2017/2018 EPL Week 7 Preview

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It is the last Premier League round before another international break, the third of the season so far.

Manchester City are the form side of the competition and would be feeling confident ahead of their trip to third placed Chelsea.

Watford are currently interrupting the traditional top 6 boxing out the European spots sitting level on points with Tottenham and Liverpool, leading Arsenal by one.

Huddersfield Town Vs Tottenham Hotspur

Saturday 30 September, 9:30pm, John Smith’s Stadium

The round kicks off with Huddersfield hosting Tottenham, who are heavy favourites after Harry Kane’s midweek hat-trick.

Their league form has been somewhat spotty throughout the year as they came close to blowing a lead against West Ham last weekend.

Huddersfield have four clean sheets but the hard part for them has been scoring goals so far.

Tottenham should find a way to build a first half lead and find a way to grind out the three points.

Back Harry Kane to Score & Tottenham to Win @ $1.80

Bournemouth Vs Leicester City

Sunday 1 October, 12:00am, Goldsands Stadium

It is starting to get to the point where Leicester need to start producing victories to match their effort.

They came close against Liverpool having a golden chance to snatch three points but Jamie Vardy missed a penalty that would turn out to be critical.

Aside from a 2-1 win over Brighton a fortnight ago, Bournemouth have not shown a lot of fight this year, most recently going down to Everton.

This is a case of two bad teams facing off but Leicester have the players that can win games on their own.

Back Leicester to Win @ $2.50

Manchester United Vs Crystal Palace

Sunday 1 October, 12:00am, Old Trafford

Something is not right with Manchester United, they only managed 1 goal last week against Southampton.

When that is the biggest issue facing your side going into this weekend that is not a bad thing when you consider that they are yet to lose and are second on the table only on goal difference.

Palace are still yet to score a goal (third week in a row I have written that) and cannot see them being able to break that duck against a United side that has only given up two all season.

The only real intrigue in this game is how long Palace will be able to hold out for before United get the game’s first goal.

With the result seemingly a foregone conclusion, the $1.17 straight up for United does not really present any value for punters here and neither does the “win to nil” at $1.63 so steer clear of this game for the weekend and just see how many get run up on Palace.

NO BET

Stoke City Vs Southampton

Sunday 1 October, 12:00am, Britannia Stadium

While the Britannia Stadium might not be the imposing venue for visiting sides it once was, Stoke are still a side which plays much better there than they do when travelling.

Last week their loss to Chelsea would have dented their confidence but Southampton are not quite at the same level as the London side.

Southampton are a side that should be feeling pretty good despite their loss to Manchester United, having only conceded one goal to a side with that much attacking flair.

Goals have been at a premium for them as of late however having only scored one in their last four so considering that, the recommendation for this game is to expect a low scoring game.

Back 0-2 Total Match Goals @ $1.62

West Bromwich Albion Vs Watford

Sunday 1 October, 12:00am, The Hawthorns

West Brom will be seething after they feel as though they were denied a clear penalty in a 2-0 loss to Watford.

One thing Tony Pulis can do for his sides is get them motivated and fired up for a contest.

Watford are off to a great start, on the back of some excellent road form winning all three of their away trips thus far.

The last time they travelled to The Hawthorns however they did go down 3-1 but it would appear they are a much more confident side now.

West Brom will want a draw at the very least out of this fixture but Watford’s good form should continue here and they get another win to stay in touch with the big boys.

Back Watford to Win @ $3.00

West Ham United Vs Swansea City

Sunday 1 October, 12:00am, Olympic Stadium

Swansea are happy to play the gate crashers at other team’s home grounds, taking points in each of their three away trips.

That has come through a resolute defensive effort that has seen them escape with 0-0 draws at both Tottenham and Southampton.

Last weekend’s 2-1 home defeat to Watford was the first time both teams had scored in a game they played in so if West Ham can get one early that could be it.

West Ham did complete a league double last season however and despite their struggles in front of goal, have scored both times they have played at home so far.

Andy Carroll would be looking to break his season duck in this game having scored five times in six appearances against Swansea.

The Hammers are deserved favourites here but it’s hard to see them scoring enough to make it a comfortable victory.

Back West Ham to Win @$1.85

Chelsea Vs Manchester City

Sunday 1 October, 2:30am, Stamford Bridge

Undoubtedly the best game of the round, the heavyweight clash between Chelsea and London at Stamford Bridge could have permutations that will be felt for many months to come.

Despite Champions League commitments midweek, neither side will want to ring in the changes as this is an early season six-pointer at the top of the table.

The free scoring City have shown that they can score against anyone putting up 16 goals in their last three league games and another six goals from their two Champions League ties as well.

If anyone will back themselves to spring an upset it will be Chelsea who have won three of their last five home matches against City.

Having put four past Stoke last weekend, including a hat-trick to Alvaro Morata, they might have a way to match City if the game turns into a shootout.

The result of this game could realistically go either way so look for value in the other goalscoring markets, since this could be a high scoring game, both side should be able to get on the board early.

Back Both Teams to Score in the First Half @ $4

Arsenal Vs Brighton And Hove Albion

Sunday 1 October, 10:00pm, Emirates Stadium

Arsenal should get used to these Sunday kickoffs with the Europa League a part of their schedule this year.

With a changed squad expected to take the field midweek, a close to, if not totally full strength side should return to the Emirates against Premier League new boys Brighton.

The last promoted team to win at the Emirates was Newcastle in November 2010 who just so happen to be managed by current Brighton boss Chris Houghton.

They have shown the ability to scrap against teams of a similar level but the Emirates will most likely be a step too far.

Alexandre Lacazette has put up a great goal scoring record at the Emirates, scoring in every Premier League fixture he has played in at the ground and he should continue that form, as long as he starts.

Back Alexandre Lacazette as First Goal Scorer @ $3.60

Everton Vs Burnley

Monday 2 October, 12:15am, Goodison Park

Everton were able to arrest their slide last weekend with a 2-1 over Bournemouth thanks to the unlikely source of Oumar Niasse.

The current record of three big losses and a draw in the four games preceding that is a little bit deceptive considering those came against the current top four.

In the two matches against sides that are at the same level Everton have been able to win which is what Burnley are.

They have been surprisingly resolute on the road so far winning at Chelsea before getting draws at Tottenham and at Liverpool.

Aside from that 5-goal opening day victory their games have been relatively low scoring with 0-2 goals in each contest.

All things considered that win for Everton should give them to confidence to go on and build a solid run of form which is great timing right before the break.

Back Everton to Win @ $1.67

Newcastle United Vs Liverpool

Monday 2 October, 2:30am, St James’ Park

The Premier League rounds off with Liverpool travelling to St James’ Park where Newcastle have won two on the trot.

Both managers have interesting records in this fixture as Newcastle boss Rafael Benitez has never lost against his former employers while Jurgen Klopp is yet to defeat Newcastle in his time at Anfield.

Last season Newcastle managed to win their home fixture 2-0 in December and they seem to have a way to rustle Liverpool’s feathers.

The fact there has never been a goalless match and Liverpool’s inconsistent form suggests that this game will have some goals and be a draw.

Back a Draw and Both Teams to Score @ $4.75


2016/2017

There are set to be a number of short-priced favourites in week 7 of the 2016/2017 English Premier League season, but there are still plenty of betting opportunities.

The feature match will take place between title contenders Tottenham and Manchester City, while Leicester City will take on Southampton in what should be a very tight tussle.

There is plenty of interest in every single clash and you can find our thoughts on each fixture below.

Everton Vs Crystal Palace

Saturday 1 October, 5:00am, Goodison Park

Everton 1 - Crystal Palace 1

The Everton winning streak came to an end with their 1-0 defeat at the hands of Bournemouth last weekend, but they are still favourites to beat Crystal Palace.

Everton produced easily their worst performance of the season against Bournemouth and it is tough to see them playing that badly again this weekend.

The Toffees return to a Goodison Park that they have been unable to turn into a fortress in recent seasons and they have won just seven of their past 14 games as home favourites for a loss.

Crystal Palace came back from two goals down to stun Sunderland late and they have now won three games on the trot.

It was Christian Benteke that scored the late winner for Crystal Palace and the Belgian striker has added a great deal of confidence to this Crystal Palace outfit.

Crystal Palace have won only four of their past 16 games as away underdogs for a very narrow profit and the market looks to have got this clash just about right.

The value that stands out in this fixture is the $1.73 available for more than 2. 5 goals.

Backing the over has been a profitable betting play in games involving these two teams this season and there should be plenty of goals in what I expected to be an exciting fixture.

Back Over 2.5 Goals @ $1.73

Swansea City Vs Liverpool

Sunday 2 October, 9:30pm, Liberty Stadium

Swansea City 1 - Liverpool 2

Liverpool produced another outstanding performance to make it three wins on the trot last weekend and they are dominant favourites to win again against Swansea City.

Liverpool have now scored 25 goals in their first six games of the English Premier League season and they are clearly flourishing under Jurgen Klopp.

The problem for Liverpool has been dropping points against teams that they should beat and they have won just five of their past 13 games as away favourites for a loss.

Swansea City did not play badly against Manchester City, but they were still no match for the dominant EPL title favourites.

They have taken just four games from the first six games of the season and there is plenty of speculation that Ryan Giggs has been lined up to replace Francesco Guidolin.

Swansea City have won two of their past seven games as home favourites, but their record against Liverpool at Liberty Stadium has been positive.

Liverpool are the team to beat in this clash, but there is no value in their current price and I am happy to stay out of this match from a betting perspective.

No Bet

Hull City Vs Chelsea

Sunday 2 October, 12:00am, The KC Stadium

Hull City 0 - Chelsea 2

This is a crucial game for Chelsea as they come into this clash following back-to-back losses at the hands of Liverpool and Arsenal.

Hull City are obviously a much weaker opposition for Chelsea and it is no surprise that they will go into this clash as clear favourites.

Chelsea have not been a profitable betting play as away favourites over the past 12 months and there is really no edge at their current price.

Hull City have proven no match for Liverpool and Arsenal in the past fortnight and a lack of depth is clearly starting to have an impact on their side.

They have been particularly vulnerable at the back in recent weeks and it would not surprise if they conceded plenty of goals again this weekend.

Hull City have scored in all bar one of their matches this season and I don’t expect this to change, but it is still tough to see them coming away with the win.

Back Both Teams To Score And Chelsea To Win @ $3.10

Sunderland Vs West Bromwich Albion

Sunday 2 October, 12:00am, Stadium Of Light

Sunderland 1 - West Bromwich Albion 1

David Moyes is under plenty of pressure at Sunderland and they have taken up their usual position in the relegation.

Jermaine Defoe scored twice to take Sunderland to a comfortable lead against Crystal Palace, but they fell apart in the second half and suffered their third straight victory.

They will still go into this clash as favourites and they have won three of their past seven games in this scenario – losing just twice.

West Bromwich Albion have made a middling start to the season and they were able to take a point from their trip to Britannia Stadium last weekend.

The Baggies don’t win many games as away underdogs, but they have drawn eight of their past 19 games in this scenario and backing the draw in their fixtures has been a highly profitable play.

This game has low-scoring draw written all over it and the $3.10 currently on offer is a great bet.

Back The Draw @ $3.10

Watford Vs Bournemouth

Sunday 2 October, 12:00am, Vicarage Road

Watford 2 - Bournemouth 2

Watford had their winning run ended by Burnley, but they are favourites to return to winning form this weekend.

Watford were extremely disappointing against Burnley and they will need to produce an improved performance to come away with the victory.

They are more than capable of doing just that and The Hornets have won four of their past seven games as home favourites for a healthy profit.

Bournemouth produced their best performance of the season to date against Everton, but consistency continues to be an issue for the Cherries.

They have won only three of their past 15 games as away underdogs and they really have struggled away from home so far this season.

Watford are a better outfit than Bournemouth at their best and they are a good bet to take the three points from this fixture.

Back Watford To Win @ $2.25

West Ham United Vs Middlesbrough

Sunday 2 October, 12:00am, Olympic Stadium

West Ham United 1 - Watford 1

It is almost time for panic at West Ham.

The Hammers were in Champions League contention last year, but this campaign has been an absolute disaster both on-field and off, which sunk to new depths when they lost 3-0 to Southampton last weekend.

That was their fourth loss in a row and their record as home favourites has completely gone down the toilet since they made the move to the Olympic Stadium.

Middlesbrough are also at somewhat of a crossroads following three straight losses to Crystal Palace, Everton and Tottenham, but they are more than good enough to mix it with West Ham.

Despite losing, their has still been plenty of promising signs for Middlesbrough and they are more than capable of taking something from this fixture.

West Ham are far too short at their current price of $2.10 and it is the draw that stands out at the current price of $3.25.

Back The Draw @ $3.25

Manchester United Vs Stoke City

Sunday 2 October, 2:00am, Old Trafford

Manchester United 1 - Stoke City 1

Manchester United have an excellent record against Stoke City in front of their home fans at Old Trafford and they will take plenty of confidence into this clash following their demolition of Leicester City last weekend.

Jose Mourinho’s benching of Wayne Rooney paid dividends as the like of Paul Pogba, Juan Mata and Marcus Rashford shined for the Red Devils and it is no surprise that they will start this clash as dominant favourites.

Manchester United have won ten of their past 17 games as home favourites for a narrow loss, but their record against Stoke is nothing short of outstanding.

Mark Hughes may be the manager under the most pressure in the English Premier League and Stoke desperately need to produce a credible performance to relieve the pressure from the veteran gaffer.

The problem for Stoke is that they have not won a game since 1975, but their recent record as away underdogs has been a positive 6-4-7 and they have been highly profitable in this scenario.

It is a gamble, but Manchester United have been extremely inconsistent this season and Stoke are a good gamble to take something from this fixture.

Back Stoke City And Draw Double Chance @ $3.75

Tottenham Vs Manchester City

Monday 3 October, 12:15pm, White Hart Lane

Tottenham 2 - Manchester City 0

This is the match of the round and will be an intriguing fixture between two in-form sides.

The fact that both these teams will have played midweek Champions League fixtures only adds to the drama and there is the potential that Manchester City will have the opportunity to break the record for the most consecutive wins by an English football side.

Manchester City have been nothing short of outstanding under the care of Pep Guardiola and it is easy to see why they are such clear favourites – despite the fact that they lost to Tottenham twice last season.

While they have thrived under Guardiola, Manchester City have still won only five of their past 13 games as away favourites.

Tottenham have not played spectacular football during the 2016/2017 English Premier League season to date, but they keep coming away with results and they are yet to lose a game this season.

It would not surprise to see them take a conservative approach into this fixture and when they do this they can be very tough to break down.

I can’t get Manchester City as short as their current quote of $2.05 – especially on the back of a Champions League fixture – and the draw is the betting play that really stands out in this fixture.

Back The Draw @ $3.50

Leicester City Vs Southampton

Monday 3 October, 12:15pm, King Power Stadium

Leicester City 0 - Southampton 0

Leicester City beat Southampton at King Power Stadium last year and they have not lost to Southampton in front of their home fans since 2007.

It has been far from a strong start to the English Premier League champions and they hit a new low when they lost to Manchester United 4-1 last weekend – conceding three goals from corners.

A return to King Power Stadium is a big advantage for Leicester City and they have won ten out of their past 13 games as home favourites for a sizeable profit.

Southampton have bounced back from their slow start to the season to record comprehensive wins over Swansea and West Ham and they will take plenty of confidence into this clash.

The Saints have played well away from home over the past 12 months and they have won four of their past 11 games as favourites for a tidy profit.

This is another fixture that the market looks to have gotten just about right and there is no real value on offer.

No Bet

Burnley Vs Arsenal

Monday 3 October, 02:30am, Turf Moor

Burnley 0 - Arsenal 1

Burnley scored their second win of the season with an impressive performance against Watford, but they will still go into this clash with Arsenal as big underdogs.

Burnley have shown an ability to concede possession and suck up a great deal of pressure before hitting their rivals on the counter-attack and they are the type of side that could frustrate Arsenal.

They have now won two of their three games this season as away underdogs and the price available for them to come away with anything is very big.

Arsenal produced their best performance of the season to date to beat Chelsea last weekend and they have now recorded four victories on the trot.

The Gunners will start this clash as dominant favourites, but they have actually been a losing betting proposition as away favourites and have won only seven of their past 15 games in this scenario.

Arsenal could easily record a dominant victory over Burnley, but this is the type of game that they have struggled to finish off in recent seasons.

Back Double Chance Burnley Win Or Draw @ $3.10