomed back Paul Pogba, Zlatan Ibrahimovic and Marcos Rojo last weekend as they beat Newcastle comfortably.

With those names back there is just too much quality to see anything other than a big win for the home side.

Back Manchester United to Win -2 goals @ $2.50

Three straight losses for Newcastle and it does not get any easier with Watford coming to town after arresting a three game losing streak.

In form playmaker Richarlison was a key figure in that win. Newcastle on the other hand were run over late by Manchester United.

Watford have won the last three meetings between these sides and despite having to travel for this matchup, they are still a good value option here.

Back Watford to Win @ $3.40

Swansea are languishing just above the foot of the table with four straight losses and they showed few signs of that form changing in their 2-0 loss to Burnley at the weekend.

Bournemouth have won three of their last four and will be flying high after a 4-0 destruction of Huddersfield in their last match.

History favours Bournemouth too as they have won the last three meetings between these sides in the league.

Swansea’s last win in this fixture came when both sides were in League One in October 2007 and that streak should not be broken here.

Back Bournemouth to Win @$2.70

Tottenham’s resolve will be tested here with a very winnable home game against West Brom who have lost their last four games.

They were thoroughly outclassed in the North London Derby and their superstars failed to fire however this is a perfect opportunity for them to bounce back.

West Brom were destroyed 4-0 at home by Chelsea and they sacked manager Tony Pulis as a result of that and interim manager Gary Megson taking charge.

It appears as though Spurs home issues adapting to Wembley have gone away so look for Tottenham to get by here with a win to Nil.

Back Tottenham to Win to Nil @ $1.91

A great match to close out the Saturday night schedule as Liverpool host the champions.

As one of the few teams to not lose against Chelsea during their title winning season they will fancy their chances of getting up at Anfield.

Their recent form at home against Chelsea in the league is not exactly encouraging however, with the last three fixtures in front of The Kop resulting in draws.

In fact, the last time Liverpool won a home league game at Chelsea was May 2012 and that pattern should continue here.

Back the Draw @ $3.50

Still without a manager but starting to find some form, Everton have their eyes on a win that would help them overtake Southampton on the table.

While they would have felt as though they dropped points in their draw with Crystal Palace they are in a position where any points gained are quite valuable.

Southampton are without a goal in two games here but the unpredictability of each side is enough for this game to be a stay away.

NO BET

After securing their biggest win of the season in the North London Derby, Arsenal travel to Turf Moor in a match that will be very tricky for them.

Burnley are finding ways to grind out results with a pair of 1-0 wins leading up to last weekend’s win at home against Swansea.

Their only loss at home came to West Brom in Round Two however, Arsenal should get by in a low scoring affair.

Back Arsenal to Win and Under 2.5 Goals @ $2.25

It was not a dream debut as captain for Aaron Mooy as his side were summarily dismissed by a rampant Bournemouth side.

It does not get any easier as the league leaders come to town and while they had a slow win by their standards, only netting twice at the King Power Stadium.

This trip looks like it will be much more profitable for their attackers and City will come away with a big win here thanks to the goalscoring efforts of Gabriel Jesus.

Back Man City to Win & Gabriel Jesus to Score @ $1.75

2016/2017

It is always exciting when two of the London-based clubs in the English Premier League do battle and that will be the case when Chelsea host Tottenham at Stamford Bridge this weekend.

Manchester United have issues dealing with West Ham last season and they will face off at Old Trafford, while the newly-promoted Burnley have a tough assignment against Manchester City.

There are betting angles to be found in every in the English Premier League this weekend and you can find our recommended bets below.

Manchester City are the second shortest-priced favourites in the English Premier League this weekend and the market suggests that they should have no problems accounting for their rivals.

Manchester City returned to winning form against Crystal Palace last weekend, but their record as away favourites is still a touch unconvincing – they have won seven of their past 15 games in this scenario for a loss.

Burnley produced arguably their worst performance of the season when they were flogged by West Bromwich Albion on Thursday morning and a repeat of that effort could lead to a very ugly scoreline.

Burnley have generally produced their best performances against the best teams in the English Premier League as they are happy to concede possession and simply defend for 90 minutes.

They did beat Manchester City when they last met and their record as home underdogs is a hugely profitable 4-0-2.

We have seen Burnley record big upsets already this season and at $11 I am willing to take the gamble that they can produce another boil over.

Back Burnley To Win @ $11

Leicester City have lost two games on the trot, but they will still go into this clash with Middlesbrough as clear favourites.

Leicester City will be on the quick back-up following their Champions League clash with Club Brugge and it is fair to say that they have struggled during their English Premier League title defence.

The Foxes have still won nine of their past 14 games as home favourites for a clear profit and they have performed well on the quick back-up.

Middlesbrough were far from disgraced against Chelsea last weekend and their recent form has been fairly good.

They have only won one of their six games as away underdogs, but they have taken a point from four of these clashes and their defence has been strong since their return to the top flight.

Middlesbrough are more than capable of taking something from this clash and the $3.40 on offer for the stalemate is excellent value.

Back The Draw @ $3.40

Liverpool failed to get the job done against Southampton last weekend, but they are still extremely short-priced favourites to take the three point from their clash with Sunderland.

Liverpool have lost just the one game in the English Premier League this season and it is tough to see that changing, but it is tough to get them as short as their current quote – they are 9-7-1 as home favourites over the past 12 months for a narrow loss.

Sunderland have got their season on track with wins over both Bournemouth and Hull City, but they obviously face a far tougher assignment against Liverpool.

They have one three of their past 17 games as away underdogs for a clear loss and it is tough to see them being able to match it with the talent of Liverpool.

Liverpool should be able to get the job done comfortably, but there is no value at their current odds.

No Bet

This is set to be one of the most hard-fought games of the weekend and there is very little between these two teams in betting.

Swansea will go into this clash as narrow favourites after their draw with Everton, but it has still be over two months since they have recorded a win.

The Welsh outfit have won four of their past ten games as home favourites for a loss and they are a tough team to back with any confidence.

Crystal Palace have now suffered five defeats on the trot and they have serious problems at the back.

They have won three of their past 16 games as away underdogs for a clear loss, but they have been able to take at least a point from seven of these clashes.

Four of the past five games between these two sides have ended as draws and the $3.25 for another stalemate can’t be ignored.

Back The Draw @ $3.25

West Bromwich Albion produced their best performance of the season to date when they dismantled Burnley on Tuesday morning and they will go into this clash as clear favourites.

This will be the first time that West Bromwich Albion have started a game as away favourites over the past 12 months and their record away from home is not particularly strong.

Hull City have lost seven of their past eight games and they were very poor against Sunderland last weekend.

They have won two of their past six games as home underdogs for a clear profit and West Bromwich Albion are the sort of side that they could be able to frustrate.

Winning back-to-back games has proven to be a real issue for West Bromwich Albion and Hull City can return to winning form.

Back Hull City To Win @ $2.90

This is easily the game of the round and could prove crucial to the make-up of the top four at the end of the weekend.

Chelsea have been nothing short of outstanding in the past two months and they have now won six games in a row – scoring 17 goals and conceding zero in the process.

It is no surprise that they will go into this clash as clear favourites, but their record as home favourites over the past 12 months is still an unconvincing 7-8-3.

Tottenham maintained their unbeaten start to the season with a 3-2 victory over West Ham and their record against their title rivals so far this season has been excellent.

They have won two of their past six games as away underdogs for a narrow profit, but more importantly they have drawn four games in this scenario.

Tottenham are capable of mixing it with this high-flying Chelsea and the draw appeals at the current price of $3.60.

Back The Draw @ $3.60

Watford take strong form into this clash with Stoke City and are set to start this game as clear favourites.

The Hornets bounced back from their heavy defeat at the hands of Liverpool to beat Leicester last weekend and they continue to be one of the most underrated sides in the English Premier League.

Watford have won four of their past eight games as home favourites for a narrow loss, but they have won just one game in this scenario.

Stoke City had their unbeaten run ended by Bournemouth last weekend and they face their toughest challenge in over a month against Watford.

Stoke have won just three of their past 15 games as away underdogs, but they were able to beat Watford away from home 12 months ago.

Watford have more quality than Stoke City in key positions and they should be able to make it two wins on the trot.

Back Watford To Win @ $2.40

Arsenal must beat Bournemouth to secure their position in the top four and they will start this clash as clear favourites.

Arsenal go into this clash on the back of hard-fought draws against both Tottenham and Manchester United and there is no doubt that Bournemouth are no at that level.

The Gunners have won 12 of their past 18 games as home favourites for a profit and they kept Bournemouth scoreless in their two meetings last season.

Bournemouth returned to winning form against Stoke City last weekend, but they obviously face a much tougher challenge against Arsenal this weekend.

The Cherries have won four of their past 15 games as away underdogs for a clear profit and their has been plenty to like about their defence so far this season.

The market looks to have got this game just about right and I am happy to stay out of this clash from a betting perspective.

No Bet

West Ham have been something of a bogey team for Manchester United in recent seasons and this should be a very interesting clash.

Manchester United have won just one of their past six games, but they will still start this clash as clear favourites.

The Red Devils have won nine of their past 18 games as home favourites for a loss and they have not beaten West Ham since 2014.

West Ham were not disgraced against Tottenham last weekend and their recent form has been better than it looks on paper.

West Ham have won only three of their past 15 games as away underdogs, but they have been able to take a point from six games in this scenario.

Manchester United are well under the odds at their current price and the $2.75 available for the West Ham and Draw Double Chance is outstanding value.

Back West Ham & Draw Double Chance @ $2.75

This is one of the most interesting games of the weekend and it is Southampton that are set to start the game as clear favourites.

Southampton have not won a game in over a month, but they did produce one of their best performances of the season to take a point from their clash with Liverpool last weekend.

Southampton have won eight of their past 13 games as home favourites for a profit and their record against Everton in this scenario is strong.

Everton have gone to pieces following their strong start to the season and they have won just one of their past seven games.

They have not won any of their past ten games as away underdogs and based on their recent performances they will struggle to match it with Southampton.

Back Southampton To Win @ $2.05